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Ningbo ZhongDa Leader Intelligent Transmission Co Ltd (002896) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Nov 4, 2026: fair value (intrinsic value) of Ningbo ZhongDa Leader Intelligent Transmission Co Ltd stock ¥4.92, price ¥57.68, that is 91.5% below the price, quality 36 out of 100. Rating: strongly overvalued. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.

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Industrials CN · ISIN CNE1000032Q9

NZ Ningbo ZhongDa Leader Intelligent Transmission Co Ltd logo Thin data Nov 4, 2026

Ningbo ZhongDa Leader Intelligent Transmission Co Ltd

002896 · SHE
Very expensive, weak quality

Our calculation puts a fair price 91% below what the stock costs today.

Low debt
Last quarter vs. a year ago: revenue +35%, profit +126%.
Expensive Growth (revenue YoY +6.6 %/yr in CNY)
Thin margins · 4.8% net margin (TTM)
0.2% dividend yield · Token dividend
Fair value ¥4.92 · Strongly overvalued (−91.5%)
Quality 36/100
Negative free cash flow
Trails peers (3/13)
Narrow moat 38/100 · thin data
Thin data
Extreme value⚠ Dilution
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What runs behind every stock

26 valuation models 8 families, DCF to NCAV 37 quality factors margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt 6 AI factors moat, what no ratio measures 2,000+ data points verified, per stock, median

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

¥105.60 ¥8.99 Fair Value ¥4.92 May 2021 Nov 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year. As of Nov 4, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range ¥8.99 – ¥105.60 · fair‑value band ¥3.88 – ¥6.40 · the ¥57.68 price screens above the ¥4.92 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). As of Nov 4, 2026.

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Company profile

Ningbo ZhongDa Leader Intelligent Transmission Co., Ltd. engages in the research and development, production, sale, and service of key components in the field of power transmission and control applications in the People's Republic of China and internationally.

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It provides precision reducers, reduction motors, and other core components; and motors, bevel gear motors, roller motors, precision reducers, planetary reducers, RV reducers, harmonic reducers, servo motors, servo and brushless drives, integrated intelligent execution units, robot body components, etc.

The company also offers AC gear motors, DC gear motors, Dc brushless gear motors, planetary DC gear motors, drum motors, small AC gear motors, ZDF2, ZDF3 hypoid gear motors, planetary gearbox, RV cycloidal pin wheel reducer, harmonic drive reducer, intelligent logistics power unit, motor controller/driver, and industrial robot.

Its products are used in various types of robots, precision machine tools, semiconductors, aerospace, and other fields, as well as intelligent logistics, CNC machine tools, new energy equipment, industrial mother machines, textile machinery, medical equipment, environmental protection equipment, special electronic equipment, food packaging equipment, etc.

The company was founded in 1998 and is based in Ningbo, the People's Republic of China.

Stock analysis

Ningbo ZhongDa Leader Intelligent Transmission Co Ltd (002896) currently trades at ¥57.68, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥4.92, 91% below the price, so the stock looks overvalued today.

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Valuation

Bull case: the Multiples group reads highest at a median of ¥6.70 per share, and 0 of the 16 models we run sit above the ¥57.68 price.

Bear case: the Dividend Discount group reads lowest at ¥2.97, and 16 of the 16 models stay below the price. Data coverage for this calculation is low.

Scenario range: ¥3.88 (bear) to ¥6.40 (bull), the price of ¥57.68 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 36/100 (below-average quality), in the Industrials sector.

Expensive Growth: The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.

Ningbo ZhongDa Leader Intelligent Transmission Co Ltd reported revenue of 1.0B CNY in FY2025 versus 953M CNY in FY2021, a compound +2.2%/yr. Reported net income was 62.7M CNY in FY2025, compounding −6.3%/yr from FY2021.

