Voneseals Technology (Shanghai) Inc. A (301161) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Nov 6, 2026: fair value (intrinsic value) of Voneseals Technology (Shanghai) Inc. A stock ¥26.88, price ¥24.44, upside +10.0%, quality 73 out of 100. Rating: fairly valued. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceableSee the method →
Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year. As of Nov 8, 2026.
How to read this chart
50‑month range ¥12.53 – ¥45.63 · fair‑value band ¥18.83 – ¥34.96 · the ¥24.44 price screens below the ¥26.88 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). As of Nov 8, 2026.
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Voneseals Technology (Shanghai) Inc. engages in the research, development, production, and sale of hydraulic and pneumatic sealing products in the People's Republic of China and internationally. The company offers hydraulic, oil, mine, pump valve, and track seals.
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It also provides hydraulic kits and other hydraulic seal products. Its products are used in hydraulic cylinder sealing systems of excavators, cranes, loaders, breakers, and other engineering machinery, as well as hydraulic support sealing and pneumatic sealing systems of coal mining machines.
The company was founded in 2008 and is headquartered in Shanghai, the People's Republic of China.
Stock analysis
Voneseals Technology (Shanghai) Inc. A (301161) currently trades at ¥24.44, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥26.88, so the stock looks roughly fairly valued today (gap 9.1%).
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Valuation
Bull case: the DCF Models group reads highest at a median of ¥20.66 per share, and 1 of the 26 models we run sit above the ¥24.44 price.
Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at ¥4.53, and 25 of the 26 models stay below the price. Data coverage for this calculation is high.
Scenario range: ¥18.83 (bear) to ¥34.96 (bull), the price of ¥24.44 sits inside it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 73/100 (solid quality), in the Basic Materials sector.
Healthy Growth: Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
Voneseals Technology (Shanghai) Inc. A reported revenue of 769M CNY in FY2025 versus 411M CNY in FY2021, a compound +17.0%/yr. Reported net income was 87.0M CNY in FY2025, compounding +9.9%/yr from FY2021.
Key figures
Market cap 2.9B CNY (≈ $440M) Small · P/E ratio 27.2 · P/S ratio 3.54 · EPS (TTM) ¥0.9000 · Dividend yield 0.7% · Net margin 13.0% · Return on equity 11.4% · Return on assets (EBIT) 7.2% (5-year average).
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 57 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 39% below its 52-week high and 6% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Basic Materials peers we cover trades at −25% fair-value upside, at 10%, 301161 screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear¥18.83Fair Value ¥26.88Bull¥34.96
Price ¥24.44 · Upside +10.0%
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above starts from their evidence-weighted blend, not from a single model. In cyclical trough or peak years, after dilution or a stock split it is adjusted afterwards, so it can sit above or below the models. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 10 months old). Earnings retained since then (¥0.6266 per share) are deliberately not added.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds.Coverage ⓘCoverage = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.95/100
Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
Revenue growth 1 year
+7.5%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+31.2%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+13.7%
Start year 2020 (pandemic)
Revenue growth 8 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+28.2%
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’25
What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years) (mathematically smoothed) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate. Smoothed = median of all growth paths between the years of the window (trend line on the logarithm of earnings per share): a single extreme year cannot distort the rate. The reported figure stays in the tooltip.
−11.9%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year−12.6%
Dividend (yield on the price)0.7%
Profit margin 2020 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.22% → 18%
2025 sits 65% above its own trend. The rate follows the median trend of the last 5 years, not that single year.
Growth Forecast
Price in line with expectations
The price assumes about as much growth as the company has delivered so far.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
+13.9%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect
n/a
No analyst forecast available.
After inflation (China: IMF forecast 1.7% a year to 2030, 1.4% from 2016 to 2025) that is about +12.0% a year for the price.
