Dongguan Tarry Electronics Co.Ltd (300976) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Nov 6, 2026: fair value (intrinsic value) of Dongguan Tarry Electronics Co.Ltd stock ¥26.91, price ¥47.40, that is 43.2% below the price, quality 46 out of 100. Rating: strongly overvalued. Calculated from audited financials with 25 of our 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceableSee the method →
Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year. As of Nov 2, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range ¥14.44 – ¥94.20 · fair‑value band ¥12.16 – ¥33.64 · the ¥47.40 price screens above the ¥26.91 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). As of Nov 2, 2026.
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Dongguan Tarry Electronics Co.,Ltd. Engages in the research, development, production and sales of power battery components; and related 3C and semiconductor intelligent assembly automation equipment in China and internationally.
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The company offers FPC modules, Mobile phone screen modules, tablet module, In-vehicle display modules, energy storage battery, industrial power supply, photovoltaic inverter, headphone module, and others; earphones box, headwear, earmuffs, VR box and face mask, speaker cover, tablet stand, mobile phone battery cover, braided watch strap; and hard copper busbar, extruded copper busbar, shielding cover, hard aluminum bar, upset aluminum bar, soft copper busbar, three-phase side cover, car door locks, plastic-coated copper busbar, headlight radiator, automotive step lights, automotive flexible and rigid welded copper busbar, plastic-coated copper wire, automotive noise reduction covers, and power cover.
It also provides precision tray mounting machine, multifunctional mounting platform, fully automatic pressure holding machine, fully automatic loading and unloading machine, fully automatic screw machine, fully automatic PCB separator, mobile phone case auxiliary material bonding machine, sheet welding machine, lens film applicator, fully automatic placement machine, new energy automatic bonding equipment, PSA appearance inspection machine, FPC steel sheet reinforcement, film-coated pressure maintaining line, and BGA film-coated line.
In addition, the company offers soft solder die bonding, and dual-track solder die binder. The company was founded in 2003 and is headquartered in Dongguan, China.
Stock analysis
Dongguan Tarry Electronics Co.Ltd (300976) currently trades at ¥47.40, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥26.91, 43% below the price, so the stock looks overvalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the Growth Earnings group reads highest at a median of ¥54.29 per share, and 3 of the 25 models we run sit above the ¥47.40 price.
Bear case: the Dividend Discount group reads lowest at ¥6.24, and 22 of the 25 models stay below the price. Data coverage for this calculation is medium.
Scenario range: ¥12.16 (bear) to ¥33.64 (bull), the price of ¥47.40 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 46/100 (below-average quality), in the Industrials sector.
Mixed Growth: Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Dongguan Tarry Electronics Co.Ltd reported revenue of 3.2B CNY in FY2025 versus 1.2B CNY in FY2021, a compound +27.3%/yr. Reported net income was 282M CNY in FY2025, compounding +6.2%/yr from FY2021.
Key figures
Market cap 11.0B CNY (≈ $1.7B) Small · P/E ratio 28.9 · P/S ratio 3.02 · EPS (TTM) ¥1.64 · Dividend yield 1.1% · Net margin 8.3% · Return on equity 8.4% · Return on assets (EBIT) 6.1% (5-year average).
