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Abocom Systems Inc (2444) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Nov 6, 2026: fair value (intrinsic value) of Abocom Systems Inc stock TWD 9.12, price TWD 14.40, that is 36.7% below the price, quality 34 out of 100. Rating: strongly overvalued. Calculated from audited financials with one of our 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.

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Technology TW · ISIN TW0002444007

AS Abocom Systems Inc logo Thin data Nov 3, 2026

Abocom Systems Inc

2444 · TW
Very expensive, weak quality

Our calculation puts a fair price 37% below what the stock costs today.

Moderate debt
Revenue last quarter 25% below a year ago.
Fair value 9.12 TWD · Strongly overvalued (−36.7%)
Quality 34/100
Weak Growth (revenue 5y −8.5 %/yr in TWD)
Loss-making · -22.8% net margin (TTM)
Negative free cash flow
Trails peers (2/10)
Narrow moat 9/100
Thin data
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What runs behind every stock

26 valuation models 8 families, DCF to NCAV 37 quality factors margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt 6 AI factors moat, what no ratio measures 2,000+ data points verified, per stock, median

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

20.90 TWD 10.20 TWD Fair Value 9.12 TWD Jun 2021 Nov 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year. As of Nov 3, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range 10.20 TWD – 20.90 TWD · fair‑value band 6.19 TWD – 11.40 TWD · the 14.40 TWD price screens above the 9.12 TWD fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). As of Nov 3, 2026.

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Company profile

AboCom Systems, Inc. engages in the research, development, manufacture, and sale of various digital, data network communication information, audio-visual electronic products, memory products, and notebook computer peripheral equipment in Taiwan, Mainland China, Europe, and the United States.

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The company offers netcom manufacturing products and solutions, including powerline ethernet, Wi-Fi products, and phoebot solutions, as well as electronic manufacturing services.

It also provides automatic factory, VCSEL chip, and wafer reclaim/thinning products and solutions; and memory devices, such as DRAM, SSD, and MicroSD cards.

In addition, the company offers multi-input and output wireless interfaces, AC direct wireless smart plugs, AC wireless interfaces, night vision wireless webcams, high resolution camera modules, wireless smart plugs, powerline wireless bridges, dual-frequency wireless routers, wireless camera modules, CMP ingredients, wafer thinning equipment, and ESL electronic shelf label products, as well as smart parking solutions.

The company was formerly known as Yu-Wang Technology Co., Ltd. and changed its name to AboCom Systems, Inc. in 2018. AboCom Systems, Inc. was incorporated in 1995 and is headquartered in Hsinchu City, Taiwan.

Stock analysis

Abocom Systems Inc (2444) currently trades at 14.40 TWD, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 9.12 TWD, 37% below the price, so the stock looks overvalued today.

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Valuation

How firm this estimate is: it rests on 1 models at a data quality of 96/100, which puts the data coverage at low.

Scenario range: 6.19 TWD (bear) to 11.40 TWD (bull), the price of 14.40 TWD sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 34/100 (below-average quality), in the Technology sector.

Weak Growth: Revenue is shrinking: the last year, the last three and the last five years are all negative.

Abocom Systems Inc reported revenue of 1.1B TWD in FY2025 versus 1.8B TWD in FY2021, a compound −10.5%/yr. Reported net income was −193M TWD in FY2025.

Key figures

Market cap 1.6B TWD (≈ $47.9M) Micro · P/S ratio 1.75 · EPS (TTM) −2.17 TWD · Net margin −22.8% · Return on equity −28.9% · Return on assets (EBIT) −1.1% (5-year average) · Operating margin −35.3% · Revenue (TTM) 969M TWD.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 9 out of 100 (medium confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 13% below its 52-week high and 37% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Technology peers we cover trades at −45% fair-value upside, at −37%, 2444 screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Bear 6.19 TWD Fair Value 9.12 TWD Bull 11.40 TWD
Price 14.40 TWD · Downside -36.7%
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above starts from their evidence-weighted blend, not from a single model. In cyclical trough or peak years, after dilution or a stock split it is adjusted afterwards, so it can sit above or below the models. Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds. Coverage ⓘCoverage = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Best data coverage
NCAV (Graham) 6.19 TWD 9.12 TWD 11.40 TWD 55
All 1 models by family
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) 6.19 TWD 9.12 TWD 11.40 TWD 55

Open the full fair value analysis →

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 34/100

It rates the business: profits, how they develop, real cash, balance sheet, investing and share count.

