Americold Realty Trust (COLD) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Nov 6, 2026: fair value (intrinsic value) of Americold Realty Trust stock $12.47, price $16.01, that is 22.1% below the price, quality 35 out of 100. Rating: overvalued. Calculated from audited financials with 2 of our 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceableSee the method →
Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year. As of Nov 8, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range $9.46 – $30.18 · fair‑value band $5.53 – $19.41 · the $16.01 price screens above the $12.47 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). As of Nov 8, 2026.
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Americold Realty Trust, Inc. is a global leader in temperature-controlled logistics and real estate, supporting the safe, efficient movement of food worldwide.
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With 230 operating facilities across North America, Europe, Asia-Pacific, and South America totaling approximately 1.4 billion refrigerated cubic feet we connect producers, processors, distributors, and retailers.
Leveraging deep industry expertise, advanced technology, and sustainable practices, Americold delivers reliable cold storage and transportation solutions that create lasting value for customers and communities.
Americold Realty Trust, Inc. was incorporated in 1903 in Maryland and is based in Atlanta, Georgia.
Stock analysis
Americold Realty Trust (COLD) currently trades at $16.01, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $12.47, 22% below the price, so the stock looks overvalued today.
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Valuation
How firm this estimate is: it rests on 2 models at a data quality of 95/100, which puts the data coverage at medium.
Scenario range: $5.53 (bear) to $19.41 (bull), the price of $16.01 sits inside it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 35/100 (below-average quality), in the Real Estate sector.
Weak Growth: Revenue growth is inconsistent: the periods point in different directions, so there is no trend to rely on.
Americold Realty Trust reported revenue of $2.6B in FY2025 versus $2.7B in FY2021, a compound −1.1%/yr. Reported net income was −$115M in FY2025.
Key figures
Market cap $4.6B Mid · P/E ratio 19.2 · P/S ratio 1.74 · EPS (TTM) $0.8300 · Dividend yield 5.7% · Net margin 9.0% · Return on equity 7.8% · Return on assets (EBIT) 0.7% (5-year average).
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 43 out of 100 (medium confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades at its 52-week high and 69% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Real Estate peers we cover trades at −32% fair-value upside, at −22%, COLD screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear$5.53Fair Value $12.47Bull$19.41
Price $16.01 · Downside -22.1%
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above starts from their evidence-weighted blend, not from a single model. In cyclical trough or peak years, after dilution or a stock split it is adjusted afterwards, so it can sit above or below the models.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds.Coverage ⓘCoverage = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
In the last 6 months, one officer or director sold shares worth $7,191 and none bought.
SaleRobert E. HarrisSVP & Chief Accounting Oficer3× since Mar 8, 2026: 1,994 shares, avg. $12.73$25,390Jul 2, 2026
Plus 5 other filings such as grants, option exercises or tax withholding. They are not market purchases or sales.
Sales are often planned (taxes, diversification, 10b5-1 plans). Purchases with their own money are seen as the stronger sign. For information only: not part of the quality score or Fair Value.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.18/100
Revenue growth is inconsistent: the periods point in different directions, so there is no trend to rely on.
Revenue growth 1 year
−2.4%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−3.7%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+5.5%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +5.8% a year
Revenue growth 18 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+6.4%
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Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
8.5% (2020) → 3.8% (2025)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2025 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
News mood ⓘNews mood, the average tone of recent news (95 articles), rated against how stocks are usually covered. 🚀 Hype = unusually upbeat · 🙂 Positive = above average · 😐 Neutral = typical · 🙁 Negative = below average · 😨 Very negative = unusually downbeat. It reflects the tone of coverage, not our valuation.Hype
Recent news coverage is unusually upbeat, far more positive than stocks are typically covered.
AI conclusion: World's largest temperature-controlled warehouse network delivers operational scale, yet negative earnings and high leverage point to limited durable advantage in a capital-intensive REIT.
Main risk: High leverage relative to equity risks constraining flexibility for refinancing and further investments in the capital-intensive temperature-controlled warehouse operations.
Americold operates the world's largest network of temperature-controlled warehouses serving the global food supply chain. Its recent joint venture transferred majority ownership of twelve facilities for major debt paydown and interest savings while retaining day-to-day management. Will the operational strengths and cost initiatives outweigh the dilution from sharing economics on those assets?
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.REIT - Industrial · 51 stocks
Beats the industry median on 5/14 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score35 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside−22.1% · Below median
Profitability
Return on equity (12 months)7.8% · Above median
Return on assets−1.4% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (12 months)9.0% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (12 months)111.0% · Top 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth (quarter YoY)3.8% · Above median
Dividend yield (12 months)5.7% · Below median
Balance sheet
Debt / equity1.32× · Highest 25%
Valuation Multiplesvs REIT - Industrial median · lower = cheaper
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Is Americold Realty Trust (COLD) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Nov 8, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $12.47 versus a price of $16.01, about 22% lower (overvalued).
What is the fair value of COLD?
Our model-based fair value for Americold Realty Trust is $12.47 (as of Nov 8, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: $16.01.
What is the quality score of COLD?
