Fortune Brands Innovations Inc. (FBIN) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Nov 6, 2026: fair value (intrinsic value) of Fortune Brands Innovations Inc. stock $30.18, price $48.08, that is 37.2% below the price, quality 59 out of 100. Rating: strongly overvalued. Calculated from audited financials with 22 of our 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceableSee the method →
Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year. As of Nov 6, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range $32.96 – $86.52 · fair‑value band $16.78 – $47.32 · the $48.08 price screens above the $30.18 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). As of Nov 6, 2026.
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Fortune Brands Innovations, Inc. provides home, security, and digital products for residential home repair, remodeling, new construction, and security applications in the United States and internationally. It operates through three segments: Water, Outdoors, and Security.
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The Water segment manufactures, assembles, and sells faucets, accessories, hardware, kitchen sinks, and waste disposals, under the Moen, ROHL, Riobel, Victoria+Albert, Perrin & Rowe, Aqualisa, Shaws, Emtek, Schaub, and SpringWell brands.
Its Outdoors segment manufactures and sells fiberglass and steel entry door systems under the Therma-Tru brand; storm, screen, and security doors under the Larson brand; composite decking, railing and cladding under the Fiberon brand; urethane millwork under the Fypon brand; and wide-opening exterior door systems and outdoor enclosures under the Solar Innovations brand.
The Security segment offers locks, safety and security devices, connected and mechanical lock out tag out solutions, and electronic security under the Master Lock, American Lock, and Yale and August brands; and fire-resistant safes, security containers, and commercial cabinets under the SentrySafe brand.
The company sells its products through various sales channels, including kitchen and bath dealers; wholesalers oriented toward builders or professional remodelers; industrial and locksmith distributors; do-it-yourself remodeling-oriented home centers; showrooms; e-commerce; and other retail outlets.
Fortune Brands Innovations, Inc. was incorporated in 1988 and is headquartered in Deerfield, Illinois.
Stock analysis
Fortune Brands Innovations Inc. (FBIN) currently trades at $48.08, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $30.18, 37% below the price, so the stock looks overvalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the Multiples group reads highest at a median of $52.57 per share, and 5 of the 22 models we run sit above the $48.08 price.
Bear case: the Dividend Discount group reads lowest at $9.57, and 17 of the 22 models stay below the price. Data coverage for this calculation is medium.
Scenario range: $16.78 (bear) to $47.32 (bull), the price of $48.08 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 59/100 (solid quality), in the Industrials sector.
Mixed Growth: Spin-off in 2022: revenue and profit before it include the divested business. Growth is measured afresh from 2022.
Fortune Brands Innovations Inc. reported revenue of $4.5B in FY2025 versus $4.8B in FY2021, a compound −1.8%/yr. Reported net income was $299M in FY2025, compounding −21.1%/yr from FY2021.
Key figures
Market cap $5.7B Mid · P/E ratio 44.9 · P/S ratio 1.32 · EPS (TTM) $1.07 · Dividend yield 0.5% · Net margin 2.9% · Return on equity 5.5% · Return on assets (EBIT) 10.6% (5-year average).
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 43 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The last reported earnings sit well below what analysts expect (earnings in transition, for example after write-downs or an earnings dip); whether the stock is cheap or expensive hinges on the expected recovery actually arriving. Read the fair value with that caveat.
The share trades about 24% below its 52-week high and 46% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at −31% fair-value upside, at −37%, FBIN screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear$16.78Fair Value $30.18Bull$47.32
Price $48.08 · Downside -37.2%
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above starts from their evidence-weighted blend, not from a single model. In cyclical trough or peak years, after dilution or a stock split it is adjusted afterwards, so it can sit above or below the models. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 10 months old). Earnings retained since then ($0.7009 per share) are deliberately not added.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds.Coverage ⓘCoverage = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
In the last 6 months, 2 officers or directors bought shares worth $30.7M, most recently on Aug 7, 2026. Over the same period, one person sold shares worth $30,678. Buying cluster
SaleMatthew Edward NovakEVP, Chief Supply Chain600 shares at $51.13$30,678Aug 7, 2026
BuyJesse G SinghChief Executive Officer, Director39,285 shares at $51.30$2.0MAug 7, 2026
BuyEdward P GardenDirector3× since May 19, 2026: 786,367 shares, avg. $36.44$28.7MJun 10, 2026
Plus 6 other filings such as grants, option exercises or tax withholding. They are not market purchases or sales.
