Bsm Chemical Co Ltd (300796) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Nov 6, 2026: fair value (intrinsic value) of Bsm Chemical Co Ltd stock ¥2.63, price ¥6.01, that is 56.2% below the price, quality 50 out of 100. Rating: strongly overvalued. Calculated from audited financials with 16 of our 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceableSee the method →
Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year. As of Nov 8, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range ¥5.87 – ¥17.10 · fair‑value band ¥1.84 – ¥3.41 · the ¥6.01 price screens above the ¥2.63 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). As of Nov 8, 2026.
Follow Bsm Chemical Co in your weekly email
Every Wednesday you see whether Bsm Chemical Co is on track or worth a review, plus price against fair value. Free, up to 3 stocks.
We send you a confirmation link. Unsubscribe with one click.
BSM Chemical Co.,Ltd. engages in the research and development, and production, and sale of pesticide and pharmaceutical intermediates, pesticide technicals, and pesticide formulations in the Mainland of China and internationally.
Show moreShow less
It offers mononitroxylene isomers and dimethylaniline series reduction products, such as 4-nitro-o-xylene, N-(1-ethylpropyl) -3,4-dimethylaniline, etc. The company was formerly known as Shaoxing BSM Chemical Co., Ltd. BSM Chemical Co.,Ltd. was founded in 2003 and is headquartered in Shaoxing, China.
Stock analysis
Bsm Chemical Co Ltd (300796) currently trades at ¥6.01, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥2.63, 56% below the price, so the stock looks overvalued today.
Show more
Valuation
Bull case: the Economic Profit group reads highest at a median of ¥2.20 per share, and 1 of the 16 models we run sit above the ¥6.01 price.
Bear case: the Dividend Discount group reads lowest at ¥0.9600, and 15 of the 16 models stay below the price. Data coverage for this calculation is low.
Scenario range: ¥1.84 (bear) to ¥3.41 (bull), the price of ¥6.01 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 50/100 (solid quality), in the Basic Materials sector.
Expensive Growth: The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Bsm Chemical Co Ltd reported revenue of 1.5B CNY in FY2025 versus 530M CNY in FY2021, a compound +30.2%/yr. Reported net income was 24.1M CNY in FY2025, compounding −19.2%/yr from FY2021.
Key figures
Market cap 2.2B CNY (≈ $325M) Small · P/E ratio 350.0 · P/S ratio 5.53 · Dividend yield 0.3% · Net margin −0.3% · Return on equity −0.9% · Return on assets (EBIT) 3.5% (5-year average) · Operating margin 6.2%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 27 out of 100 (medium confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 42% below its 52-week high and 2% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Basic Materials peers we cover trades at −24% fair-value upside, at −56%, 300796 screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
The price assumes far more growth than our models allow for, so the models scatter widely (¥0.1800 to ¥7.90). Read the Fair Value as a cautious anchor, not a price target; the Growth Forecast section shows what the price assumes.
Bear¥1.84Fair Value ¥2.63Bull¥3.41
Price ¥6.01 · Downside -56.2%
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above starts from their evidence-weighted blend, not from a single model. In cyclical trough or peak years, after dilution or a stock split it is adjusted afterwards, so it can sit above or below the models.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds.Coverage ⓘCoverage = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Best data coverage
Residual Income¥2.87¥2.98¥3.1776
EPV¥1.29¥1.42¥1.5373
ROIC Compounder¥1.29¥1.42¥1.5371
All 16 models by family
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd¥0.4500¥3.16¥4.4463
Lynch FV¥0.9700¥1.38¥1.7961
PEG = 1.0¥0.9700¥1.38¥1.7957
EPV¥1.29¥1.42¥1.5373
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM¥0.5400¥1.01¥1.4467
DDM Multi-Stage¥0.5400¥0.9100¥1.0867
Multiples
P/E Multiple¥0.8500¥1.13¥1.4263
P/S Multiple¥0.8500¥1.13¥1.4257
P/B Multiple¥5.92¥7.90¥9.8755
EV/EBIT¥0.8900¥1.31¥1.7264
EV/EBITDA¥2.39¥3.32¥4.2466
EV/Revenue¥0.7200¥1.19¥1.6552
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham)¥0.1200¥0.1800¥0.230054
Economic Profit
Residual Income¥2.87¥2.98¥3.1776
ROIC Compounder¥1.29¥1.42¥1.5371
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E¥1.20¥1.72¥2.2367
The fair value above starts from this blend and is adjusted for a cyclical trough year.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.58/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Revenue growth 1 year
+14.7%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+25.6%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+30.4%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +18.6% a year
Revenue growth 10 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+18.6%
’15
’16
’17
’18
’19
’20
’21
’22
’23
’24
’25
What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate.
