Shandong Lubei Chemical Co Ltd (600727) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Nov 12, 2026: fair value (intrinsic value) of Shandong Lubei Chemical Co Ltd stock ¥2.87, price ¥6.81, that is 57.9% below the price, quality 41 out of 100. Rating: strongly overvalued. Calculated from audited financials with 16 of our 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceableSee the method →
Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year. As of Nov 12, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range ¥4.07 – ¥16.57 · fair‑value band ¥1.56 – ¥4.20 · the ¥6.81 price screens above the ¥2.87 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). As of Nov 12, 2026.
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Shan Dong Lu Bei Chemical Co.,Ltd, together with its subsidiaries, produces and sells various fertilizers and chemicals in China.
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The company offers titanium dioxide, methane chloride, industrial chloroform, industrial bromine, industrial dichloromethane, industrial chloromethane, trichloromethane, industrial bromine, industrial salt, diammonium phosphate, compound fertilizer, cement, and sulfuric acid.
Its products are used in chemical, agriculture, construction, medical, production, life, and other industries. The company also provides wholesale, and construction and installation services.
Shan Dong Lu Bei Chemical Co.,Ltd was founded in 1996 and is based in Binzhou, the People's Republic of China.
Stock analysis
Shandong Lubei Chemical Co Ltd (600727) currently trades at ¥6.81, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥2.87, 58% below the price, so the stock looks overvalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the Economic Profit group reads highest at a median of ¥3.75 per share, and 1 of the 16 models we run sit above the ¥6.81 price.
Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at ¥0.4400, and 15 of the 16 models stay below the price. Data coverage for this calculation is medium.
Scenario range: ¥1.56 (bear) to ¥4.20 (bull), the price of ¥6.81 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 41/100 (below-average quality), in the Basic Materials sector.
Mixed Growth: Spin-off in 2000: revenue and profit before it include the divested business. Growth is measured afresh from 2000.
Shandong Lubei Chemical Co Ltd reported revenue of 5.1B CNY in FY2025 versus 4.5B CNY in FY2021, a compound +3.0%/yr. Reported net income was 38.3M CNY in FY2025, compounding −47.2%/yr from FY2021.
Key figures
Market cap 3.6B CNY (≈ $540M) Small · P/E ratio 28.4 · P/S ratio 1.01 · EPS (TTM) ¥0.2400 · Dividend yield 0.7% · Net margin 2.4% · Return on equity 5.0% · Return on assets (EBIT) 4.4% (5-year average).
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 33 out of 100 (medium confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 23% below its 52-week high and 5% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Basic Materials peers we cover trades at −29% fair-value upside, at −58%, 600727 screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear¥1.56Fair Value ¥2.87Bull¥4.20
Price ¥6.81 · Downside -57.9%
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above starts from their evidence-weighted blend, not from a single model. In cyclical trough or peak years, after dilution or a stock split it is adjusted afterwards, so it can sit above or below the models. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 10 months old). Earnings retained since then (¥0.1650 per share) are deliberately not added.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds.Coverage ⓘCoverage = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Best data coverage
Residual Income¥3.60¥3.75¥4.0176
EPV¥3.57¥3.75¥3.9073
ROIC Compounder¥3.57¥3.75¥3.9071
All 16 models by family
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd¥0.4900¥2.73¥3.7963
Lynch FV¥1.01¥1.45¥1.8861
PEG = 1.0¥1.01¥1.45¥1.8857
EPV¥3.57¥3.75¥3.9073
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM¥1.34¥2.51¥3.5667
DDM Multi-Stage¥1.34¥2.25¥2.6767
Multiples
P/E Multiple¥0.9200¥1.23¥1.5463
P/S Multiple¥0.9200¥1.23¥1.5457
P/B Multiple¥6.27¥8.36¥10.4555
EV/EBIT¥1.34¥2.14¥2.9463
EV/EBITDA¥3.11¥4.49¥5.8866
EV/Revenue¥1.03¥1.91¥2.8051
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham)¥0.2900¥0.4400¥0.550054
Economic Profit
Residual Income¥3.60¥3.75¥4.0176
ROIC Compounder¥3.57¥3.75¥3.9071
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E¥1.04¥1.49¥1.9467
The fair value above starts from this blend and is adjusted for a cyclical trough year.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.55/100
Spin-off in 2000: revenue and profit before it include the divested business. Growth is measured afresh from 2000.