Sales are often planned (taxes, diversification, 10b5-1 plans). Purchases with their own money are seen as the stronger sign. For information only: not part of the quality score or Fair Value.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.55/100
Spin-off in 2022: revenue and profit before it include the divested business. Growth is measured afresh from 2022.
Revenue growth 1 year
−3.2%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−1.9%
’14
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’16
’17
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’25
What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate.
−5.6%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year−6.1%
Dividend (yield on the price)0.5%
Per share before 2022divided by the spin-off factor 1.17
Pace: 5 vs 10 years ⓘTwo data points, not a trend model: earnings growth per share over the last 5 fiscal years against the last 10. Labelled "steady" when both rates are within 3 percentage points of each other, otherwise picking up or flattening. Shown only when ten years of history exist.−6.1% vs 4.1%, slowing
Profit margin 2020 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.16% → 14%
Pace: the 5-year rate starts in 2020 (pandemic)
Growth Forecast
A lot of optimism in the price
The price assumes more growth than the company has delivered so far and more than analysts expect.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
+14.4%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect ⓘAnalysts publish sales forecasts for the next two fiscal years. For the years after that, growth slows evenly to 2 % a year by year ten (2 % is the long-run rate our models use). Projected years are marked as such.
+0.0%
Yearly sales growth analysts expect, extended to five years.
After inflation (USA: IMF forecast 2.4% a year to 2030, 3.1% from 2016 to 2025) that is about +11.8% a year for the price and −2.3% for the forecasts.
News mood ⓘNews mood, the average tone of recent news (99 articles), rated against how stocks are usually covered. 🚀 Hype = unusually upbeat · 🙂 Positive = above average · 😐 Neutral = typical · 🙁 Negative = below average · 😨 Very negative = unusually downbeat. It reflects the tone of coverage, not our valuation.Positive
Recent news coverage is more positive than average.
AI conclusion: Moderate potential for durable advantage across most categories is supported by a new CEO's experience in margin expansion and operational discipline, while elevated leverage relative to equity remains the main weakness with low overall confidence.
Main risk: Competitors or new entrants could use artificial intelligence and advanced technologies more effectively to accelerate design, optimize operations and lower costs, pressuring FBIN's margins and position in water, security and outdoor products.
Bull case: By embedding AI and digital capabilities into its own operations and connected products while decentralizing execution, FBIN could outpace rivals in innovation speed and cost efficiency, strengthening its water and security positions.
Bear case: If rivals deploy AI and technology faster while tariffs persist or intensify, FBIN could face sustained margin pressure, share losses in key categories and slower adaptation, limiting growth in higher-margin segments.
Fortune Brands has installed a CEO with deep experience driving margin expansion and operational discipline in building products. It is simultaneously reviewing its Fiberon decking business while our models see the overall stock as overvalued. Will renewed focus on execution and portfolio choices strengthen the higher-margin water and security segments more than any changes in outdoors hold back results?
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Building Products & Equipment · 255 stocks
Beats the industry median on 3/14 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score59 · Above median
Fair Value upside−37.2% · Below median
Profitability
Return on equity (12 months)5.5% · Below median
Return on assets4.6% · Above median
Net margin (12 months)2.9% · Below median
Operating margin (12 months)13.5% · Top 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth (quarter YoY)−3.1% · Below median
Dividend yield (12 months)0.5% · Bottom 25%
Balance sheet
Debt / equity1.07× · Highest 25%
Valuation Multiplesvs Building Products & Equipment median · lower = cheaper
P/E (12 months)44.9× · Priciest 25%
P/B2.41× · book value is mostly goodwill ⓘGoodwill and other intangible assets are larger than the equity. The book value mainly reflects prices paid for past acquisitions, so we do not rank this P/B against the peer group.
