Luoyang Northglass Technology Co Ltd (002613) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Nov 6, 2026: fair value (intrinsic value) of Luoyang Northglass Technology Co Ltd stock ¥0.86, price ¥3.27, that is 73.7% below the price, quality 35 out of 100. Rating: strongly overvalued. Calculated from audited financials with 15 of our 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceableSee the method →
Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year. As of Nov 7, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range ¥2.89 – ¥9.16 · fair‑value band ¥0.5610 – ¥1.07 · the ¥3.27 price screens above the ¥0.8585 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). As of Nov 7, 2026.
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Luoyang Northglass Technology Co.,Ltd designs, develops, manufactures, and sells glass deep processing equipment in China.
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The company's deep processing equipment comprises glass tempering furnaces, coating lines, glass automation systems, glass storage systems, glass cutting machines, buffer systems, and vertical seaming and washer machines.
It also offers processed glass products, such as laminated, coated, curved, insulating, printed, and toughened glass products; and HVLS and general fans.
The company also exports its products to approximately 110 countries, such as the United States, the United Kingdom, Germany, France, Japan, India, Brazil, Saudi Arabia, Egypt, and Turkey. Luoyang Northglass Technology Co.,Ltd was founded in 1995 and is based in Luoyang, China.
Stock analysis
Luoyang Northglass Technology Co Ltd (002613) currently trades at ¥3.27, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥0.8585, 74% below the price, so the stock looks overvalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the Multiples group reads highest at a median of ¥1.24 per share, and 1 of the 15 models we run sit above the ¥3.27 price.
Bear case: the Dividend Discount group reads lowest at ¥0.3400, and 14 of the 15 models stay below the price. Data coverage for this calculation is low.
Scenario range: ¥0.5610 (bear) to ¥1.07 (bull), the price of ¥3.27 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 35/100 (below-average quality), in the Industrials sector.
Expensive Growth: The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Luoyang Northglass Technology Co Ltd reported revenue of 1.6B CNY in FY2025 versus 1.7B CNY in FY2021, a compound −1.9%/yr. Reported net income was 31.4M CNY in FY2025, compounding −13.1%/yr from FY2021.
Key figures
Market cap 3.6B CNY (≈ $539M) Small · P/S ratio 2.51 · EPS (TTM) ¥−0.0100 · Dividend yield 0.9% · Net margin −0.7% · Return on equity −0.3% · Return on assets (EBIT) 2.5% (5-year average) · Operating margin 1.4%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 18 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 40% below its 52-week high and 10% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at −46% fair-value upside, at −74%, 002613 screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
The price assumes far more growth than our models allow for, so the models scatter widely (¥0.1000 to ¥4.51). Read the Fair Value as a cautious anchor, not a price target; the Growth Forecast section shows what the price assumes.
Bear¥0.5610Fair Value ¥0.8585Bull¥1.07
Price ¥3.27 · Downside -73.7%
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above starts from their evidence-weighted blend, not from a single model. In cyclical trough or peak years, after dilution or a stock split it is adjusted afterwards, so it can sit above or below the models.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds.Coverage ⓘCoverage = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Best data coverage
Residual Income¥1.19¥1.24¥1.3276
EPV¥0.6900¥0.7400¥0.770074
ROIC Compounder¥0.6900¥0.7400¥0.770072
All 15 models by family
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd¥0.1900¥0.4300¥0.550065
PEG = 1.0¥0.0700¥0.1000¥0.130057
EPV¥0.6900¥0.7400¥0.770074
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM¥0.2400¥0.3500¥0.460069
DDM Multi-Stage¥0.2400¥0.3300¥0.420067
Multiples
P/E Multiple¥0.4500¥0.6000¥0.750063
P/S Multiple¥0.3600¥0.4800¥0.610058
P/B Multiple¥3.38¥4.51¥5.6355
EV/EBIT¥1.13¥1.34¥1.5566
EV/EBITDA¥1.55¥1.90¥2.2667
EV/Revenue¥0.9400¥1.14¥1.3454
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham)¥0.6600¥1.01¥1.2654
Economic Profit
Residual Income¥1.19¥1.24¥1.3276
ROIC Compounder¥0.6900¥0.7400¥0.770072
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E¥0.3300¥0.4800¥0.620067
The fair value above starts from this blend and is adjusted for dilution from new shares.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.38/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Revenue growth 1 year
−3.7%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+1.7%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+8.1%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +5.7% a year
Revenue growth 18 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+4.5%
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What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate. Basis: EBIT basis.