Revenue growth 1 year
−11.4%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+1.3%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+11.7%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +24.5% a year
Revenue growth 25 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+7.5%
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What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate. Basis: EBIT basis.
−20.4%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year−21.1%
Dividend (yield on the price)0.7%
Per share before 2000divided by the spin-off factor 1.0564
Pace: 5 vs 10 years ⓘTwo data points, not a trend model: earnings growth per share over the last 5 fiscal years against the last 10. Labelled "steady" when both rates are within 3 percentage points of each other, otherwise picking up or flattening. Shown only when ten years of history exist.−35.3% vs −1.0%, slowing
Profit margin 2020 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.13% → 4%
Compare Shandong Lubei Chemical Co Ltd with another stock
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Chemicals · 354 stocks
Beats the industry median on 5/13 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score41 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside−57.9% · Bottom 25%
Profitability
Return on equity (12 months)5.0% · Below median
Return on assets0.7% · Below median
Net margin (12 months)3.7% · Below median
Operating margin (12 months)10.8% · Above median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth (quarter YoY)38.0% · Top 25%
Dividend yield (12 months)0.7% · Below median
Balance sheet
Debt / equity0.20× · Above median
Valuation Multiplesvs Chemicals median · lower = cheaper
P/E (12 months)28.4× · Pricier than median
P/B1.13× · Cheaper than median
P/S (12 months)1.01× · Cheaper than median
EV/EBITDA5.1× · Cheapest 25%
Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)
This stockSector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)0· sector 9
FUTURE (revenue growth)100· sector 70
PAST (return on equity)20· sector 24
HEALTH (low debt)90· sector 94
DIVIDEND (yield)15· sector 31
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Shandong Lubei Chemical Co Ltd Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/600727
Frequently asked questions
Is Shandong Lubei Chemical Co Ltd (600727) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Nov 12, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of ¥2.87 versus a price of ¥6.81, about 58% lower (overvalued).
What is the fair value of 600727?
Our model-based fair value for Shandong Lubei Chemical Co Ltd is ¥2.87 (as of Nov 12, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: ¥6.81.
What is the quality score of 600727?
Shandong Lubei Chemical Co Ltd has a Quality Score of 41/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Shandong Lubei Chemical Co Ltd (600727)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of ¥2.87 (as of Nov 12, 2026) from 16 valuation models. Cautious scenario ¥1.56, optimistic scenario ¥4.20. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Shandong Lubei Chemical Co Ltd stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at ¥2.87, about 58% lower versus a price of ¥6.81 (overvalued). Cautious scenario ¥1.56, optimistic scenario ¥4.20. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Shandong Lubei Chemical Co Ltd (600727)?
Shandong Lubei Chemical Co Ltd reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 5.5B CNY (latest available figure, as of Nov 12, 2026).
Does Shandong Lubei Chemical Co Ltd pay a dividend?
Shandong Lubei Chemical Co Ltd currently shows a dividend yield of 0.73% relative to its recent price (as of Nov 12, 2026).
How much is the dividend of Shandong Lubei Chemical Co Ltd (600727) and when is the ex-dividend date?
Shandong Lubei Chemical Co Ltd pays a dividend of ¥0.05 per share a year, a dividend yield of 0.7%. The last ex-dividend date was Jun 25, 2026. The payout ratio is 20.8% of earnings. Our assessment: Token dividend. At a yield of 0.7% the dividend is symbolic. On paper it is not fully covered by earnings or free cash flow, but at this size that hardly matters: even scrapping it entirely would cost less than 0.7% a year, and coverage ratios on amounts this small swing with ordinary working-capital movements. Judge this company on its business, not on its dividend.
What is the intrinsic value of Shandong Lubei Chemical Co Ltd (600727)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Shandong Lubei Chemical Co Ltd it is ¥2.87 per share (as of Nov 12, 2026), against a price of ¥6.81. It is the blended result of 16 valuation models in 6 families (Earnings-Based, Dividend Discount, Multiples, Asset-Based, Economic Profit, Growth Earnings).
Is Shandong Lubei Chemical Co Ltd stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Nov 12, 2026, 600727 trades above its calculated fair value: price ¥6.81, fair value ¥2.87, a gap of about −58% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of 600727?
No. The price is what the market pays today (¥6.81); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (¥2.87). For Shandong Lubei Chemical Co Ltd the two are ¥3.94 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Shandong Lubei Chemical Co Ltd worth?