−18.5%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year−18.8%
Dividend (yield on the price)0.3%
Pace: 5 vs 10 years ⓘTwo data points, not a trend model: earnings growth per share over the last 5 fiscal years against the last 10. Labelled "steady" when both rates are within 3 percentage points of each other, otherwise picking up or flattening. Shown only when ten years of history exist.−18.8% vs −9.0%, slowing
Profit margin 2020 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.12% → 4%
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
Free, no sign-up
Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Chemicals · 337 stocks
Beats the industry median on 1/12 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score50 · Below median
Fair Value upside−56.2% · Bottom 25%
Profitability
Return on assets0.9% · Below median
Net margin (12 months)−0.4% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (12 months)6.2% · Below median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth (quarter YoY)11.6% · Below median
Dividend yield (12 months)0.3% · Bottom 25%
Balance sheet
Debt / equity0.23× · Above median
Valuation Multiplesvs Chemicals median · lower = cheaper
P/E (12 months)350.0× · Priciest 25%
P/B1.27× · Cheaper than median
P/S (12 months)1.84× · Pricier than median
EV/EBITDA19.4× · Priciest 25%
Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)
This stockSector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)0· sector 9
FUTURE (revenue growth)58· sector 67
PAST (return on equity)0· sector 24
HEALTH (low debt)89· sector 94
DIVIDEND (yield)7· sector 32
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Bsm Chemical Co Ltd Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/300796
Frequently asked questions
Is Bsm Chemical Co Ltd (300796) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Nov 8, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of ¥2.63 versus a price of ¥6.01, about 56% lower (overvalued).
What is the fair value of 300796?
Our model-based fair value for Bsm Chemical Co Ltd is ¥2.63 (as of Nov 8, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: ¥6.01.
What is the quality score of 300796?
Bsm Chemical Co Ltd has a Quality Score of 50/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Bsm Chemical Co Ltd (300796)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of ¥2.63 (as of Nov 8, 2026) from 16 valuation models. Cautious scenario ¥1.84, optimistic scenario ¥3.41. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Bsm Chemical Co Ltd stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at ¥2.63, about 56% lower versus a price of ¥6.01 (overvalued). Cautious scenario ¥1.84, optimistic scenario ¥3.41. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Bsm Chemical Co Ltd (300796)?
Bsm Chemical Co Ltd reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 1.5B CNY (latest available figure, as of Nov 8, 2026).
Does Bsm Chemical Co Ltd pay a dividend?
Bsm Chemical Co Ltd currently shows a dividend yield of 0.33% relative to its recent price (as of Nov 8, 2026).
How much is the dividend of Bsm Chemical Co Ltd (300796) and when is the ex-dividend date?
Bsm Chemical Co Ltd pays a dividend of ¥0.02 per share a year, a dividend yield of 0.3%. The last ex-dividend date was Jun 24, 2026. The payout ratio is 30.0% of earnings. Our assessment: Token dividend. At a yield of 0.3% the dividend is symbolic. On paper it is not fully covered by earnings or free cash flow, but at this size that hardly matters: even scrapping it entirely would cost less than 0.3% a year, and coverage ratios on amounts this small swing with ordinary working-capital movements. Judge this company on its business, not on its dividend.
What is the intrinsic value of Bsm Chemical Co Ltd (300796)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Bsm Chemical Co Ltd it is ¥2.63 per share (as of Nov 8, 2026), against a price of ¥6.01. It is the blended result of 16 valuation models in 6 families (Earnings-Based, Dividend Discount, Multiples, Asset-Based, Economic Profit, Growth Earnings).
Is Bsm Chemical Co Ltd stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Nov 8, 2026, 300796 trades above its calculated fair value: price ¥6.01, fair value ¥2.63, a gap of about −56% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of 300796?
