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Chahua Modern Housewares Co Ltd (603615) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Nov 13, 2026: fair value (intrinsic value) of Chahua Modern Housewares Co Ltd stock ¥2.81, price ¥13.98, that is 79.9% below the price, quality 53 out of 100. Rating: strongly overvalued. Calculated from audited financials with 17 of our 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.

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Consumer Cyclical CN · ISIN CNE100002YV7

CM Chahua Modern Housewares Co Ltd logo Some data Nov 14, 2026

Chahua Modern Housewares Co Ltd

603615 · SHG

Far too expensive (fair value 80% below the price) and falling price, but solid company: meets 1 of 3 rules.

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Quality 53/100 
Expensive Growth (revenue 5y +13.0 %/yr in CNY) 
Thin margins · 0.4% net margin (TTM) 
0.1% dividend yield · Token dividend
Some data 
Costs 155 times its yearly profit. 
Fair value ¥2.81 · Strongly overvalued 
Falling price (downtrend) 
Negative free cash flow 
Trails peers (4/11) 
Narrow moat 26/100
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What runs behind every stock

26 valuation models 8 families, DCF to NCAV 37 quality factors margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt 6 AI factors moat, what no ratio measures 2,000+ data points verified, per stock, median

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

¥29.56 ¥6.45 Fair Value ¥2.81 Jun 2021 Nov 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year. As of Nov 14, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range ¥6.45 – ¥29.56 · fair‑value band ¥2.57 – ¥3.37 · the ¥13.98 price screens above the ¥2.81 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). As of Nov 14, 2026.

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Company profile

Chahua Modern Housewares Co., Ltd. engages in the design, development, production, and sale of various plastic household products in China and internationally.

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The company offers kitchenware products, such as lunch boxes, food containers, vacuum lunch boxes, microwave, condiment sets, cooking oil pots, cutting boards, rice buckets, chopsticks boxes, peelers, cupboards, ice cube trays and ice-lolly molds, sifters, trays, fruit trays, water ladles, table mats, and others; storage products, including storage boxes and drawers, organizers, shoe racks, and others; and water bottles comprising cups, sport bottles, coolpots, thermos, tumblers, and kid cups.

It also provides cleaning items that include mops, cleaning pails, dustpans and brooms, brushes, cleaning rags, scourer pads, aprons and over-sleeves, and others; and bathroom products consisting of soap trays, bathroom racks, bath lily's, potty products, toilet brushes, and others.

In addition, the company offers disposal products that comprise fresh keeping bags, cling wraps, paper and plastic cups, garbage bags, and others; hangers, pegs, mesh laundry bags, hooks, and others; and daily used items, such as basins, pails, baskets, chairs and stools, tissue boxes, and others.

It sells its products through distributors, supermarkets, and e-commerce platform. The company was formerly known as Fujian Chahua Household Plastics Co., Ltd. and changed its name to Chahua Modern Housewares Co., Ltd. in 2013.

Chahua Modern Housewares Co., Ltd. was founded in 1997 and is based in Fuzhou, China.

Stock analysis

Chahua Modern Housewares Co Ltd (603615) currently trades at ¥13.98, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥2.81, 80% below the price, so the stock looks overvalued today.

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Valuation

Bull case: the DCF Models group reads highest at a median of ¥3.97 per share, and 1 of the 17 models we run sit above the ¥13.98 price.

Bear case: the Growth Earnings group reads lowest at ¥0.4500, and 16 of the 17 models stay below the price. Data coverage for this calculation is medium.

Scenario range: ¥2.57 (bear) to ¥3.37 (bull), the price of ¥13.98 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 53/100 (solid quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector.

Expensive Growth: The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.

Chahua Modern Housewares Co Ltd reported revenue of 1.3B CNY in FY2025 versus 799M CNY in FY2021, a compound +12.3%/yr. Reported net income was 6.4M CNY in FY2025.

Key figures

Market cap 3.4B CNY (≈ $516M) Small · P/E ratio 155.3 · P/S ratio 1.35 · EPS (TTM) ¥0.0900 · Dividend yield 0.1% · Net margin 0.4% · Return on equity 0.7% · Return on assets (EBIT) −0.8% (5-year average).

