Americold Realty Trust (COLD) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Sep 23, 2026: fair value of Americold Realty Trust $12.48, price $14.37, upside -13.2%, quality 31 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
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Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 23, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range $9.75 – $33.34 · fair‑value band $5.54 – $19.42 · the $14.37 price screens above the $12.48 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 23, 2026.
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Americold Realty Trust, Inc. is a global leader in temperature-controlled logistics and real estate, supporting the safe, efficient movement of food worldwide.
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Americold Realty Trust, Inc. is a global leader in temperature-controlled logistics and real estate, supporting the safe, efficient movement of food worldwide. With 230 operating facilities across North America, Europe, Asia-Pacific, and South America totaling approximately 1.4 billion refrigerated cubic feet we connect producers, processors, distributors, and retailers. Leveraging deep industry expertise, advanced technology, and sustainable practices, Americold delivers reliable cold storage and transportation solutions that create lasting value for customers and communities. Americold Realty Trust, Inc. was incorporated in 1903 in Maryland and is based in Atlanta, Georgia.
Stock analysis
Americold Realty Trust (COLD) currently trades at $14.37, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $12.48, implying the stock looks roughly 15.1% overvalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the Multiples group reads highest at a median of $14.96 per share, and 2 of the 4 models we run sit above the $14.37 price.
Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at $6.77, and 2 of the 4 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is medium.
Scenario range: $5.54 (bear) to $19.42 (bull), the price of $14.37 sits inside it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 31/100 (below-average quality), in the Real Estate sector.
Weak Growth: Revenue growth is inconsistent: the periods point in different directions, so there is no trend to rely on.
Americold Realty Trust reported revenue of $2.6B in FY2025 versus $2.7B in FY2021, a compound −1.1%/yr. Reported net income was −$115M in FY2025.
Key figures
Market cap $4.1B · P/S ratio 1.55 · EPS (TTM) $−0.3900 · Dividend yield 6.4% · Net margin −4.4% · Return on equity −3.7% · Return on assets (EBIT) 0.7% · Operating margin 4.3%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 32 out of 100 (medium confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 12% below its 52-week high and 47% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Real Estate peers we cover trades at −11% fair-value upside, at −13%, COLD screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear $5.54Fair Value $12.48Bull $19.42
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.4/100
Revenue growth is inconsistent: the periods point in different directions, so there is no trend to rely on.
Revenue growth 1 year
−2.4%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−3.7%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+5.5%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +5.8% a year
Revenue growth 18 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+6.4%
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Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
8.5% (2020) → 3.8% (2025)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2025 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
News mood ⓘNews mood, the average tone of recent news (93 articles), rated against how stocks are usually covered. 🚀 Hype = unusually upbeat · 🙂 Positive = above average · 😐 Neutral = typical · 🙁 Negative = below average · 😨 Very negative = unusually downbeat. It reflects the tone of coverage, not our valuation.Hype
Recent news coverage is unusually upbeat, far more positive than stocks are typically covered.
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.REIT - Industrial · 55 stocks
Beats the industry median on 4/12 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score32 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside−13% · Above median
Profitability
Return on assets1% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (TTM)−4% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (TTM)4% · Bottom 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth0% · Below median
Dividend yield (TTM)6.4% · Above median
Balance sheet
Debt / equity1.32× · Highest 25%
Valuation Multiplesvs REIT - Industrial median · lower = cheaper
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Is Americold Realty Trust (COLD) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 23, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $12.48 versus a price of $14.37, about −13% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of COLD?
Our model-based fair value for Americold Realty Trust is $12.48 (as of Sep 23, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: $14.37.
What is the quality score of COLD?
Americold Realty Trust has a Quality Score of 31/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Americold Realty Trust (COLD)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of $12.48 (as of Sep 23, 2026) from 4 valuation models. Cautious scenario $5.54, optimistic scenario $19.42. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Americold Realty Trust stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at $12.48, about −13% upside versus a price of $14.37 (overvalued). Cautious scenario $5.54, optimistic scenario $19.42. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Americold Realty Trust (COLD)?