No. The price is what the market pays today (¥6.01); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (¥2.63). For Bsm Chemical Co Ltd the two are ¥3.38 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Bsm Chemical Co Ltd worth?
The market values Bsm Chemical Co Ltd at about 2.2B CNY (market capitalisation, as of Nov 8, 2026). Per share that is ¥6.01; our models calculate a fair value of ¥2.63 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about 300796?
Our models span a range for Bsm Chemical Co Ltd: cautious scenario ¥1.84, base ¥2.63, optimistic ¥3.41 per share (as of Nov 8, 2026, price ¥6.01). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of 300796?
Bsm Chemical Co Ltd trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 350.0 (as of Nov 8, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of ¥2.63 is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: P/B 1.3, P/S 1.8, EV/EBITDA 19.4.
How solid is the balance sheet of Bsm Chemical Co Ltd (300796)?
Balance-sheet figures for Bsm Chemical Co Ltd (as of Nov 8, 2026): return on equity −0.9%, debt of 0.23 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 50/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is 300796 from its 52-week high?
Bsm Chemical Co Ltd trades at ¥6.01, about 42% below its 52-week high of ¥10.37 and 2% above the low of ¥5.87 (as of Nov 6, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of ¥2.63 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Bsm Chemical Co Ltd?
From the same area (Basic Materials) we also value BASF SE, Saudi Basic Industries Corporation, Dow Inc, Ningxia Baofeng Energy Group, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Bsm Chemical Co Ltd stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Nov 8, 2026: price ¥6.01, calculated fair value ¥2.63 (−56%), Quality Score 50/100, from 16 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of 300796 calculated?
We run Bsm Chemical Co Ltd through 16 models from 6 families: Earnings-Based, Dividend Discount, Multiples, Asset-Based, Economic Profit, Growth Earnings. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the fair value of ¥2.63 builds on their evidence-weighted average, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 13.3% above its aggregate fair value. Bsm Chemical Co Ltd itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Bsm Chemical Co Ltd (300796)?
The closing price on Nov 6, 2026 was ¥6.01. Our model-based fair value is ¥2.63, about 56% lower (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Bsm Chemical Co Ltd right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (¥3.41). The favourable scenario is already priced in. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution. Solid but not exceptional quality (50/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder. A fairly wide model range (¥1.84 to ¥3.41) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Key figures of Bsm Chemical Co Ltd
How large is the market capitalisation of Bsm Chemical Co Ltd (300796)?
The market capitalisation of Bsm Chemical Co Ltd is 2.2B CNY (≈ $325M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Bsm Chemical Co Ltd (300796)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Bsm Chemical Co Ltd is 5.53 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What is the dividend yield of Bsm Chemical Co Ltd (300796)?
The dividend yield of Bsm Chemical Co Ltd is 0.3%. Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Bsm Chemical Co Ltd (300796)?
The net margin of Bsm Chemical Co Ltd is −0.3% (last twelve months). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Bsm Chemical Co Ltd (300796)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Bsm Chemical Co Ltd is −0.9% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Bsm Chemical Co Ltd (300796)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Bsm Chemical Co Ltd is 3.5% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Bsm Chemical Co Ltd (300796)?
The operating margin of Bsm Chemical Co Ltd is 6.2% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Bsm Chemical Co Ltd (300796)?
Revenue at Bsm Chemical Co Ltd is growing +11.6% versus a year earlier (3y avg +25.6%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Bsm Chemical Co Ltd (300796)?
Earnings per share at Bsm Chemical Co Ltd are growing −63.0% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much free cash flow does Bsm Chemical Co Ltd (300796) generate?
The free cash flow of Bsm Chemical Co Ltd is −113M CNY (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net debt does Bsm Chemical Co Ltd (300796) carry?
The net debt of Bsm Chemical Co Ltd is 168M CNY (fiscal year 2025). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
Free · no account needed
Watch Bsm Chemical Co Ltd in the live analysis
One click puts Bsm Chemical Co Ltd on your watchlist: fair value and trend at a glance, plus comparison, the diversification check and the 27,000+ stock screener.
Thin data
Nov 8, 2026