Chun Yu Works & Co Ltd (2012) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Nov 9, 2026: fair value (intrinsic value) of Chun Yu Works & Co Ltd stock TWD 7.16, price TWD 13.90, that is 48.5% below the price, quality 51 out of 100. Rating: strongly overvalued. Calculated from audited financials with 22 of our 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceableSee the method →
Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year. As of Nov 8, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range 13.85 TWD – 35.56 TWD · fair‑value band 5.16 TWD – 11.16 TWD · the 13.90 TWD price screens above the 7.16 TWD fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). As of Nov 8, 2026.
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Chun Yu Works & Co., Ltd. engages in the manufacture and sale of various fastener products in Taiwan and internationally.
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It offers automotive, bike, railway system, construction and building, steel structure, electronic, heavy industry and machinery, aerospace, and green energy fasteners; and collated screws, collated auto feed screwdrivers, cold drawn and annealing wires, and bright steel bars and wire rods.
The company also provides surface and phosphating treatment, and environmental protection engineering services, as well as waste treatment systems. The company was founded in 1949 and is headquartered in Kaohsiung, Taiwan.
Stock analysis
Chun Yu Works & Co Ltd (2012) currently trades at 13.90 TWD, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 7.16 TWD, 48% below the price, so the stock looks overvalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the Economic Profit group reads highest at a median of 8.40 TWD per share, and 1 of the 21 models we run sit above the 13.90 TWD price.
Bear case: the Earnings-Based group reads lowest at 1.65 TWD, and 20 of the 21 models stay below the price. Data coverage for this calculation is low.
Scenario range: 5.16 TWD (bear) to 11.16 TWD (bull), the price of 13.90 TWD sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 51/100 (solid quality), in the Basic Materials sector.
Weak Growth: Revenue growth is weak: less than 2 % a year.
Chun Yu Works & Co Ltd reported revenue of 8.3B TWD in FY2025 versus 11.8B TWD in FY2021, a compound −8.4%/yr. Reported net income was 55.3M TWD in FY2025, compounding −47.8%/yr from FY2021.
Key figures
Market cap 3.7B TWD (≈ $114M) Micro · P/S ratio 0.52 · EPS (TTM) −0.1200 TWD · Dividend yield 2.2% · Net margin −0.4% · Return on equity 0.1% · Return on assets (EBIT) 5.5% (5-year average) · Operating margin 5.6%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 23 out of 100 (medium confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 21% below its 52-week high and at its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Basic Materials peers we cover trades at −34% fair-value upside, at −48%, 2012 screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear5.16 TWDFair Value 7.16 TWDBull11.16 TWD
Price 13.90 TWD · Downside -48.5%
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above starts from their evidence-weighted blend, not from a single model. In cyclical trough or peak years, after dilution or a stock split it is adjusted afterwards, so it can sit above or below the models.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds.Coverage ⓘCoverage = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Best data coverage
FCF DCF2.40 TWD4.18 TWD7.09 TWD77
Growth DCF2.58 TWD4.25 TWD6.79 TWD76
Residual Income8.02 TWD8.40 TWD8.95 TWD76
All 22 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF2.40 TWD4.18 TWD7.09 TWD77
Owner Earningsn/a0.9000 TWD2.64 TWD72
5Y Revenue Exit1.16 TWD2.96 TWD5.58 TWD67
5Y EBITDA Exit3.48 TWD6.97 TWD11.59 TWD72
5Y P/E Exit0.4000 TWD1.65 TWD3.17 TWD64
10Y Revenue Exit1.61 TWD2.87 TWD4.18 TWD65
10Y EBITDA Exit2.94 TWD5.06 TWD7.30 TWD67
10Y P/E Exit1.29 TWD2.16 TWD2.94 TWD63
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd1.35 TWD1.65 TWD1.85 TWD67
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM3.33 TWD3.58 TWD3.94 TWD69
DDM Multi-Stage3.33 TWD3.91 TWD4.63 TWD67
Multiples
P/E Multiple3.12 TWD4.17 TWD5.21 TWD63
P/S Multiple2.53 TWD3.37 TWD4.22 TWD57
P/B Multiple46.82 TWD62.42 TWD78.03 TWD55
EV/EBITn/a1.18 TWD3.26 TWD60
EV/EBITDA2.63 TWD5.88 TWD9.13 TWD63
EV/Revenuen/an/a1.13 TWD49
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham)4.22 TWD6.39 TWD7.99 TWD54
Growth DCF
Growth DCF2.58 TWD4.25 TWD6.79 TWD76
Rev-Margin DCF1.16 TWD3.14 TWD5.62 TWD67
Economic Profit
Residual Income8.02 TWD8.40 TWD8.95 TWD76
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E2.21 TWD3.15 TWD4.10 TWD67
The fair value above starts from this blend and is adjusted for a cyclical trough year.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.40/100
Revenue growth is weak: less than 2 % a year.
Revenue growth 1 year
−9.4%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−9.1%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+0.6%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: −0.3% a year
Revenue growth 23 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+2.3%
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What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years), in TWD ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate. Measured in TWD: this currency has depreciated against the euro and dollar over the long run, so part of the nominal rate is currency erosion that never reaches a EUR/USD investor.
