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Data-driven stock valuation

Riyad Bank (1010) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Nov 12, 2026: fair value (intrinsic value) of Riyad Bank stock SAR 27.99, price SAR 20.39, upside +37.3%, quality 45 out of 100. Rating: undervalued. Calculated from audited financials with 6 of our 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.

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Financial Services SA · ISIN SA0007879048

RB Riyad Bank logo Broad data Nov 11, 2026

Riyad Bank

1010 · SR

Cheap (27% below fair value) and rising price, but weak company: meets 2 of 3 rules.

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Fair value 27.99 SAR · Undervalued 
Rising price (uptrend) 
Highly profitable · 61.2% net margin (TTM) 
5.2% dividend yield · Low payout
Ranks above peers (10/13) 
Broad data 
Costs just 7.7 times its yearly profit. 
Quality 45/100 
Expensive Growth (revenue 5y +10.6 %/yr in SAR) 
Wide moat 69/100 · thin data

Main risks:

🚩Dependence on Vision 2030 projects🚩Rising overseas funding reliance
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What runs behind every stock

26 valuation models 8 families, DCF to NCAV 37 quality factors margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt 6 AI factors moat, what no ratio measures 2,000+ data points verified, per stock, median

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

25.36 SAR 15.53 SAR Fair Value 27.99 SAR Aug 2021 Nov 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year. As of Nov 11, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range 15.53 SAR – 25.36 SAR · fair‑value band 18.66 SAR – 37.82 SAR · the 20.39 SAR price screens below the 27.99 SAR fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). As of Nov 11, 2026.

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Company profile

Riyad Bank provides banking and investment services in the Kingdom of Saudi Arabia. It operates through the Retail Banking, Investment Banking and Brokerage, Corporate Banking, and Treasury and Investments segments.

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The Retail Banking segment offers deposits, credit, and investment products for individuals. Its Investment Banking and Brokerage segment provides investment management services, as well as asset management services related to dealing, managing, arranging, advising, and custody of securities.

The Corporate Banking segment offers current accounts, deposits, loans, overdrafts, and other credit facilities for small to medium sized businesses.

Its Treasury and Investments segment provides money market, trading, and treasury and derivative products and services, as well as manages investment portfolios.

The company also offers credit cards; trade finance, payroll solution, point of sale; and cash deposit card; student account; time deposit; sweeping; personal, auto-lease, readymade and incomplete property, home equity, self-employed, and mortgage loans; working capital, contract, capital expenditure, and project financing; syndicated loan; Islamic banking products and services; foreign exchange products; and digital banking services.

In addition, it owns, buys, and sells real estate; and acts as an agent for insurance products, as well as engages in systems analysis, application, operating systems development, hosting websites, financial technology solutions, and related activities.

The company operates through a network of branches in the Kingdom of Saudi Arabia, the United Kingdom, the United States; and a representative office in Singapore and ATMs. Riyad Bank was incorporated in 1957 and is based in Riyadh, the Kingdom of Saudi Arabia.

Stock analysis

Riyad Bank (1010) currently trades at 20.39 SAR, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 27.99 SAR, implying the stock looks roughly 27% undervalued today.

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Valuation

Bull case: the Multiples group reads highest at a median of 30.26 SAR per share, and 5 of the 6 models we run sit above the 20.39 SAR price.

Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at 12.70 SAR, and 1 of the 6 models stay below the price. Data coverage for this calculation is high.

Scenario range: 18.66 SAR (bear) to 37.82 SAR (bull), the price of 20.39 SAR sits inside it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 45/100 (below-average quality), in the Financial Services sector.

Expensive Growth: The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.

Riyad Bank reported revenue of 18.4B SAR in FY2025 versus 11.6B SAR in FY2021, a compound +12.2%/yr. Reported net income was 10.4B SAR in FY2025, compounding +14.7%/yr from FY2021.

Key figures

Market cap 81.2B SAR (≈ $21.6B) Large · P/E ratio 7.7 · P/S ratio 4.62 · EPS (TTM) 2.66 SAR · Dividend yield 5.2% · Net margin 61.2% · Return on equity 13.3% · Return on assets (EBIT) 2.3% (5-year average).

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 69 out of 100 (low confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 6% below its 52-week high and 12% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Financial Services peers we cover trades at −31% fair-value upside, at 37%, 1010 screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Bear 18.66 SAR Fair Value 27.99 SAR Bull 37.82 SAR
Price 20.39 SAR · Upside +37.3%
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above starts from their evidence-weighted blend, not from a single model. In cyclical trough or peak years, after dilution or a stock split it is adjusted afterwards, so it can sit above or below the models. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 10 months old). Earnings retained since then (1.40 SAR per share) are deliberately not added. Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds. Coverage ⓘCoverage = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Best data coverage
Residual Income 18.66 SAR 23.32 SAR 33.20 SAR 75
DDM Multi-Stage 12.90 SAR 22.80 SAR 29.19 SAR 66
Gordon GGM 12.90 SAR 27.99 SAR 46.74 SAR 65
All 6 models by family
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM 12.90 SAR 27.99 SAR 46.74 SAR 65
DDM Multi-Stage 12.90 SAR 22.80 SAR 29.19 SAR 66
Multiples
P/E Multiple 25.48 SAR 33.98 SAR 42.47 SAR 63
P/B Multiple 19.90 SAR 26.53 SAR 33.16 SAR 55
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) 9.47 SAR 12.70 SAR 18.95 SAR 54
Economic Profit
Residual Income 18.66 SAR 23.32 SAR 33.20 SAR 75

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Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 45/100

It rates the business: profits, how they develop, real cash, balance sheet, investing and share count.

