Globalfoundries Inc (GFS) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Nov 5, 2026: fair value (intrinsic value) of Globalfoundries Inc stock $28.14, price $36.36, that is 22.6% below the price, quality 66 out of 100. Rating: overvalued. Calculated from audited financials with 22 of our 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
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Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year. As of Nov 3, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range $30.25 – $89.61 · fair‑value band $20.71 – $35.25 · the $36.36 price screens above the $28.14 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). As of Nov 3, 2026.
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GLOBALFOUNDRIES Inc., a semiconductor foundry, provides range of mainstream wafer fabrication services and technologies in the United States, Europe, the Middle East, Africa, and internationally.
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It offers semiconductor devices, including microprocessors, mobile application processors, baseband processors, network processors, radio frequency modems, microcontrollers, and power management units. The company also provides quantum technology solutions.
GLOBALFOUNDRIES Inc. has a strategic partnership with the U.S. Department of Energy's Genesis Mission to accelerate scientific discovery through artificial intelligence and advanced computing. The company was incorporated in 2008 and is headquartered in Malta, New York.
Stock analysis
Globalfoundries Inc (GFS) currently trades at $36.36, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $28.14, 23% below the price, so the stock looks overvalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the Multiples group reads highest at a median of $34.62 per share, and 5 of the 22 models we run sit above the $36.36 price.
Bear case: the Earnings-Based group reads lowest at $13.04, and 17 of the 22 models stay below the price. Data coverage for this calculation is high.
Scenario range: $20.71 (bear) to $35.25 (bull), the price of $36.36 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 66/100 (solid quality), in the Technology sector.
Weak Growth: Revenue growth is inconsistent: the periods point in different directions, so there is no trend to rely on.
Globalfoundries Inc reported revenue of $6.8B in FY2025 versus $6.6B in FY2021, a compound +0.8%/yr. Reported net income was $885M in FY2025.
Key figures
Market cap $26.2B Large · P/E ratio 28.4 · P/S ratio 3.78 · EPS (TTM) $1.28 · Dividend yield 0.3% · Net margin 10.3% · Return on equity 6.2% · Return on assets (EBIT) 3.2%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 43 out of 100 (medium confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 59% below its 52-week high and 13% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Technology peers we cover trades at 0% fair-value upside, at −23%, GFS screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear$20.71Fair Value $28.14Bull$35.25
Price $36.36 · Downside -22.6%
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above starts from their evidence-weighted blend, not from a single model. In cyclical trough or peak years, after dilution or a stock split it is adjusted afterwards, so it can sit above or below the models. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 10 months old). Earnings retained since then ($0.9852 per share) are deliberately not added.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds.Coverage ⓘCoverage = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
In the last 6 months, 5 officers or directors sold shares worth $3.0M and none bought.
SaleSamak L AzarChief Legal Officer33× since Mar 19, 2026: 12,540 shares, avg. $57.51$721,216Oct 29, 202610b5-1 plan
SalePradheepa RamanChief People Officer2× since Aug 18, 2026: 8,905 shares, avg. $50.57$450,312Sep 28, 202610b5-1 plan
SaleMichael James HoganChief Strategy Officer12× since Mar 18, 2026: 23,307 shares, avg. $66.81$1.6MJul 22, 202610b5-1 plan
SaleGlenda DorchakDirector2× since Apr 20, 2026: 8,000 shares, avg. $58.34$466,720Jul 20, 202610b5-1 plan
SaleSamuel VicariChief Customer Officer8,692 shares at $75.62$657,289May 11, 2026
Plan buyMichael James HoganChief Strategy Officer13 shares at $61.41$768Jul 15, 2026
Plus 22 other filings such as grants, option exercises or tax withholding. They are not market purchases or sales.
Sales are often planned (taxes, diversification, 10b5-1 plans). Purchases with their own money are seen as the stronger sign. For information only: not part of the quality score or Fair Value.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.40/100
Revenue growth is inconsistent: the periods point in different directions, so there is no trend to rely on.