+10.6%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year+9.7%
Dividend (yield on the price)0.9%
Pace: 5 vs 10 years ⓘTwo data points, not a trend model: earnings growth per share over the last 5 fiscal years against the last 10. Labelled "steady" when both rates are within 3 percentage points of each other, otherwise picking up or flattening. Shown only when ten years of history exist.0.1% vs 1.4%, steady
Profit margin 2020 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.2% → 4%
Compare Luoyang Northglass Technology Co Ltd with another stock
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Specialty Industrial Machinery · 813 stocks
Beats the industry median on 2/10 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score35 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside−73.7% · Bottom 25%
Profitability
Return on assets1.1% · Below median
Net margin (12 months)−0.7% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (12 months)1.4% · Below median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth (quarter YoY)−19.6% · Bottom 25%
Dividend yield (12 months)0.9% · Below median
Balance sheet
Debt / equity0.01× · Lowest 25%
Valuation Multiplesvs Specialty Industrial Machinery median · lower = cheaper
P/B1.63× · Cheaper than median
P/S (12 months)2.59× · Pricier than median
Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)
This stockSector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)0· sector 0
FUTURE (revenue growth)0· sector 30
PAST (return on equity)0· sector 28
HEALTH (low debt)100· sector 96
DIVIDEND (yield)19· sector 29
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Luoyang Northglass Technology Co Ltd Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/002613
Frequently asked questions
Is Luoyang Northglass Technology Co Ltd (002613) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Nov 7, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of ¥0.8585 versus a price of ¥3.27, about 74% lower (overvalued).
What is the fair value of 002613?
Our model-based fair value for Luoyang Northglass Technology Co Ltd is ¥0.8585 (as of Nov 7, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: ¥3.27.
What is the quality score of 002613?
Luoyang Northglass Technology Co Ltd has a Quality Score of 35/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Luoyang Northglass Technology Co Ltd (002613)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of ¥0.8585 (as of Nov 7, 2026) from 15 valuation models. Cautious scenario ¥0.5610, optimistic scenario ¥1.07. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Luoyang Northglass Technology Co Ltd stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at ¥0.8585, about 74% lower versus a price of ¥3.27 (overvalued). Cautious scenario ¥0.5610, optimistic scenario ¥1.07. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Luoyang Northglass Technology Co Ltd (002613)?
Luoyang Northglass Technology Co Ltd reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 1.4B CNY (latest available figure, as of Nov 7, 2026).
Does Luoyang Northglass Technology Co Ltd pay a dividend?
Luoyang Northglass Technology Co Ltd currently shows a dividend yield of 0.95% relative to its recent price (as of Nov 7, 2026).
How much is the dividend of Luoyang Northglass Technology Co Ltd (002613)?
Luoyang Northglass Technology Co Ltd has a dividend yield of 0.9%.
What is the intrinsic value of Luoyang Northglass Technology Co Ltd (002613)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Luoyang Northglass Technology Co Ltd it is ¥0.8585 per share (as of Nov 7, 2026), against a price of ¥3.27. It is the blended result of 15 valuation models in 6 families (Earnings-Based, Dividend Discount, Multiples, Asset-Based, Economic Profit, Growth Earnings).
Is Luoyang Northglass Technology Co Ltd stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Nov 7, 2026, 002613 trades above its calculated fair value: price ¥3.27, fair value ¥0.8585, a gap of about −74% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of 002613?
No. The price is what the market pays today (¥3.27); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (¥0.8585). For Luoyang Northglass Technology Co Ltd the two are ¥2.41 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Luoyang Northglass Technology Co Ltd worth?
The market values Luoyang Northglass Technology Co Ltd at about 3.6B CNY (market capitalisation, as of Nov 7, 2026). Per share that is ¥3.27; our models calculate a fair value of ¥0.8585 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about 002613?
