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Mitsui & Company Ltd (MITSY) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Nov 6, 2026: fair value (intrinsic value) of Mitsui & Company Ltd stock $827, price $600, upside +37.8%, quality 43 out of 100. Rating: undervalued. Calculated from audited financials with 8 of our 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.

8 models, one by oneBear $355.42 to bull $1,033 Growth analysisrevenue history, year by year Quality 43/100 in detail37 factors, each one shown Compared with its peersrank on every measure, side by side

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Industrials US · Based in Japan

Broad data Nov 9, 2026

Mitsui & Company Ltd

MITSY · US

Speculative

The stock costs 27% less than our calculation considers fair.

Fair value $826.57 · Undervalued

Positive coverage

Broad data

Last quarter vs. a year ago: revenue +32%, profit +56%.

Quality 43/100

Expensive Growth (revenue 5y +13.1 %/yr in JPY)

Thin margins · 6.2% net margin (TTM)

Moderate debt

2.4% dividend yield · Watch coverage

Mixed vs. peers (6/14)

Negative free cash flow

Narrow moat 41/100

Risks from the AI analysis

🚩Decarbonization policies could curb LNG demand🚩High debt could raise refinancing costs

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What runs behind every stock

26 valuation models 8 families, DCF to NCAV 37 quality factors margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt 6 AI factors moat, what no ratio measures 2,000+ data points verified, per stock, median

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year. As of Nov 9, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range $167.04 – $814.99 · fair‑value band $355.42 – $1,033 · the $600.03 price screens below the $826.57 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). As of Nov 9, 2026.

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Company profile

Mitsui & Co., Ltd. operates as trading company in Japan and internationally. It operates through Energy; Mobility, Digital & Infrastructure; Chemicals; Iron & Steel Products, Wellness Ecosystem; Innovation & Corporate Development; and All Other segments.

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The company is involved in development, processing and marketing of underground resources; recycling, space-related, and tank terminal business; manufacture and sale of iron and steel products; steel product processing and parts manufacturing; provision of maintenance services, as well as hydrogen, ammonia, biofuels, SAF, carbon solutions; development of liquefied natural gas (LNG) projects; and trading and marketing of LNG, oil, petroleum products, coal, uranium, and other energy resources.

It also provides digital and power solutions; logistics, water, and social infrastructure services; gas and offshore services; intermediary services; gas and basic chemicals, and performance monomers; and material, electronics, natural capital, animal, food science, agriscience, and agri solutions.

In addition, the company engages in manufacturing, wholesale, retail, finance, leasing, and rental of construction and mining machinery, automobiles, parts, and related products; sales of machine tools and secondhand ships; trade, ownership, and operation of commercial ships; and sale, purchase, leasing and financing of airplanes, helicopters and aircraft engines, and other aviation-related business.

Further, it trades grains, oilseeds, feed ingredients, oils and fats, raw sugar, ethanol, and other commodities; develops coffee, cocoa beans, tea, dairy products, refined sugar, and processed oils and fats; plana and produces apparel and accessories; sells fiber and textile materials; and retails apparel, accessories, and food; and engages in wellness, IT and communication, and corporate development businesses.

Mitsui & Co., Ltd. was incorporated in 1947 and is headquartered in Chiyoda, Japan.

Stock analysis

Mitsui & Company Ltd (MITSY) currently trades at $600.03, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $826.57, implying the stock looks roughly 27% undervalued today.

Valuation

Bull case: the Multiples group reads highest at a median of $1,238 per share, and 3 of the 8 models we run sit above the $600.03 price.

Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at $245.58, and 5 of the 8 models stay below the price. Data coverage for this calculation is high.

Scenario range: $355.42 (bear) to $1,033 (bull), the price of $600.03 sits inside it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 43/100 (below-average quality), in the Industrials sector.

Expensive Growth: The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.

Mitsui & Company Ltd reported revenue of ¥14.8T in FY2026 versus ¥11.8T in FY2022, a compound +6.0%/yr. Reported net income was ¥884B in FY2026, compounding −0.8%/yr from FY2022.

Key figures

Market cap $86.0B Large · P/E ratio 14.1 · P/S ratio 0.84 · EPS (TTM) $42.47 · Dividend yield 2.4% · Net margin 6.0% · Return on equity 11.4% · Return on assets (EBIT) 3.2% (5-year average).

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 41 out of 100 (medium confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 26% below its 52-week high and 20% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at 8% fair-value upside, at 38%, MITSY screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Bear $355.42 Fair Value $826.57 Bull $1,033

Price $600.03 · Upside +37.8%

Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above starts from their evidence-weighted blend, not from a single model. In cyclical trough or peak years, after dilution or a stock split it is adjusted afterwards, so it can sit above or below the models. Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds. Coverage ⓘCoverage = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.

