Terreno Realty Corporation (TRNO) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Sep 23, 2026: fair value of Terreno Realty Corporation $44.57, price $66.02, upside -32.5%, quality 48 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
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Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range $45.82 – $75.18 · fair‑value band $24.34 – $95.13 · the $66.02 price screens above the $44.57 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.
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Terreno Realty Corporation acquires, owns and operates industrial real estate in six major coastal U.S. markets. It includes New York City, Northern New Jersey, Los Angeles, Miami, San Francisco Bay Area, Seattle, and Washington, D.C.
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Terreno Realty Corporation acquires, owns and operates industrial real estate in six major coastal U.S. markets. It includes New York City, Northern New Jersey, Los Angeles, Miami, San Francisco Bay Area, Seattle, and Washington, D.C. All square feet, acres, occupancy and number of properties disclosed in these condensed notes to the consolidated financial statements are unaudited. As of September 30, 2025, the Company owned 307 buildings (including one property consisting of two buildings held for sale) aggregating approximately 20.2 million square feet, 44 improved land parcels consisting of approximately 146.4 acres, six properties under development or redevelopment and approximately 10.7 acres of land for future development. The Company is an internally managed Maryland corporation and elected to be taxed as a real estate investment trust (REIT) under Sections 856 through 860 of the Internal Revenue Code of 1986, as amended, commencing with its taxable year ended December 31, 2010. Terreno Realty Corporation was incorporated on 6th November 2009 and is based in Bellevue, United States.
Stock analysis
Terreno Realty Corporation (TRNO) currently trades at $66.02, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $44.57, implying the stock looks roughly 48.1% overvalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the DCF Models group reads highest at a median of $47.57 per share, and 0 of the 16 models we run sit above the $66.02 price.
Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at $26.28, and 16 of the 16 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is high.
Scenario range: $24.34 (bear) to $95.13 (bull), the price of $66.02 sits inside it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 48/100 (below-average quality), in the Real Estate sector.
Mixed Growth: Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Terreno Realty Corporation reported revenue of $476M in FY2025 versus $222M in FY2021, a compound +21.0%/yr. Reported net income was $403M in FY2025, compounding +46.6%/yr from FY2021.
Key figures
Market cap $6.8B · P/E ratio 16.1 · P/S ratio 13.6 · EPS (TTM) $4.10 · Dividend yield 3.1% · Net margin 84.6% · Return on equity 10.4% · Return on assets (EBIT) 3.3%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 42 out of 100 (medium confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 12% below its 52-week high and 20% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Real Estate peers we cover trades at −11% fair-value upside, at −32%, TRNO screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear $24.34Fair Value $44.57Bull $95.13
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 9 months old). Earnings retained since then ($1.50 per share) are deliberately not added.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.86/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Revenue growth 1 year
+24.5%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+19.9%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+20.6%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +17.4% a year
Revenue growth 15 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+37.5%
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What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years) (mathematically smoothed) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate. Smoothed = median of all growth paths between the years of the window (trend line on the logarithm of earnings per share): a single extreme year cannot distort the rate. The reported figure stays in the tooltip.
+19.1%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year+16.0%
Dividend (yield on the price)3.1%
Pace: 5 vs 10 years ⓘTwo data points, not a trend model: earnings growth per share over the last 5 fiscal years against the last 10. Labelled "steady" when both rates are within 3 percentage points of each other, otherwise picking up or flattening. Shown only when ten years of history exist.27% vs 28%, steady
Profit margin 2020 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.61% → 40%
2025 sits 104% above its own trend. The rate follows the median trend of the last 5 years, not that single year.
Start year 2020 (pandemic)
Growth Forecast
A lot of optimism in the price
The price assumes about as much growth as the company has delivered so far and more than analysts expect.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
+21.6%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect ⓘAnalysts publish sales forecasts for the next two fiscal years. For the years after that, growth slows evenly to 2 % a year by year ten (2 % is the long-run rate our models use). Projected years are marked as such.
+9.3%
Yearly sales growth analysts expect, extended to five years.
After inflation (USA: IMF forecast 2.4% a year to 2030, 3.1% from 2016 to 2025) that is about +18.7% a year for the price and +6.8% for the forecasts.
News mood ⓘNews mood, the average tone of recent news (93 articles), rated against how stocks are usually covered. 🚀 Hype = unusually upbeat · 🙂 Positive = above average · 😐 Neutral = typical · 🙁 Negative = below average · 😨 Very negative = unusually downbeat. It reflects the tone of coverage, not our valuation.Very negative
Compare Terreno Realty Corporation with another stock
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.REIT - Industrial · 55 stocks
Beats the industry median on 4/15 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score47 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside−33% · Bottom 25%
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM)10% · Above median
Return on assets2% · Below median
Net margin (TTM)87% · Top 25%
Operating margin (TTM)41% · Bottom 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth13% · Top 25%
Dividend yield (TTM)3.1% · Bottom 25%
Balance sheet
Debt / equity0.18× · Lowest 25%
Valuation Multiplesvs REIT - Industrial median · lower = cheaper
P/E (TTM)16.1× · Pricier than median
P/B1.64× · Priciest 25%
P/S (TTM)13.83× · Priciest 25%
P/FCF32.5× · Priciest 25%
EV/EBITDA25.5× · Priciest 25%
PEG7.15× · Priciest 25%
Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)
This stockSector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)0· sector 16
FUTURE (revenue growth)64· sector 16
PAST (return on equity)41· sector 29
HEALTH (low debt)91· sector 77
DIVIDEND (yield)62· sector 100
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Is Terreno Realty Corporation (TRNO) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 24, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $44.57 versus a price of $66.02, about −32% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of TRNO?