Profitability 38
How much profit the company makes from its sales and capital
Quality Growth 57
Are margins and returns getting better?
Cashflow 0
Do the profits arrive as real cash?
Financial strength 30
Debt, balance sheet and risk of trouble
Investment 45
Does it invest with discipline instead of growing at any price?
Low Volatility 97
How calm the share price moves, does not count
Price momentum 44
Price momentum of the last 3 to 12 months, does not count
Near the 52-week high 54
Distance to the 52-week high, does not count
New shares 83
Buys back shares or issues new ones?

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Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 60/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Revenue growth 1 year
+6.4%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+11.3%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+10.6%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +8.7% a year
Revenue growth 19 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+6.9%
What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate.
+18.5%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year+13.3%
Dividend (yield on the price)5.2%
Pace: 5 vs 10 years ⓘTwo data points, not a trend model: earnings growth per share over the last 5 fiscal years against the last 10. Labelled "steady" when both rates are within 3 percentage points of each other, otherwise picking up or flattening. Shown only when ten years of history exist.13.3% vs 9.9%, picking up
Profit margin 2020 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.50% → 63%
Pace: the 5-year rate starts in 2020 (pandemic)

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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Banks - Regional · 999 stocks

Beats the industry median on 10/13 measures
Overall it ranks above its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 45 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside +37.3% · Top 25%
Profitability
Return on equity (12 months) 13.3% · Above median
Return on assets 2.0% · Top 25%
Net margin (12 months) 61.2% · Top 25%
Operating margin (12 months) 69.9% · Top 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth (quarter YoY) 6.3% · Below median
Dividend yield (12 months) 5.2% · Top 25%
Balance sheet
Debt / equity 0.12× · Below median

Valuation Multiplesvs Banks - Regional median · lower = cheaper

P/E (12 months) 7.7× · Cheapest 25%
P/B 1.08× · Cheaper than median
P/S (12 months) 4.62× · Priciest 25%
EV/EBITDA 3.5× · Cheapest 25%

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)83 · sector 8
FUTURE (revenue growth)32 · sector 47
PAST (return on equity)53 · sector 43
HEALTH (low debt)–
DIVIDEND (yield)100 · sector 52

HEALTH: for banks, insurers and similar financial firms borrowed money is part of the business, so we do not rate debt here.

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Banks - Regional stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value Compare
Postal Savings Bank of China Co 601658 ¥5.69 ¥7.59 +33% vs 1010
China Merchants Bank Co 600036 ¥42.93 ¥52.73 +23% vs 1010
BNP Paribas SA BNP €95.57 €107.43 +12% vs 1010
Intesa Sanpaolo S.p.A ISP €6.26 €4.91 −22% vs 1010
UniCredit S.p.A UCG €83.68 €58.08 −31% vs 1010
Oversea-Chinese Banking Corporation O39 28.53 SGD 18.20 SGD −36% vs 1010
DBS Group D05 69.90 SGD 40.39 SGD −42% vs 1010
Mizuho Financial Group MFG $10.34 $5.84 −44% vs 1010
HDFC Bank Limited HDFCBANK ₹804.00 ₹406.39 −49% vs 1010
ICICI Bank Limited ICICIBANK ₹1,584 ₹615.63 −61% vs 1010

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Riyad Bank: fair value per Fair Value Calculator

Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Riyad Bank Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/1010