Americold Realty Trust reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $2.6B (latest available figure, as of Sep 23, 2026).
Does Americold Realty Trust pay a dividend?
Americold Realty Trust currently shows a dividend yield of about 6.40% relative to its recent price (as of Sep 23, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of Americold Realty Trust (COLD)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Americold Realty Trust it is $12.48 per share (as of Sep 23, 2026), against a price of $14.37. It is the blended result of 4 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Americold Realty Trust stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 23, 2026, COLD trades above its calculated fair value: price $14.37, fair value $12.48, a gap of about −13% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of COLD?
No. The price is what the market pays today ($14.37); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify ($12.48). For Americold Realty Trust the two are $1.89 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Americold Realty Trust worth?
The market values Americold Realty Trust at about $4.1B (market capitalisation, as of Sep 23, 2026). Per share that is $14.37; our models calculate a fair value of $12.48 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about COLD?
Our models span a range for Americold Realty Trust: cautious scenario $5.54, base $12.48, optimistic $19.42 per share (as of Sep 23, 2026, price $14.37). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the PEG ratio of COLD?
The PEG ratio of Americold Realty Trust is 5.84 (P/E divided by earnings growth, as of Sep 23, 2026). That is above 1, so the growth is already paid for in the price.
How solid is the balance sheet of Americold Realty Trust (COLD)?
Balance-sheet figures for Americold Realty Trust (as of Sep 23, 2026): return on equity −3.7%, debt of 1.32 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 31/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is COLD from its 52-week high?
Americold Realty Trust trades at $14.37, about 12% below its 52-week high of $16.25 and 47% above the low of $9.75 (as of Sep 23, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of $12.48 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Americold Realty Trust?
From the same area (Real Estate) we also value Public Storage, a member of the S&P 500,, Prologis, Inc, Extra Space Storage Inc, EastGroup Properties, Inc, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Americold Realty Trust stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 23, 2026: price $14.37, calculated fair value $12.48 (−13%), Quality Score 31/100, from 4 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of COLD calculated?
We run Americold Realty Trust through 4 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of $12.48, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.1 % above its aggregate fair value. Americold Realty Trust itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Americold Realty Trust (COLD)?
The closing price on Sep 23, 2026 was $14.37. Our model-based fair value is $12.48, about −13% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Americold Realty Trust right now?
The model range is unusually wide ($5.54 to $19.42). The outcome hinges heavily on assumptions, so read the point estimate with caution. As a real-estate business, asset- and dividend-based methods carry more weight here than a standard DCF.
Key figures of Americold Realty Trust
How large is the market capitalisation of Americold Realty Trust (COLD)?
The market capitalisation of Americold Realty Trust is $4.1B. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Americold Realty Trust (COLD)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Americold Realty Trust is 1.55 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Americold Realty Trust (COLD)?
Earnings per share at Americold Realty Trust are $−0.3900. Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of Americold Realty Trust (COLD)?
The dividend yield of Americold Realty Trust is 6.4%. Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Americold Realty Trust (COLD)?
The net margin of Americold Realty Trust is −4.4% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Americold Realty Trust (COLD)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Americold Realty Trust is −3.7% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Americold Realty Trust (COLD)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Americold Realty Trust is 0.7% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Americold Realty Trust (COLD)?
The operating margin of Americold Realty Trust is 4.3% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Americold Realty Trust (COLD)?
Revenue at Americold Realty Trust is growing +0.3% versus a year earlier (3y avg −3.7%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Americold Realty Trust (COLD)?
Earnings per share at Americold Realty Trust are growing −66.7% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much free cash flow does Americold Realty Trust (COLD) generate?
The free cash flow of Americold Realty Trust is −$217M (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net debt does Americold Realty Trust (COLD) carry?
The net debt of Americold Realty Trust is $4.4B (fiscal year 2025). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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Sep 23, 2026