SINOMACH HEAVY EQUIPMENT GROUP CO.,LTD researches, (601399) Fair Value & Analysis
Industrials · CN · Market cap 23.9B CNY
Fair value as of: Aug 10, 2026
From 24 valuation models · updated today
Share price +6.1% over the past month.
A solid business, but screening 59% overvalued on our models.
What matters now
- The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (¥1.69). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
- Solid but not exceptional quality (54/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 10, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range ¥2.38 – ¥6.41 · fair‑value band ¥1.01 – ¥1.69 · the ¥3.32 price screens above the ¥1.35 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 10, 2026.
Analysis
SINOMACH HEAVY EQUIPMENT GROUP CO.,LTD researches, (601399) currently trades at ¥3.32, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥1.35, implying the stock looks roughly 59.3% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 54/100 (solid quality), in the Industrials sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).
Over the trailing twelve months, SINOMACH HEAVY EQUIPMENT GROUP CO.,LTD researches, generated revenue of 14.0B CNY at a net margin of 3.4%. Revenue grew 3.0% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 3.4%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of 8.6B CNY. Fundamentals as of Aug 10, 2026
Our scenario range runs from ¥1.01 (bear case) to ¥1.69 (bull case); at ¥3.32, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 50% below its 52-week high and 15% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at -72% fair-value upside, at -59%, 601399 screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 24 models by family
Widest divergence: DCF Models (¥2.44) versus Dividend Discount (¥0.0200). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).
Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 10, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 54 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 28
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
SINOMACH HEAVY EQUIPMENT GROUP CO.,LTD researches, develops, designs, manufactures, and sells technical and heavy equipment in China and internationally.
Full company description
SINOMACH HEAVY EQUIPMENT GROUP CO.,LTD researches, develops, designs, manufactures, and sells technical and heavy equipment in China and internationally. The company offers complete sets of equipment, including forging press, hot continuous rolling mill, rubber bladder press, cold rolling mill, new-type slag vertical mill, forging four-beam bridge crane, free forging hydraulic press, wide-and-thick-plate rolling mill, acid unit, continuous casting machine, hot rolling h-type steel mill, dumping plough, tube mill, hot die forging press, and intelligent stretcher; large-scale castings and forgings; heavy pressure vessels; nuclear power products; wind power products; transmission parts; clean energy equipment; heavy petrochemical containers; and other major technical equipment. It provides infrastructure construction, design and general contracting of ports, transportation infrastructure, power transmission and transformation projects, water affairs, environmental protection, and other projects, as well as import and export trade, and engineering; and engineering project design and consulting services. SINOMACH HEAVY EQUIPMENT GROUP CO.,LTD was formerly known as China Erzhong Group (Deyang) Heavy Industries Co.,Ltd. and changed its name to SINOMACH HEAVY EQUIPMENT GROUP CO.,LTD in March 2018. The company was founded in 2001 and is based in Deyang, China.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
SINOMACH HEAVY EQUIPMENT GROUP CO.,LTD researches, reported revenue of ¥13.9B in FY2025 versus ¥9.5B in FY2021, a compound +9.9%/yr. Reported net income was ¥464M in FY2025, compounding +4.1%/yr from FY2021.
601399 screens 59% overvalued. Compare with Carpenter Technology Corporation →
Peer Group
Metal Fabrication · 243 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Metal Fabrication median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Metal Fabrication stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 10, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Carpenter Technology Corporation CRS | $577.10 | $103.31 | -82% |
| ATI Inc ATI | $186.17 | $36.51 | -80% |
| Mueller Industries, Inc MLI | $59.13 | $60.24 | +2% |
| China International Marine Containers (Group) Co 000039 | ¥7.45 | ¥1.15 | -85% |
| JL Mag Rare-Earth Co 300748 | ¥31.69 | ¥8.74 | -72% |
| Western Superconducting Technologies Co 688122 | ¥56.73 | ¥24.43 | -57% |
| Ningbo Zhenyu Technology Co 300953 | ¥131.65 | ¥44.23 | -66% |
| Anhui Yingliu Electromechanical Co 603308 | ¥48.52 | ¥8.07 | -83% |
| Baoding Technology Co 002552 | ¥43.95 | ¥5.44 | -88% |
| Xiamen Voke Mold & Plastic Engineering Co 301196 | ¥110.08 | ¥42.71 | -61% |
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Frequently asked questions
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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