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 45 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 50% below its 52-week high and 25% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at −38% fair-value upside, at −43%, 300976 screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear¥12.16Fair Value ¥26.91Bull¥33.64
Price ¥47.40 · Downside -43.2%
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above starts from their evidence-weighted blend, not from a single model. In cyclical trough or peak years, after dilution or a stock split it is adjusted afterwards, so it can sit above or below the models. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 10 months old). Earnings retained since then (¥0.9745 per share) are deliberately not added.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds.Coverage ⓘCoverage = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Best data coverage
FCF DCF¥6.09¥7.33¥10.9381
Growth DCF¥5.89¥7.53¥10.4279
Residual Income¥14.28¥14.66¥15.8776
All 25 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF¥6.09¥7.33¥10.9381
5Y Revenue Exit¥15.81¥27.93¥53.5169
5Y EBITDA Exit¥18.76¥33.89¥63.6471
5Y P/E Exit¥19.35¥43.60¥77.3167
10Y Revenue Exit¥11.55¥27.05¥38.5265
10Y EBITDA Exit¥13.94¥32.43¥66.2363
10Y P/E Exit¥14.31¥33.49¥66.3059
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd¥10.25¥71.50¥100.3463
Lynch FV¥30.73¥43.91¥57.0861
PEG = 1.0¥30.73¥43.91¥57.0857
EPV¥14.78¥16.18¥17.3274
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM¥3.84¥6.39¥8.2668
DDM Multi-Stage¥3.84¥6.08¥6.8867
Multiples
P/E Multiple¥23.75¥31.66¥39.5863
P/S Multiple¥19.22¥25.63¥32.0458
P/B Multiple¥61.74¥82.32¥102.9055
EV/EBIT¥27.79¥35.74¥43.6966
EV/EBITDA¥26.77¥34.38¥42.0067
EV/Revenue¥20.96¥28.25¥35.5554
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham)¥7.53¥11.41¥14.2654
Growth DCF
Growth DCF¥5.89¥7.53¥10.4279
Rev-Margin DCF¥16.54¥31.47¥60.8369
Economic Profit
Residual Income¥14.28¥14.66¥15.8776
ROIC Compounder¥14.78¥16.18¥17.3272
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E¥38.00¥54.29¥70.5867
The fair value above starts from this blend and is adjusted for dilution from new shares.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.62/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Revenue growth 1 year
+24.2%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+29.5%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+27.1%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +34.7% a year
Revenue growth 12 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+34.1%
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What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate.
−7.6%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year−8.7%
Dividend (yield on the price)1.1%
Pace: 5 vs 10 years ⓘTwo data points, not a trend model: earnings growth per share over the last 5 fiscal years against the last 10. Labelled "steady" when both rates are within 3 percentage points of each other, otherwise picking up or flattening. Shown only when ten years of history exist.−8.7% vs 11.8%, slowing
Profit margin 2020 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.26% → 11%
Pace: the 5-year rate starts in 2020 (pandemic)
⚠ Revenue per share shrinking 4.2%/yr over ~10Y (margins intact) ⓘStructural-decline marker: revenue PER SHARE has fallen over the last decade (robust median trend, not a single year). Backtested across 2005 to 2017, such businesses trailed the market by about 2.5 percentage points per year. Display only: it does not change the fair value or the quality score.
Growth Forecast
A lot of optimism in the price
The price assumes more growth than the company has delivered so far.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
+61.1%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect
n/a
No analyst forecast available.
After inflation (China: IMF forecast 1.7% a year to 2030, 1.4% from 2016 to 2025) that is about +58.5% a year for the price.
Compare Dongguan Tarry Electronics Co.Ltd with another stock
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Metal Fabrication · 259 stocks
Beats the industry median on 5/13 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score46 · Below median
Fair Value upside−43.2% · Below median
Profitability
Return on equity (12 months)8.4% · Above median
Return on assets6.1% · Top 25%
Net margin (12 months)8.3% · Above median
Operating margin (12 months)10.7% · Above median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth (quarter YoY)16.7% · Above median
Dividend yield (12 months)1.1% · Below median
Valuation Multiplesvs Metal Fabrication median · lower = cheaper
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Is Dongguan Tarry Electronics Co.Ltd (300976) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Nov 2, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of ¥26.91 versus a price of ¥47.40, about 43% lower (overvalued).
What is the fair value of 300976?
Our model-based fair value for Dongguan Tarry Electronics Co.Ltd is ¥26.91 (as of Nov 2, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: ¥47.40.
What is the quality score of 300976?
Dongguan Tarry Electronics Co.Ltd has a Quality Score of 46/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Dongguan Tarry Electronics Co.Ltd (300976)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of ¥26.91 (as of Nov 2, 2026) from 25 valuation models. Cautious scenario ¥12.16, optimistic scenario ¥33.64. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Dongguan Tarry Electronics Co.Ltd stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at ¥26.91, about 43% lower versus a price of ¥47.40 (overvalued). Cautious scenario ¥12.16, optimistic scenario ¥33.64. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Dongguan Tarry Electronics Co.Ltd (300976)?
