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Shaw Brothers Holdings Ltd (0953) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Sep 30, 2026: fair value of Shaw Brothers Holdings Ltd HK$0.32, price HK$0.14, upside +128.6%, quality 57 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.

  1. Fair value above price? Yes
  2. Good quality? Yes
  3. Add to watchlist

Communication Services · HK · ISIN KYG8072W1087

SB Thin data Sep 27, 2026

Shaw Brothers Holdings Ltd

0953 · HK

Clearly undervaluedStrong Fair Value upside, but quality is only moderate.

✓Fair value HK$0.3200 · Strongly undervalued (+128.6%)
!Quality 57/100
!Expensive Growth (revenue 5y +6.1 %/yr)
!Loss-making · -9.3% net margin (TTM)
!Low debt · negative free cash flow
✓Ranks above peers (6/10)
!Narrow moat 0/100
!Evidence only low, so the estimate is less certain
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What runs behind every stock

26 valuation models 8 families, DCF to NCAV 37 quality factors margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt 6 AI factors moat, what no ratio measures 2,000+ data points verified, per stock, median

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

HK$0.5100 HK$0.0980 Fair Value HK$0.3200 May 2021 Sep 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 27, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range HK$0.0980 – HK$0.5100 · fair‑value band HK$0.2800 – HK$0.3800 · the HK$0.1400 price screens below the HK$0.3200 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 27, 2026.

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Company profile

Shaw Brothers Holdings Limited, an investment holding company, invests in, produces, and distributes films, drama, and non-drama in the People's Republic of China and Hong Kong. It also provides artiste and event management services.

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Shaw Brothers Holdings Limited, an investment holding company, invests in, produces, and distributes films, drama, and non-drama in the People's Republic of China and Hong Kong. It also provides artiste and event management services. The company was formerly known as Meike International Holdings Limited and changed its name to Shaw Brothers Holdings Limited in June 2016. Shaw Brothers Holdings Limited was incorporated in 2009 and is based in Quarry Bay, Hong Kong.

Stock analysis

Shaw Brothers Holdings Ltd (0953) currently trades at HK$0.1400, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is HK$0.3200, implying the stock looks roughly 56.2% undervalued today.

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Valuation

Bull case: the Multiples group reads highest at a median of HK$0.3400 per share, and 6 of the 6 models we run sit above the HK$0.1400 price.

Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at HK$0.2200, and 0 of the 6 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is low.

Scenario range: HK$0.2800 (bear) to HK$0.3800 (bull), the price of HK$0.1400 sits below it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 57/100 (solid quality), in the Communication Services sector.

Expensive Growth: The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.

Shaw Brothers Holdings Ltd reported revenue of 154M CNY in FY2025 versus 216M CNY in FY2021, a compound −8.1%/yr. Reported net income was −14.2M CNY in FY2025.

Key figures

Market cap HK$238M (≈ $30.4M) · P/S ratio 1.55 · Net margin −9.2% · Return on equity −3.7% · Return on assets (EBIT) 1.1% · Operating margin −53.9% · Revenue (TTM) 154M CNY · Revenue growth (YoY) +21.7%.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 50 out of 100 (low confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 63% below its 52-week high and at its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Communication Services peers we cover trades at −5% fair-value upside, at 129%, 0953 screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Bear HK$0.2800 Fair Value HK$0.3200 Bull HK$0.3800
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds. Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Highest evidence
EPV HK$0.2800 HK$0.2900 HK$0.3000 74
ROIC Compounder HK$0.2800 HK$0.2900 HK$0.3000 72
EV/EBITDA HK$0.3100 HK$0.3400 HK$0.3800 67
All 6 models by family
Earnings-Based
EPV HK$0.2800 HK$0.2900 HK$0.3000 74
Multiples
EV/EBIT HK$0.3300 HK$0.3700 HK$0.4100 66
EV/EBITDA HK$0.3100 HK$0.3400 HK$0.3800 67
EV/Revenue HK$0.2900 HK$0.3200 HK$0.3600 54
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) HK$0.1600 HK$0.2200 HK$0.3300 53
Economic Profit
ROIC Compounder HK$0.2800 HK$0.2900 HK$0.3000 72

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Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 57/100

Of which business quality 58 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 19

Profitability 9
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 66
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 33
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 89
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 100
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 48
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 10
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 0
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 82
Share count: buybacks or dilution?

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Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 25/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Revenue growth 1 year
+197.7%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−1.5%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+6.1%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +0.4% a year
Revenue growth 19 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−0.9%
Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
−11.2% (2020) → 7.1% (2025)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2025 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
not computed

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Compare Shaw Brothers Holdings Ltd with another stock

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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Entertainment · 243 stocks

Beats the industry median on 6/9 measures
Overall it ranks above its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 57 · Above median
Fair Value upside +128.6% · Top 25%
Profitability
Return on assets −2.9% · Below median
Net margin (TTM) −9.3% · Below median
Operating margin (TTM) −53.9% · Bottom 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth 21.7% · Top 25%
Balance sheet
Debt / equity 0.04× · Below median

Valuation Multiplesvs Entertainment median · lower = cheaper

P/B 0.08× · Cheapest 25%
P/S (TTM) 0.20× · Cheapest 25%

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)100 · sector 27
FUTURE (revenue growth)100 · sector 23
PAST (return on equity)0 · sector 5
HEALTH (low debt)98 · sector 97
DIVIDEND (yield)0 · sector 47

