Atlantic China Welding Consumables Inc (600558) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Nov 6, 2026: fair value (intrinsic value) of Atlantic China Welding Consumables Inc stock ¥3.74, price ¥5.28, that is 29.2% below the price, quality 68 out of 100. Rating: overvalued. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceableSee the method →
Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year. As of Nov 6, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range ¥2.72 – ¥6.81 · fair‑value band ¥2.75 – ¥4.86 · the ¥5.28 price screens above the ¥3.74 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). As of Nov 6, 2026.
Follow Atlantic China Welding Consumables in your weekly email
Every Wednesday you see whether Atlantic China Welding Consumables is on track or worth a review, plus price against fair value. Free, up to 3 stocks.
We send you a confirmation link. Unsubscribe with one click.
Atlantic China Welding Consumables, Inc. engages in the research and development, production, and sale of welding rods, welding wires, and fluxes in China and internationally.
Show moreShow less
It offers carbon steel welding rods, low alloy steel welding rods, stainless steel welding rods, cladding welding rods, cast iron welding rods, nickel and nickel alloy welding rods, copper and copper alloy welding rods; welding wires for gas shielded welding of MAG, MIG, and TIG; solid, flux-cored welding wires, non-ferrous metal welding wires, and submerged arc welding wires; and smelting and sintering fluxes.
The company's products are used in kitchen equipment, fitness equipment, pharmaceutical equipment, and transportation; infrastructure construction, including bridges, tunnel engineering, roads, railways, high-rise buildings, pipeline engineering, and port construction; and energy equipment construction.
Atlantic China Welding Consumables, Inc. was founded in 1949 and is based in Zigong, China.
Stock analysis
Atlantic China Welding Consumables Inc (600558) currently trades at ¥5.28, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥3.74, 29% below the price, so the stock looks overvalued today.
Show more
Valuation
Bull case: the DCF Models group reads highest at a median of ¥4.38 per share, and 3 of the 26 models we run sit above the ¥5.28 price.
Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at ¥1.28, and 23 of the 26 models stay below the price. Data coverage for this calculation is low.
Scenario range: ¥2.75 (bear) to ¥4.86 (bull), the price of ¥5.28 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 68/100 (solid quality), in the Industrials sector.
Healthy Growth: Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
Atlantic China Welding Consumables Inc reported revenue of 3.7B CNY in FY2025 versus 3.4B CNY in FY2021, a compound +1.9%/yr. Reported net income was 182M CNY in FY2025, compounding +23.9%/yr from FY2021.
Key figures
Market cap 4.8B CNY (≈ $724M) Small · P/E ratio 24.0 · P/S ratio 1.26 · EPS (TTM) ¥0.2200 · Dividend yield 3.2% · Net margin 5.2% · Return on equity 8.9% · Return on assets (EBIT) 5.0% (5-year average).
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 42 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 22% below its 52-week high and 17% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at −46% fair-value upside, at −29%, 600558 screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear¥2.75Fair Value ¥3.74Bull¥4.86
Price ¥5.28 · Downside -29.2%
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above starts from their evidence-weighted blend, not from a single model. In cyclical trough or peak years, after dilution or a stock split it is adjusted afterwards, so it can sit above or below the models. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 10 months old). Earnings retained since then (¥0.0427 per share) are deliberately not added.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds.Coverage ⓘCoverage = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.62/100
Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
Revenue growth 1 year
+4.3%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+3.6%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+4.3%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +8.2% a year
Revenue growth 28 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+10.3%
’14
’15
’16
’17
’18
’19
’20
’21
’22
’23
’24
’25
What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years) (mathematically smoothed) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate. Smoothed = median of all growth paths between the years of the window (trend line on the logarithm of earnings per share): a single extreme year cannot distort the rate. The reported figure stays in the tooltip.
+20.7%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year+17.5%
Dividend (yield on the price)3.2%
Pace: 5 vs 10 years ⓘTwo data points, not a trend model: earnings growth per share over the last 5 fiscal years against the last 10. Labelled "steady" when both rates are within 3 percentage points of each other, otherwise picking up or flattening. Shown only when ten years of history exist.17.0% vs 11.3%, picking up
Profit margin 2020 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.5% → 8%
2025 sits 80% above its own trend. The rate follows the median trend of the last 5 years, not that single year.
Pace: the 5-year rate starts in 2020 (pandemic)
Growth Forecast
A lot of optimism in the price
The price assumes more growth than the company has delivered so far.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
+13.8%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect
n/a
No analyst forecast available.
After inflation (China: IMF forecast 1.7% a year to 2030, 1.4% from 2016 to 2025) that is about +11.9% a year for the price.