Frequently asked questions

Is Riyad Bank (1010) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Nov 11, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of 27.99 SAR versus a price of 20.39 SAR, about +37% upside (undervalued).
What is the fair value of 1010?
Our model-based fair value for Riyad Bank is 27.99 SAR (as of Nov 11, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: 20.39 SAR.
What is the quality score of 1010?
Riyad Bank has a Quality Score of 45/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Riyad Bank (1010)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of 27.99 SAR (as of Nov 11, 2026) from 6 valuation models. Cautious scenario 18.66 SAR, optimistic scenario 37.82 SAR. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Riyad Bank stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at 27.99 SAR, about +37% upside versus a price of 20.39 SAR (undervalued). Cautious scenario 18.66 SAR, optimistic scenario 37.82 SAR. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Riyad Bank (1010)?
Riyad Bank reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 17.6B SAR (latest available figure, as of Nov 11, 2026).
Does Riyad Bank pay a dividend?
Riyad Bank currently shows a dividend yield of 5.16% relative to its recent price (as of Nov 11, 2026).
How much is the dividend of Riyad Bank (1010) and when is the ex-dividend date?
Riyad Bank pays a dividend of 1.05 SAR per share a year, a dividend yield of 5.2%. The last ex-dividend date was Jul 29, 2026. A dividend has been paid every year since at least 2012. The payout ratio is 39.6% of earnings. Our assessment: Low payout. A low payout ratio: the dividend takes at most 60 % of earnings. Whether free cash flow covers it as well, we cannot see for this company.
What is the intrinsic value of Riyad Bank (1010)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Riyad Bank it is 27.99 SAR per share (as of Nov 11, 2026), against a price of 20.39 SAR. It is the blended result of 6 valuation models in 4 families (Dividend Discount, Multiples, Asset-Based, Economic Profit).
Is Riyad Bank stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Nov 11, 2026, 1010 trades below its calculated fair value: price 20.39 SAR, fair value 27.99 SAR, a gap of about +37% (undervalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of 1010?
No. The price is what the market pays today (20.39 SAR); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (27.99 SAR). For Riyad Bank the two are 7.60 SAR per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Riyad Bank worth?
The market values Riyad Bank at about 81.2B SAR (market capitalisation, as of Nov 11, 2026). Per share that is 20.39 SAR; our models calculate a fair value of 27.99 SAR per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about 1010?
Our models span a range for Riyad Bank: cautious scenario 18.66 SAR, base 27.99 SAR, optimistic 37.82 SAR per share (as of Nov 11, 2026, price 20.39 SAR). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of 1010?
Riyad Bank trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 7.7 (as of Nov 11, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of 27.99 SAR is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: P/B 1.1, P/S 4.6, EV/EBITDA 3.5.
How solid is the balance sheet of Riyad Bank (1010)?
Balance-sheet figures for Riyad Bank (as of Nov 11, 2026): return on equity 13.3%, debt of 0.12 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 45/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is 1010 from its 52-week high?
Riyad Bank trades at 20.39 SAR, about 6% below its 52-week high of 21.66 SAR and 12% above the low of 18.20 SAR (as of Nov 12, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of 27.99 SAR is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Riyad Bank?
From the same area (Financial Services) we also value China Merchants Bank Co, DBS Group, UniCredit S.p.A, Mizuho Financial Group, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Riyad Bank stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Nov 11, 2026: price 20.39 SAR, calculated fair value 27.99 SAR (+37%), Quality Score 45/100, from 6 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of 1010 calculated?
We run Riyad Bank through 6 models from 4 families: Dividend Discount, Multiples, Asset-Based, Economic Profit. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the fair value of 27.99 SAR builds on their evidence-weighted average, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.1% above its aggregate fair value. Riyad Bank currently trades 27% below its own fair value, and the market average says nothing about that. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Riyad Bank (1010)?
The closing price on Nov 12, 2026 was 20.39 SAR. Our model-based fair value is 27.99 SAR, about +37% upside (undervalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Riyad Bank right now?
The large discount to fair value meets weak quality (45/100). That raises the risk this is a value trap rather than a bargain. A fairly wide model range (18.66 SAR to 37.82 SAR) leaves room in how you read the outcome. For a financial, book-value and earnings-based methods matter more than a cash-flow DCF, which fits banks and insurers poorly.
Where does the earnings growth of Riyad Bank (1010) come from?
Earnings per share at Riyad Bank grew 10.1 % a year from 2014 to 2025. Broken into its drivers: revenue per share +9.1 %, EBIT margin +2.7 %, tax rate −1.2 %, residual (interest, one-offs) −0.5 %. The four rates multiply to the earnings growth rate, they do not add up. Start and end are three-year averages so a single exceptional year does not distort the result.

Key figures of Riyad Bank

How large is the market capitalisation of Riyad Bank (1010)?
The market capitalisation of Riyad Bank is 81.2B SAR (≈ $21.6B). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Riyad Bank (1010)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Riyad Bank is 4.62 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Riyad Bank (1010)?
Earnings per share at Riyad Bank are 2.66 SAR (price ÷ EPS = P/E 7.7). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of Riyad Bank (1010)?
The dividend yield of Riyad Bank is 5.2% (payout 39.6%). Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Riyad Bank (1010)?
The net margin of Riyad Bank is 61.2% (last twelve months). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Riyad Bank (1010)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Riyad Bank is 13.3% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Riyad Bank (1010)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Riyad Bank is 2.3% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Riyad Bank (1010)?
The operating margin of Riyad Bank is 69.9% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Riyad Bank (1010)?
Revenue at Riyad Bank is growing 6.3% versus a year earlier (3y avg +11.3%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Riyad Bank (1010)?
Earnings per share at Riyad Bank are growing 5.9% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much free cash flow does Riyad Bank (1010) generate?
The free cash flow of Riyad Bank is −25.9B SAR (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net debt does Riyad Bank (1010) carry?
The net debt of Riyad Bank is 1.1B SAR (fiscal year 2025). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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