Our models span a range for Luoyang Northglass Technology Co Ltd: cautious scenario ¥0.5610, base ¥0.8585, optimistic ¥1.07 per share (as of Nov 7, 2026, price ¥3.27). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
How solid is the balance sheet of Luoyang Northglass Technology Co Ltd (002613)?
Balance-sheet figures for Luoyang Northglass Technology Co Ltd (as of Nov 7, 2026): return on equity −0.3%, debt of 0.01 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 35/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is 002613 from its 52-week high?
Luoyang Northglass Technology Co Ltd trades at ¥3.27, about 40% below its 52-week high of ¥5.46 and 10% above the low of ¥2.97 (as of Nov 6, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of ¥0.8585 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Luoyang Northglass Technology Co Ltd?
From the same area (Industrials) we also value SIE, GE Vernova Inc, Eaton Corporation, Parker-Hannifin Corporation, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Luoyang Northglass Technology Co Ltd stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Nov 7, 2026: price ¥3.27, calculated fair value ¥0.8585 (−74%), Quality Score 35/100, from 15 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of 002613 calculated?
We run Luoyang Northglass Technology Co Ltd through 15 models from 6 families: Earnings-Based, Dividend Discount, Multiples, Asset-Based, Economic Profit, Growth Earnings. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the fair value of ¥0.8585 builds on their evidence-weighted average, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 13.3% above its aggregate fair value. Luoyang Northglass Technology Co Ltd itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Luoyang Northglass Technology Co Ltd (002613)?
The closing price on Nov 6, 2026 was ¥3.27. Our model-based fair value is ¥0.8585, about 74% lower (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Luoyang Northglass Technology Co Ltd right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (¥1.07). The favourable scenario is already priced in. Weak quality (35/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution. A fairly wide model range (¥0.5610 to ¥1.07) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Where does the earnings growth of Luoyang Northglass Technology Co Ltd (002613) come from?
Earnings per share at Luoyang Northglass Technology Co Ltd grew +8.5 % a year from 2013 to 2024. Broken into its drivers: revenue per share +7.1 %, EBIT margin +4.1 %, tax rate −0.3 %, residual (interest, one-offs) −2.4 %. The four rates multiply to the earnings growth rate, they do not add up. Start and end are three-year averages so a single exceptional year does not distort the result.
Key figures of Luoyang Northglass Technology Co Ltd
How large is the market capitalisation of Luoyang Northglass Technology Co Ltd (002613)?
The market capitalisation of Luoyang Northglass Technology Co Ltd is 3.6B CNY (≈ $539M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Luoyang Northglass Technology Co Ltd (002613)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Luoyang Northglass Technology Co Ltd is 2.51 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Luoyang Northglass Technology Co Ltd (002613)?
Earnings per share at Luoyang Northglass Technology Co Ltd are ¥−0.0100. Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of Luoyang Northglass Technology Co Ltd (002613)?
The dividend yield of Luoyang Northglass Technology Co Ltd is 0.9%. Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Luoyang Northglass Technology Co Ltd (002613)?
The net margin of Luoyang Northglass Technology Co Ltd is −0.7% (last twelve months). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Luoyang Northglass Technology Co Ltd (002613)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Luoyang Northglass Technology Co Ltd is −0.3% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Luoyang Northglass Technology Co Ltd (002613)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Luoyang Northglass Technology Co Ltd is 2.5% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Luoyang Northglass Technology Co Ltd (002613)?
The operating margin of Luoyang Northglass Technology Co Ltd is 1.4% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Luoyang Northglass Technology Co Ltd (002613)?
Revenue at Luoyang Northglass Technology Co Ltd is growing −19.6% versus a year earlier (3y avg +1.7%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Luoyang Northglass Technology Co Ltd (002613)?
Earnings per share at Luoyang Northglass Technology Co Ltd are growing −79.7% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much free cash flow does Luoyang Northglass Technology Co Ltd (002613) generate?
The free cash flow of Luoyang Northglass Technology Co Ltd is −134M CNY (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net cash does Luoyang Northglass Technology Co Ltd (002613) hold?
Luoyang Northglass Technology Co Ltd holds more cash than debt, 533M CNY net (fiscal year 2024). The company holds more cash than debt, a safety cushion.
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Thin data
Nov 7, 2026