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Entertainment stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Netflix, Inc NFLX $71.15 $78.27 +10%
The Walt Disney Company DIS $106.15 $101.23 −5%
Warner Bros. Discovery, Inc WBD $30.86 $13.47 −56%
Live Nation Entertainment, Inc LYV $170.87 $48.93 −71%
TKO Group TKO $182.67 $69.66 −62%
Universal Music Group UMG €14.59 €16.05 +10%
Fox Corporation FOX $56.54 $65.92 +17%
Formula One Group FWONK $94.61 $104.07 +10%
Roku, Inc ROKU $152.67 $42.86 −72%
News Corporation NWS $31.75 $17.05 −46%

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HK$0.3200 +56%Fair Value
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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Shaw Brothers Holdings Ltd Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/0953

Frequently asked questions

Is Shaw Brothers Holdings Ltd (0953) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 27, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of HK$0.3200 versus a price of HK$0.1400, about +129% upside (undervalued).
What is the fair value of 0953?
Our model-based fair value for Shaw Brothers Holdings Ltd is HK$0.3200 (as of Sep 27, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: HK$0.1400.
What is the quality score of 0953?
Shaw Brothers Holdings Ltd has a Quality Score of 57/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Shaw Brothers Holdings Ltd (0953)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of HK$0.3200 (as of Sep 27, 2026) from 6 valuation models. Cautious scenario HK$0.2800, optimistic scenario HK$0.3800. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Shaw Brothers Holdings Ltd stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at HK$0.3200, about +129% upside versus a price of HK$0.1400 (undervalued). Cautious scenario HK$0.2800, optimistic scenario HK$0.3800. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Shaw Brothers Holdings Ltd (0953)?
Shaw Brothers Holdings Ltd reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 154M CNY (latest available figure, as of Sep 27, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of Shaw Brothers Holdings Ltd (0953)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Shaw Brothers Holdings Ltd it is HK$0.3200 per share (as of Sep 27, 2026), against a price of HK$0.1400. It is the blended result of 6 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Shaw Brothers Holdings Ltd stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 27, 2026, 0953 trades below its calculated fair value: price HK$0.1400, fair value HK$0.3200, a gap of about +129% (undervalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of 0953?
No. The price is what the market pays today (HK$0.1400); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (HK$0.3200). For Shaw Brothers Holdings Ltd the two are HK$0.1800 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Shaw Brothers Holdings Ltd worth?
The market values Shaw Brothers Holdings Ltd at about HK$238M (market capitalisation, as of Sep 27, 2026). Per share that is HK$0.1400; our models calculate a fair value of HK$0.3200 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about 0953?
Our models span a range for Shaw Brothers Holdings Ltd: cautious scenario HK$0.2800, base HK$0.3200, optimistic HK$0.3800 per share (as of Sep 27, 2026, price HK$0.1400). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
How solid is the balance sheet of Shaw Brothers Holdings Ltd (0953)?
Balance-sheet figures for Shaw Brothers Holdings Ltd (as of Sep 27, 2026): return on equity −3.7%, debt of 0.04 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 57/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is 0953 from its 52-week high?
Shaw Brothers Holdings Ltd trades at HK$0.1400, about 63% below its 52-week high of HK$0.3800 and at the low of HK$0.1400 (as of Sep 30, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of HK$0.3200 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Shaw Brothers Holdings Ltd?
From the same area (Communication Services) we also value Netflix, Inc, The Walt Disney Company, Warner Bros. Discovery, Inc, Live Nation Entertainment, Inc, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Shaw Brothers Holdings Ltd stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 27, 2026: price HK$0.1400, calculated fair value HK$0.3200 (+129%), Quality Score 57/100, from 6 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of 0953 calculated?
We run Shaw Brothers Holdings Ltd through 6 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of HK$0.3200, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.8 % above its aggregate fair value. Shaw Brothers Holdings Ltd currently trades 56 % below its own fair value, and the market average says nothing about that. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Shaw Brothers Holdings Ltd (0953)?
The closing price on Sep 30, 2026 was HK$0.1400. Our model-based fair value is HK$0.3200, about +129% upside (undervalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Shaw Brothers Holdings Ltd right now?
The price is below even our cautious bear case (HK$0.2800). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution. Solid quality (57/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality.

Key figures of Shaw Brothers Holdings Ltd

How large is the market capitalisation of Shaw Brothers Holdings Ltd (0953)?
The market capitalisation of Shaw Brothers Holdings Ltd is HK$238M (≈ $30.4M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Shaw Brothers Holdings Ltd (0953)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Shaw Brothers Holdings Ltd is 1.55 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What is the net margin of Shaw Brothers Holdings Ltd (0953)?
The net margin of Shaw Brothers Holdings Ltd is −9.2% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Shaw Brothers Holdings Ltd (0953)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Shaw Brothers Holdings Ltd is −3.7% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Shaw Brothers Holdings Ltd (0953)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Shaw Brothers Holdings Ltd is 1.1% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Shaw Brothers Holdings Ltd (0953)?
The operating margin of Shaw Brothers Holdings Ltd is −53.9% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Shaw Brothers Holdings Ltd (0953)?
Revenue at Shaw Brothers Holdings Ltd is growing +21.7% versus a year earlier (3y avg −1.5%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Shaw Brothers Holdings Ltd (0953)?
Earnings per share at Shaw Brothers Holdings Ltd are growing −96.4% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much free cash flow does Shaw Brothers Holdings Ltd (0953) generate?
The free cash flow of Shaw Brothers Holdings Ltd is −36.9M CNY (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net cash does Shaw Brothers Holdings Ltd (0953) hold?
Shaw Brothers Holdings Ltd holds more cash than debt, 256M CNY net (fiscal year 2025). The company holds more cash than debt, a safety cushion.
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