P/S (12 months)1.32× · Pricier than median
Price / free cash flow (fiscal year)15.7× · Pricier than median
EV/EBITDA9.7× · Pricier than median
PEG1.69× · Pricier than median
Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)
This stockSector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)0· sector 15
FUTURE (revenue growth)0· sector 24
PAST (return on equity)22· sector 24
HEALTH (low debt)47· sector 95
DIVIDEND (yield)10· sector 44
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Fortune Brands Innovations Inc. Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/FBIN
Frequently asked questions
Is Fortune Brands Innovations Inc. (FBIN) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Nov 6, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $30.18 versus a price of $48.08, about 37% lower (overvalued).
What is the fair value of FBIN?
Our model-based fair value for Fortune Brands Innovations Inc. is $30.18 (as of Nov 6, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: $48.08.
What is the quality score of FBIN?
Fortune Brands Innovations Inc. has a Quality Score of 59/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Fortune Brands Innovations Inc. (FBIN)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of $30.18 (as of Nov 6, 2026) from 22 valuation models. Cautious scenario $16.78, optimistic scenario $47.32. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Fortune Brands Innovations Inc. stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at $30.18, about 37% lower versus a price of $48.08 (overvalued). Cautious scenario $16.78, optimistic scenario $47.32. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Fortune Brands Innovations Inc. (FBIN)?
Fortune Brands Innovations Inc. reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $4.4B (latest available figure, as of Nov 6, 2026).
Does Fortune Brands Innovations Inc. pay a dividend?
Fortune Brands Innovations Inc. currently shows a dividend yield of 0.52% relative to its recent price (as of Nov 6, 2026).
How much is the dividend of Fortune Brands Innovations Inc. (FBIN) and when is the ex-dividend date?
Fortune Brands Innovations Inc. pays a dividend of $0.25 per share a year, a dividend yield of 0.5%. The next ex-dividend date is Nov 20, 2026, with payment on Dec 9, 2026. A dividend has been paid every year since at least 2013. The payout ratio is 23.4% of earnings. Free cash flow covers the dividend 12.29 times. Our assessment: Well covered. A low payout and the dividend is fully funded by free cash flow, a comfortable, sustainable dividend.
What growth is priced into Fortune Brands Innovations Inc. (FBIN)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, Fortune Brands Innovations Inc. would have to grow free cash flow by +14.4 % per year for five years (discount rate 10.5 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew +4.3 % per year. As of Nov 6, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of FBIN use?
Our models discount Fortune Brands Innovations Inc. at 10.5 %: a base by market capitalisation (mid), damped by beta 1.33, country premium for USA. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For Fortune Brands Innovations Inc. that is +14.4 % per year for five years, then slowing evenly to 2 % by year ten, using the same discount rate (10.5 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has Fortune Brands Innovations Inc. (FBIN) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at Fortune Brands Innovations Inc. grew +4.3 % a year. The price currently implies free-cash-flow growth of +14.4 % per year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of Fortune Brands Innovations Inc. (FBIN) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +7.8 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into Fortune Brands Innovations Inc. (+14.4 % per year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of Fortune Brands Innovations Inc. (FBIN)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 6.38 %: that much free cash flow Fortune Brands Innovations Inc. produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (10.5 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of Fortune Brands Innovations Inc. (FBIN)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Fortune Brands Innovations Inc. it is $30.18 per share (as of Nov 6, 2026), against a price of $48.08. It is the blended result of 22 valuation models in 7 families (DCF Models, Earnings-Based, Dividend Discount, Multiples, Growth DCF, Economic Profit, Growth Earnings).
Is Fortune Brands Innovations Inc. stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Nov 6, 2026, FBIN trades above its calculated fair value: price $48.08, fair value $30.18, a gap of about −37% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of FBIN?
No. The price is what the market pays today ($48.08); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify ($30.18). For Fortune Brands Innovations Inc. the two are $17.90 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Fortune Brands Innovations Inc. worth?
The market values Fortune Brands Innovations Inc. at about $5.7B (market capitalisation, as of Nov 6, 2026). Per share that is $48.08; our models calculate a fair value of $30.18 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about FBIN?
Our models span a range for Fortune Brands Innovations Inc.: cautious scenario $16.78, base $30.18, optimistic $47.32 per share (as of Nov 6, 2026, price $48.08). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of FBIN?