Revenue growth 1 year
+0.6%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−5.7%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+7.0%
Start year 2020 (pandemic)
Revenue growth 7 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+1.3%
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What shareholders gained per year (last 3 years) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 3 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate. Basis: adjusted.
−18.2%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year−18.5%
Dividend (yield on the price)0.3%
Profit margin 2020 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.−34% → 12%
Growth Forecast
Price in line with expectations
The price assumes more growth than the company has delivered so far and about what analysts expect.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
+10.9%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect ⓘAnalysts publish sales forecasts for the next two fiscal years. For the years after that, growth slows evenly to 2 % a year by year ten (2 % is the long-run rate our models use). Projected years are marked as such.
+10.0%
Yearly sales growth analysts expect, extended to five years.
After inflation (USA: IMF forecast 2.4% a year to 2030, 3.1% from 2016 to 2025) that is about +8.3% a year for the price and +7.4% for the forecasts.
AI conclusion: Moderate business quality rests on decent cash flow but suffers from weak pricing power and limited differentiation in the competitive foundry sector.
Main risk: The loss of one or more of its ten largest customers, which account for around 63 percent of wafer shipments, could sharply reduce revenue and factory utilization.
Bull case: By qualifying additional suppliers and winning more design-ins across its geographic footprint, GlobalFoundries could broaden its customer base and secure steadier capacity utilization.
Bear case: If major customers shift orders elsewhere or the key SOI supplier faces prolonged issues, underutilized fabs could pressure margins and slow the ramp of new capacity.
GlobalFoundries is expanding capacity in New York to produce silicon interposers for TSMC's advanced AI packaging under a multi-year agreement. At the same time the Dresden site is pushing forward with a specialized FD-SOI platform aimed at energy-efficient Physical AI chips. Our models currently see the stock as overvalued. Will the new manufacturing lines deliver enough differentiated growth to justify the expansion, or will execution timelines and foundry competition limit the upside?
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Semiconductors · 371 stocks
Beats the industry median on 10/15 measures
Overall it ranks above its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score66 · Above median
Fair Value upside−22.6% · Above median
Profitability
Return on equity (12 months)6.2% · Below median
Return on assets5.2% · Above median
Net margin (12 months)10.3% · Above median
Operating margin (12 months)9.7% · Below median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth (quarter YoY)5.8% · Below median
Dividend yield (12 months)0.3% · Bottom 25%
Balance sheet
Debt / equity0.09× · Above median
Valuation Multiplesvs Semiconductors median · lower = cheaper
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Globalfoundries Inc Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/GFS
Frequently asked questions
Is Globalfoundries Inc (GFS) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Nov 3, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $28.14 versus a price of $36.36, about 23% lower (overvalued).
What is the fair value of GFS?
Our model-based fair value for Globalfoundries Inc is $28.14 (as of Nov 3, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: $36.36.
What is the quality score of GFS?
Globalfoundries Inc has a Quality Score of 66/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Globalfoundries Inc (GFS)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of $28.14 (as of Nov 3, 2026) from 22 valuation models. Cautious scenario $20.71, optimistic scenario $35.25. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Globalfoundries Inc stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at $28.14, about 23% lower versus a price of $36.36 (overvalued). Cautious scenario $20.71, optimistic scenario $35.25. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Globalfoundries Inc (GFS)?
Globalfoundries Inc reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $6.9B (latest available figure, as of Nov 3, 2026).
Does Globalfoundries Inc pay a dividend?
Globalfoundries Inc currently shows a dividend yield of 0.33% relative to its recent price (as of Nov 3, 2026).
What growth is priced into Globalfoundries Inc (GFS)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, Globalfoundries Inc would have to grow free cash flow by +10.9 % per year for five years (discount rate 11.0 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew +7.0 % per year. As of Nov 3, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of GFS use?
