Shaw Brothers Holdings Ltd (0953) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Nov 13, 2026: fair value (intrinsic value) of Shaw Brothers Holdings Ltd stock HK$0.32, price HK$0.12, upside +168.9%, quality 57 out of 100. Rating: strongly undervalued. Calculated from audited financials with 6 of our 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceableSee the method →
Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year. As of Nov 10, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range HK$0.0980 – HK$0.5100 · fair‑value band HK$0.2800 – HK$0.3800 · the HK$0.1190 price screens below the HK$0.3200 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). As of Nov 10, 2026.
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Shaw Brothers Holdings Limited, an investment holding company, invests in, produces, and distributes films, drama, and non-drama in the People's Republic of China and Hong Kong. It also provides artiste and event management services.
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The company was formerly known as Meike International Holdings Limited and changed its name to Shaw Brothers Holdings Limited in June 2016. Shaw Brothers Holdings Limited was incorporated in 2009 and is based in Quarry Bay, Hong Kong.
Stock analysis
Shaw Brothers Holdings Ltd (0953) currently trades at HK$0.1190, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is HK$0.3200, implying the stock looks roughly 63% undervalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the Multiples group reads highest at a median of HK$0.3500 per share, and 6 of the 6 models we run sit above the HK$0.1190 price.
Bear case: the Earnings-Based group reads lowest at HK$0.2900, and 0 of the 6 models stay below the price. Data coverage for this calculation is low.
Scenario range: HK$0.2800 (bear) to HK$0.3800 (bull), the price of HK$0.1190 sits below it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 57/100 (solid quality), in the Communication Services sector.
Expensive Growth: The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Shaw Brothers Holdings Ltd reported revenue of 154M CNY in FY2025 versus 216M CNY in FY2021, a compound −8.1%/yr. Reported net income was −14.2M CNY in FY2025.
Key figures
Market cap HK$169M (≈ $21.5M) Micro · P/S ratio 2.68 · Net margin −9.2% · Return on equity −8.2% · Return on assets (EBIT) 1.1% (5-year average) · Operating margin −28.5% · Revenue (TTM) 65.8M CNY · Revenue growth (YoY) −82.6%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 9 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 69% below its 52-week high and at its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Communication Services peers we cover trades at −15% fair-value upside, at 169%, 0953 screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
BearHK$0.2800Fair Value HK$0.3200BullHK$0.3800
Price HK$0.1190 · Upside +168.9%
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above starts from their evidence-weighted blend, not from a single model. In cyclical trough or peak years, after dilution or a stock split it is adjusted afterwards, so it can sit above or below the models.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds.Coverage ⓘCoverage = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.25/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Revenue growth 1 year
+197.7%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−1.5%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+6.1%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +0.4% a year
Revenue growth 19 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−0.9%
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Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
−11.2% (2020) → 7.1% (2025)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2025 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
Compare Shaw Brothers Holdings Ltd with another stock
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Entertainment · 247 stocks
Beats the industry median on 4/9 measures
A mixed picture versus its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score57 · Above median
Fair Value upside+168.9% · Top 25%
Profitability
Return on assets−3.2% · Below median
Net margin (12 months)−46.5% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (12 months)−28.5% · Bottom 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth (quarter YoY)−82.6% · Bottom 25%
Balance sheet
Debt / equity0.04× · Below median
Valuation Multiplesvs Entertainment median · lower = cheaper
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Is Shaw Brothers Holdings Ltd (0953) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Nov 10, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of HK$0.3200 versus a price of HK$0.1190, about +169% upside (undervalued).
What is the fair value of 0953?
Our model-based fair value for Shaw Brothers Holdings Ltd is HK$0.3200 (as of Nov 10, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: HK$0.1190.
What is the quality score of 0953?
Shaw Brothers Holdings Ltd has a Quality Score of 57/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Shaw Brothers Holdings Ltd (0953)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of HK$0.3200 (as of Nov 10, 2026) from 6 valuation models. Cautious scenario HK$0.2800, optimistic scenario HK$0.3800. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Shaw Brothers Holdings Ltd stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at HK$0.3200, about +169% upside versus a price of HK$0.1190 (undervalued). Cautious scenario HK$0.2800, optimistic scenario HK$0.3800. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Shaw Brothers Holdings Ltd (0953)?