Compare Atlantic China Welding Consumables Inc with another stock
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
Free, no sign-up
Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Specialty Industrial Machinery · 814 stocks
Beats the industry median on 10/13 measures
Overall it ranks above its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score68 · Top 25%
Fair Value upside−29.2% · Above median
Profitability
Return on equity (12 months)8.9% · Above median
Return on assets5.6% · Above median
Net margin (12 months)5.2% · Below median
Operating margin (12 months)7.6% · Above median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth (quarter YoY)5.5% · Below median
Dividend yield (12 months)3.2% · Top 25%
Valuation Multiplesvs Specialty Industrial Machinery median · lower = cheaper
P/E (12 months)24.0× · Cheaper than median
P/B1.99× · Cheaper than median
P/S (12 months)1.26× · Cheaper than median
Price / free cash flow (fiscal year)24.3× · Pricier than median
EV/EBITDA12.1× · Cheaper than median
Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)
This stockSector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)0· sector 0
FUTURE (revenue growth)28· sector 31
PAST (return on equity)36· sector 27
HEALTH (low debt)100· sector 96
DIVIDEND (yield)64· sector 29
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Atlantic China Welding Consumables Inc Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/600558
Frequently asked questions
Is Atlantic China Welding Consumables Inc (600558) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Nov 6, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of ¥3.74 versus a price of ¥5.28, about 29% lower (overvalued).
What is the fair value of 600558?
Our model-based fair value for Atlantic China Welding Consumables Inc is ¥3.74 (as of Nov 6, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: ¥5.28.
What is the quality score of 600558?
Atlantic China Welding Consumables Inc has a Quality Score of 68/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Atlantic China Welding Consumables Inc (600558)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of ¥3.74 (as of Nov 6, 2026) from 26 valuation models. Cautious scenario ¥2.75, optimistic scenario ¥4.86. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Atlantic China Welding Consumables Inc stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at ¥3.74, about 29% lower versus a price of ¥5.28 (overvalued). Cautious scenario ¥2.75, optimistic scenario ¥4.86. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Atlantic China Welding Consumables Inc (600558)?
Atlantic China Welding Consumables Inc reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 3.8B CNY (latest available figure, as of Nov 6, 2026).
Does Atlantic China Welding Consumables Inc pay a dividend?
Atlantic China Welding Consumables Inc currently shows a dividend yield of 3.22% relative to its recent price (as of Nov 6, 2026).
How much is the dividend of Atlantic China Welding Consumables Inc (600558) and when is the ex-dividend date?
Atlantic China Welding Consumables Inc pays a dividend of ¥0.17 per share a year, a dividend yield of 3.2%. The last ex-dividend date was Oct 16, 2026. The payout ratio is 77.3% of earnings. Free cash flow covers the dividend 1.30 times. Our assessment: Sustainable. Payout and cash coverage both look sustainable.
What growth is priced into Atlantic China Welding Consumables Inc (600558)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, Atlantic China Welding Consumables Inc would have to grow free cash flow by +13.8 % per year for five years (discount rate 10.8 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew +4.3 % per year. As of Nov 6, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of 600558 use?
Our models discount Atlantic China Welding Consumables Inc at 10.8 %: a base by market capitalisation (small), damped by beta 0.61, country premium for China. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For Atlantic China Welding Consumables Inc that is +13.8 % per year for five years, then slowing evenly to 2 % by year ten, using the same discount rate (10.8 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has Atlantic China Welding Consumables Inc (600558) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at Atlantic China Welding Consumables Inc grew +4.3 % a year. The price currently implies free-cash-flow growth of +13.8 % per year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of Atlantic China Welding Consumables Inc (600558) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +7.8 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into Atlantic China Welding Consumables Inc (+13.8 % per year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of Atlantic China Welding Consumables Inc (600558)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 4.18 %: that much free cash flow Atlantic China Welding Consumables Inc produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (10.8 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of Atlantic China Welding Consumables Inc (600558)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Atlantic China Welding Consumables Inc it is ¥3.74 per share (as of Nov 6, 2026), against a price of ¥5.28. It is the blended result of 26 valuation models in 8 families (DCF Models, Earnings-Based, Dividend Discount, Multiples, Asset-Based, Growth DCF, Economic Profit, Growth Earnings).
Is Atlantic China Welding Consumables Inc stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Nov 6, 2026, 600558 trades above its calculated fair value: price ¥5.28, fair value ¥3.74, a gap of about −29% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of 600558?
No. The price is what the market pays today (¥5.28); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (¥3.74). For Atlantic China Welding Consumables Inc the two are ¥1.54 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Atlantic China Welding Consumables Inc worth?
The market values Atlantic China Welding Consumables Inc at about 4.8B CNY (market capitalisation, as of Nov 6, 2026). Per share that is ¥5.28; our models calculate a fair value of ¥3.74 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about 600558?