Best data coverage

Residual Income $355.83 $404.58 $543.71 76

DDM Multi-Stage $142.95 $260.43 $338.53 66

Gordon GGM $142.95 $327.22 $586.78 65

All 8 models by family

Earnings-Based

Graham-Dodd $267.96 $1,282 $1,764 64

Lynch FV $341.49 $487.85 $634.20 61

Dividend Discount

Gordon GGM $142.95 $327.22 $586.78 65

DDM Multi-Stage $142.95 $260.43 $338.53 66

Multiples

P/E Multiple $620.65 $827.53 $1,034 63

P/B Multiple $1,237 $1,649 $2,062 55

Asset-Based

NCAV (Graham) $183.27 $245.58 $366.54 54

Economic Profit

Residual Income $355.83 $404.58 $543.71 76

Open the full fair value analysis →

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 43/100

It rates the business: profits, how they develop, real cash, balance sheet, investing and share count.

Profitability 35

How much profit the company makes from its sales and capital

Quality Growth 22

Are margins and returns getting better?

Cashflow 22

Do the profits arrive as real cash?

Financial strength 33

Debt, balance sheet and risk of trouble

Investment 52

Does it invest with discipline instead of growing at any price?

Low Volatility 82

How calm the share price moves, does not count

Price momentum 39

Price momentum of the last 3 to 12 months, does not count

Near the 52-week high 42

Distance to the 52-week high, does not count

New shares 100

Buys back shares or issues new ones?

Open the full quality analysis →

Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 56/100

The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.

Revenue growth 1 year

+1.2%

Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.

+1.2%

Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.

+13.1%

Start year 2021 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +12.0% a year

Revenue growth 36 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.

+9.7%

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What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years), in JPY ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate. Measured in JPY: this currency has depreciated against the euro and dollar over the long run, so part of the nominal rate is currency erosion that never reaches a EUR/USD investor.

+24.6%

Earnings growth per share plus dividend.

Earnings per share, growth per year+22.2%

Dividend (yield on the price)2.4%

Pace: 5 vs 10 years ⓘTwo data points, not a trend model: earnings growth per share over the last 5 fiscal years against the last 10. Labelled "steady" when both rates are within 3 percentage points of each other, otherwise picking up or flattening. Shown only when ten years of history exist.22.2% vs 13.7%, picking up

Profit margin 2021 to 2026 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.3% → 3%

Pace: the 5-year rate starts in 2021 (pandemic)

Watch MITSY, get fair value alerts →

Recent news

News mood ⓘNews mood, the average tone of recent news (97 articles), rated against how stocks are usually covered. 🚀 Hype = unusually upbeat · 🙂 Positive = above average · 😐 Neutral = typical · 🙁 Negative = below average · 😨 Very negative = unusually downbeat. It reflects the tone of coverage, not our valuation. Positive

Recent news coverage is more positive than average.

Mitsui shares hit three-week low despite 36% profit jump as cash flow weakens Yahoo Finance · Nov 4, 2026
MITSY or ITT: Which Is the Better Value Stock Right Now? Yahoo Finance · Oct 28, 2026

Note from the team Oct 31, 2026

AI conclusion: Conglomerate scale offers broad operational reach but is offset by thin margins, negative free cash flow and limited differentiation across categories.

Main risk: Stricter environmental regulations or decarbonization policies might reduce demand for LNG and fossil fuel products, hitting Mitsui’s energy trading and infrastructure investments.

Bull case: Mitsui could leverage its trading expertise and AI-driven efficiencies to expand into low-carbon energy solutions and infrastructure for data centers, mitigating regulatory pressures.

Bear case: If decarbonization accelerates or debt servicing becomes burdensome, Mitsui’s LNG projects might face reduced viability and its conglomerate model could see squeezed returns from energy segments.

Mitsui is stepping up its long-term stake in Penske Automotive by committing capital to take the dealership group private alongside Penske Corporation. This deepens exposure to the US auto retail business at a time when our models see the shares as undervalued. Will the added ownership lift overall returns more than the capital tie-up constrains other opportunities in the near term?

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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Conglomerates · 304 stocks

Beats the industry median on 6/14 measures

A mixed picture versus its industry peers.

