Jiangsu Hengli Hydraulic Co Ltd (601100) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Nov 5, 2026: fair value (intrinsic value) of Jiangsu Hengli Hydraulic Co Ltd stock ¥42.82, price ¥91.63, that is 53.3% below the price, quality 67 out of 100. Rating: strongly overvalued. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
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Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year. As of Nov 3, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range ¥40.80 – ¥123.74 · fair‑value band ¥23.20 – ¥52.15 · the ¥91.63 price screens above the ¥42.82 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). As of Nov 3, 2026.
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Jiangsu Hengli Hydraulic Co.,Ltd manufactures hydraulic components and systems in China and internationally.
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The company offers hydraulic cylinders and pumps, hydraulic motors, mobile control valves, industrial hydraulic valves, cartridge valves, electric drives and controls, pneumatic elements, linear actuators, precision casts, and surface treatment and sealing technology, as well as hydraulic system and industrial automation products.
Its products are used in the construction machinery, agricultural and forestry machinery, tunnel boring equipment, lifting and handling machinery, mining and extraction equipment, offshore and port, metallurgical equipment, metal forming, rubber and general technology, energy and water conservancy, servo control and testing, and building materials and municipal equipment applications.
The company was formerly known as Jiangsu Hengli Highpressure Oil Cylinder Co., Ltd. Jiangsu Hengli Hydraulic Co.,Ltd was founded in 1990 and is headquartered in Changzhou, China.
Stock analysis
Jiangsu Hengli Hydraulic Co Ltd (601100) currently trades at ¥91.63, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥42.82, 53% below the price, so the stock looks overvalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the Growth Earnings group reads highest at a median of ¥54.65 per share, and 1 of the 26 models we run sit above the ¥91.63 price.
Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at ¥8.08, and 25 of the 26 models stay below the price. Data coverage for this calculation is high.
Scenario range: ¥23.20 (bear) to ¥52.15 (bull), the price of ¥91.63 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 67/100 (solid quality), in the Industrials sector.
Mixed Growth: Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Jiangsu Hengli Hydraulic Co Ltd reported revenue of 10.9B CNY in FY2025 versus 9.3B CNY in FY2021, a compound +4.1%/yr. Reported net income was 2.7B CNY in FY2025, compounding +0.4%/yr from FY2021.
Key figures
Market cap 123B CNY (≈ $18.5B) Large · P/E ratio 44.9 · P/S ratio 9.75 · EPS (TTM) ¥2.04 · Dividend yield 0.9% · Net margin 21.8% · Return on equity 16.0% · Return on assets (EBIT) 16.9%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 74 out of 100 (medium confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 26% below its 52-week high and 17% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at −47% fair-value upside, at −53%, 601100 screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear¥23.20Fair Value ¥42.82Bull¥52.15
Price ¥91.63 · Downside -53.3%
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above starts from their evidence-weighted blend, not from a single model. In cyclical trough or peak years, after dilution or a stock split it is adjusted afterwards, so it can sit above or below the models. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 10 months old). Earnings retained since then (¥1.00 per share) are deliberately not added.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds.Coverage ⓘCoverage = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.74/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Revenue growth 1 year
+16.5%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+10.1%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+6.9%
Start year 2020 (pandemic)
’14
’15
’16
’17
’18
’19
’20
’21
’22
’23
’24
’25
What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate.
+4.3%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year+3.4%
Dividend (yield on the price)0.9%
Per share before 2020divided by the spin-off factor 1.48
Pace: 5 vs 10 years ⓘTwo data points, not a trend model: earnings growth per share over the last 5 fiscal years against the last 10. Labelled "steady" when both rates are within 3 percentage points of each other, otherwise picking up or flattening. Shown only when ten years of history exist.base effect: 3.4% / 49.8%
Profit margin 2020 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.33% → 27%
Pace: the 5-year rate starts in 2020 (pandemic)
Growth Forecast
A lot of optimism in the price
The price assumes more growth than the company has delivered so far and more than analysts expect.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
+45.9%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect ⓘAnalysts publish sales forecasts for the next two fiscal years. For the years after that, growth slows evenly to 2 % a year by year ten (2 % is the long-run rate our models use). Projected years are marked as such.
+17.8%
Yearly sales growth analysts expect, extended to five years.
After inflation (China: IMF forecast 1.7% a year to 2030, 1.4% from 2016 to 2025) that is about +43.5% a year for the price and +15.9% for the forecasts.
AI conclusion: The business draws strength from dominance in excavator hydraulic cylinders and solid profitability, yet its main weak point is the thin evidence supporting only an average moat.
Main risk: Bosch Rexroth and similar foreign suppliers could reduce prices in China by 5-10 percent or more to slow domestic substitution, which could pressure margins on Hengli's pumps, valves and cylinders sold to excavator and machinery makers.
Bull case: Hengli could leverage its precision linear actuators and ball screws for humanoid robots plus electrification trends to shift toward higher-margin segments and offset any core hydraulic price pressure.