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 26 out of 100 (medium confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 48% below its 52-week high and at its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at −20% fair-value upside, at −80%, 603615 screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

The price assumes far more growth than our models allow for, so the models scatter widely (¥0.4100 to ¥18.22). Read the Fair Value as a cautious anchor, not a price target; the Growth Forecast section shows what the price assumes.
Bear ¥2.57 Fair Value ¥2.81 Bull ¥3.37
Price ¥13.98 · Downside -79.9%
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above starts from their evidence-weighted blend, not from a single model. In cyclical trough or peak years, after dilution or a stock split it is adjusted afterwards, so it can sit above or below the models. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 10 months old). Earnings retained since then (¥0.0610 per share) are deliberately not added. Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds. Coverage ⓘCoverage = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Best data coverage
Residual Income ¥2.57 ¥2.75 ¥3.00 76
Owner Earnings ¥3.38 ¥3.97 ¥4.81 75
EPV ¥2.71 ¥2.77 ¥2.82 70
All 17 models by family
DCF Models
Owner Earnings ¥3.38 ¥3.97 ¥4.81 75
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd ¥0.1800 ¥0.6900 ¥0.9300 64
Lynch FV ¥0.2900 ¥0.4100 ¥0.5300 61
PEG = 1.0 ¥0.2900 ¥0.4100 ¥0.5300 57
EPV ¥2.71 ¥2.77 ¥2.82 70
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM ¥0.3800 ¥0.6800 ¥0.9300 68
DDM Multi-Stage ¥0.3800 ¥0.6200 ¥0.7300 67
Multiples
P/E Multiple ¥0.4400 ¥0.5800 ¥0.7300 63
P/S Multiple ¥0.3400 ¥0.4500 ¥0.5600 58
P/B Multiple ¥13.66 ¥18.22 ¥22.77 55
EV/EBIT ¥3.14 ¥3.45 ¥3.76 63
EV/EBITDA ¥5.24 ¥6.25 ¥7.25 64
EV/Revenue ¥2.84 ¥3.11 ¥3.37 52
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) ¥1.85 ¥2.81 ¥3.51 52
Economic Profit
Residual Income ¥2.57 ¥2.75 ¥3.00 76
ROIC Compounder ¥2.71 ¥2.77 ¥2.82 70
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E ¥0.3100 ¥0.4500 ¥0.5800 67

Open the full fair value analysis →

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 53/100

It rates the business: profits, how they develop, real cash, balance sheet, investing and share count.

Profitability 24
How much profit the company makes from its sales and capital
Quality Growth 66
Are margins and returns getting better?
Cashflow 0
Do the profits arrive as real cash?
Financial strength 85
Debt, balance sheet and risk of trouble
Investment 87
Does it invest with discipline instead of growing at any price?
Low Volatility 56
How calm the share price moves, does not count
Price momentum 11
Price momentum of the last 3 to 12 months, does not count
Near the 52-week high 0
Distance to the 52-week high, does not count
New shares 75
Buys back shares or issues new ones?

Open the full quality analysis →

Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 56/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Revenue growth 1 year
+126.6%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+23.4%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+13.0%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +6.4% a year
Revenue growth 13 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+6.5%
What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate.
−34.7%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year−34.8%
Dividend (yield on the price)0.1%
Pace: 5 vs 10 years ⓘTwo data points, not a trend model: earnings growth per share over the last 5 fiscal years against the last 10. Labelled "steady" when both rates are within 3 percentage points of each other, otherwise picking up or flattening. Shown only when ten years of history exist.−34.8% vs −25.5%, slowing
Profit margin 2020 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.8% → 1%
Pace: the 5-year rate starts in 2020 (pandemic)
⚠ Revenue per share shrinking 2.6%/yr over ~10Y (margins eroding too) ⓘStructural-decline marker: revenue PER SHARE has fallen over the last decade (robust median trend, not a single year). Backtested across 2005 to 2017, such businesses trailed the market by about 2.5 percentage points per year. Display only: it does not change the fair value or the quality score.