Valuation

Quality Score 43 · Bottom 25%

Fair Value upside +37.8% · Above median

Profitability

Return on equity (12 months) 11.4% · Above median

Return on assets 4.2% · Above median

Net margin (12 months) 6.2% · Below median

Operating margin (12 months) 3.4% · Bottom 25%

Growth and dividend

Revenue growth (quarter YoY) 31.7% · Top 25%

Dividend yield (12 months) 2.4% · Above median

Balance sheet

Debt / equity 0.57× · Above median

Valuation Multiplesvs Conglomerates median · lower = cheaper

P/E (12 months) 14.1× · Pricier than median

P/B 1.55× · Pricier than median

P/S (12 months) 0.91× · Cheaper than median

EV/EBITDA 22.8× · Priciest 25%

PEG 2.25× · Priciest 25%

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

This stock

Sector peers

VALUE (fair-value potential)84 · sector 52

FUTURE (revenue growth)100 · sector 38

PAST (return on equity)46 · sector 29

HEALTH (low debt)71 · sector 89

DIVIDEND (yield)47 · sector 46

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Conglomerates stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.

Stock	Price	Fair Value	vs Fair Value	Compare
PT Astra International Tbk, ASII	5,000 IDR	10,000 IDR	+100%	vs MITSY
SK Inc 034730	445,000 KRW	632,391 KRW	+42%	vs MITSY
Honeywell International Inc HON	$220.05	$245.42	+12%	vs MITSY
Jardine Matheson Holdings J36	$60.84	$66.74	+10%	vs MITSY
Kingdom Holding 4280	12.40 SAR	13.40 SAR	+8%	vs MITSY
SGH Limited SGH	A$42.62	A$34.87	−18%	vs MITSY
Keppel Ltd BN4	9.45 SGD	3.87 SGD	−59%	vs MITSY
3M Company MMM	$185.15	$73.02	−61%	vs MITSY
Swire Pacific Limited 0019	HK$112.20	HK$27.75	−75%	vs MITSY
Doosan Corporation 000150	638,000 KRW	95,752 KRW	−85%	vs MITSY

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Frequently asked questions

Is Mitsui & Company Ltd (MITSY) overvalued or undervalued?

As of Nov 9, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $826.57 versus a price of $600.03, about +38% upside (undervalued).

What is the fair value of MITSY?

Our model-based fair value for Mitsui & Company Ltd is $826.57 (as of Nov 9, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: $600.03.

What is the quality score of MITSY?

Mitsui & Company Ltd has a Quality Score of 43/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.

What is the price target for Mitsui & Company Ltd (MITSY)?

Our model-based price target is the fair value of $826.57 (as of Nov 9, 2026) from 8 valuation models. Cautious scenario $355.42, optimistic scenario $1,033. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.

What is the Mitsui & Company Ltd stock forecast for 2026?

Our models put fair value at $826.57, about +38% upside versus a price of $600.03 (undervalued). Cautious scenario $355.42, optimistic scenario $1,033. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.

What is the revenue of Mitsui & Company Ltd (MITSY)?

Mitsui & Company Ltd reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about ¥15.0T (latest available figure, as of Nov 9, 2026).

Does Mitsui & Company Ltd pay a dividend?

Mitsui & Company Ltd currently shows a dividend yield of 2.36% relative to its recent price (as of Nov 9, 2026).

How much is the dividend of Mitsui & Company Ltd (MITSY) and when is the ex-dividend date?

Mitsui & Company Ltd has a dividend yield of 2.4%. The last ex-dividend date was Mar 31, 2026. A dividend has been paid every year since at least 1985. The payout ratio is 35.9% of earnings. Our assessment: Watch coverage. The dividend isn’t fully covered by free cash flow or earnings, part of it is funded from reserves or debt. Fine for now, but worth watching: if it stays uncovered, the dividend could be cut.

What is the intrinsic value of Mitsui & Company Ltd (MITSY)?

Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Mitsui & Company Ltd it is $826.57 per share (as of Nov 9, 2026), against a price of $600.03. It is the blended result of 8 valuation models in 5 families (Earnings-Based, Dividend Discount, Multiples, Asset-Based, Economic Profit).

Is Mitsui & Company Ltd stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?

As of Nov 9, 2026, MITSY trades below its calculated fair value: price $600.03, fair value $826.57, a gap of about +38% (undervalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.

Is fair value the same as the market price of MITSY?

No. The price is what the market pays today ($600.03); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify ($826.57). For Mitsui & Company Ltd the two are $226.54 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.

How much is Mitsui & Company Ltd worth?

The market values Mitsui & Company Ltd at about $86.0B (market capitalisation, as of Nov 9, 2026). Per share that is $600.03; our models calculate a fair value of $826.57 per share.

What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about MITSY?

Our models span a range for Mitsui & Company Ltd: cautious scenario $355.42, base $826.57, optimistic $1,033 per share (as of Nov 9, 2026, price $600.03). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.