Bear case: Sustained price cuts by foreign competitors combined with slower diversification could compress margins on the dominant excavator hydraulic business and limit overall profitability growth.
Hengli Hydraulic dominates excavator hydraulic cylinders yet increasingly relies on selling more complete systems and components across other machinery. First-half revenue rose sharply while attributable profit held steady, and the firm is accelerating diversification plus overseas and electrification efforts. Will these steps expand its addressable market and margins faster than any slowdown in core construction equipment demand erodes them?
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Specialty Industrial Machinery · 807 stocks
Beats the industry median on 7/15 measures
A mixed picture versus its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score67 · Top 25%
Fair Value upside−53.3% · Below median
Profitability
Return on equity (12 months)16.0% · Top 25%
Return on assets12.6% · Top 25%
Net margin (12 months)21.8% · Top 25%
Operating margin (12 months)25.6% · Top 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth (quarter YoY)31.8% · Top 25%
Dividend yield (12 months)0.9% · Below median
Balance sheet
Debt / equity0.00× · Lowest 25%
Valuation Multiplesvs Specialty Industrial Machinery median · lower = cheaper
P/E (12 months)44.9× · Pricier than median
P/B7.11× · Priciest 25%
P/S (12 months)9.75× · Priciest 25%
Price / free cash flow138.6× · Priciest 25%
EV/EBITDA30.9× · Priciest 25%
PEG2.26× · Pricier than median
Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)
This stockSector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)0· sector 0
FUTURE (revenue growth)100· sector 31
PAST (return on equity)64· sector 28
HEALTH (low debt)100· sector 96
DIVIDEND (yield)19· sector 29
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Jiangsu Hengli Hydraulic Co Ltd Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/601100
Frequently asked questions
Is Jiangsu Hengli Hydraulic Co Ltd (601100) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Nov 3, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of ¥42.82 versus a price of ¥91.63, about 53% lower (overvalued).
What is the fair value of 601100?
Our model-based fair value for Jiangsu Hengli Hydraulic Co Ltd is ¥42.82 (as of Nov 3, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: ¥91.63.
What is the quality score of 601100?
Jiangsu Hengli Hydraulic Co Ltd has a Quality Score of 67/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Jiangsu Hengli Hydraulic Co Ltd (601100)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of ¥42.82 (as of Nov 3, 2026) from 26 valuation models. Cautious scenario ¥23.20, optimistic scenario ¥52.15. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Jiangsu Hengli Hydraulic Co Ltd stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at ¥42.82, about 53% lower versus a price of ¥91.63 (overvalued). Cautious scenario ¥23.20, optimistic scenario ¥52.15. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Jiangsu Hengli Hydraulic Co Ltd (601100)?
Jiangsu Hengli Hydraulic Co Ltd reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 12.6B CNY (latest available figure, as of Nov 3, 2026).
Does Jiangsu Hengli Hydraulic Co Ltd pay a dividend?
Jiangsu Hengli Hydraulic Co Ltd currently shows a dividend yield of 0.94% relative to its recent price (as of Nov 3, 2026).
What growth is priced into Jiangsu Hengli Hydraulic Co Ltd (601100)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, Jiangsu Hengli Hydraulic Co Ltd would have to grow free cash flow by +45.9 % per year for five years (discount rate 9.6 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew +6.9 % per year. As of Nov 3, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of 601100 use?
Our models discount Jiangsu Hengli Hydraulic Co Ltd at 9.6 %: a base by market capitalisation (large), damped by beta 0.87, country premium for China. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For Jiangsu Hengli Hydraulic Co Ltd that is +45.9 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (9.6 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has Jiangsu Hengli Hydraulic Co Ltd (601100) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at Jiangsu Hengli Hydraulic Co Ltd grew +6.9 % a year. The price currently implies +45.9 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of Jiangsu Hengli Hydraulic Co Ltd (601100) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +7.8 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into Jiangsu Hengli Hydraulic Co Ltd (+45.9 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of Jiangsu Hengli Hydraulic Co Ltd (601100)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 0.72 %: that much free cash flow Jiangsu Hengli Hydraulic Co Ltd produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (9.6 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of Jiangsu Hengli Hydraulic Co Ltd (601100)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Jiangsu Hengli Hydraulic Co Ltd it is ¥42.82 per share (as of Nov 3, 2026), against a price of ¥91.63. It is the blended result of 26 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Jiangsu Hengli Hydraulic Co Ltd stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Nov 3, 2026, 601100 trades above its calculated fair value: price ¥91.63, fair value ¥42.82, a gap of about −53% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of 601100?
No. The price is what the market pays today (¥91.63); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (¥42.82). For Jiangsu Hengli Hydraulic Co Ltd the two are ¥48.81 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Jiangsu Hengli Hydraulic Co Ltd worth?
