5100 Xizang Glacier Company (1115) Fair Value & Analysis
Consumer Defensive · HK · Market cap HK$2.2B
Fair value as of: Aug 13, 2026
From 22 valuation models · updated 2 days ago
Share price −4.5% over the past month.
A solid business, but screening 50% overvalued on our models.
What matters now
- The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (HK$0.2805). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
- Solid but not exceptional quality (61/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
- A fairly wide model range (HK$0.1445 to HK$0.2805) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range HK$0.2050 – HK$0.9735 · fair‑value band HK$0.1445 – HK$0.2805 · the HK$0.4250 price screens above the HK$0.2125 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.
Analysis
5100 Xizang Glacier Company (1115) currently trades at HK$0.4250, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is HK$0.2125, implying the stock looks roughly 50.0% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 61/100 (solid quality), in the Consumer Defensive sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).
Over the trailing twelve months, 5100 Xizang Glacier Company generated revenue of HK$358M at a net margin of 24.1%. Revenue grew 117.7% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 3.3%. Net debt stands at HK$562M. Fundamentals as of Aug 13, 2026
Our scenario range runs from HK$0.1445 (bear case) to HK$0.2805 (bull case); at HK$0.4250, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 44% below its 52-week high and 73% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Consumer Defensive peers we cover trades at -5% fair-value upside, at -50%, 1115 screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 22 models by family
Widest divergence: Asset-Based (HK$0.3500) versus Earnings-Based (HK$0.1300). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 13, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 58 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 32
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
5100 Xizang Glacier Company Limited, an investment holding company, engages in the production and sale of water and beer products in the People's Republic of China. It operates through Water Business and Beer Business segments.
Full company description
5100 Xizang Glacier Company Limited, an investment holding company, engages in the production and sale of water and beer products in the People's Republic of China. It operates through Water Business and Beer Business segments. The Water Business segment manufactures and sells a range of water products through wholesales under the 5100 Glacial Water brand name; sells raw materials and consumables to associates and third parties; and leases production lines. The Beer segment offers various beer products through wholesales under the Highland Barley Beer brand name. The company also engages in the marketing, promotion, distribution, and retailing of water products; import and distribution of food; provision of lending services; manufacturing and distribution of caps and other raw materials and consumables; and operations and management of the water products market. The company was formerly known as Tibet Water Resources Ltd. and changed its name to 5100 Xizang Glacier Company Limited in October 2025. 5100 Xizang Glacier Company Limited was founded in 2006 and is headquartered in Admiralty, Hong Kong.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
5100 Xizang Glacier Company reported revenue of HK$358M in FY2025 versus HK$456M in FY2021, a compound −5.9%/yr. Reported net income was HK$86.2M in FY2025, compounding +16.4%/yr from FY2021.
1115 screens 50% overvalued. Compare with Anheuser-Busch InBev SA →
Peer Group
Beverages - Brewers · 53 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Beverages - Brewers median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Beverages - Brewers stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 13, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Anheuser-Busch InBev SA 1ABI | €68.84 | €41.60 | -40% |
| Ambev S.A ABEV | 14,120 ARS | 3,535 ARS | -75% |
| Fomento Económico Mexicano, S.A. FEMSAUBD | 222.91 MXN | 201.74 MXN | -9% |
| Heineken N.V HEIA | €73.90 | €65.06 | -12% |
| Constellation Brands, Inc STZ | $133.98 | $173.19 | +29% |
| Carlsberg A/S CARLA | kr 1,090 | kr 607.30 | -44% |
| Heineken Holding HEIO | €69.70 | €99.95 | +43% |
| Tsingtao Brewery Company 600600 | ¥53.45 | ¥63.65 | +19% |
| Budweiser Brewing Company 1876 | HK$6.35 | HK$6.05 | -5% |
| China Resources Beer (Holdings) Company 0291 | HK$22.50 | HK$25.37 | +13% |
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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