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ZUE S.A (ZUE) Fair Value & Analysis

Industrials · PL · Market cap 255M PLN

ZS ZUE S.A ZUE · WAR
Price11.50 PLN
Fair Value2.04 PLN
Upside-82.3%
Quality48/100
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Mixed Growth
Thin margins · 1.3% net margin
Low debt · generates free cash flow
Trails peers (4/13)
Narrow moat 26/100
Evidence: High Range 1.35 PLN – 2.72 PLN Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 17, 2026

From 24 valuation models · updated 24 days ago

Fair value updated Jul 17, 2026, revised from 8.41 PLN to 2.04 PLN (−75.7%) since Jun 24, 2026.

Below-average quality, and screening another 82% overvalued on our models.

What matters now

  • The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (2.72 PLN). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
  • Solid but not exceptional quality (48/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
  • A fairly wide model range (1.35 PLN to 2.72 PLN) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

14.10 PLN 2.41 PLN Fair Value 2.04 PLN Apr 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 17, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range 2.41 PLN – 14.10 PLN · fair‑value band 1.35 PLN – 2.72 PLN · the 11.50 PLN price screens above the 2.04 PLN fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 17, 2026.

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Analysis

ZUE S.A (ZUE) currently trades at 11.50 PLN, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 2.04 PLN, implying the stock looks roughly 82.3% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 48/100 (below-average quality), in the Industrials sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).

Over the trailing twelve months, ZUE S.A generated revenue of 914M PLN at a net margin of 1.3%. Revenue declined 17.8% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 5.6%. Net debt stands at 26.8M PLN. Fundamentals as of Jul 17, 2026

Our scenario range runs from 1.35 PLN (bear case) to 2.72 PLN (bull case); at 11.50 PLN, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 20% below its 52-week high and 39% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at 25% fair-value upside, at -82%, ZUE screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
Growth DCF 2.83 PLN 3.23 PLN 3.66 PLN 80
Residual Income 6.59 PLN 6.46 PLN 5.52 PLN 76
ROIC Compounder 6.95 PLN 7.64 PLN 8.20 PLN 72
All 24 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF 2.80 PLN 3.24 PLN 3.73 PLN 38
Owner Earnings 9.74 PLN 12.09 PLN 14.75 PLN 31
5Y Revenue Exit 6.21 PLN 9.46 PLN 13.48 PLN 39
5Y EBITDA Exit 9.45 PLN 15.13 PLN 21.46 PLN 41
5Y P/E Exit 5.60 PLN 8.40 PLN 11.15 PLN 38
10Y Revenue Exit 4.42 PLN 6.72 PLN 9.57 PLN 36
10Y EBITDA Exit 6.32 PLN 9.97 PLN 14.47 PLN 37
10Y P/E Exit 4.28 PLN 6.11 PLN 8.14 PLN 35
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd 3.35 PLN 7.15 PLN 9.07 PLN 54
PEG = 1.0 1.10 PLN 1.56 PLN 2.03 PLN 46
EPV 6.95 PLN 7.64 PLN 8.20 PLN 59
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM 1.46 PLN 2.00 PLN 2.47 PLN 70
DDM Multi-Stage 1.46 PLN 1.92 PLN 2.35 PLN 61
Multiples
P/E Multiple 7.75 PLN 10.33 PLN 12.91 PLN 63
P/S Multiple 6.27 PLN 8.36 PLN 10.45 PLN 58
P/B Multiple 6.27 PLN 8.36 PLN 10.45 PLN 55
EV/EBIT 13.03 PLN 16.97 PLN 20.91 PLN 53
EV/EBITDA 17.12 PLN 22.43 PLN 27.73 PLN 54
EV/Revenue 9.65 PLN 13.26 PLN 16.88 PLN 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) 4.74 PLN 6.36 PLN 9.49 PLN 50
Growth DCF
Growth DCF 2.83 PLN 3.23 PLN 3.66 PLN 80
Economic Profit
Residual Income 6.59 PLN 6.46 PLN 5.52 PLN 76
ROIC Compounder 6.95 PLN 7.64 PLN 8.20 PLN 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E 5.71 PLN 8.16 PLN 10.61 PLN 68

Widest divergence: Multiples (10.33 PLN) versus Dividend Discount (1.92 PLN). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).

