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Terreno Realty Corporation (TRNO) Fair Value & Analysis

Real Estate · US · Market cap $6.9B

TR Terreno Realty Corporation logo Terreno Realty Corporation TRNO · US
Price$68.76
Fair Value$36.95
Upside-46.3%
Quality48/100
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Mixed Growth
Highly profitable · 86.5% net margin
Low debt · generates free cash flow
3.16% dividend yield
Trails peers (4/15)
Moderate moat 62/100
Evidence: High Range $21.97 – $49.69 Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 27, 2026

From 16 valuation models · updated 14 days ago

Share price +1.8% over the past month.

Below-average quality, and screening another 46% overvalued on our models.

What matters now

  • The price sits above even our optimistic bull case ($49.69). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
  • Solid but not exceptional quality (48/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
  • A fairly wide model range ($21.97 to $49.69) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
  • As a real-estate business, asset- and dividend-based methods carry more weight here than a standard DCF.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

$75.18 $45.82 Fair Value $36.95 Apr 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 27, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range $45.82 – $75.18 · fair‑value band $21.97 – $49.69 · the $68.76 price screens above the $36.95 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 27, 2026.

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Analysis

Terreno Realty Corporation (TRNO) currently trades at $68.76, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $36.95, implying the stock looks roughly 46.3% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 48/100 (below-average quality), in the Real Estate sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).

Over the trailing twelve months, Terreno Realty Corporation generated revenue of $490M at a net margin of 86.5%. Revenue grew 12.7% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 10.4%. Net debt stands at $918M. Fundamentals as of Jul 27, 2026

Our scenario range runs from $21.97 (bear case) to $49.69 (bull case); at $68.76, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades near its 52-week high and 33% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Real Estate peers we cover trades at -45% fair-value upside, at -46%, TRNO screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model BearBaseBull Evidence
Highest evidence
Growth DCF $22.05 $46.15 $92.13 80
Residual Income $33.83 $37.17 $51.00 76
Rev-Margin DCF $14.46 $34.22 $64.38 74
All 16 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF $23.76 $41.49 $94.26 38
5Y Revenue Exit $14.46 $30.25 $61.50 39
5Y EBITDA Exit $26.17 $55.01 $108.96 41
10Y Revenue Exit $16.49 $38.94 $60.12 36
10Y EBITDA Exit $25.32 $61.56 $129.87 37
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM $16.94 $33.75 $51.11 70
DDM Multi-Stage $16.94 $29.17 $35.63 61
Multiples
P/S Multiple $21.97 $29.29 $36.61 58
P/B Multiple $48.60 $64.80 $81.00 55
EV/EBIT $23.24 $33.25 $43.26 53
EV/EBITDA $27.54 $38.99 $50.43 54
EV/Revenue $9.77 $16.87 $23.97 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) $19.61 $26.28 $39.22 50
Growth DCF
Growth DCF $22.05 $46.15 $92.13 80
Rev-Margin DCF $14.46 $34.22 $64.38 74
Economic Profit
Residual Income $33.83 $37.17 $51.00 76

Widest divergence: DCF Models ($41.49) versus Asset-Based ($26.28). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).

Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) $490M
Revenue growth (YoY) +12.7%
Net margin 86.5%
Return on equity 10.4%
Free cash flow $208M FY2025
P/E ratio 16.0
More key figures
Operating margin 40.7%
EPS (TTM) $4.10
Dividend yield 3.2%
EPS growth (YoY) +40.2%
Net debt $918M FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 27, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 48/100

Of which business quality 49 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 68

Profitability 42
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 81
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 70
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 61
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 13
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 71
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 57
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 82
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 4
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Terreno Realty Corporation acquires, owns and operates industrial real estate in six major coastal U.S. markets. It includes New York City, Northern New Jersey, Los Angeles, Miami, San Francisco Bay Area, Seattle, and Washington, D.C.

