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Van Lanschot NV (VLK) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Nov 6, 2026: fair value (intrinsic value) of Van Lanschot NV stock €33.89, price €63.50, that is 46.6% below the price, quality 65 out of 100. Rating: strongly overvalued. Calculated from audited financials with 6 of our 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.

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Financial Services NL · ISIN NL0000302636

VL Van Lanschot NV logo Broad data Nov 7, 2026

Van Lanschot NV

VLK · AS
Solid, but very expensive

Our calculation puts a fair price 47% below what the stock costs today.

Quality 65/100
Healthy Growth (revenue 5y +22.6 %/yr in EUR)
Highly profitable · 22.1% net margin (TTM)
4.7% dividend yield · Sustainable
Broad data
Profit last quarter +31% vs. a year ago.
Mixed vs. peers (6/15)
Wide moat 67/100 · thin data
Fair value €33.89 · Strongly overvalued (−46.6%)
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What runs behind every stock

26 valuation models 8 families, DCF to NCAV 37 quality factors margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt 6 AI factors moat, what no ratio measures 2,000+ data points verified, per stock, median

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

€70.30 €13.01 Fair Value €33.89 Sep 2021 Nov 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year. As of Nov 7, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range €13.01 – €70.30 · fair‑value band €25.42 – €42.36 · the €63.50 price screens above the €33.89 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). 1 fiscal year is left out: there the valuation rested on only a fraction of the usual models. As of Nov 7, 2026.

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Company profile

Van Lanschot Kempen NV provides various financial services in the Netherlands, Belgium, and internationally. It operates through four segments: Private Clients Netherlands, Private Clients Belgium, Investment Management Clients, and Investment Banking Clients.

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The company offers private banking services for entrepreneurs, family businesses, high-net-worth individuals, business professionals and executives, foundations and associations, and affluent individuals; and pension funds.

It also provides wealth management services and products, an online investment platform, and owned funds-related services, as well as strategies and fiduciary management services.

In addition, the company offers specialist services including equities research and trading, mergers and acquisitions, equity capital market transactions, and debt advisory services to corporate and institutional investors.

Further, it is involved in various activities comprising interest rate, management book, market and liquidity risk management, structured products, and staff department activities.

The company was formerly known as Van Lanschot Kempen Wealth Management NV and changed its name to Van Lanschot Kempen NV in July 2021. Van Lanschot Kempen NV was founded in 1737 and is headquartered in 's-Hertogenbosch, the Netherlands.

Stock analysis

Van Lanschot NV (VLK) currently trades at €63.50, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is €33.89, 47% below the price, so the stock looks overvalued today.

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Valuation

Bull case: the Dividend Discount group reads highest at a median of €74.23 per share, and 2 of the 6 models we run sit above the €63.50 price.

Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at €15.42, and 4 of the 6 models stay below the price. Data coverage for this calculation is high.

Scenario range: €25.42 (bear) to €42.36 (bull), the price of €63.50 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 65/100 (solid quality), in the Financial Services sector.

Healthy Growth: Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.

Van Lanschot NV reported revenue of €1.2B in FY2025 versus €617M in FY2021, a compound +18.6%/yr. Reported net income was €157M in FY2025, compounding +2.3%/yr from FY2021.

Key figures

Market cap €2.7B Mid · P/E ratio 16.1 · P/S ratio 3.37 · EPS (TTM) €3.94 · Dividend yield 4.7% · Net margin 22.1% · Return on equity 13.8% · Return on assets (EBIT) 1.0% (5-year average).

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 67 out of 100 (low confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 10% below its 52-week high and 38% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Financial Services peers we cover trades at −28% fair-value upside, at −47%, VLK screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Bear €25.42 Fair Value €33.89 Bull €42.36
Price €63.50 · Downside -46.6%
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above starts from their evidence-weighted blend, not from a single model. In cyclical trough or peak years, after dilution or a stock split it is adjusted afterwards, so it can sit above or below the models. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 10 months old). Earnings retained since then (€0.8035 per share) are deliberately not added. Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds. Coverage ⓘCoverage = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Best data coverage
Residual Income €28.40 €33.00 €42.02 76
Gordon GGM €40.28 €83.68 €132.63 66
DDM Multi-Stage €40.28 €64.78 €87.83 66
All 6 models by family
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM €40.28 €83.68 €132.63 66
DDM Multi-Stage €40.28 €64.78 €87.83 66
Multiples
P/E Multiple €36.32 €48.43 €60.54 63
P/B Multiple €14.51 €19.34 €24.18 55
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) €11.51 €15.42 €23.02 54
Economic Profit
Residual Income €28.40 €33.00 €42.02 76

Open the full fair value analysis →

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 65/100

It rates the business: profits, how they develop, real cash, balance sheet, investing and share count.

Profitability 28
How much profit the company makes from its sales and capital
Quality Growth 43
Are margins and returns getting better?
Cashflow 98
Do the profits arrive as real cash?
Financial strength 41
Debt, balance sheet and risk of trouble
Investment 90
Does it invest with discipline instead of growing at any price?
Low Volatility 80
How calm the share price moves, does not count
Price momentum 52
Price momentum of the last 3 to 12 months, does not count
Near the 52-week high 71
Distance to the 52-week high, does not count
New shares 81
Buys back shares or issues new ones?