−40.9%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year−43.1%
Dividend (yield on the price)2.2%
Pace: 5 vs 10 years ⓘTwo data points, not a trend model: earnings growth per share over the last 5 fiscal years against the last 10. Labelled "steady" when both rates are within 3 percentage points of each other, otherwise picking up or flattening. Shown only when ten years of history exist.−43.1% vs −16.2%, slowing
Profit margin 2020 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.6% → 4%
Pace: the 5-year rate starts in 2020 (pandemic)
⚠ Revenue per share shrinking 1.6%/yr over ~10Y (margins intact) ⓘStructural-decline marker: revenue PER SHARE has fallen over the last decade (robust median trend, not a single year). Backtested across 2005 to 2017, such businesses trailed the market by about 2.5 percentage points per year. Display only: it does not change the fair value or the quality score.
Growth Forecast
A lot of optimism in the price
The price assumes more growth than the company has delivered so far.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
+9.8%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect
n/a
No analyst forecast available.
Calculated on free cash flow for fiscal year 2025. Over the last twelve months it was negative, so the figure above is uncertain.
After inflation (Taiwan: IMF forecast 1.6% a year to 2030, 1.5% from 2016 to 2025) that is about +8.0% a year for the price.
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Steel · 410 stocks
Beats the industry median on 5/13 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score51 · Above median
Fair Value upside−48.5% · Bottom 25%
Profitability
Return on equity (12 months)0.1% · Bottom 25%
Return on assets0.5% · Below median
Net margin (12 months)−0.4% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (12 months)5.6% · Above median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth (quarter YoY)−12.6% · Bottom 25%
Dividend yield (12 months)2.2% · Below median
Balance sheet
Debt / equity0.82× · Highest 25%
Valuation Multiplesvs Steel median · lower = cheaper
P/B0.97× · Cheaper than median
P/S (12 months)0.48× · Cheaper than median
Price / free cash flow (fiscal year)8.2× · Cheaper than median
EV/EBITDA15.2× · Priciest 25%
Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)
This stockSector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)0· sector 22
FUTURE (revenue growth)0· sector 38
PAST (return on equity)0· sector 19
HEALTH (low debt)59· sector 95
DIVIDEND (yield)43· sector 52
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Chun Yu Works & Co Ltd Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/2012
Frequently asked questions
Is Chun Yu Works & Co Ltd (2012) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Nov 8, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of 7.16 TWD versus a price of 13.90 TWD, about 48% lower (overvalued).
What is the fair value of 2012?
Our model-based fair value for Chun Yu Works & Co Ltd is 7.16 TWD (as of Nov 8, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: 13.90 TWD.
What is the quality score of 2012?
Chun Yu Works & Co Ltd has a Quality Score of 51/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Chun Yu Works & Co Ltd (2012)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of 7.16 TWD (as of Nov 8, 2026) from 22 valuation models. Cautious scenario 5.16 TWD, optimistic scenario 11.16 TWD. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Chun Yu Works & Co Ltd stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at 7.16 TWD, about 48% lower versus a price of 13.90 TWD (overvalued). Cautious scenario 5.16 TWD, optimistic scenario 11.16 TWD. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Chun Yu Works & Co Ltd (2012)?
Chun Yu Works & Co Ltd reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 7.7B TWD (latest available figure, as of Nov 8, 2026).
Does Chun Yu Works & Co Ltd pay a dividend?
Chun Yu Works & Co Ltd currently shows a dividend yield of 2.16% relative to its recent price (as of Nov 8, 2026).
How much is the dividend of Chun Yu Works & Co Ltd (2012) and when is the ex-dividend date?
Chun Yu Works & Co Ltd pays a dividend of 0.3 TWD per share a year, a dividend yield of 2.2%. The last ex-dividend date was Aug 25, 2026. The payout ratio is 151% of earnings. Free cash flow covers the dividend 5.50 times. Our assessment: Sustainable. Payout and cash coverage both look sustainable.
What growth is priced into Chun Yu Works & Co Ltd (2012)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, Chun Yu Works & Co Ltd would have to grow free cash flow by +9.8 % per year for five years (discount rate 11.8 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew +0.6 % per year. Calculated on free cash flow for fiscal year 2025. Over the last twelve months it was negative, so the figure above is uncertain. As of Nov 8, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of 2012 use?
Our models discount Chun Yu Works & Co Ltd at 11.8 %: a base by market capitalisation (micro), damped by beta 0.18, country premium for Taiwan. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For Chun Yu Works & Co Ltd that is +9.8 % per year for five years, then slowing evenly to 2 % by year ten, using the same discount rate (11.8 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has Chun Yu Works & Co Ltd (2012) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at Chun Yu Works & Co Ltd grew +0.6 % a year. The price currently implies free-cash-flow growth of +9.8 % per year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of Chun Yu Works & Co Ltd (2012) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +7.8 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into Chun Yu Works & Co Ltd (+9.8 % per year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of Chun Yu Works & Co Ltd (2012)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 12.27 % in the last fiscal year (free cash flow was negative over the last twelve months): that much free cash flow Chun Yu Works & Co Ltd produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (11.8 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of Chun Yu Works & Co Ltd (2012)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Chun Yu Works & Co Ltd it is 7.16 TWD per share (as of Nov 8, 2026), against a price of 13.90 TWD. It is the blended result of 22 valuation models in 8 families (DCF Models, Earnings-Based, Dividend Discount, Multiples, Asset-Based, Growth DCF, Economic Profit, Growth Earnings).