Full company description

Terreno Realty Corporation acquires, owns and operates industrial real estate in six major coastal U.S. markets. It includes New York City, Northern New Jersey, Los Angeles, Miami, San Francisco Bay Area, Seattle, and Washington, D.C. All square feet, acres, occupancy and number of properties disclosed in these condensed notes to the consolidated financial statements are unaudited. As of September 30, 2025, the Company owned 307 buildings (including one property consisting of two buildings held for sale) aggregating approximately 20.2 million square feet, 44 improved land parcels consisting of approximately 146.4 acres, six properties under development or redevelopment and approximately 10.7 acres of land for future development. The Company is an internally managed Maryland corporation and elected to be taxed as a real estate investment trust (REIT) under Sections 856 through 860 of the Internal Revenue Code of 1986, as amended, commencing with its taxable year ended December 31, 2010. Terreno Realty Corporation was incorporated on 6th November 2009 and is based in Bellevue, United States.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Terreno Realty Corporation reported revenue of $476M in FY2025 versus $222M in FY2021, a compound +21.0%/yr. Reported net income was $403M in FY2025, compounding +46.6%/yr from FY2021.

Growth Quality 86/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
$476M
Latest YoY
+24.5%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y)
+19.9%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y)
+20.6%
Avg. growth/yr (15Y)
+37.5%
Revenue +21.0%/yr
FY21 $222M
FY22 $276M
FY23 $324M
FY24 $383M
FY25 $476M
Net income +46.6%/yr
FY21 $87.3M
FY22 $198M
FY23 $151M
FY24 $184M
FY25 $403M

TRNO screens 46% overvalued. Compare with Prologis, Inc →

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Terreno Realty Corporation Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/TRNO

Recent news

External third-party headlines (Yahoo Finance, Reuters and others), not an editorial selection.

Peer Group

REIT - Industrial · 63 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 47 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside −46% · Bottom 25%
Return on equity (TTM) 10% · Top 25%
Return on assets 2% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (TTM) 87% · Top 25%
Operating margin (TTM) 41% · Bottom 25%
Revenue growth 13% · Top 25%
Dividend yield (TTM) 3.2% · Bottom 25%
Debt / equity 0.18× · Lower than 75% of peers

Valuation Multiples vs REIT - Industrial median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 16.0× · Pricier than median
P/B 1.67× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/S (TTM) 14.15× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/FCF 33.3× · Pricier than 75% of peers
EV/EBITDA 26.0× · Pricier than 75% of peers
PEG 7.15× · Pricier than 75% of peers

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 0 · sector 5
FUTURE 64 · sector 19
PAST 41 · sector 27
HEALTH 91 · sector 76
DIVIDEND 63 · sector 100

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more REIT - Industrial stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 27, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Prologis, Inc PLD $143.42 $61.28 -57%
Public Storage, a member of the S&P 500, PSA $322.48 $172.80 -46%
Extra Space Storage Inc EXR $147.71 $78.38 -47%
EastGroup Properties, Inc EGP $213.10 $81.41 -62%
Lineage, Inc LINE $41.42 $47.91 +16%
CapitaLand Ascendas REIT (CLAR) A17U 2.51 SGD 2.00 SGD -20%
CubeSmart CUBE $42.09 $25.06 -40%
First Industrial Realty Trust, Inc FR $66.99 $21.48 -68%
Rexford Industrial Realty, Inc REXR $39.00 $21.35 -45%
STAG Industrial, Inc STAG $41.11 $24.31 -41%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Terreno Realty Corporation (TRNO) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 27, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $36.95 versus a price of $68.76, about −46% (overvalued).
What is the fair value of TRNO?
Our model-based fair value for Terreno Realty Corporation is $36.95 (as of Jul 27, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is $68.76.
What is the quality score of TRNO?
Terreno Realty Corporation has a Quality Score of 48/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Terreno Realty Corporation (TRNO)?
Terreno Realty Corporation reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $490M (latest available figure, as of Jul 27, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of TRNO?
The net profit margin of Terreno Realty Corporation is about 86.5%, meaning it keeps roughly 86.5% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does Terreno Realty Corporation pay a dividend?
Terreno Realty Corporation currently shows a dividend yield of about 3.16% relative to its recent price (as of Jul 27, 2026).

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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