Key figures

Market cap 11.3B CNY (≈ $1.7B) Small · P/E ratio 198.9 · P/S ratio 9.38 · EPS (TTM) ¥0.2900 · Dividend yield 0.2% · Net margin 4.8% · Return on equity 4.7% · Return on assets (EBIT) 5.0%.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 38 out of 100 (low confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 39% below its 52-week high and 15% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at −47% fair-value upside, at −91%, 002896 screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

The price assumes far more growth than our models allow for, so the models scatter widely (¥2.97 to ¥25.19). Read the Fair Value as a cautious anchor, not a price target; the Growth Forecast section shows what the price assumes.
Bear ¥3.88 Fair Value ¥4.92 Bull ¥6.40
Price ¥57.68 · Downside -91.5%
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above starts from their evidence-weighted blend, not from a single model. In cyclical trough or peak years, after dilution or a stock split it is adjusted afterwards, so it can sit above or below the models. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 10 months old). Earnings retained since then (¥0.1439 per share) are deliberately not added. Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds. Coverage ⓘCoverage = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Best data coverage
Residual Income ¥4.56 ¥4.61 ¥4.84 76
EPV ¥3.92 ¥4.44 ¥4.88 74
ROIC Compounder ¥3.92 ¥4.44 ¥4.88 72
All 16 models by family
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd ¥2.17 ¥9.51 ¥13.01 64
Lynch FV ¥2.45 ¥3.51 ¥4.56 61
PEG = 1.0 ¥2.45 ¥3.51 ¥4.56 57
EPV ¥3.92 ¥4.44 ¥4.88 74
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM ¥1.78 ¥3.31 ¥4.70 67
DDM Multi-Stage ¥1.78 ¥2.97 ¥3.52 67
Multiples
P/E Multiple ¥5.03 ¥6.70 ¥8.38 63
P/S Multiple ¥4.07 ¥5.42 ¥6.78 58
P/B Multiple ¥18.89 ¥25.19 ¥31.49 55
EV/EBIT ¥5.49 ¥7.52 ¥9.55 66
EV/EBITDA ¥9.30 ¥12.60 ¥15.89 67
EV/Revenue ¥3.75 ¥5.61 ¥7.47 53
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) ¥2.80 ¥3.75 ¥5.60 54
Economic Profit
Residual Income ¥4.56 ¥4.61 ¥4.84 76
ROIC Compounder ¥3.92 ¥4.44 ¥4.88 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E ¥4.06 ¥5.79 ¥7.53 67

The fair value above starts from this blend and is adjusted for dilution from new shares.

Open the full fair value analysis →

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 36/100

It rates the business: profits, how they develop, real cash, balance sheet, investing and share count.

Profitability 32
How much profit the company makes from its sales and capital
Quality Growth 48
Are margins and returns getting better?
Cashflow 6
Do the profits arrive as real cash?
Financial strength 81
Debt, balance sheet and risk of trouble
Investment 56
Does it invest with discipline instead of growing at any price?
Low Volatility 54
How calm the share price moves, does not count
Price momentum 17
Price momentum of the last 3 to 12 months, does not count
Near the 52-week high 8
Distance to the 52-week high, does not count
New shares 0
Buys back shares or issues new ones?

Open the full quality analysis →

Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 41/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate.
−9.1%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year−9.3%
Dividend (yield on the price)0.2%
Pace: 5 vs 10 years ⓘTwo data points, not a trend model: earnings growth per share over the last 5 fiscal years against the last 10. Labelled "steady" when both rates are within 3 percentage points of each other, otherwise picking up or flattening. Shown only when ten years of history exist.−9.3% vs −0.9%, slowing
Profit margin 2020 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.11% → 9%
Pace: the 5-year rate starts in 2020 (pandemic)

002896 screens overvalued: fair value 91% below the price. Compare with SIE →

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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Specialty Industrial Machinery · 811 stocks

Beats the industry median on 3/13 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 36 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside −91.5% · Bottom 25%
Profitability
Return on equity (12 months) 4.7% · Below median
Return on assets 3.4% · Below median
Net margin (12 months) 4.8% · Below median
Operating margin (12 months) 15.5% · Top 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth (quarter YoY) 34.9% · Top 25%
Dividend yield (12 months) 0.2% · Bottom 25%
Balance sheet
Debt / equity 0.03× · Below median

Valuation Multiplesvs Specialty Industrial Machinery median · lower = cheaper

P/E (12 months) 198.9× · Priciest 25%
P/B 9.43× · Priciest 25%
P/S (12 months) 9.38× · Priciest 25%
EV/EBITDA 76.6× · Priciest 25%

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)0 · sector 0
FUTURE (revenue growth)100 · sector 31
PAST (return on equity)19 · sector 27
HEALTH (low debt)99 · sector 96
DIVIDEND (yield)4 · sector 29