Shaw Brothers Holdings Ltd reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 65.8M CNY (latest available figure, as of Nov 10, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of Shaw Brothers Holdings Ltd (0953)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Shaw Brothers Holdings Ltd it is HK$0.3200 per share (as of Nov 10, 2026), against a price of HK$0.1190. It is the blended result of 6 valuation models in 4 families (Earnings-Based, Multiples, Asset-Based, Economic Profit).
Is Shaw Brothers Holdings Ltd stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Nov 10, 2026, 0953 trades below its calculated fair value: price HK$0.1190, fair value HK$0.3200, a gap of about +169% (undervalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of 0953?
No. The price is what the market pays today (HK$0.1190); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (HK$0.3200). For Shaw Brothers Holdings Ltd the two are HK$0.2010 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Shaw Brothers Holdings Ltd worth?
The market values Shaw Brothers Holdings Ltd at about HK$169M (market capitalisation, as of Nov 10, 2026). Per share that is HK$0.1190; our models calculate a fair value of HK$0.3200 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about 0953?
Our models span a range for Shaw Brothers Holdings Ltd: cautious scenario HK$0.2800, base HK$0.3200, optimistic HK$0.3800 per share (as of Nov 10, 2026, price HK$0.1190). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
How solid is the balance sheet of Shaw Brothers Holdings Ltd (0953)?
Balance-sheet figures for Shaw Brothers Holdings Ltd (as of Nov 10, 2026): return on equity −8.2%, debt of 0.04 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 57/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is 0953 from its 52-week high?
Shaw Brothers Holdings Ltd trades at HK$0.1190, about 69% below its 52-week high of HK$0.3800 and at the low of HK$0.1190 (as of Nov 13, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of HK$0.3200 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Shaw Brothers Holdings Ltd?
From the same area (Communication Services) we also value Netflix, Inc, The Walt Disney Company, Live Nation Entertainment, Inc, TKO Group, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Shaw Brothers Holdings Ltd stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Nov 10, 2026: price HK$0.1190, calculated fair value HK$0.3200 (+169%), Quality Score 57/100, from 6 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of 0953 calculated?
We run Shaw Brothers Holdings Ltd through 6 models from 4 families: Earnings-Based, Multiples, Asset-Based, Economic Profit. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the fair value of HK$0.3200 builds on their evidence-weighted average, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.1% above its aggregate fair value. Shaw Brothers Holdings Ltd currently trades 63% below its own fair value, and the market average says nothing about that. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Shaw Brothers Holdings Ltd (0953)?
The closing price on Nov 13, 2026 was HK$0.1190. Our model-based fair value is HK$0.3200, about +169% upside (undervalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Shaw Brothers Holdings Ltd right now?
The price is below even our cautious bear case (HK$0.2800). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution. Solid quality (57/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality.
Key figures of Shaw Brothers Holdings Ltd
How large is the market capitalisation of Shaw Brothers Holdings Ltd (0953)?
The market capitalisation of Shaw Brothers Holdings Ltd is HK$169M (≈ $21.5M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Shaw Brothers Holdings Ltd (0953)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Shaw Brothers Holdings Ltd is 2.68 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What is the net margin of Shaw Brothers Holdings Ltd (0953)?
The net margin of Shaw Brothers Holdings Ltd is −9.2% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Shaw Brothers Holdings Ltd (0953)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Shaw Brothers Holdings Ltd is −8.2% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Shaw Brothers Holdings Ltd (0953)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Shaw Brothers Holdings Ltd is 1.1% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Shaw Brothers Holdings Ltd (0953)?
The operating margin of Shaw Brothers Holdings Ltd is −28.5% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Shaw Brothers Holdings Ltd (0953)?
Revenue at Shaw Brothers Holdings Ltd is down 82.6% versus a year earlier (3y avg −1.5%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Shaw Brothers Holdings Ltd (0953)?
Earnings per share at Shaw Brothers Holdings Ltd are down 96.4% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much free cash flow does Shaw Brothers Holdings Ltd (0953) generate?
The free cash flow of Shaw Brothers Holdings Ltd is −36.9M CNY (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net cash does Shaw Brothers Holdings Ltd (0953) hold?
Shaw Brothers Holdings Ltd holds more cash than debt, 256M CNY net (fiscal year 2025). The company holds more cash than debt, a safety cushion.
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Thin data
Nov 10, 2026