Profitability 9
How much profit the company makes from its sales and capital
Quality Growth 2
Are margins and returns getting better?
Cashflow 0
Do the profits arrive as real cash?
Financial strength 55
Debt, balance sheet and risk of trouble
Investment 91
Does it invest with discipline instead of growing at any price?
Low Volatility 50
How calm the share price moves, does not count
Price momentum 67
Price momentum of the last 3 to 12 months, does not count
Near the 52-week high 62
Distance to the 52-week high, does not count
New shares 76
Buys back shares or issues new ones?

Open the full quality analysis →

Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 0/100
Revenue is shrinking: the last year, the last three and the last five years are all negative.
Revenue growth 1 year
−18.4%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−14.3%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−8.5%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: −3.5% a year
Revenue growth 23 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−4.8%
Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
−4.4% (2020) → −15.5% (2025)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2025 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
not computed

2444 screens overvalued: fair value 37% below the price. Compare with Cisco Systems, Inc →

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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Communication Equipment · 302 stocks

Beats the industry median on 2/9 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 34 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside −36.7% · Below median
Profitability
Return on assets −10.6% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (12 months) −22.8% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (12 months) −35.3% · Bottom 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth (quarter YoY) −25.0% · Bottom 25%
Balance sheet
Debt / equity 0.60× · Highest 25%

Valuation Multiplesvs Communication Equipment median · lower = cheaper

P/B 1.98× · Cheaper than median
P/S (12 months) 1.62× · Cheaper than median

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)0 · sector 0
FUTURE (revenue growth)0 · sector 57
PAST (return on equity)0 · sector 21
HEALTH (low debt)70 · sector 98
DIVIDEND (yield)0 · sector 24

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Communication Equipment stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value Compare
Cisco Systems, Inc CSCO $93.85 $105.29 +12% vs 2444
Eoptolink Technology Inc 300502 ¥172.10 ¥189.31 +10% vs 2444
Ubiquiti Inc UI $592.84 $652.12 +10% vs 2444
Zhongji Innolight Co 300308 ¥448.00 ¥342.18 −24% vs 2444
Nokia Oyj NOKIA €6.98 €3.87 −45% vs 2444
Motorola Solutions, Inc MSI $514.51 $249.63 −51% vs 2444
Foxconn Industrial Internet Co 601138 ¥40.71 ¥13.93 −66% vs 2444
Ciena Corporation CIEN $243.39 $74.58 −69% vs 2444
Yangtze Optical Fibre And Cable Joint Stock Limited 601869 ¥240.00 ¥59.92 −75% vs 2444
Lumentum Holdings LITE $538.59 $85.88 −84% vs 2444

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Abocom Systems Inc: fair value per Fair Value Calculator

Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Abocom Systems Inc Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/2444