Our model-based fair value for Terreno Realty Corporation is $44.57 (as of Sep 24, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: $66.02.
What is the quality score of TRNO?
Terreno Realty Corporation has a Quality Score of 48/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Terreno Realty Corporation (TRNO)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of $44.57 (as of Sep 24, 2026) from 16 valuation models. Cautious scenario $24.34, optimistic scenario $95.13. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Terreno Realty Corporation stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at $44.57, about −32% upside versus a price of $66.02 (overvalued). Cautious scenario $24.34, optimistic scenario $95.13. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Terreno Realty Corporation (TRNO)?
Terreno Realty Corporation reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $490M (latest available figure, as of Sep 24, 2026).
Does Terreno Realty Corporation pay a dividend?
Terreno Realty Corporation currently shows a dividend yield of about 3.11% relative to its recent price (as of Sep 24, 2026).
What growth is priced into Terreno Realty Corporation (TRNO)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, Terreno Realty Corporation would have to grow free cash flow by +21.6 % per year for five years (discount rate 9.9 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew +20.6 % per year. As of Sep 24, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of TRNO use?
Our models discount Terreno Realty Corporation at 9.9 %: a base by market capitalisation (mid), damped by beta 1.06, country premium for USA. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For Terreno Realty Corporation that is +21.6 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (9.9 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has Terreno Realty Corporation (TRNO) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at Terreno Realty Corporation grew +20.6 % a year. The price currently implies +21.6 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of Terreno Realty Corporation (TRNO) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +1.8 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into Terreno Realty Corporation (+21.6 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of Terreno Realty Corporation (TRNO)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 3.07 %: that much free cash flow Terreno Realty Corporation produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (9.9 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of Terreno Realty Corporation (TRNO)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Terreno Realty Corporation it is $44.57 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026), against a price of $66.02. It is the blended result of 16 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Terreno Realty Corporation stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 24, 2026, TRNO trades above its calculated fair value: price $66.02, fair value $44.57, a gap of about −32% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of TRNO?
No. The price is what the market pays today ($66.02); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify ($44.57). For Terreno Realty Corporation the two are $21.45 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Terreno Realty Corporation worth?
The market values Terreno Realty Corporation at about $6.8B (market capitalisation, as of Sep 24, 2026). Per share that is $66.02; our models calculate a fair value of $44.57 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about TRNO?
Our models span a range for Terreno Realty Corporation: cautious scenario $24.34, base $44.57, optimistic $95.13 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026, price $66.02). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of TRNO?
Terreno Realty Corporation trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 16.1 (as of Sep 24, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of $44.57 is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: PEG 7.2, P/B 1.6, P/S 13.8, EV/EBITDA 25.5.
What is the PEG ratio of TRNO?
The PEG ratio of Terreno Realty Corporation is 7.15 (P/E divided by earnings growth, as of Sep 24, 2026). That is above 1, so the growth is already paid for in the price.
How solid is the balance sheet of Terreno Realty Corporation (TRNO)?
Balance-sheet figures for Terreno Realty Corporation (as of Sep 24, 2026): return on equity 10.4%, debt of 0.18 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 48/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is TRNO from its 52-week high?
Terreno Realty Corporation trades at $66.02, about 12% below its 52-week high of $75.08 and 20% above the low of $55.00 (as of Sep 23, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of $44.57 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Terreno Realty Corporation?
From the same area (Real Estate) we also value Public Storage, a member of the S&P 500,, Prologis, Inc, Extra Space Storage Inc, EastGroup Properties, Inc, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Terreno Realty Corporation stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 24, 2026: price $66.02, calculated fair value $44.57 (−32%), Quality Score 48/100, from 16 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of TRNO calculated?
We run Terreno Realty Corporation through 16 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of $44.57, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.1 % above its aggregate fair value. Terreno Realty Corporation itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Terreno Realty Corporation (TRNO)?
The closing price on Sep 23, 2026 was $66.02. Our model-based fair value is $44.57, about −32% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Terreno Realty Corporation right now?
The model range is unusually wide ($24.34 to $95.13). The outcome hinges heavily on assumptions, so read the point estimate with caution. Solid but not exceptional quality (48/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder. As a real-estate business, asset- and dividend-based methods carry more weight here than a standard DCF.
Key figures of Terreno Realty Corporation
How large is the market capitalisation of Terreno Realty Corporation (TRNO)?
The market capitalisation of Terreno Realty Corporation is $6.8B. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Terreno Realty Corporation (TRNO)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Terreno Realty Corporation is 13.6 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Terreno Realty Corporation (TRNO)?
Earnings per share at Terreno Realty Corporation are $4.10 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 16.1). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of Terreno Realty Corporation (TRNO)?
The dividend yield of Terreno Realty Corporation is 3.1% (payout 50.0%). Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Terreno Realty Corporation (TRNO)?
The net margin of Terreno Realty Corporation is 84.6% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Terreno Realty Corporation (TRNO)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Terreno Realty Corporation is 10.4% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Terreno Realty Corporation (TRNO)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Terreno Realty Corporation is 3.3% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Terreno Realty Corporation (TRNO)?
The operating margin of Terreno Realty Corporation is 40.7% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Terreno Realty Corporation (TRNO)?
Revenue at Terreno Realty Corporation is growing +12.7% versus a year earlier (3y avg +19.9%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Terreno Realty Corporation (TRNO)?
Earnings per share at Terreno Realty Corporation are growing +40.2% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net debt does Terreno Realty Corporation (TRNO) carry?
The net debt of Terreno Realty Corporation is $918M (fiscal year 2025, ≈ 4.4 yrs of FCF). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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Broad data
Sep 24, 2026