The market values Shandong Lubei Chemical Co Ltd at about 3.6B CNY (market capitalisation, as of Nov 12, 2026). Per share that is ¥6.81; our models calculate a fair value of ¥2.87 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about 600727?
Our models span a range for Shandong Lubei Chemical Co Ltd: cautious scenario ¥1.56, base ¥2.87, optimistic ¥4.20 per share (as of Nov 12, 2026, price ¥6.81). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of 600727?
Shandong Lubei Chemical Co Ltd trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 28.4 (as of Nov 12, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of ¥2.87 is built from several models across several years. Median P/E at fiscal year-end, 9 fiscal years (2016 to 2025), reported earnings: 20.3. Other multiples: P/B 1.1, P/S 1.0, EV/EBITDA 5.1.
How solid is the balance sheet of Shandong Lubei Chemical Co Ltd (600727)?
Balance-sheet figures for Shandong Lubei Chemical Co Ltd (as of Nov 12, 2026): return on equity 5.0%, debt of 0.20 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 41/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is 600727 from its 52-week high?
Shandong Lubei Chemical Co Ltd trades at ¥6.81, about 23% below its 52-week high of ¥8.84 and 5% above the low of ¥6.46 (as of Nov 12, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of ¥2.87 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Shandong Lubei Chemical Co Ltd?
From the same area (Basic Materials) we also value BASF SE, Dow Inc, Ningxia Baofeng Energy Group, Rongsheng Petrochemical Co, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Shandong Lubei Chemical Co Ltd stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Nov 12, 2026: price ¥6.81, calculated fair value ¥2.87 (−58%), Quality Score 41/100, from 16 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of 600727 calculated?
We run Shandong Lubei Chemical Co Ltd through 16 models from 6 families: Earnings-Based, Dividend Discount, Multiples, Asset-Based, Economic Profit, Growth Earnings. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the fair value of ¥2.87 builds on their evidence-weighted average, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.3% above its aggregate fair value. Shandong Lubei Chemical Co Ltd itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Shandong Lubei Chemical Co Ltd (600727)?
The closing price on Nov 12, 2026 was ¥6.81. Our model-based fair value is ¥2.87, about 58% lower (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Shandong Lubei Chemical Co Ltd right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (¥4.20). The favourable scenario is already priced in. Weak quality (41/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts. The model range is unusually wide (¥1.56 to ¥4.20). The outcome hinges heavily on assumptions, so read the point estimate with caution.
Key figures of Shandong Lubei Chemical Co Ltd
How large is the market capitalisation of Shandong Lubei Chemical Co Ltd (600727)?
The market capitalisation of Shandong Lubei Chemical Co Ltd is 3.6B CNY (≈ $540M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Shandong Lubei Chemical Co Ltd (600727)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Shandong Lubei Chemical Co Ltd is 1.01 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Shandong Lubei Chemical Co Ltd (600727)?
Earnings per share at Shandong Lubei Chemical Co Ltd are ¥0.2400 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 28.4). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of Shandong Lubei Chemical Co Ltd (600727)?
The dividend yield of Shandong Lubei Chemical Co Ltd is 0.7% (payout 20.8%). Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Shandong Lubei Chemical Co Ltd (600727)?
The net margin of Shandong Lubei Chemical Co Ltd is 2.4% (last twelve months). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Shandong Lubei Chemical Co Ltd (600727)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Shandong Lubei Chemical Co Ltd is 5.0% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Shandong Lubei Chemical Co Ltd (600727)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Shandong Lubei Chemical Co Ltd is 4.4% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Shandong Lubei Chemical Co Ltd (600727)?
The operating margin of Shandong Lubei Chemical Co Ltd is 10.8% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Shandong Lubei Chemical Co Ltd (600727)?
Revenue at Shandong Lubei Chemical Co Ltd is growing +38.0% versus a year earlier (3y avg +1.3%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Shandong Lubei Chemical Co Ltd (600727)?
Earnings per share at Shandong Lubei Chemical Co Ltd are growing +158% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much free cash flow does Shandong Lubei Chemical Co Ltd (600727) generate?
The free cash flow of Shandong Lubei Chemical Co Ltd is −410M CNY (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net debt does Shandong Lubei Chemical Co Ltd (600727) carry?
The net debt of Shandong Lubei Chemical Co Ltd is 859M CNY (fiscal year 2025). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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Some data
Nov 12, 2026