Fortune Brands Innovations Inc. trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 44.9 (as of Nov 6, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of $30.18 is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: PEG 1.7, P/B 2.4, P/S 1.3, EV/EBITDA 9.7.
What is the PEG ratio of FBIN?
The PEG ratio of Fortune Brands Innovations Inc. is 1.69 (P/E divided by earnings growth, as of Nov 6, 2026). That is above 1, so the growth is already paid for in the price.
How solid is the balance sheet of Fortune Brands Innovations Inc. (FBIN)?
Balance-sheet figures for Fortune Brands Innovations Inc. (as of Nov 6, 2026): return on equity 5.5%, debt of 1.07 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 59/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is FBIN from its 52-week high?
Fortune Brands Innovations Inc. trades at $48.08, about 24% below its 52-week high of $63.30 and 46% above the low of $32.96 (as of Nov 6, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of $30.18 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Fortune Brands Innovations Inc.?
From the same area (Industrials) we also value Johnson Controls International plc, Trane Technologies plc, Carrier Global Corporation, Compagnie de Saint-Gobain S.A, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Fortune Brands Innovations Inc. stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Nov 6, 2026: price $48.08, calculated fair value $30.18 (−37%), Quality Score 59/100, from 22 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of FBIN calculated?
We run Fortune Brands Innovations Inc. through 22 models from 7 families: DCF Models, Earnings-Based, Dividend Discount, Multiples, Growth DCF, Economic Profit, Growth Earnings. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the fair value of $30.18 builds on their evidence-weighted average, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 13.0% above its aggregate fair value. Fortune Brands Innovations Inc. itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Fortune Brands Innovations Inc. (FBIN)?
The closing price on Nov 6, 2026 was $48.08. Our model-based fair value is $30.18, about 37% lower (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Fortune Brands Innovations Inc. right now?
The model range is unusually wide ($16.78 to $47.32). The outcome hinges heavily on assumptions, so read the point estimate with caution. Solid but not exceptional quality (59/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
Where does the earnings growth of Fortune Brands Innovations Inc. (FBIN) come from?
Earnings per share at Fortune Brands Innovations Inc. grew +6.2 % a year from 2014 to 2025. Broken into its drivers: revenue per share +3.1 %, EBIT margin +2.9 %, tax rate +1.6 %, residual (interest, one-offs) −1.4 %. The four rates multiply to the earnings growth rate, they do not add up. Start and end are three-year averages so a single exceptional year does not distort the result.
Key figures of Fortune Brands Innovations Inc.
How large is the market capitalisation of Fortune Brands Innovations Inc. (FBIN)?
The market capitalisation of Fortune Brands Innovations Inc. is $5.7B. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Fortune Brands Innovations Inc. (FBIN)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Fortune Brands Innovations Inc. is 1.32 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Fortune Brands Innovations Inc. (FBIN)?
Earnings per share at Fortune Brands Innovations Inc. are $1.07 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 44.9). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of Fortune Brands Innovations Inc. (FBIN)?
The dividend yield of Fortune Brands Innovations Inc. is 0.5% (payout 23.4%). Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Fortune Brands Innovations Inc. (FBIN)?
The net margin of Fortune Brands Innovations Inc. is 2.9% (last twelve months). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Fortune Brands Innovations Inc. (FBIN)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Fortune Brands Innovations Inc. is 5.5% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Fortune Brands Innovations Inc. (FBIN)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Fortune Brands Innovations Inc. is 10.6% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Fortune Brands Innovations Inc. (FBIN)?
The operating margin of Fortune Brands Innovations Inc. is 13.5% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Fortune Brands Innovations Inc. (FBIN)?
Revenue at Fortune Brands Innovations Inc. is growing −3.1% versus a year earlier (3y avg −1.9%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Fortune Brands Innovations Inc. (FBIN)?
Earnings per share at Fortune Brands Innovations Inc. are growing −29.0% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net debt does Fortune Brands Innovations Inc. (FBIN) carry?
The net debt of Fortune Brands Innovations Inc. is $2.3B (fiscal year 2025, ≈ 6.2 yrs of FCF). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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Nov 6, 2026