Is Chun Yu Works & Co Ltd stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Nov 8, 2026, 2012 trades above its calculated fair value: price 13.90 TWD, fair value 7.16 TWD, a gap of about −48% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of 2012?
No. The price is what the market pays today (13.90 TWD); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (7.16 TWD). For Chun Yu Works & Co Ltd the two are 6.74 TWD per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Chun Yu Works & Co Ltd worth?
The market values Chun Yu Works & Co Ltd at about 3.7B TWD (market capitalisation, as of Nov 8, 2026). Per share that is 13.90 TWD; our models calculate a fair value of 7.16 TWD per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about 2012?
Our models span a range for Chun Yu Works & Co Ltd: cautious scenario 5.16 TWD, base 7.16 TWD, optimistic 11.16 TWD per share (as of Nov 8, 2026, price 13.90 TWD). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
How solid is the balance sheet of Chun Yu Works & Co Ltd (2012)?
Balance-sheet figures for Chun Yu Works & Co Ltd (as of Nov 8, 2026): return on equity 0.1%, debt of 0.82 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 51/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is 2012 from its 52-week high?
Chun Yu Works & Co Ltd trades at 13.90 TWD, about 21% below its 52-week high of 17.50 TWD and at the low of 13.85 TWD (as of Nov 9, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of 7.16 TWD is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Chun Yu Works & Co Ltd?
From the same area (Basic Materials) we also value Nucor Corporation, ArcelorMittal S.A, Steel Dynamics, Inc, JSW Steel Limited, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Chun Yu Works & Co Ltd stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Nov 8, 2026: price 13.90 TWD, calculated fair value 7.16 TWD (−48%), Quality Score 51/100, from 22 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of 2012 calculated?
We run Chun Yu Works & Co Ltd through 22 models from 8 families: DCF Models, Earnings-Based, Dividend Discount, Multiples, Asset-Based, Growth DCF, Economic Profit, Growth Earnings. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the fair value of 7.16 TWD builds on their evidence-weighted average, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 13.3% above its aggregate fair value. Chun Yu Works & Co Ltd itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Chun Yu Works & Co Ltd (2012)?
The closing price on Nov 9, 2026 was 13.90 TWD. Our model-based fair value is 7.16 TWD, about 48% lower (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Chun Yu Works & Co Ltd right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (11.16 TWD). The favourable scenario is already priced in. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution. Solid but not exceptional quality (51/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder. A fairly wide model range (5.16 TWD to 11.16 TWD) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Where does the earnings growth of Chun Yu Works & Co Ltd (2012) come from?
Earnings per share at Chun Yu Works & Co Ltd grew −3.3 % a year from 2014 to 2025. Broken into its drivers: revenue per share −4.6 %, EBIT margin +0.6 %, tax rate −1.7 %, residual (interest, one-offs) +2.5 %. The four rates multiply to the earnings growth rate, they do not add up. Start and end are three-year averages so a single exceptional year does not distort the result.
Key figures of Chun Yu Works & Co Ltd
How large is the market capitalisation of Chun Yu Works & Co Ltd (2012)?
The market capitalisation of Chun Yu Works & Co Ltd is 3.7B TWD (≈ $114M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Chun Yu Works & Co Ltd (2012)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Chun Yu Works & Co Ltd is 0.52 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Chun Yu Works & Co Ltd (2012)?
Earnings per share at Chun Yu Works & Co Ltd are −0.1200 TWD. Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of Chun Yu Works & Co Ltd (2012)?
The dividend yield of Chun Yu Works & Co Ltd is 2.2%. Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Chun Yu Works & Co Ltd (2012)?
The net margin of Chun Yu Works & Co Ltd is −0.4% (last twelve months). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Chun Yu Works & Co Ltd (2012)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Chun Yu Works & Co Ltd is 0.1% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Chun Yu Works & Co Ltd (2012)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Chun Yu Works & Co Ltd is 5.5% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Chun Yu Works & Co Ltd (2012)?
The operating margin of Chun Yu Works & Co Ltd is 5.6% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Chun Yu Works & Co Ltd (2012)?
Revenue at Chun Yu Works & Co Ltd is growing −12.6% versus a year earlier (3y avg −9.1%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Chun Yu Works & Co Ltd (2012)?
Earnings per share at Chun Yu Works & Co Ltd are growing −15.1% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net debt does Chun Yu Works & Co Ltd (2012) carry?
The net debt of Chun Yu Works & Co Ltd is 4.4B TWD (fiscal year 2025, ≈ 9.5 yrs of FCF). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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Thin data
Nov 8, 2026