Tibet Water Resources Ltd (1115) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Nov 13, 2026: fair value (intrinsic value) of Tibet Water Resources Ltd stock HK$0.22, price HK$0.47, that is 53.0% below the price, quality 62 out of 100. Rating: strongly overvalued. Calculated from audited financials with 22 of our 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
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Tibet Water Resources Ltd
1115 · HKFar too expensive (fair value 53% below the price) and falling price, but solid company: meets 1 of 3 rules.
What runs behind every stock
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Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year. As of Nov 11, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range HK$0.2050 – HK$0.8289 · fair‑value band HK$0.1615 – HK$0.2805 · the HK$0.4700 price screens above the HK$0.2210 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). As of Nov 11, 2026.
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Company profile
5100 Xizang Glacier Company Limited, an investment holding company, engages in the production and sale of water and beer products in the People's Republic of China. It operates through Water Business and Beer Business segments.
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The Water Business segment manufactures and sells a range of water products through wholesales under the 5100 Glacial Water brand name; sells raw materials and consumables to associates and third parties; and leases production lines.
The Beer segment offers various beer products through wholesales under the Highland Barley Beer brand name.
The company also engages in the marketing, promotion, distribution, and retailing of water products; import and distribution of food; provision of lending services; manufacturing and distribution of caps and other raw materials and consumables; and operations and management of the water products market.
The company was formerly known as Tibet Water Resources Ltd. and changed its name to 5100 Xizang Glacier Company Limited in October 2025. 5100 Xizang Glacier Company Limited was founded in 2006 and is headquartered in Admiralty, Hong Kong.
Stock analysis
Tibet Water Resources Ltd (1115) currently trades at HK$0.4700, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is HK$0.2210, 53% below the price, so the stock looks overvalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the Growth Earnings group reads highest at a median of HK$0.2700 per share, and 1 of the 21 models we run sit above the HK$0.4700 price.
Bear case: the Earnings-Based group reads lowest at HK$0.1500, and 20 of the 21 models stay below the price. Data coverage for this calculation is low.
Scenario range: HK$0.1615 (bear) to HK$0.2805 (bull), the price of HK$0.4700 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 62/100 (solid quality), in the Consumer Defensive sector.
Weak Growth: Revenue growth is inconsistent: the periods point in different directions, so there is no trend to rely on.
Tibet Water Resources Ltd reported revenue of 358M CNY in FY2025 versus 456M CNY in FY2021, a compound −5.9%/yr. Reported net income was 86.2M CNY in FY2025, compounding +16.4%/yr from FY2021.
Key figures
Market cap HK$2.7B (≈ $342M) Small · P/E ratio 14.8 · P/S ratio 3.57 · Net margin 24.1% · Return on equity 4.5% · Return on assets (EBIT) −0.6% (5-year average) · Operating margin 24.4% · Revenue (TTM) 411M CNY.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 56 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 28% below its 52-week high and 21% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Consumer Defensive peers we cover trades at 21% fair-value upside, at −53%, 1115 screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
All 22 models by family
The fair value above starts from this blend and is adjusted for dilution from new shares.
Quality Score breakdown
It rates the business: profits, how they develop, real cash, balance sheet, investing and share count.
Revenue & earnings trend
Growth Forecast
1115 screens overvalued: fair value 53% below the price. Compare with Anheuser-Busch InBev SA →
Compare Tibet Water Resources Ltd with another stock
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Beverages - Brewers · 57 stocks
Valuation Multiplesvs Beverages - Brewers median · lower = cheaper
Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
Context: sector, industry, market
- Is the Consumer Staples sector expensive or cheap?
- P/E, EV/EBITDA and margins by industry (reference tables)
- Debt-to-equity by industry
- Price/FCF by industry
- Stock screener with 62 metrics
- Undervalued stocks: Hong Kong Stocks
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
Similar stocks
10 more Beverages - Brewers stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value | Compare |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Molson Coors Beverage Company TAP | $40.84 | $79.18 | +94% | vs 1115 |
| Royal Unibrew A/S RBREW | kr 479.00 | kr 667.42 | +39% | vs 1115 |
| Chongqing Brewery Co 600132 | ¥37.90 | ¥51.70 | +36% | vs 1115 |
| Constellation Brands, Inc STZ | $145.61 | $186.65 | +28% | vs 1115 |
| Tsingtao Brewery Company 600600 | ¥52.49 | ¥63.71 | +21% | vs 1115 |
| Beijing Yanjing Brewery Co 000729 | ¥10.96 | ¥11.10 | +1% | vs 1115 |
| Anheuser-Busch InBev SA ABI | €76.94 | €62.90 | −18% | vs 1115 |
| Heineken N.V HEIA | €84.72 | €69.22 | −18% | vs 1115 |
| Heineken Holding HEIO | €80.85 | €64.21 | −21% | vs 1115 |
| United Breweries Limited UBL | ₹1,216 | ₹141.82 | −88% | vs 1115 |
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Frequently asked questions
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Key figures of Tibet Water Resources Ltd
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