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Ubiquiti Inc (UI) Fair Value & Analysis

Technology · US · Market cap $33.0B

UI Ubiquiti Inc logo Ubiquiti Inc UI · US
Price$567.22
Fair Value$181.89
Upside-67.9%
Quality69/100
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Healthy Growth
Highly profitable · 30.4% net margin
Low debt · generates free cash flow
0.59% dividend yield
Mixed vs. peers (8/15)
Wide moat 92/100
Evidence: High Range $135.81 – $374.46 Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 19, 2026

From 24 valuation models · updated 19 days ago

Share price +7.9% over the past month.

A solid business, but screening 68% overvalued on our models.

What matters now

  • The price sits above even our optimistic bull case ($374.46). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
  • The model range is unusually wide ($135.81 to $374.46). The outcome hinges heavily on assumptions, so read the point estimate with caution.
  • Solid but not exceptional quality (69/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

$1,083 $102.90 Fair Value $181.89 May 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 19, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range $102.90 – $1,083 · fair‑value band $135.81 – $374.46 · the $567.22 price screens above the $181.89 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 19, 2026.

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Analysis

Ubiquiti Inc (UI) currently trades at $567.22, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $181.89, implying the stock looks roughly 67.9% overvalued today. We read business quality at 69/100 (solid quality), in the Technology sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).

Over the trailing twelve months, Ubiquiti Inc generated revenue of $3.1B at a net margin of 30.4%. Revenue grew 18.7% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 115.0%. Net debt stands at $148M. Fundamentals as of Jul 19, 2026

Our scenario range runs from $135.81 (bear case) to $374.46 (bull case); at $567.22, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 48% below its 52-week high and 55% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Technology peers we cover trades at -61% fair-value upside, at -68%, UI screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model BearBaseBull Evidence
Highest evidence
Growth DCF $150.55 $307.75 $577.08 80
Residual Income $67.27 $117.97 $3,146 76
Rev-Margin DCF $101.59 $179.75 $291.45 74
All 24 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF $155.76 $277.03 $595.70 38
Owner Earnings $178.68 $376.78 $770.29 31
5Y Revenue Exit $101.59 $180.51 $297.02 39
5Y EBITDA Exit $141.37 $269.89 $449.75 41
5Y P/E Exit $167.34 $332.01 $536.76 38
10Y Revenue Exit $114.72 $202.33 $334.34 36
10Y EBITDA Exit $145.10 $272.58 $490.57 37
10Y P/E Exit $163.05 $318.42 $570.88 35
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd $79.99 $501.24 $700.07 54
Lynch FV $144.43 $206.32 $268.22 50
PEG = 1.0 $144.43 $206.32 $268.22 46
EPV $119.32 $138.80 $155.84 59
Multiples
P/E Multiple $176.45 $235.26 $294.08 63
P/S Multiple $79.73 $106.31 $132.88 58
P/B Multiple $24.84 $33.12 $41.41 55
EV/EBIT $189.01 $251.19 $313.37 53
EV/EBITDA $140.73 $186.81 $232.89 54
EV/Revenue $76.89 $108.78 $140.67 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) $5.52 $7.40 $11.04 50
Growth DCF
Growth DCF $150.55 $307.75 $577.08 80
Rev-Margin DCF $101.59 $179.75 $291.45 74
Economic Profit
Residual Income $67.27 $117.97 $3,146 76
ROIC Compounder $126.29 $155.44 $187.37 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E $201.63 $288.05 $374.46 68

Widest divergence: Growth Earnings ($288.05) versus Asset-Based ($7.40). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).

Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) $3.1B
Revenue growth (YoY) +18.7%
Net margin 30.4%
Return on equity 115%
Free cash flow $627M FY2025
P/E ratio 37.3
More key figures
Operating margin 36.9%
EPS (TTM) $15.58
Dividend yield 0.6%
EPS growth (YoY) +29.5%
Net debt $148M FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 19, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 69/100

Of which business quality 82 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 34

Profitability 100
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 98
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 78
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 75
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 50
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 19
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 36
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 49
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 84
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Ubiquiti Inc. develops networking technology for service providers, enterprises, and consumers in North America, Europe, the Middle East, Africa, Asia Pacific, South America.