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Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) 914M PLN
Revenue growth (YoY) -17.8%
Net margin 1.3%
Return on equity 5.6%
Free cash flow 4.7M PLN FY2025
P/E ratio 22.0
More key figures
Operating margin -2.7%
EPS (TTM) 0.5100 PLN
EPS growth (YoY) +52.9%
Net debt 26.8M PLN FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 17, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 48/100

Of which business quality 48 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 55

Profitability 38
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 35
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 24
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 52
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 89
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 84
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 42
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 45
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 74
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

ZUE S.A., together with its subsidiaries, provides construction services in Poland. It engages in the design, construction, modernization, and maintenance of catenary networks, catenary substations, and tram tracks; and construction and maintenance of lighting fixtures, street lighting, traffic lights, and communication networks for cable piping and fibre …

Full company description

ZUE S.A., together with its subsidiaries, provides construction services in Poland. It engages in the design, construction, modernization, and maintenance of catenary networks, catenary substations, and tram tracks; and construction and maintenance of lighting fixtures, street lighting, traffic lights, and communication networks for cable piping and fibre optic wiring. The company is also involved in the design, construction, modernization, and repair of railway catenary and track systems, as well as assembly and delivery of railway equipment; earth works and track bed construction; drainage systems; engineering works; buildings, including stations, depots, and control rooms; and low voltage installations. In addition, it produces tram switch controllers, switch heating products, infrared systems, and tram switch drives. The company was formerly known as Zaklady Uslug Energetycznych i Komunikacyjnych grupa ZUE S.A. and changed its names to ZUE S.A. in April 2010. ZUE S.A. was founded in 1991 and is headquartered in Kraków, Poland.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

ZUE S.A reported revenue of 946M PLN in FY2025 versus 851M PLN in FY2021, a compound +2.7%/yr. Reported net income was 11.2M PLN in FY2025, compounding −1.2%/yr from FY2021.

Growth Quality 53/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
946M PLN
Avg. growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+12.7%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+4.1%
Avg. growth/yr (15Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+12.8%
Revenue +2.7%/yr
FY21 851M PLN
FY22 921M PLN
FY23 1.5B PLN
FY24 1.2B PLN
FY25 946M PLN
Net income −1.2%/yr
FY21 11.8M PLN
FY22 16.4M PLN
FY23 21.0M PLN
FY24 10.7M PLN
FY25 11.2M PLN
Character of growth · EPS growth decomposed (2014-2025) +4.7 % p.a.
Revenue per share +10.2 pp

of which total revenue +10.1 pp · buybacks/dilution +0.1 pp

EBIT margin −2.4 pp
Tax rate +0.4 pp
Residual (interest, one-offs) −3.6 pp

Absolute contributions in percentage points per year; they sum to the EPS growth rate. Start and end points are 3-year averages (details on hover).

ZUE screens 82% overvalued. Compare with China Merchants Expressway Network & Technology Holdings →

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "ZUE S.A Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/ZUE

Peer Group

Infrastructure Operations · 64 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 48 · Below median
Fair Value upside −82% · Bottom 25%
Return on equity (TTM) 6% · Below median
Return on assets 2% · Below median
Net margin (TTM) 1% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (TTM) -3% · Bottom 25%
Revenue growth -18% · Bottom 25%

Valuation Multiples vs Infrastructure Operations median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 22.0× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/B 0.32× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
P/S (TTM) 0.08× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
P/FCF 14.7× · Pricier than 75% of peers
EV/EBITDA 1.4× · Cheaper than 75% of peers

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 0 · sector 53
FUTURE 0 · sector 13
PAST 22 · sector 25
HEALTH 100 · sector 71
DIVIDEND 0 · sector 77

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Insider activity: 40/100

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Infrastructure Operations stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 17, 2026).

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Frequently asked questions

Is ZUE S.A (ZUE) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 17, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of 2.04 PLN versus a price of 11.50 PLN, about −82% (overvalued).
What is the fair value of ZUE?
Our model-based fair value for ZUE S.A is 2.04 PLN (as of Jul 17, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is 11.50 PLN.
What is the quality score of ZUE?
ZUE S.A has a Quality Score of 48/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of ZUE S.A (ZUE)?
ZUE S.A reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 914M PLN (latest available figure, as of Jul 17, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of ZUE?
The net profit margin of ZUE S.A is about 1.3%, meaning it keeps roughly 1.3% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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