What is the P/E ratio of MITSY?

Mitsui & Company Ltd trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 14.1 (as of Nov 9, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of $826.57 is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: PEG 2.2, P/B 1.6, P/S 0.9, EV/EBITDA 22.8.

What is the PEG ratio of MITSY?

The PEG ratio of Mitsui & Company Ltd is 2.25 (P/E divided by earnings growth, as of Nov 9, 2026). That is above 1, so the growth is already paid for in the price.

How solid is the balance sheet of Mitsui & Company Ltd (MITSY)?

Balance-sheet figures for Mitsui & Company Ltd (as of Nov 9, 2026): return on equity 11.4%, debt of 0.57 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 43/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.

How far is MITSY from its 52-week high?

Mitsui & Company Ltd trades at $600.03, about 26% below its 52-week high of $814.99 and 20% above the low of $499.41 (as of Nov 6, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of $826.57 is for.

Which stocks are comparable to Mitsui & Company Ltd?

From the same area (Industrials) we also value 3M Company, Honeywell International Inc, Swire Pacific Limited, SGH Limited, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.

Is Mitsui & Company Ltd stock attractive at the current price?

The data as of Nov 9, 2026: price $600.03, calculated fair value $826.57 (+38%), Quality Score 43/100, from 8 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.

How is the fair value of MITSY calculated?

We run Mitsui & Company Ltd through 8 models from 5 families: Earnings-Based, Dividend Discount, Multiples, Asset-Based, Economic Profit. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the fair value of $826.57 builds on their evidence-weighted average, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.

Is it still worth investing in stocks now?

The global stock market currently sits 13.3% above its aggregate fair value. Mitsui & Company Ltd currently trades 27% below its own fair value, and the market average says nothing about that. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.

What is the share price of Mitsui & Company Ltd (MITSY)?

The closing price on Nov 6, 2026 was $600.03. Our model-based fair value is $826.57, about +38% upside (undervalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.

What should I pay attention to with Mitsui & Company Ltd right now?

The large discount to fair value meets weak quality (43/100). That raises the risk this is a value trap rather than a bargain. The model range is unusually wide ($355.42 to $1,033). The outcome hinges heavily on assumptions, so read the point estimate with caution.

Where does the earnings growth of Mitsui & Company Ltd (MITSY) come from?

Earnings per share at Mitsui & Company Ltd grew +15.9 % a year from 2015 to 2026. Broken into its drivers: revenue per share +15.2 %, EBIT margin −3.9 %, tax rate +1.3 %, residual (interest, one-offs) +3.3 %. The four rates multiply to the earnings growth rate, they do not add up. Start and end are three-year averages so a single exceptional year does not distort the result.

Key figures of Mitsui & Company Ltd

How large is the market capitalisation of Mitsui & Company Ltd (MITSY)?

The market capitalisation of Mitsui & Company Ltd is $86.0B. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.

What is the P/S ratio of Mitsui & Company Ltd (MITSY)?

The price-to-sales ratio of Mitsui & Company Ltd is 0.84 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.

What are the earnings per share of Mitsui & Company Ltd (MITSY)?

Earnings per share at Mitsui & Company Ltd are $42.47 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 14.1). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.

What is the dividend yield of Mitsui & Company Ltd (MITSY)?

The dividend yield of Mitsui & Company Ltd is 2.4% (payout 33.3%). Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.

What is the net margin of Mitsui & Company Ltd (MITSY)?

The net margin of Mitsui & Company Ltd is 6.0% (fiscal year 2026). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.

What is the return on equity of Mitsui & Company Ltd (MITSY)?

The return on equity (ROE) of Mitsui & Company Ltd is 11.4% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.

What is the EBIT return on assets of Mitsui & Company Ltd (MITSY)?

On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Mitsui & Company Ltd is 3.2% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.

What is the operating margin of Mitsui & Company Ltd (MITSY)?

The operating margin of Mitsui & Company Ltd is 3.4% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.

How fast is revenue growing at Mitsui & Company Ltd (MITSY)?

Revenue at Mitsui & Company Ltd is growing +31.7% versus a year earlier (3y avg +1.2%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.

How fast are earnings growing at Mitsui & Company Ltd (MITSY)?

Earnings per share at Mitsui & Company Ltd are growing +55.6% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.

How much free cash flow does Mitsui & Company Ltd (MITSY) generate?

The free cash flow of Mitsui & Company Ltd is −¥165B (fiscal year 2026). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.

How much net debt does Mitsui & Company Ltd (MITSY) carry?

The net debt of Mitsui & Company Ltd is ¥4.7T (fiscal year 2026). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.

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