Terreno Realty Corporation (TRNO) Fair Value & Analysis
Real Estate · US · Market cap $6.9B
Fair value as of: Jul 27, 2026
From 16 valuation models · updated 14 days ago
Share price +1.8% over the past month.
Below-average quality, and screening another 46% overvalued on our models.
What matters now
- The price sits above even our optimistic bull case ($49.69). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
- Solid but not exceptional quality (48/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
- A fairly wide model range ($21.97 to $49.69) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
- As a real-estate business, asset- and dividend-based methods carry more weight here than a standard DCF.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 27, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range $45.82 – $75.18 · fair‑value band $21.97 – $49.69 · the $68.76 price screens above the $36.95 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 27, 2026.
Analysis
Terreno Realty Corporation (TRNO) currently trades at $68.76, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $36.95, implying the stock looks roughly 46.3% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 48/100 (below-average quality), in the Real Estate sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).
Over the trailing twelve months, Terreno Realty Corporation generated revenue of $490M at a net margin of 86.5%. Revenue grew 12.7% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 10.4%. Net debt stands at $918M. Fundamentals as of Jul 27, 2026
Our scenario range runs from $21.97 (bear case) to $49.69 (bull case); at $68.76, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades near its 52-week high and 33% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Real Estate peers we cover trades at -45% fair-value upside, at -46%, TRNO screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 16 models by family
Widest divergence: DCF Models ($41.49) versus Asset-Based ($26.28). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).
Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 27, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 49 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 68
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Terreno Realty Corporation acquires, owns and operates industrial real estate in six major coastal U.S. markets. It includes New York City, Northern New Jersey, Los Angeles, Miami, San Francisco Bay Area, Seattle, and Washington, D.C.
Full company description
Terreno Realty Corporation acquires, owns and operates industrial real estate in six major coastal U.S. markets. It includes New York City, Northern New Jersey, Los Angeles, Miami, San Francisco Bay Area, Seattle, and Washington, D.C. All square feet, acres, occupancy and number of properties disclosed in these condensed notes to the consolidated financial statements are unaudited. As of September 30, 2025, the Company owned 307 buildings (including one property consisting of two buildings held for sale) aggregating approximately 20.2 million square feet, 44 improved land parcels consisting of approximately 146.4 acres, six properties under development or redevelopment and approximately 10.7 acres of land for future development. The Company is an internally managed Maryland corporation and elected to be taxed as a real estate investment trust (REIT) under Sections 856 through 860 of the Internal Revenue Code of 1986, as amended, commencing with its taxable year ended December 31, 2010. Terreno Realty Corporation was incorporated on 6th November 2009 and is based in Bellevue, United States.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Terreno Realty Corporation reported revenue of $476M in FY2025 versus $222M in FY2021, a compound +21.0%/yr. Reported net income was $403M in FY2025, compounding +46.6%/yr from FY2021.
TRNO screens 46% overvalued. Compare with Prologis, Inc →
Recent news
External third-party headlines (Yahoo Finance, Reuters and others), not an editorial selection.
- Terreno Realty Corporation Increases Quarterly Dividend by 9.6% and Files Second Quarter 2026 Financial Statements
- Terreno Realty Corporation Announces Leases in Woodinville, WA
- Terreno Realty Corporation Announces Lease in Queens, NY
- What Makes Terreno Realty (TRNO) a Strong Momentum Stock: Buy Now?
Peer Group
REIT - Industrial · 63 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs REIT - Industrial median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more REIT - Industrial stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 27, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Prologis, Inc PLD | $143.42 | $61.28 | -57% |
| Public Storage, a member of the S&P 500, PSA | $322.48 | $172.80 | -46% |
| Extra Space Storage Inc EXR | $147.71 | $78.38 | -47% |
| EastGroup Properties, Inc EGP | $213.10 | $81.41 | -62% |
| Lineage, Inc LINE | $41.42 | $47.91 | +16% |
| CapitaLand Ascendas REIT (CLAR) A17U | 2.51 SGD | 2.00 SGD | -20% |
| CubeSmart CUBE | $42.09 | $25.06 | -40% |
| First Industrial Realty Trust, Inc FR | $66.99 | $21.48 | -68% |
| Rexford Industrial Realty, Inc REXR | $39.00 | $21.35 | -45% |
| STAG Industrial, Inc STAG | $41.11 | $24.31 | -41% |
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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