Americold Realty Trust, Inc (COLD) Fair Value & Analysis
Real Estate · US · Market cap $4.0B
Americold Realty Trust, Inc
COLD · US
Fair value as of: Jul 26, 2026
From 4 valuation models · updated 15 days ago
Share price −4.8% over the past month.
Below-average quality, and screening another 17% overvalued on our models.
What matters now
- Weak quality (30/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts.
- The model range is unusually wide ($5.54 to $19.42). The outcome hinges heavily on assumptions, so read the point estimate with caution.
- As a real-estate business, asset- and dividend-based methods carry more weight here than a standard DCF.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 26, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range $9.75 – $33.34 · fair‑value band $5.54 – $19.42 · the $14.96 price screens above the $12.48 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 26, 2026.
Analysis
Americold Realty Trust, Inc (COLD) currently trades at $14.96, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $12.48, implying the stock looks roughly 16.6% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 30/100 (below-average quality), in the Real Estate sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: medium).
Over the trailing twelve months, Americold Realty Trust, Inc generated revenue of $2.6B at a net margin of -4.3%. Revenue grew 0.3% year over year. It earns a return on equity of -3.7%. Net debt stands at $4.4B. Fundamentals as of Jul 26, 2026
Our scenario range runs from $5.54 (bear case) to $19.42 (bull case); at $14.96, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 8% below its 52-week high and 54% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Real Estate peers we cover trades at -45% fair-value upside, at -17%, COLD screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 4 models by family
Widest divergence: Multiples ($14.96) versus Asset-Based ($6.77). Highest evidence: Gordon GGM (70).
Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 26, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 30 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 56
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Americold Realty Trust, Inc. is a global leader in temperature-controlled logistics and real estate, supporting the safe, efficient movement of food worldwide.
Full company description
Americold Realty Trust, Inc. is a global leader in temperature-controlled logistics and real estate, supporting the safe, efficient movement of food worldwide. With 230 operating facilities across North America, Europe, Asia-Pacific, and South America totaling approximately 1.4 billion refrigerated cubic feet we connect producers, processors, distributors, and retailers. Leveraging deep industry expertise, advanced technology, and sustainable practices, Americold delivers reliable cold storage and transportation solutions that create lasting value for customers and communities. Americold Realty Trust, Inc. was incorporated in 1903 in Maryland and is based in Atlanta, Georgia.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Americold Realty Trust, Inc reported revenue of $2.6B in FY2025 versus $2.7B in FY2021, a compound −1.1%/yr. Reported net income was −$115M in FY2025.
COLD screens 17% overvalued. Compare with Prologis, Inc →
Recent news
External third-party headlines (Yahoo Finance, Reuters and others), not an editorial selection.
- Americold Realty Trust (COLD) Is Up 6.2% After Impairment-Driven Loss But Higher AFFO Outlook
- Americold Realty Trust Inc (COLD) (Q2 2026) Earnings Call Highlights: AFFO Beats, Guidance ...
- Americold Realty Trust, Inc. Q2 2026 Earnings Call Summary
- Americold raises 2026 AFFO guidance to $1.26-$1.32 per share while targeting leverage of 6x or less
Peer Group
REIT - Industrial · 63 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs REIT - Industrial median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
Insider activity: 46/100
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more REIT - Industrial stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 26, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Prologis, Inc PLD | $143.42 | $61.28 | -57% |
| Public Storage, a member of the S&P 500, PSA | $322.48 | $172.80 | -46% |
| Extra Space Storage Inc EXR | $147.71 | $78.38 | -47% |
| EastGroup Properties, Inc EGP | $213.10 | $81.41 | -62% |
| Lineage, Inc LINE | $41.42 | $47.91 | +16% |
| CapitaLand Ascendas REIT (CLAR) A17U | 2.51 SGD | 2.00 SGD | -20% |
| CubeSmart CUBE | $42.09 | $25.06 | -40% |
| First Industrial Realty Trust, Inc FR | $66.99 | $21.48 | -68% |
| Rexford Industrial Realty, Inc REXR | $39.00 | $21.35 | -45% |
| STAG Industrial, Inc STAG | $41.11 | $24.31 | -41% |
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Frequently asked questions
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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