Dongguan Tarry Electronics Co.Ltd reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 3.7B CNY (latest available figure, as of Nov 2, 2026).
Does Dongguan Tarry Electronics Co.Ltd pay a dividend?
Dongguan Tarry Electronics Co.Ltd currently shows a dividend yield of 1.05% relative to its recent price (as of Nov 2, 2026).
How much is the dividend of Dongguan Tarry Electronics Co.Ltd (300976) and when is the ex-dividend date?
Dongguan Tarry Electronics Co.Ltd pays a dividend of ¥0.5 per share a year, a dividend yield of 1.1%. The last ex-dividend date was Jun 1, 2026. A dividend has been paid every year since at least 2021. The payout ratio is 30.5% of earnings. Free cash flow covers the dividend 0.52 times. Our assessment: Watch coverage. The dividend isn’t fully covered by free cash flow or earnings, part of it is funded from reserves or debt. Fine for now, but worth watching: if it stays uncovered, the dividend could be cut.
What growth is priced into Dongguan Tarry Electronics Co.Ltd (300976)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, Dongguan Tarry Electronics Co.Ltd would have to grow free cash flow by +61.1 % per year for five years (discount rate 12.6 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew +27.1 % per year. As of Nov 2, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of 300976 use?
Our models discount Dongguan Tarry Electronics Co.Ltd at 12.6 %: a base by market capitalisation (small), damped by beta 1.24, country premium for China. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For Dongguan Tarry Electronics Co.Ltd that is +61.1 % per year for five years, then slowing evenly to 2 % by year ten, using the same discount rate (12.6 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has Dongguan Tarry Electronics Co.Ltd (300976) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at Dongguan Tarry Electronics Co.Ltd grew +27.1 % a year. The price currently implies free-cash-flow growth of +61.1 % per year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of Dongguan Tarry Electronics Co.Ltd (300976) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +7.8 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into Dongguan Tarry Electronics Co.Ltd (+61.1 % per year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of Dongguan Tarry Electronics Co.Ltd (300976)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 0.54 %: that much free cash flow Dongguan Tarry Electronics Co.Ltd produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (12.6 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of Dongguan Tarry Electronics Co.Ltd (300976)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Dongguan Tarry Electronics Co.Ltd it is ¥26.91 per share (as of Nov 2, 2026), against a price of ¥47.40. It is the blended result of 25 valuation models in 8 families (DCF Models, Earnings-Based, Dividend Discount, Multiples, Asset-Based, Growth DCF, Economic Profit, Growth Earnings).
Is Dongguan Tarry Electronics Co.Ltd stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Nov 2, 2026, 300976 trades above its calculated fair value: price ¥47.40, fair value ¥26.91, a gap of about −43% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of 300976?
No. The price is what the market pays today (¥47.40); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (¥26.91). For Dongguan Tarry Electronics Co.Ltd the two are ¥20.49 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Dongguan Tarry Electronics Co.Ltd worth?
The market values Dongguan Tarry Electronics Co.Ltd at about 11.0B CNY (market capitalisation, as of Nov 2, 2026). Per share that is ¥47.40; our models calculate a fair value of ¥26.91 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about 300976?
Our models span a range for Dongguan Tarry Electronics Co.Ltd: cautious scenario ¥12.16, base ¥26.91, optimistic ¥33.64 per share (as of Nov 2, 2026, price ¥47.40). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of 300976?
Dongguan Tarry Electronics Co.Ltd trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 28.9 (as of Nov 2, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of ¥26.91 is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: P/B 3.1, P/S 3.0, EV/EBITDA 23.1.
How solid is the balance sheet of Dongguan Tarry Electronics Co.Ltd (300976)?