Our models span a range for Atlantic China Welding Consumables Inc: cautious scenario ¥2.75, base ¥3.74, optimistic ¥4.86 per share (as of Nov 6, 2026, price ¥5.28). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of 600558?
Atlantic China Welding Consumables Inc trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 24.0 (as of Nov 6, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of ¥3.74 is built from several models across several years. Median P/E at fiscal year-end, 10 fiscal years (2016 to 2025), reported earnings, FY2025 ex one-offs: 38.8. Other multiples: P/B 2.0, P/S 1.3, EV/EBITDA 12.1.
How solid is the balance sheet of Atlantic China Welding Consumables Inc (600558)?
Balance-sheet figures for Atlantic China Welding Consumables Inc (as of Nov 6, 2026): return on equity 8.9%. They feed the Quality Score of 68/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is 600558 from its 52-week high?
Atlantic China Welding Consumables Inc trades at ¥5.28, about 22% below its 52-week high of ¥6.81 and 17% above the low of ¥4.52 (as of Nov 6, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of ¥3.74 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Atlantic China Welding Consumables Inc?
From the same area (Industrials) we also value SIE, GE Vernova Inc, Eaton Corporation, Parker-Hannifin Corporation, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Atlantic China Welding Consumables Inc stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Nov 6, 2026: price ¥5.28, calculated fair value ¥3.74 (−29%), Quality Score 68/100, from 26 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of 600558 calculated?
We run Atlantic China Welding Consumables Inc through 26 models from 8 families: DCF Models, Earnings-Based, Dividend Discount, Multiples, Asset-Based, Growth DCF, Economic Profit, Growth Earnings. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the fair value of ¥3.74 builds on their evidence-weighted average, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 13.0% above its aggregate fair value. Atlantic China Welding Consumables Inc itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Atlantic China Welding Consumables Inc (600558)?
The closing price on Nov 6, 2026 was ¥5.28. Our model-based fair value is ¥3.74, about 29% lower (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Atlantic China Welding Consumables Inc right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (¥4.86). The favourable scenario is already priced in. Solid but not exceptional quality (68/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder. Evidence is limited here (fewer models, shorter history), so the fair value is a rougher estimate than usual.
Where does the earnings growth of Atlantic China Welding Consumables Inc (600558) come from?
Earnings per share at Atlantic China Welding Consumables Inc grew +6.3 % a year from 2013 to 2024. Broken into its drivers: revenue per share +4.7 %, EBIT margin +2.2 %, tax rate +1.1 %, residual (interest, one-offs) −1.7 %. The four rates multiply to the earnings growth rate, they do not add up. Start and end are three-year averages so a single exceptional year does not distort the result.
Key figures of Atlantic China Welding Consumables Inc
How large is the market capitalisation of Atlantic China Welding Consumables Inc (600558)?
The market capitalisation of Atlantic China Welding Consumables Inc is 4.8B CNY (≈ $724M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Atlantic China Welding Consumables Inc (600558)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Atlantic China Welding Consumables Inc is 1.26 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Atlantic China Welding Consumables Inc (600558)?
Earnings per share at Atlantic China Welding Consumables Inc are ¥0.2200 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 24.0). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of Atlantic China Welding Consumables Inc (600558)?
The dividend yield of Atlantic China Welding Consumables Inc is 3.2% (payout 77.3%). Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Atlantic China Welding Consumables Inc (600558)?
The net margin of Atlantic China Welding Consumables Inc is 5.2% (last twelve months). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Atlantic China Welding Consumables Inc (600558)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Atlantic China Welding Consumables Inc is 8.9% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Atlantic China Welding Consumables Inc (600558)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Atlantic China Welding Consumables Inc is 5.0% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Atlantic China Welding Consumables Inc (600558)?
The operating margin of Atlantic China Welding Consumables Inc is 7.6% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Atlantic China Welding Consumables Inc (600558)?
Revenue at Atlantic China Welding Consumables Inc is growing +5.5% versus a year earlier (3y avg +3.6%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Atlantic China Welding Consumables Inc (600558)?
Earnings per share at Atlantic China Welding Consumables Inc are growing +5.5% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net cash does Atlantic China Welding Consumables Inc (600558) hold?
Atlantic China Welding Consumables Inc holds more cash than debt, 366M CNY net (fiscal year 2024). The company holds more cash than debt, a safety cushion.
Free · no account needed
Watch Atlantic China Welding Consumables Inc in the live analysis
One click puts Atlantic China Welding Consumables Inc on your watchlist: fair value and trend at a glance, plus comparison, the diversification check and the 27,000+ stock screener.
Thin data
Nov 6, 2026