603615 screens overvalued: fair value 80% below the price. Compare with Smurfit Westrock Plc, →

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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Packaging & Containers · 272 stocks

Beats the industry median on 4/11 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 53 · Above median
Fair Value upside −79.9% · Bottom 25%
Profitability
Return on equity (12 months) 0.7% · Bottom 25%
Return on assets 0.4% · Below median
Net margin (12 months) 0.4% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (12 months) 2.2% · Bottom 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth (quarter YoY) 11.3% · Above median
Dividend yield (12 months) 0.1% · Bottom 25%

Valuation Multiplesvs Packaging & Containers median · lower = cheaper

P/E (12 months) 155.3× · Priciest 25%
P/B 0.45× · Cheapest 25%
P/S (12 months) 0.24× · Cheapest 25%

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)0 · sector 21
FUTURE (revenue growth)57 · sector 44
PAST (return on equity)3 · sector 26
HEALTH (low debt)0 · sector 92
DIVIDEND (yield)3 · sector 46

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Packaging & Containers stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value Compare
Smurfit Westrock Plc, SW $42.35 $44.16 +4% vs 603615
Crown Holdings CCK $121.57 $121.85 +0% vs 603615
Stora Enso Oyj STEAV €9.72 €9.67 −1% vs 603615
International Paper Company IP $34.43 $31.86 −7% vs 603615
Reynolds Consumer Products Inc REYN $24.80 $19.83 −20% vs 603615
Ball Corporation BALL $65.47 $48.92 −25% vs 603615
Amcor plc AMCR $43.80 $31.20 −29% vs 603615
Avery Dennison Corporation AVY $188.03 $125.58 −33% vs 603615
SIG Group SIGN CHF 15.50 CHF 9.12 −41% vs 603615
Packaging Corporation PKG $251.02 $130.52 −48% vs 603615

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Chahua Modern Housewares Co Ltd Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/603615