The market values Jiangsu Hengli Hydraulic Co Ltd at about 123B CNY (market capitalisation, as of Nov 3, 2026). Per share that is ¥91.63; our models calculate a fair value of ¥42.82 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about 601100?
Our models span a range for Jiangsu Hengli Hydraulic Co Ltd: cautious scenario ¥23.20, base ¥42.82, optimistic ¥52.15 per share (as of Nov 3, 2026, price ¥91.63). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of 601100?
Jiangsu Hengli Hydraulic Co Ltd trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 44.9 (as of Nov 3, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of ¥42.82 is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: PEG 2.3, P/B 7.1, P/S 9.7, EV/EBITDA 30.9.
What is the PEG ratio of 601100?
The PEG ratio of Jiangsu Hengli Hydraulic Co Ltd is 2.26 (P/E divided by earnings growth, as of Nov 3, 2026). That is above 1, so the growth is already paid for in the price.
How solid is the balance sheet of Jiangsu Hengli Hydraulic Co Ltd (601100)?
Balance-sheet figures for Jiangsu Hengli Hydraulic Co Ltd (as of Nov 3, 2026): return on equity 16.0%, debt of 0.00 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 67/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is 601100 from its 52-week high?
Jiangsu Hengli Hydraulic Co Ltd trades at ¥91.63, about 26% below its 52-week high of ¥123.74 and 17% above the low of ¥78.13 (as of Nov 5, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of ¥42.82 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Jiangsu Hengli Hydraulic Co Ltd?
From the same area (Industrials) we also value SIE, GE Vernova Inc, Eaton Corporation, Parker-Hannifin Corporation, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Jiangsu Hengli Hydraulic Co Ltd stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Nov 3, 2026: price ¥91.63, calculated fair value ¥42.82 (−53%), Quality Score 67/100, from 26 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of 601100 calculated?
We run Jiangsu Hengli Hydraulic Co Ltd through 26 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of ¥42.82, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 15.5% above its aggregate fair value. Jiangsu Hengli Hydraulic Co Ltd itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Jiangsu Hengli Hydraulic Co Ltd (601100)?
The closing price on Nov 5, 2026 was ¥91.63. Our model-based fair value is ¥42.82, about 53% lower (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Jiangsu Hengli Hydraulic Co Ltd right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (¥52.15). The favourable scenario is already priced in. Solid but not exceptional quality (67/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder. A fairly wide model range (¥23.20 to ¥52.15) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Where does the earnings growth of Jiangsu Hengli Hydraulic Co Ltd (601100) come from?
Earnings per share at Jiangsu Hengli Hydraulic Co Ltd grew +38.7 % a year from 2013 to 2024. Broken into its drivers: revenue per share +25.3 %, EBIT margin +14.9 %, tax rate +0.6 %, residual (interest, one-offs) −4.2 %. The four rates multiply to the earnings growth rate, they do not add up. Start and end are three-year averages so a single exceptional year does not distort the result.
Key figures of Jiangsu Hengli Hydraulic Co Ltd
How large is the market capitalisation of Jiangsu Hengli Hydraulic Co Ltd (601100)?
The market capitalisation of Jiangsu Hengli Hydraulic Co Ltd is 123B CNY (≈ $18.5B). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Jiangsu Hengli Hydraulic Co Ltd (601100)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Jiangsu Hengli Hydraulic Co Ltd is 9.75 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Jiangsu Hengli Hydraulic Co Ltd (601100)?
Earnings per share at Jiangsu Hengli Hydraulic Co Ltd are ¥2.04 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 44.9). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of Jiangsu Hengli Hydraulic Co Ltd (601100)?
The dividend yield of Jiangsu Hengli Hydraulic Co Ltd is 0.9% (payout 42.2%). Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Jiangsu Hengli Hydraulic Co Ltd (601100)?
The net margin of Jiangsu Hengli Hydraulic Co Ltd is 21.8% (last twelve months). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Jiangsu Hengli Hydraulic Co Ltd (601100)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Jiangsu Hengli Hydraulic Co Ltd is 16.0% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Jiangsu Hengli Hydraulic Co Ltd (601100)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Jiangsu Hengli Hydraulic Co Ltd is 16.9% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Jiangsu Hengli Hydraulic Co Ltd (601100)?
The operating margin of Jiangsu Hengli Hydraulic Co Ltd is 25.6% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Jiangsu Hengli Hydraulic Co Ltd (601100)?
Revenue at Jiangsu Hengli Hydraulic Co Ltd is growing +31.8% versus a year earlier (3y avg +10.1%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Jiangsu Hengli Hydraulic Co Ltd (601100)?
Earnings per share at Jiangsu Hengli Hydraulic Co Ltd are growing −5.2% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net cash does Jiangsu Hengli Hydraulic Co Ltd (601100) hold?
Jiangsu Hengli Hydraulic Co Ltd holds more cash than debt, 7.9B CNY net (fiscal year 2024). The company holds more cash than debt, a safety cushion.
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Broad data
Nov 3, 2026