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Specialty Industrial Machinery stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value Compare
Cummins Inc CMI $471.84 $359.16 −24% vs 002896
Parker-Hannifin Corporation PH $910.19 $495.17 −46% vs 002896
SIE SIE €275.65 €149.56 −46% vs 002896
Sandvik AB SAND kr 362.10 kr 194.33 −46% vs 002896
AMETEK, Inc AME $237.09 $125.77 −47% vs 002896
Illinois Tool Works Inc ITW $293.45 $154.30 −47% vs 002896
Eaton Corporation ETN $353.08 $156.94 −56% vs 002896
Emerson Electric Co EMR $170.44 $62.85 −63% vs 002896
Rockwell Automation, Inc ROK $443.88 $140.20 −68% vs 002896
GE Vernova Inc GEV $832.83 $143.50 −83% vs 002896

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Ningbo ZhongDa Leader Intelligent Transmission Co Ltd: fair value per Fair Value Calculator

Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Ningbo ZhongDa Leader Intelligent Transmission Co Ltd Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/002896

Frequently asked questions

Is Ningbo ZhongDa Leader Intelligent Transmission Co Ltd (002896) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Nov 4, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of ¥4.92 versus a price of ¥57.68, about 91% lower (overvalued).
What is the fair value of 002896?
Our model-based fair value for Ningbo ZhongDa Leader Intelligent Transmission Co Ltd is ¥4.92 (as of Nov 4, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: ¥57.68.
What is the quality score of 002896?
Ningbo ZhongDa Leader Intelligent Transmission Co Ltd has a Quality Score of 36/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Ningbo ZhongDa Leader Intelligent Transmission Co Ltd (002896)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of ¥4.92 (as of Nov 4, 2026) from 16 valuation models. Cautious scenario ¥3.88, optimistic scenario ¥6.40. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Ningbo ZhongDa Leader Intelligent Transmission Co Ltd stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at ¥4.92, about 91% lower versus a price of ¥57.68 (overvalued). Cautious scenario ¥3.88, optimistic scenario ¥6.40. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Ningbo ZhongDa Leader Intelligent Transmission Co Ltd (002896)?
Ningbo ZhongDa Leader Intelligent Transmission Co Ltd reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 1.2B CNY (latest available figure, as of Nov 4, 2026).
Does Ningbo ZhongDa Leader Intelligent Transmission Co Ltd pay a dividend?
Ningbo ZhongDa Leader Intelligent Transmission Co Ltd currently shows a dividend yield of 0.21% relative to its recent price (as of Nov 4, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of Ningbo ZhongDa Leader Intelligent Transmission Co Ltd (002896)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Ningbo ZhongDa Leader Intelligent Transmission Co Ltd it is ¥4.92 per share (as of Nov 4, 2026), against a price of ¥57.68. It is the blended result of 16 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Ningbo ZhongDa Leader Intelligent Transmission Co Ltd stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Nov 4, 2026, 002896 trades above its calculated fair value: price ¥57.68, fair value ¥4.92, a gap of about −91% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of 002896?
No. The price is what the market pays today (¥57.68); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (¥4.92). For Ningbo ZhongDa Leader Intelligent Transmission Co Ltd the two are ¥52.76 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Ningbo ZhongDa Leader Intelligent Transmission Co Ltd worth?
The market values Ningbo ZhongDa Leader Intelligent Transmission Co Ltd at about 11.3B CNY (market capitalisation, as of Nov 4, 2026). Per share that is ¥57.68; our models calculate a fair value of ¥4.92 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about 002896?
Our models span a range for Ningbo ZhongDa Leader Intelligent Transmission Co Ltd: cautious scenario ¥3.88, base ¥4.92, optimistic ¥6.40 per share (as of Nov 4, 2026, price ¥57.68). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of 002896?
Ningbo ZhongDa Leader Intelligent Transmission Co Ltd trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 198.9 (as of Nov 4, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of ¥4.92 is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: P/B 9.4, P/S 9.4, EV/EBITDA 76.6.
How solid is the balance sheet of Ningbo ZhongDa Leader Intelligent Transmission Co Ltd (002896)?
Balance-sheet figures for Ningbo ZhongDa Leader Intelligent Transmission Co Ltd (as of Nov 4, 2026): return on equity 4.7%, debt of 0.03 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 36/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is 002896 from its 52-week high?
Ningbo ZhongDa Leader Intelligent Transmission Co Ltd trades at ¥57.68, about 39% below its 52-week high of ¥95.20 and 15% above the low of ¥50.20 (as of Nov 4, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of ¥4.92 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Ningbo ZhongDa Leader Intelligent Transmission Co Ltd?
From the same area (Industrials) we also value SIE, GE Vernova Inc, Eaton Corporation, Parker-Hannifin Corporation, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Ningbo ZhongDa Leader Intelligent Transmission Co Ltd stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Nov 4, 2026: price ¥57.68, calculated fair value ¥4.92 (−91%), Quality Score 36/100, from 16 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of 002896 calculated?
We run Ningbo ZhongDa Leader Intelligent Transmission Co Ltd through 16 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of ¥4.92, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 15.0% above its aggregate fair value. Ningbo ZhongDa Leader Intelligent Transmission Co Ltd itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Ningbo ZhongDa Leader Intelligent Transmission Co Ltd (002896)?
The closing price on Nov 4, 2026 was ¥57.68. Our model-based fair value is ¥4.92, about 91% lower (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Ningbo ZhongDa Leader Intelligent Transmission Co Ltd right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (¥6.40). The favourable scenario is already priced in. Weak quality (36/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution.
Where does the earnings growth of Ningbo ZhongDa Leader Intelligent Transmission Co Ltd (002896) come from?
Earnings per share at Ningbo ZhongDa Leader Intelligent Transmission Co Ltd grew +3.9 % a year from 2013 to 2024. Broken into its drivers: revenue per share +10.2 %, EBIT margin −6.3 %, tax rate +1.3 %, residual (interest, one-offs) −0.7 %. The four rates multiply to the earnings growth rate, they do not add up. Start and end are three-year averages so a single exceptional year does not distort the result.