Open the full quality analysis →

Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 100/100
Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
Revenue growth 1 year
+70.2%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+27.2%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+22.6%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +8.9% a year
Revenue growth 23 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+5.2%
What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate.
≈ +13.8%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year≈ +9.1%
Dividend (yield on the price)4.7%
Pace: 5 vs 10 years ⓘTwo data points, not a trend model: earnings growth per share over the last 5 fiscal years against the last 10. Labelled "steady" when both rates are within 3 percentage points of each other, otherwise picking up or flattening. Shown only when ten years of history exist.base effect: 9.1% / −26.9%
Profit margin 2020 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.9% → 18%
⚠ Base effect: the rate starts in the earnings trough around 2020 (starting value 2.38 per share, median 176 in 2015 to 2018). It measures the recovery from the trough, not lasting growth.

VLK screens overvalued: fair value 47% below the price. Compare with China Merchants Bank Co →

Note from the team Oct 11, 2026
AI conclusion: Van Lanschot Kempen benefits from a capital-light growth strategy in pension mandates and alternative income partnerships, yet its main weakness remains heavy dependence on successful asset integration amid market swings.
Main risk: The biggest risk is the heightened dependence on successful integration and stable inflows from the Aegon transfer, which would directly hit its capital-light growth in pension mandates and fiduciary assets.
Van Lanschot Kempen stands to add substantial fiduciary assets through the upcoming transfer of Aegon Asset Management’s Dutch activities. This move fits its capital-light growth strategy focused on pension mandates and alternative income partnerships, yet it heightens dependence on successful integration and stable inflows amid market swings. Will the scale boost prove more enduring than any added execution complexity?
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Banks - Regional · 998 stocks

Beats the industry median on 6/15 measures
A mixed picture versus its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 65 · Top 25%
Fair Value upside −46.6% · Bottom 25%
Profitability
Return on equity (12 months) 13.8% · Above median
Return on assets 0.9% · Below median
Net margin (12 months) 22.1% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (12 months) 29.6% · Below median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth (quarter YoY) 11.2% · Above median
Dividend yield (12 months) 4.7% · Top 25%
Balance sheet
Debt / equity 1.96× · Highest 25%

Valuation Multiplesvs Banks - Regional median · lower = cheaper

P/E (12 months) 16.1× · Priciest 25%
P/B 2.12× · Priciest 25%
P/S (12 months) 3.37× · Pricier than median
Price / free cash flow (fiscal year) 4.7× · Cheapest 25%
EV/EBITDA 12.4× · Pricier than median
PEG 0.31× · Cheapest 25%

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)0 · sector 8
FUTURE (revenue growth)56 · sector 47
PAST (return on equity)55 · sector 43
HEALTH (low debt)–
DIVIDEND (yield)94 · sector 53

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

HEALTH: for banks, insurers and similar financial firms borrowed money is part of the business, so we do not rate debt here.

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Banks - Regional stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value Compare
Postal Savings Bank of China Co 601658 ¥5.53 ¥7.59 +37% vs VLK
China Merchants Bank Co 600036 ¥42.88 ¥52.73 +23% vs VLK
BNP Paribas SA BNP €91.93 €106.01 +15% vs VLK
Intesa Sanpaolo S.p.A ISP €6.18 €4.49 −27% vs VLK
State Bank of India SBIN ₹1,019 ₹736.65 −28% vs VLK
UniCredit S.p.A UCG €76.80 €50.44 −34% vs VLK
Mizuho Financial Group MFG $9.40 $5.90 −37% vs VLK
DBS Group D05 69.72 SGD 40.39 SGD −42% vs VLK
HDFC Bank Limited HDFCBANK ₹788.25 ₹406.39 −48% vs VLK
ICICI Bank Limited ICICIBANK ₹1,571 ₹615.63 −61% vs VLK

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Van Lanschot NV Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/VLK