Frequently asked questions

Is Abocom Systems Inc (2444) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Nov 3, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of 9.12 TWD versus a price of 14.40 TWD, about 37% lower (overvalued).
What is the fair value of 2444?
Our model-based fair value for Abocom Systems Inc is 9.12 TWD (as of Nov 3, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: 14.40 TWD.
What is the quality score of 2444?
Abocom Systems Inc has a Quality Score of 34/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Abocom Systems Inc (2444)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of 9.12 TWD (as of Nov 3, 2026) from 1 valuation models. Cautious scenario 6.19 TWD, optimistic scenario 11.40 TWD. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Abocom Systems Inc stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at 9.12 TWD, about 37% lower versus a price of 14.40 TWD (overvalued). Cautious scenario 6.19 TWD, optimistic scenario 11.40 TWD. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Abocom Systems Inc (2444)?
Abocom Systems Inc reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 969M TWD (latest available figure, as of Nov 3, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of Abocom Systems Inc (2444)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Abocom Systems Inc it is 9.12 TWD per share (as of Nov 3, 2026), against a price of 14.40 TWD. It is the blended result of 1 valuation models in 1 family (Asset-Based).
Is Abocom Systems Inc stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Nov 3, 2026, 2444 trades above its calculated fair value: price 14.40 TWD, fair value 9.12 TWD, a gap of about −37% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of 2444?
No. The price is what the market pays today (14.40 TWD); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (9.12 TWD). For Abocom Systems Inc the two are 5.28 TWD per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Abocom Systems Inc worth?
The market values Abocom Systems Inc at about 1.6B TWD (market capitalisation, as of Nov 3, 2026). Per share that is 14.40 TWD; our models calculate a fair value of 9.12 TWD per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about 2444?
Our models span a range for Abocom Systems Inc: cautious scenario 6.19 TWD, base 9.12 TWD, optimistic 11.40 TWD per share (as of Nov 3, 2026, price 14.40 TWD). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
How solid is the balance sheet of Abocom Systems Inc (2444)?
Balance-sheet figures for Abocom Systems Inc (as of Nov 3, 2026): return on equity −28.9%, debt of 0.60 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 34/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is 2444 from its 52-week high?
Abocom Systems Inc trades at 14.40 TWD, about 13% below its 52-week high of 16.50 TWD and 37% above the low of 10.50 TWD (as of Nov 6, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of 9.12 TWD is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Abocom Systems Inc?
From the same area (Technology) we also value Cisco Systems, Inc, Foxconn Industrial Internet Co, Zhongji Innolight Co, Motorola Solutions, Inc, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Abocom Systems Inc stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Nov 3, 2026: price 14.40 TWD, calculated fair value 9.12 TWD (−37%), Quality Score 34/100, from 1 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of 2444 calculated?
We run Abocom Systems Inc through 1 models from 1 family: Asset-Based. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the fair value of 9.12 TWD builds on their evidence-weighted average, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 13.0% above its aggregate fair value. Abocom Systems Inc itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Abocom Systems Inc (2444)?
The closing price on Nov 6, 2026 was 14.40 TWD. Our model-based fair value is 9.12 TWD, about 37% lower (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Abocom Systems Inc right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (11.40 TWD). The favourable scenario is already priced in. Weak quality (34/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution. A fairly wide model range (6.19 TWD to 11.40 TWD) leaves room in how you read the outcome.

Key figures of Abocom Systems Inc

How large is the market capitalisation of Abocom Systems Inc (2444)?
The market capitalisation of Abocom Systems Inc is 1.6B TWD (≈ $47.9M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Abocom Systems Inc (2444)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Abocom Systems Inc is 1.75 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Abocom Systems Inc (2444)?
Earnings per share at Abocom Systems Inc are −2.17 TWD. Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the net margin of Abocom Systems Inc (2444)?
The net margin of Abocom Systems Inc is −22.8% (last twelve months). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Abocom Systems Inc (2444)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Abocom Systems Inc is −28.9% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Abocom Systems Inc (2444)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Abocom Systems Inc is −1.1% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Abocom Systems Inc (2444)?
The operating margin of Abocom Systems Inc is −35.3% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Abocom Systems Inc (2444)?
Revenue at Abocom Systems Inc is growing −25.0% versus a year earlier (3y avg −14.3%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Abocom Systems Inc (2444)?
Earnings per share at Abocom Systems Inc are growing +77.9% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much free cash flow does Abocom Systems Inc (2444) generate?
The free cash flow of Abocom Systems Inc is −168M TWD (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net debt does Abocom Systems Inc (2444) carry?
The net debt of Abocom Systems Inc is 202M TWD (fiscal year 2025). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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