Our models discount Globalfoundries Inc at 11.0 %: a base by market capitalisation (large), damped by beta 1.77, country premium for USA. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For Globalfoundries Inc that is +10.9 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (11.0 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has Globalfoundries Inc (GFS) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at Globalfoundries Inc grew +7.0 % a year. The price currently implies +10.9 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of Globalfoundries Inc (GFS) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +11.3 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into Globalfoundries Inc (+10.9 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of Globalfoundries Inc (GFS)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 4.99 %: that much free cash flow Globalfoundries Inc produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (11.0 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of Globalfoundries Inc (GFS)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Globalfoundries Inc it is $28.14 per share (as of Nov 3, 2026), against a price of $36.36. It is the blended result of 22 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Globalfoundries Inc stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Nov 3, 2026, GFS trades above its calculated fair value: price $36.36, fair value $28.14, a gap of about −23% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of GFS?
No. The price is what the market pays today ($36.36); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify ($28.14). For Globalfoundries Inc the two are $8.22 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Globalfoundries Inc worth?
The market values Globalfoundries Inc at about $26.2B (market capitalisation, as of Nov 3, 2026). Per share that is $36.36; our models calculate a fair value of $28.14 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about GFS?
Our models span a range for Globalfoundries Inc: cautious scenario $20.71, base $28.14, optimistic $35.25 per share (as of Nov 3, 2026, price $36.36). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of GFS?
Globalfoundries Inc trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 28.4 (as of Nov 3, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of $28.14 is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: PEG 0.7, P/B 2.2, P/S 3.8, EV/EBITDA 12.9.
What is the PEG ratio of GFS?
The PEG ratio of Globalfoundries Inc is 0.72 (P/E divided by earnings growth, as of Nov 3, 2026). That is below 1, so growth is priced more cheaply than the earnings multiple alone suggests.
How solid is the balance sheet of Globalfoundries Inc (GFS)?
Balance-sheet figures for Globalfoundries Inc (as of Nov 3, 2026): return on equity 6.2%, debt of 0.09 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 66/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is GFS from its 52-week high?
Globalfoundries Inc trades at $36.36, about 59% below its 52-week high of $89.61 and 13% above the low of $32.11 (as of Nov 5, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of $28.14 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Globalfoundries Inc?
From the same area (Technology) we also value NVIDIA Corporation, Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company, Broadcom Inc, Micron Technology, Inc, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Globalfoundries Inc stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Nov 3, 2026: price $36.36, calculated fair value $28.14 (−23%), Quality Score 66/100, from 22 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of GFS calculated?
We run Globalfoundries Inc through 22 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of $28.14, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 15.5% above its aggregate fair value. Globalfoundries Inc itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Globalfoundries Inc (GFS)?
The closing price on Nov 5, 2026 was $36.36. Our model-based fair value is $28.14, about 23% lower (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Globalfoundries Inc right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case ($35.25). The favourable scenario is already priced in. Solid but not exceptional quality (66/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
Key figures of Globalfoundries Inc
How large is the market capitalisation of Globalfoundries Inc (GFS)?
The market capitalisation of Globalfoundries Inc is $26.2B. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Globalfoundries Inc (GFS)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Globalfoundries Inc is 3.78 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Globalfoundries Inc (GFS)?
Earnings per share at Globalfoundries Inc are $1.28 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 28.4). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of Globalfoundries Inc (GFS)?
The dividend yield of Globalfoundries Inc is 0.3% (payout 9.4%). Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Globalfoundries Inc (GFS)?
The net margin of Globalfoundries Inc is 10.3% (last twelve months). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Globalfoundries Inc (GFS)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Globalfoundries Inc is 6.2% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Globalfoundries Inc (GFS)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Globalfoundries Inc is 3.2% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Globalfoundries Inc (GFS)?
The operating margin of Globalfoundries Inc is 9.7% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Globalfoundries Inc (GFS)?
Revenue at Globalfoundries Inc is growing +5.8% versus a year earlier (3y avg −5.7%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Globalfoundries Inc (GFS)?
Earnings per share at Globalfoundries Inc are growing −26.8% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net cash does Globalfoundries Inc (GFS) hold?
Globalfoundries Inc holds more cash than debt, $171M net (fiscal year 2025). The company holds more cash than debt, a safety cushion.
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Broad data
Nov 3, 2026