Shaw Brothers Holdings (0953) Fair Value & Analysis
Communication Services · HK · Market cap HK$238M
Fair value as of: Aug 13, 2026
From 8 valuation models · updated 2 days ago
Share price +4.4% over the past month.
A solid business, screening 65% undervalued on our models.
What matters now
- The price is below even our cautious bear case (HK$0.2800). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario.
- Solid quality (57/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range HK$0.0980 – HK$0.5100 · fair‑value band HK$0.2800 – HK$0.3500 · the HK$0.1880 price screens below the HK$0.3100 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.
Analysis
Shaw Brothers Holdings (0953) currently trades at HK$0.1880, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is HK$0.3100, implying the stock looks roughly 64.9% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 57/100 (solid quality), in the Communication Services sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: medium), always confirm before acting.
Over the trailing twelve months, Shaw Brothers Holdings generated revenue of HK$154M at a net margin of -9.3%. Revenue grew 21.7% year over year. It earns a return on equity of -3.7%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of HK$256M. Fundamentals as of Aug 13, 2026
Our scenario range runs from HK$0.2800 (bear case) to HK$0.3500 (bull case); at HK$0.1880, the current price sits below that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 53% below its 52-week high and 36% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Communication Services peers we cover trades at -43% fair-value upside, at 65%, 0953 screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 8 models by family
Widest divergence: Multiples (HK$0.2900) versus Asset-Based (HK$0.1900). Highest evidence: ROIC Compounder (72).
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 13, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 58 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 35
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Shaw Brothers Holdings Limited, an investment holding company, invests in, produces, and distributes films, drama, and non-drama in the People's Republic of China and Hong Kong. It also provides artiste and event management services.
Full company description
Shaw Brothers Holdings Limited, an investment holding company, invests in, produces, and distributes films, drama, and non-drama in the People's Republic of China and Hong Kong. It also provides artiste and event management services. The company was formerly known as Meike International Holdings Limited and changed its name to Shaw Brothers Holdings Limited in June 2016. Shaw Brothers Holdings Limited was incorporated in 2009 and is based in Quarry Bay, Hong Kong.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Shaw Brothers Holdings reported revenue of HK$154M in FY2025 versus HK$216M in FY2021, a compound −8.1%/yr. Reported net income was −HK$14.2M in FY2025.
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Peer Group
Entertainment · 267 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Entertainment median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Entertainment stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 13, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Netflix, Inc ZNFL | C$6.08 | C$2.66 | -56% |
| The Walt Disney Company DIS | $103.18 | $80.62 | -22% |
| Warner Bros. Discovery, Inc WBD | $27.65 | $9.03 | -67% |
| Live Nation Entertainment, Inc LYV | $185.33 | $59.97 | -68% |
| Empresas Cablevisión, S.A. CABLECPO | 55.00 MXN | 59.14 MXN | +8% |
| PT MNC Digital Entertainment Tbk, MSIN | 370.00 IDR | 212.14 IDR | -43% |
| Prime Focus Limited PFOCUS | ₹268.00 | ₹63.45 | -76% |
| JYP Entertainment Corporation 035900 | 46,000 KRW | 82,382 KRW | +79% |
| SM Entertainment Co 041510 | 75,500 KRW | 208,415 KRW | +176% |
| PVR INOX Limited PVRINOX | ₹1,176 | ₹467.91 | -60% |
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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