Compare Voneseals Technology (Shanghai) Inc. A with another stock
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Chemicals · 336 stocks
Beats the industry median on 8/14 measures
A mixed picture versus its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score73 · Top 25%
Fair Value upside+10.0% · Above median
Profitability
Return on equity (12 months)11.4% · Above median
Return on assets6.8% · Top 25%
Net margin (12 months)13.0% · Top 25%
Operating margin (12 months)18.7% · Top 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth (quarter YoY)17.7% · Above median
Dividend yield (12 months)0.7% · Bottom 25%
Balance sheet
Debt / equity0.02× · Below median
Valuation Multiplesvs Chemicals median · lower = cheaper
P/E (12 months)27.2× · Pricier than median
P/B3.15× · Priciest 25%
P/S (12 months)3.54× · Priciest 25%
Price / free cash flow (fiscal year)21.8× · Pricier than median
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Voneseals Technology (Shanghai) Inc. A Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/301161
Frequently asked questions
Is Voneseals Technology (Shanghai) Inc. A (301161) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Nov 8, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of ¥26.88 versus a price of ¥24.44, about +10% upside (fairly valued).
What is the fair value of 301161?
Our model-based fair value for Voneseals Technology (Shanghai) Inc. A is ¥26.88 (as of Nov 8, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: ¥24.44.
What is the quality score of 301161?
Voneseals Technology (Shanghai) Inc. A has a Quality Score of 73/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Voneseals Technology (Shanghai) Inc. A (301161)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of ¥26.88 (as of Nov 8, 2026) from 26 valuation models. Cautious scenario ¥18.83, optimistic scenario ¥34.96. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Voneseals Technology (Shanghai) Inc. A stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at ¥26.88, about +10% upside versus a price of ¥24.44 (fairly valued). Cautious scenario ¥18.83, optimistic scenario ¥34.96. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Voneseals Technology (Shanghai) Inc. A (301161)?
Voneseals Technology (Shanghai) Inc. A reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 828M CNY (latest available figure, as of Nov 8, 2026).
Does Voneseals Technology (Shanghai) Inc. A pay a dividend?
Voneseals Technology (Shanghai) Inc. A currently shows a dividend yield of 0.68% relative to its recent price (as of Nov 8, 2026).
How much is the dividend of Voneseals Technology (Shanghai) Inc. A (301161) and when is the ex-dividend date?
Voneseals Technology (Shanghai) Inc. A pays a dividend of ¥0.167 per share a year, a dividend yield of 0.7%. The last ex-dividend date was Jun 10, 2026. The payout ratio is 18.6% of earnings. Free cash flow covers the dividend 6.73 times. Our assessment: Well covered. A low payout and the dividend is fully funded by free cash flow, a comfortable, sustainable dividend.
What growth is priced into Voneseals Technology (Shanghai) Inc. A (301161)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, Voneseals Technology (Shanghai) Inc. A would have to grow free cash flow by +13.9 % per year for five years (discount rate 11.7 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew +13.7 % per year. As of Nov 8, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of 301161 use?
Our models discount Voneseals Technology (Shanghai) Inc. A at 11.7 %: a base by market capitalisation (small), damped by beta 0.94, country premium for China. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For Voneseals Technology (Shanghai) Inc. A that is +13.9 % per year for five years, then slowing evenly to 2 % by year ten, using the same discount rate (11.7 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has Voneseals Technology (Shanghai) Inc. A (301161) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at Voneseals Technology (Shanghai) Inc. A grew +13.7 % a year. The price currently implies free-cash-flow growth of +13.9 % per year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of Voneseals Technology (Shanghai) Inc. A (301161) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +9.8 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into Voneseals Technology (Shanghai) Inc. A (+13.9 % per year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of Voneseals Technology (Shanghai) Inc. A (301161)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 4.60 %: that much free cash flow Voneseals Technology (Shanghai) Inc. A produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (11.7 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of Voneseals Technology (Shanghai) Inc. A (301161)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Voneseals Technology (Shanghai) Inc. A it is ¥26.88 per share (as of Nov 8, 2026), against a price of ¥24.44. It is the blended result of 26 valuation models in 8 families (DCF Models, Earnings-Based, Dividend Discount, Multiples, Asset-Based, Growth DCF, Economic Profit, Growth Earnings).
Is Voneseals Technology (Shanghai) Inc. A stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Nov 8, 2026, 301161 trades below its calculated fair value: price ¥24.44, fair value ¥26.88, a gap of about +10% (fairly valued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of 301161?
No. The price is what the market pays today (¥24.44); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (¥26.88). For Voneseals Technology (Shanghai) Inc. A the two are ¥2.44 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Voneseals Technology (Shanghai) Inc. A worth?