Key figures of Ningbo ZhongDa Leader Intelligent Transmission Co Ltd

How large is the market capitalisation of Ningbo ZhongDa Leader Intelligent Transmission Co Ltd (002896)?
The market capitalisation of Ningbo ZhongDa Leader Intelligent Transmission Co Ltd is 11.3B CNY (≈ $1.7B). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Ningbo ZhongDa Leader Intelligent Transmission Co Ltd (002896)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Ningbo ZhongDa Leader Intelligent Transmission Co Ltd is 9.38 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Ningbo ZhongDa Leader Intelligent Transmission Co Ltd (002896)?
Earnings per share at Ningbo ZhongDa Leader Intelligent Transmission Co Ltd are ¥0.2900 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 198.9). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of Ningbo ZhongDa Leader Intelligent Transmission Co Ltd (002896)?
The dividend yield of Ningbo ZhongDa Leader Intelligent Transmission Co Ltd is 0.2% (payout 41.4%). Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Ningbo ZhongDa Leader Intelligent Transmission Co Ltd (002896)?
The net margin of Ningbo ZhongDa Leader Intelligent Transmission Co Ltd is 4.8% (last twelve months). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Ningbo ZhongDa Leader Intelligent Transmission Co Ltd (002896)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Ningbo ZhongDa Leader Intelligent Transmission Co Ltd is 4.7% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Ningbo ZhongDa Leader Intelligent Transmission Co Ltd (002896)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Ningbo ZhongDa Leader Intelligent Transmission Co Ltd is 5.0% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Ningbo ZhongDa Leader Intelligent Transmission Co Ltd (002896)?
The operating margin of Ningbo ZhongDa Leader Intelligent Transmission Co Ltd is 15.5% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Ningbo ZhongDa Leader Intelligent Transmission Co Ltd (002896)?
Revenue at Ningbo ZhongDa Leader Intelligent Transmission Co Ltd is growing +34.9% versus a year earlier (3y avg +5.1%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Ningbo ZhongDa Leader Intelligent Transmission Co Ltd (002896)?
Earnings per share at Ningbo ZhongDa Leader Intelligent Transmission Co Ltd are growing +126% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much free cash flow does Ningbo ZhongDa Leader Intelligent Transmission Co Ltd (002896) generate?
The free cash flow of Ningbo ZhongDa Leader Intelligent Transmission Co Ltd is −120M CNY (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net debt does Ningbo ZhongDa Leader Intelligent Transmission Co Ltd (002896) carry?
The net debt of Ningbo ZhongDa Leader Intelligent Transmission Co Ltd is 117M CNY (fiscal year 2025). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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