Full company description

Ubiquiti Inc. develops networking technology for service providers, enterprises, and consumers in North America, Europe, the Middle East, Africa, Asia Pacific, South America. The company develops technology platforms for high-capacity distributed Internet access, unified information technology, and consumer electronics for professional, home, and personal use. Its service provider product platforms offer carrier-class network infrastructure for fixed wireless broadband, wireless backhaul systems, and routing and related software; and enterprise product platforms provide wireless LAN infrastructure, video surveillance products, switching and routing solutions, security gateways, door access systems, and other WLAN products. It also provides technology platforms, such as UniFi Cloud Gateway, an Enterprise class internet and security gateway device; UniFi Wi-Fi, an enterprise Wi-Fi system; UniFi Protect, a video surveillance platform; UniFi Switch that deliver performance, switching, and power of ethernet support for enterprise networks; UniFi Access, a door access solution; UniFi Talk, a plug-and-play phone system and VoIP subscription service, as well as UniFi Connect and its AmpliFi platform. In addition, the company offers airMAX, which include proprietary protocols that contain technologies for minimizing signal noise; airFiber, a wireless backhauls point-to-point radio system; UFiber GPON, a plug and play fiber network technology to build high speed fiber internet networks; and Wave, a technology platform. Further, the company provides base stations, radios, backhaul equipment, and customer premise equipment; embedded radio products; and antennas. It serves customers through a network of distributors, online retailers, and direct to customers through webstores. The company was formerly known as Ubiquiti Networks, Inc. and changed its name to Ubiquiti Inc. in August 2019. Ubiquiti Inc. was incorporated in 2003 and is headquartered in New York, New York.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Ubiquiti Inc reported revenue of $2.6B in FY2025 versus $1.9B in FY2021, a compound +7.9%/yr. Reported net income was $712M in FY2025, compounding +3.7%/yr from FY2021.

Growth Quality 100/100
Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
$2.6B
Latest YoY
+33.4%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y)
+15.0%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y)
+14.9%
Avg. growth/yr (16Y)
+26.1%
Revenue +7.9%/yr
FY21 $1.9B
FY22 $1.7B
FY23 $1.9B
FY24 $1.9B
FY25 $2.6B
Net income +3.7%/yr
FY21 $617M
FY22 $379M
FY23 $408M
FY24 $350M
FY25 $712M

UI screens 68% overvalued. Compare with Cisco Systems, Inc →

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Ubiquiti Inc Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/UI

Earlier news

External third-party headlines (Yahoo Finance, Reuters and others), not an editorial selection.

Peer Group

Communication Equipment · 284 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 69 · Top 25%
Fair Value upside −68% · Below median
Return on equity (TTM) 115% · Top 25%
Return on assets 46% · Top 25%
Net margin (TTM) 30% · Top 25%
Operating margin (TTM) 37% · Top 25%
Revenue growth 19% · Above median
Dividend yield (TTM) 0.6% · Below median

Valuation Multiples vs Communication Equipment median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 35.1× · Pricier than median
P/B 49.44× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/S (TTM) 10.67× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/FCF 52.7× · Pricier than 75% of peers
EV/EBITDA 29.2× · Pricier than median
PEG 1.10× · Cheaper than median

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 0 · sector 0
FUTURE 94 · sector 30
PAST 100 · sector 15
HEALTH 100 · sector 98
DIVIDEND 12 · sector 27

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Insider activity: 40/100

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Communication Equipment stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 19, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Cisco Systems, Inc CSCO $119.25 $43.05 -64%
Zhongji Innolight Co 300308 ¥1,094 ¥171.09 -84%
Foxconn Industrial Internet Co 601138 ¥56.50 ¥28.65 -49%
Eoptolink Technology Inc 300502 ¥482.88 ¥155.05 -68%
Nokia Oyj NOK $11.25 $2.67 -76%
Motorola Solutions, Inc MSI $413.31 $190.43 -54%
Suzhou TFC Optical Communication Co 300394 ¥244.13 ¥32.04 -87%
Telefonaktiebolaget LM Ericsson (publ), ERIC $11.72 $15.96 +36%
Accton Technology Corporation 2345 2,090 TWD 846.28 TWD -60%
ZTE Corporation 000063 ¥40.00 ¥15.75 -61%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Ubiquiti Inc (UI) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 19, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $181.89 versus a price of $567.22, about −68% (overvalued).
What is the fair value of UI?
Our model-based fair value for Ubiquiti Inc is $181.89 (as of Jul 19, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is $567.22.
What is the quality score of UI?
Ubiquiti Inc has a Quality Score of 69/100. It combines two groups: business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength) and market factors (price momentum, distance to the 52-week high, volatility). Both subtotals are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Ubiquiti Inc (UI)?
Ubiquiti Inc reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $3.1B (latest available figure, as of Jul 19, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of UI?
The net profit margin of Ubiquiti Inc is about 30.4%, meaning it keeps roughly 30.4% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does Ubiquiti Inc pay a dividend?
Ubiquiti Inc currently shows a dividend yield of about 0.56% relative to its recent price (as of Jul 19, 2026).

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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