Americold Realty Trust has a Quality Score of 35/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Americold Realty Trust (COLD)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of $12.47 (as of Nov 8, 2026) from 2 valuation models. Cautious scenario $5.53, optimistic scenario $19.41. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Americold Realty Trust stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at $12.47, about 22% lower versus a price of $16.01 (overvalued). Cautious scenario $5.53, optimistic scenario $19.41. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Americold Realty Trust (COLD)?
Americold Realty Trust reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $2.6B (latest available figure, as of Nov 8, 2026).
Does Americold Realty Trust pay a dividend?
Americold Realty Trust currently shows a dividend yield of 5.75% relative to its recent price (as of Nov 8, 2026).
How much is the dividend of Americold Realty Trust (COLD) and when is the ex-dividend date?
Americold Realty Trust pays a dividend of $0.92 per share a year, a dividend yield of 5.7%. The last ex-dividend date was Sep 30, 2026. A dividend has been paid every year since at least 2018. The payout ratio is 111% of earnings. Our assessment: Pays more than it earns. The company pays out more in dividends than it earns, and free cash flow clearly does not cover the dividend either. It may need to be cut unless profits recover.
What is the intrinsic value of Americold Realty Trust (COLD)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Americold Realty Trust it is $12.47 per share (as of Nov 8, 2026), against a price of $16.01. It is the blended result of 2 valuation models in 2 families (Multiples, Asset-Based).
Is Americold Realty Trust stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Nov 8, 2026, COLD trades above its calculated fair value: price $16.01, fair value $12.47, a gap of about −22% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of COLD?
No. The price is what the market pays today ($16.01); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify ($12.47). For Americold Realty Trust the two are $3.54 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Americold Realty Trust worth?
The market values Americold Realty Trust at about $4.6B (market capitalisation, as of Nov 8, 2026). Per share that is $16.01; our models calculate a fair value of $12.47 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about COLD?
Our models span a range for Americold Realty Trust: cautious scenario $5.53, base $12.47, optimistic $19.41 per share (as of Nov 8, 2026, price $16.01). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of COLD?
Americold Realty Trust trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 19.2 (as of Nov 8, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of $12.47 is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: PEG 5.8, P/B 1.6, P/S 1.7, EV/EBITDA 6.4.
What is the PEG ratio of COLD?
The PEG ratio of Americold Realty Trust is 5.84 (P/E divided by earnings growth, as of Nov 8, 2026). That is above 1, so the growth is already paid for in the price.
How solid is the balance sheet of Americold Realty Trust (COLD)?
Balance-sheet figures for Americold Realty Trust (as of Nov 8, 2026): return on equity 7.8%, debt of 1.32 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 35/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is COLD from its 52-week high?
Americold Realty Trust trades at $16.01, at its 52-week high of $16.01 and 69% above the low of $9.46 (as of Nov 6, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of $12.47 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Americold Realty Trust?
From the same area (Real Estate) we also value Prologis, Inc, Public Storage, Extra Space Storage Inc, EastGroup Properties, Inc, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Americold Realty Trust stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Nov 8, 2026: price $16.01, calculated fair value $12.47 (−22%), Quality Score 35/100, from 2 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of COLD calculated?
We run Americold Realty Trust through 2 models from 2 families: Multiples, Asset-Based. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the fair value of $12.47 builds on their evidence-weighted average, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 13.3% above its aggregate fair value. Americold Realty Trust itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Americold Realty Trust (COLD)?
The closing price on Nov 6, 2026 was $16.01. Our model-based fair value is $12.47, about 22% lower (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Americold Realty Trust right now?
Weak quality (35/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts. The model range is unusually wide ($5.53 to $19.41). The outcome hinges heavily on assumptions, so read the point estimate with caution. As a real-estate business, asset- and dividend-based methods carry more weight here than a standard DCF.
Key figures of Americold Realty Trust
How large is the market capitalisation of Americold Realty Trust (COLD)?
The market capitalisation of Americold Realty Trust is $4.6B. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Americold Realty Trust (COLD)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Americold Realty Trust is 1.74 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Americold Realty Trust (COLD)?
Earnings per share at Americold Realty Trust are $0.8300 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 19.2). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of Americold Realty Trust (COLD)?
The dividend yield of Americold Realty Trust is 5.7% (payout 111%). Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Americold Realty Trust (COLD)?
The net margin of Americold Realty Trust is 9.0% (last twelve months). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Americold Realty Trust (COLD)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Americold Realty Trust is 7.8% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Americold Realty Trust (COLD)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Americold Realty Trust is 0.7% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Americold Realty Trust (COLD)?
The operating margin of Americold Realty Trust is 111% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Americold Realty Trust (COLD)?
Revenue at Americold Realty Trust is growing +3.8% versus a year earlier (3y avg −3.7%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Americold Realty Trust (COLD)?
Earnings per share at Americold Realty Trust are growing −66.7% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much free cash flow does Americold Realty Trust (COLD) generate?
The free cash flow of Americold Realty Trust is −$217M (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net debt does Americold Realty Trust (COLD) carry?
The net debt of Americold Realty Trust is $4.4B (fiscal year 2025). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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Some data
Nov 8, 2026