The market values Voneseals Technology (Shanghai) Inc. A at about 2.9B CNY (market capitalisation, as of Nov 8, 2026). Per share that is ¥24.44; our models calculate a fair value of ¥26.88 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about 301161?
Our models span a range for Voneseals Technology (Shanghai) Inc. A: cautious scenario ¥18.83, base ¥26.88, optimistic ¥34.96 per share (as of Nov 8, 2026, price ¥24.44). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of 301161?
Voneseals Technology (Shanghai) Inc. A trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 27.2 (as of Nov 8, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of ¥26.88 is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: P/B 3.2, P/S 3.5, EV/EBITDA 20.0.
How solid is the balance sheet of Voneseals Technology (Shanghai) Inc. A (301161)?
Balance-sheet figures for Voneseals Technology (Shanghai) Inc. A (as of Nov 8, 2026): return on equity 11.4%, debt of 0.02 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 73/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is 301161 from its 52-week high?
Voneseals Technology (Shanghai) Inc. A trades at ¥24.44, about 39% below its 52-week high of ¥40.35 and 6% above the low of ¥22.97 (as of Nov 6, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of ¥26.88 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Voneseals Technology (Shanghai) Inc. A?
From the same area (Basic Materials) we also value BASF SE, Saudi Basic Industries Corporation, Dow Inc, Ningxia Baofeng Energy Group, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Voneseals Technology (Shanghai) Inc. A stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Nov 8, 2026: price ¥24.44, calculated fair value ¥26.88 (+10%), Quality Score 73/100, from 26 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of 301161 calculated?
We run Voneseals Technology (Shanghai) Inc. A through 26 models from 8 families: DCF Models, Earnings-Based, Dividend Discount, Multiples, Asset-Based, Growth DCF, Economic Profit, Growth Earnings. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the fair value of ¥26.88 builds on their evidence-weighted average, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 13.0% above its aggregate fair value. Voneseals Technology (Shanghai) Inc. A currently trades 9% below its own fair value, and the market average says nothing about that. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Voneseals Technology (Shanghai) Inc. A (301161)?
The closing price on Nov 6, 2026 was ¥24.44. Our model-based fair value is ¥26.88, about +10% upside (fairly valued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Voneseals Technology (Shanghai) Inc. A right now?
The price sits close to our fair value, market and models broadly agree here, little valuation tension. A fairly wide model range (¥18.83 to ¥34.96) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Key figures of Voneseals Technology (Shanghai) Inc. A
How large is the market capitalisation of Voneseals Technology (Shanghai) Inc. A (301161)?
The market capitalisation of Voneseals Technology (Shanghai) Inc. A is 2.9B CNY (≈ $440M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Voneseals Technology (Shanghai) Inc. A (301161)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Voneseals Technology (Shanghai) Inc. A is 3.54 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Voneseals Technology (Shanghai) Inc. A (301161)?
Earnings per share at Voneseals Technology (Shanghai) Inc. A are ¥0.9000 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 27.2). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of Voneseals Technology (Shanghai) Inc. A (301161)?
The dividend yield of Voneseals Technology (Shanghai) Inc. A is 0.7% (payout 18.6%). Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Voneseals Technology (Shanghai) Inc. A (301161)?
The net margin of Voneseals Technology (Shanghai) Inc. A is 13.0% (last twelve months). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Voneseals Technology (Shanghai) Inc. A (301161)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Voneseals Technology (Shanghai) Inc. A is 11.4% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Voneseals Technology (Shanghai) Inc. A (301161)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Voneseals Technology (Shanghai) Inc. A is 7.2% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Voneseals Technology (Shanghai) Inc. A (301161)?
The operating margin of Voneseals Technology (Shanghai) Inc. A is 18.7% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Voneseals Technology (Shanghai) Inc. A (301161)?
Revenue at Voneseals Technology (Shanghai) Inc. A is growing +17.7% versus a year earlier (3y avg +31.2%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Voneseals Technology (Shanghai) Inc. A (301161)?
Earnings per share at Voneseals Technology (Shanghai) Inc. A are growing +74.0% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net cash does Voneseals Technology (Shanghai) Inc. A (301161) hold?
Voneseals Technology (Shanghai) Inc. A holds more cash than debt, 221M CNY net (fiscal year 2024). The company holds more cash than debt, a safety cushion.
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Broad data
Nov 8, 2026