Balance-sheet figures for Dongguan Tarry Electronics Co.Ltd (as of Nov 2, 2026): return on equity 8.4%. They feed the Quality Score of 46/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is 300976 from its 52-week high?
Dongguan Tarry Electronics Co.Ltd trades at ¥47.40, about 50% below its 52-week high of ¥94.20 and 25% above the low of ¥37.82 (as of Nov 6, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of ¥26.91 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Dongguan Tarry Electronics Co.Ltd?
From the same area (Industrials) we also value ATI Inc, Carpenter Technology Corporation, Mueller Industries, Inc, Bharat Forge Limited, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Dongguan Tarry Electronics Co.Ltd stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Nov 2, 2026: price ¥47.40, calculated fair value ¥26.91 (−43%), Quality Score 46/100, from 25 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of 300976 calculated?
We run Dongguan Tarry Electronics Co.Ltd through 25 models from 8 families: DCF Models, Earnings-Based, Dividend Discount, Multiples, Asset-Based, Growth DCF, Economic Profit, Growth Earnings. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the fair value of ¥26.91 builds on their evidence-weighted average, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 13.0% above its aggregate fair value. Dongguan Tarry Electronics Co.Ltd itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Dongguan Tarry Electronics Co.Ltd (300976)?
The closing price on Nov 6, 2026 was ¥47.40. Our model-based fair value is ¥26.91, about 43% lower (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Dongguan Tarry Electronics Co.Ltd right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (¥33.64). The favourable scenario is already priced in. Weak quality (46/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts. The model range is unusually wide (¥12.16 to ¥33.64). The outcome hinges heavily on assumptions, so read the point estimate with caution.
Where does the earnings growth of Dongguan Tarry Electronics Co.Ltd (300976) come from?
Earnings per share at Dongguan Tarry Electronics Co.Ltd grew +25.1 % a year from 2014 to 2024. Broken into its drivers: revenue per share +9.8 %, EBIT margin +11.7 %, tax rate +1.5 %, residual (interest, one-offs) +0.6 %. The four rates multiply to the earnings growth rate, they do not add up. Start and end are three-year averages so a single exceptional year does not distort the result.
Key figures of Dongguan Tarry Electronics Co.Ltd
How large is the market capitalisation of Dongguan Tarry Electronics Co.Ltd (300976)?
The market capitalisation of Dongguan Tarry Electronics Co.Ltd is 11.0B CNY (≈ $1.7B). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Dongguan Tarry Electronics Co.Ltd (300976)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Dongguan Tarry Electronics Co.Ltd is 3.02 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Dongguan Tarry Electronics Co.Ltd (300976)?
Earnings per share at Dongguan Tarry Electronics Co.Ltd are ¥1.64 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 28.9). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of Dongguan Tarry Electronics Co.Ltd (300976)?
The dividend yield of Dongguan Tarry Electronics Co.Ltd is 1.1% (payout 30.5%). Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Dongguan Tarry Electronics Co.Ltd (300976)?
The net margin of Dongguan Tarry Electronics Co.Ltd is 8.3% (last twelve months). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Dongguan Tarry Electronics Co.Ltd (300976)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Dongguan Tarry Electronics Co.Ltd is 8.4% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Dongguan Tarry Electronics Co.Ltd (300976)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Dongguan Tarry Electronics Co.Ltd is 6.1% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Dongguan Tarry Electronics Co.Ltd (300976)?
The operating margin of Dongguan Tarry Electronics Co.Ltd is 10.7% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Dongguan Tarry Electronics Co.Ltd (300976)?
Revenue at Dongguan Tarry Electronics Co.Ltd is growing +16.7% versus a year earlier (3y avg +29.5%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Dongguan Tarry Electronics Co.Ltd (300976)?
Earnings per share at Dongguan Tarry Electronics Co.Ltd are growing −11.6% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net cash does Dongguan Tarry Electronics Co.Ltd (300976) hold?
Dongguan Tarry Electronics Co.Ltd holds more cash than debt, 735M CNY net (fiscal year 2024). The company holds more cash than debt, a safety cushion.
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Nov 2, 2026