Frequently asked questions

Is Chahua Modern Housewares Co Ltd (603615) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Nov 14, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of ¥2.81 versus a price of ¥13.98, about 80% lower (overvalued).
What is the fair value of 603615?
Our model-based fair value for Chahua Modern Housewares Co Ltd is ¥2.81 (as of Nov 14, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: ¥13.98.
What is the quality score of 603615?
Chahua Modern Housewares Co Ltd has a Quality Score of 53/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Chahua Modern Housewares Co Ltd (603615)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of ¥2.81 (as of Nov 14, 2026) from 17 valuation models. Cautious scenario ¥2.57, optimistic scenario ¥3.37. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Chahua Modern Housewares Co Ltd stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at ¥2.81, about 80% lower versus a price of ¥13.98 (overvalued). Cautious scenario ¥2.57, optimistic scenario ¥3.37. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Chahua Modern Housewares Co Ltd (603615)?
Chahua Modern Housewares Co Ltd reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 2.1B CNY (latest available figure, as of Nov 14, 2026).
Does Chahua Modern Housewares Co Ltd pay a dividend?
Chahua Modern Housewares Co Ltd currently shows a dividend yield of 0.14% relative to its recent price (as of Nov 14, 2026).
How much is the dividend of Chahua Modern Housewares Co Ltd (603615) and when is the ex-dividend date?
Chahua Modern Housewares Co Ltd pays a dividend of ¥0.02 per share a year, a dividend yield of 0.1%. The last ex-dividend date was Jun 10, 2026. The payout ratio is 22.2% of earnings. Our assessment: Token dividend. At a yield of 0.1% the dividend is symbolic. On paper it is not fully covered by earnings or free cash flow, but at this size that hardly matters: even scrapping it entirely would cost less than 0.1% a year, and coverage ratios on amounts this small swing with ordinary working-capital movements. Judge this company on its business, not on its dividend.
What is the intrinsic value of Chahua Modern Housewares Co Ltd (603615)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Chahua Modern Housewares Co Ltd it is ¥2.81 per share (as of Nov 14, 2026), against a price of ¥13.98. It is the blended result of 17 valuation models in 7 families (DCF Models, Earnings-Based, Dividend Discount, Multiples, Asset-Based, Economic Profit, Growth Earnings).
Is Chahua Modern Housewares Co Ltd stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Nov 14, 2026, 603615 trades above its calculated fair value: price ¥13.98, fair value ¥2.81, a gap of about −80% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of 603615?
No. The price is what the market pays today (¥13.98); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (¥2.81). For Chahua Modern Housewares Co Ltd the two are ¥11.17 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Chahua Modern Housewares Co Ltd worth?
The market values Chahua Modern Housewares Co Ltd at about 3.4B CNY (market capitalisation, as of Nov 14, 2026). Per share that is ¥13.98; our models calculate a fair value of ¥2.81 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about 603615?
Our models span a range for Chahua Modern Housewares Co Ltd: cautious scenario ¥2.57, base ¥2.81, optimistic ¥3.37 per share (as of Nov 14, 2026, price ¥13.98). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of 603615?
Chahua Modern Housewares Co Ltd trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 155.3 (as of Nov 14, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of ¥2.81 is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: P/B 0.5, P/S 0.2.
How solid is the balance sheet of Chahua Modern Housewares Co Ltd (603615)?
Balance-sheet figures for Chahua Modern Housewares Co Ltd (as of Nov 14, 2026): return on equity 0.7%. They feed the Quality Score of 53/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is 603615 from its 52-week high?
Chahua Modern Housewares Co Ltd trades at ¥13.98, about 48% below its 52-week high of ¥26.95 and at the low of ¥13.98 (as of Nov 13, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of ¥2.81 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Chahua Modern Housewares Co Ltd?
From the same area (Consumer Cyclical) we also value Smurfit Westrock Plc,, Packaging Corporation, Amcor plc, International Paper Company, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Chahua Modern Housewares Co Ltd stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Nov 14, 2026: price ¥13.98, calculated fair value ¥2.81 (−80%), Quality Score 53/100, from 17 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of 603615 calculated?
We run Chahua Modern Housewares Co Ltd through 17 models from 7 families: DCF Models, Earnings-Based, Dividend Discount, Multiples, Asset-Based, Economic Profit, Growth Earnings. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the fair value of ¥2.81 builds on their evidence-weighted average, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 13.9% above its aggregate fair value. Chahua Modern Housewares Co Ltd itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Chahua Modern Housewares Co Ltd (603615)?
The closing price on Nov 13, 2026 was ¥13.98. Our model-based fair value is ¥2.81, about 80% lower (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Chahua Modern Housewares Co Ltd right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (¥3.37). The favourable scenario is already priced in. Solid but not exceptional quality (53/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.

Key figures of Chahua Modern Housewares Co Ltd

How large is the market capitalisation of Chahua Modern Housewares Co Ltd (603615)?
The market capitalisation of Chahua Modern Housewares Co Ltd is 3.4B CNY (≈ $516M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Chahua Modern Housewares Co Ltd (603615)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Chahua Modern Housewares Co Ltd is 1.35 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Chahua Modern Housewares Co Ltd (603615)?
Earnings per share at Chahua Modern Housewares Co Ltd are ¥0.0900 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 155.3). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of Chahua Modern Housewares Co Ltd (603615)?
The dividend yield of Chahua Modern Housewares Co Ltd is 0.1% (payout 22.2%). Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Chahua Modern Housewares Co Ltd (603615)?
The net margin of Chahua Modern Housewares Co Ltd is 0.4% (last twelve months). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Chahua Modern Housewares Co Ltd (603615)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Chahua Modern Housewares Co Ltd is 0.7% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Chahua Modern Housewares Co Ltd (603615)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Chahua Modern Housewares Co Ltd is −0.8% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Chahua Modern Housewares Co Ltd (603615)?
The operating margin of Chahua Modern Housewares Co Ltd is 2.2% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Chahua Modern Housewares Co Ltd (603615)?
Revenue at Chahua Modern Housewares Co Ltd is growing +11.3% versus a year earlier (3y avg +23.4%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How much free cash flow does Chahua Modern Housewares Co Ltd (603615) generate?
The free cash flow of Chahua Modern Housewares Co Ltd is −316M CNY (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net cash does Chahua Modern Housewares Co Ltd (603615) hold?
Chahua Modern Housewares Co Ltd holds more cash than debt, 535M CNY net (fiscal year 2024). The company holds more cash than debt, a safety cushion.
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