ArcelorMittal S.A (MT) Fair Value & Analysis
Basic Materials · US · Market cap $48.0B
ArcelorMittal S.A
MT · US
Fair value as of: Jul 18, 2026
From 24 valuation models · updated 7 days ago
Share price +8.8% over the past month.
Price vs Fair Value (12 months)
12‑month range $30.04 – $71.65 · fair‑value band $41.37 – $60.89 · the $66.88 price screens above the $53.34 fair value. As of Jul 18, 2026.
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ArcelorMittal S.A (MT) currently trades at $66.88, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $53.34, implying the stock looks roughly 20.3% overvalued today. We read business quality at 58/100 (solid quality), in the Basic Materials sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).
Over the trailing twelve months, ArcelorMittal S.A generated revenue of $62.0B at a net margin of 4.7%. Revenue grew 4.5% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 5.4%. Net debt stands at $7.9B. Fundamentals as of Jul 18, 2026
Our scenario range runs from $41.37 (bear case) to $60.89 (bull case); at $66.88, the current price sits above that range. The share trades about 8% below its 52-week high and 127% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Basic Materials peers we cover trades at -34% fair-value upside, at -20%, MT screens cheaper than that median.
Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals (EODHD) · as of Jul 18, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
About the company
ArcelorMittal S.A., together with its subsidiaries, operates as integrated steel and mining companies in the Americas, Europe, Asia, and Africa. It offers semi-finished flat products, including slabs; finished flat products comprising plates, hot- and cold-rolled coils and sheets, hot-dipped and electro-galvanized coils and sheets, tinplate, and color coated coils and sheets; semi-finished long products, such as blooms and billets; finished long products consisting of bars, wire-rods, structural sections, rails, sheet piles, and wire-products; and seamless and welded pipes and tubes. The company also provides mining products, such as iron ore lumps, fines, concentrate, pellets, and sinter feeds; and coking coal. It sells its products to various customers in the automotive, appliance, engineering, construction, energy, and machinery industries through a centralized marketing organization, and distributors. The company operates iron ore mining activities in Brazil, Bosnia, Liberia, …
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
ArcelorMittal S.A reported revenue of $61.4B in FY2025 versus $76.6B in FY2021, a compound −5.4%/yr. Reported net income was $3.2B in FY2025, compounding −32.2%/yr from FY2021.
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Recent news
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External third-party headlines (Yahoo Finance, Reuters and others), not an editorial selection, not financial advice.
Similar stocks
10 more Steel stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 18, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nucor Corporation N1UE34 | R$108.76 | R$33.45 | -69% |
| JSW Steel Limited JSWSTEEL | ₹1,284 | ₹901.55 | -30% |
| Tata Steel Limited TATASTEEL | ₹198.75 | ₹131.96 | -34% |
| Baoshan Iron & Steel Co 600019 | ¥5.74 | ¥7.78 | +36% |
| China Steel Corporation 2002A | 38.45 TWD | 11.94 TWD | -69% |
| POSCO Holdings 005490 | 346,500 KRW | 155,270 KRW | -55% |
| Companhia Siderúrgica Nacional, SID | 13,670 ARS | 14,537 ARS | +6% |
| Jindal Steel Limited JINDALSTEL | ₹1,083 | ₹548.03 | -49% |
| Lloyds Metals and Energy Limited LLOYDSME | ₹1,704 | ₹1,099 | -36% |
| SSAB AB SSABA | kr 95.96 | kr 71.35 | -26% |
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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Not financial advice · no buy/sell recommendation. Model-based estimates are not certainties; their reliability depends on data quality and assumptions.