Frequently asked questions

Is Van Lanschot NV (VLK) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Nov 7, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of €33.89 versus a price of €63.50, about 47% lower (overvalued).
What is the fair value of VLK?
Our model-based fair value for Van Lanschot NV is €33.89 (as of Nov 7, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: €63.50.
What is the quality score of VLK?
Van Lanschot NV has a Quality Score of 65/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Van Lanschot NV (VLK)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of €33.89 (as of Nov 7, 2026) from 6 valuation models. Cautious scenario €25.42, optimistic scenario €42.36. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Van Lanschot NV stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at €33.89, about 47% lower versus a price of €63.50 (overvalued). Cautious scenario €25.42, optimistic scenario €42.36. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Van Lanschot NV (VLK)?
Van Lanschot NV reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about €805M (latest available figure, as of Nov 7, 2026).
Does Van Lanschot NV pay a dividend?
Van Lanschot NV currently shows a dividend yield of 4.72% relative to its recent price (as of Nov 7, 2026).
How much is the dividend of Van Lanschot NV (VLK) and when is the ex-dividend date?
Van Lanschot NV pays a dividend of €3.00 per share a year, a dividend yield of 4.7%. The last ex-dividend date was Jun 23, 2026. A dividend has been paid every year since 2014. The payout ratio is 76.1% of earnings. Our assessment: Sustainable. Payout and cash coverage both look sustainable.
What is the intrinsic value of Van Lanschot NV (VLK)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Van Lanschot NV it is €33.89 per share (as of Nov 7, 2026), against a price of €63.50. It is the blended result of 6 valuation models in 4 families (Dividend Discount, Multiples, Asset-Based, Economic Profit).
Is Van Lanschot NV stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Nov 7, 2026, VLK trades above its calculated fair value: price €63.50, fair value €33.89, a gap of about −47% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of VLK?
No. The price is what the market pays today (€63.50); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (€33.89). For Van Lanschot NV the two are €29.61 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Van Lanschot NV worth?
The market values Van Lanschot NV at about €2.7B (market capitalisation, as of Nov 7, 2026). Per share that is €63.50; our models calculate a fair value of €33.89 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about VLK?
Our models span a range for Van Lanschot NV: cautious scenario €25.42, base €33.89, optimistic €42.36 per share (as of Nov 7, 2026, price €63.50). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of VLK?
Van Lanschot NV trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 16.1 (as of Nov 7, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of €33.89 is built from several models across several years. Median P/E at fiscal year-end, 10 fiscal years (2016 to 2025), reported earnings: 9.0. Other multiples: PEG 0.3, P/B 2.1, P/S 3.4, EV/EBITDA 12.4.
What is the PEG ratio of VLK?
The PEG ratio of Van Lanschot NV is 0.31 (P/E divided by earnings growth, as of Nov 7, 2026). That is below 1, so growth is priced more cheaply than the earnings multiple alone suggests.
How solid is the balance sheet of Van Lanschot NV (VLK)?
Balance-sheet figures for Van Lanschot NV (as of Nov 7, 2026): return on equity 13.8%, debt of 1.96 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 65/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is VLK from its 52-week high?
Van Lanschot NV trades at €63.50, about 10% below its 52-week high of €70.30 and 38% above the low of €45.90 (as of Nov 6, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of €33.89 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Van Lanschot NV?
From the same area (Financial Services) we also value China Merchants Bank Co, DBS Group, UniCredit S.p.A, Mizuho Financial Group, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Van Lanschot NV stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Nov 7, 2026: price €63.50, calculated fair value €33.89 (−47%), Quality Score 65/100, from 6 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of VLK calculated?
We run Van Lanschot NV through 6 models from 4 families: Dividend Discount, Multiples, Asset-Based, Economic Profit. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the fair value of €33.89 builds on their evidence-weighted average, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 13.0% above its aggregate fair value. Van Lanschot NV itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Van Lanschot NV (VLK)?
The closing price on Nov 6, 2026 was €63.50. Our model-based fair value is €33.89, about 47% lower (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Van Lanschot NV right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (€42.36). The favourable scenario is already priced in. Solid but not exceptional quality (65/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder. For a financial, book-value and earnings-based methods matter more than a cash-flow DCF, which fits banks and insurers poorly.
Where does the earnings growth of Van Lanschot NV (VLK) come from?
Earnings per share at Van Lanschot NV grew −4.0 % a year from 2014 to 2025. Broken into its drivers: revenue per share −6.4 %, EBIT margin −13.8 %, tax rate −0.8 %, residual (interest, one-offs) +19.9 %. The four rates multiply to the earnings growth rate, they do not add up. Start and end are three-year averages so a single exceptional year does not distort the result.

Key figures of Van Lanschot NV

How large is the market capitalisation of Van Lanschot NV (VLK)?
The market capitalisation of Van Lanschot NV is €2.7B. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Van Lanschot NV (VLK)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Van Lanschot NV is 3.37 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Van Lanschot NV (VLK)?
Earnings per share at Van Lanschot NV are €3.94 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 16.1). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of Van Lanschot NV (VLK)?
The dividend yield of Van Lanschot NV is 4.7% (payout 76.1%). Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Van Lanschot NV (VLK)?
The net margin of Van Lanschot NV is 22.1% (last twelve months). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Van Lanschot NV (VLK)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Van Lanschot NV is 13.8% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Van Lanschot NV (VLK)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Van Lanschot NV is 1.0% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Van Lanschot NV (VLK)?
The operating margin of Van Lanschot NV is 29.6% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Van Lanschot NV (VLK)?
Revenue at Van Lanschot NV is growing +11.2% versus a year earlier (3y avg +27.2%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Van Lanschot NV (VLK)?
Earnings per share at Van Lanschot NV are growing +31.4% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much free cash flow does Van Lanschot NV (VLK) generate?
The free cash flow of Van Lanschot NV is €580M (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net debt does Van Lanschot NV (VLK) carry?
The net debt of Van Lanschot NV is €486M (fiscal year 2025, ≈ 0.8 yrs of FCF). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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