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Zhongman Petro & Natural Gas (603619) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Nov 6, 2026: fair value (intrinsic value) of Zhongman Petro & Natural Gas stock ¥13.12, price ¥19.64, that is 33.2% below the price, quality 29 out of 100. Rating: overvalued. Calculated from audited financials with 16 of our 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.

16 models, one by oneBear ¥9.83 to bull ¥16.40 Growth analysisrevenue history, year by year Quality 29/100 in detail37 factors, each one shown Compared with its peersrank on every measure, side by side

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Energy CN · ISIN CNE100002TK0

Some data Nov 5, 2026

Zhongman Petro & Natural Gas

603619 · SHG

Expensive, weak quality

Our calculation puts a fair price 33% below what the stock costs today.

Low debt

Expensive Growth (revenue 5y +19.9 %/yr in CNY)

Thin margins · 8.5% net margin (TTM)

0.7% dividend yield · Token dividend

Moderate moat 48/100 · thin data

Some data

Revenue last quarter 10% below a year ago.

Fair value ¥13.12 · Overvalued (−33.2%)

Quality 29/100

Negative free cash flow

Trails peers (0/13)

⟳ Cyclical⚠ Dilution

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What runs behind every stock

26 valuation models 8 families, DCF to NCAV 37 quality factors margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt 6 AI factors moat, what no ratio measures 2,000+ data points verified, per stock, median

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year. As of Nov 5, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range ¥8.47 – ¥47.05 · fair‑value band ¥9.83 – ¥16.40 · the ¥19.64 price screens above the ¥13.12 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). As of Nov 5, 2026.

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Company profile

Zhongman Petroleum and Natural Gas Group Corp.,Ltd., an oil and gas company, provides integrated oil and gas development services in China and internationally. It engages in exploration and development, drilling and completion engineering, and equipment manufacturing business.

Show moreShow less

The company explores for, develops, and produces oil and gas deposits.

It also offers drilling and completion services, including integrated drilling engineering, equipment management, production management, and project management services, as well as cover drilling, well workover, logging, well logging, cementing, completion, drilling fluid, directional drilling, and integrated wellbore technical services; and drilling technical services.

In addition, the company designs, manufactures, sells, and leases technical services petroleum drilling equipment; and researches, develops, manufactures, and sells land drilling rigs, components, electrical control systems, and intelligent products.

Further, it offers pre-sale and in sale services, such as assembling tests, technical directing, customer training to operation support, maintenance with full-weather service, etc.; maintenance services; technical consultation, spare parts supply, and operational support services; and product customization services.

Zhongman Petroleum and Natural Gas Group Corp.,Ltd. was founded in 2003 and is headquartered in Shanghai, China.

Stock analysis

Zhongman Petro & Natural Gas (603619) currently trades at ¥19.64, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥13.12, 33% below the price, so the stock looks overvalued today.

Valuation

Bull case: the Growth Earnings group reads highest at a median of ¥18.60 per share, and 3 of the 16 models we run sit above the ¥19.64 price.

Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at ¥6.18, and 13 of the 16 models stay below the price. Data coverage for this calculation is medium.

Scenario range: ¥9.83 (bear) to ¥16.40 (bull), the price of ¥19.64 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 29/100 (below-average quality), in the Energy sector.

Expensive Growth: The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.

Zhongman Petro & Natural Gas reported revenue of 3.9B CNY in FY2025 versus 1.8B CNY in FY2021, a compound +22.2%/yr. Reported net income was 510M CNY in FY2025, compounding +62.0%/yr from FY2021. FY2021 was a trough year, so the rate overstates the trend.

Key figures

Market cap 9.1B CNY (≈ $1.4B) Small · P/E ratio 33.9 · P/S ratio 2.49 · EPS (TTM) ¥0.5800 · Dividend yield 0.7% · Net margin 8.5% · Return on equity 7.2% · Return on assets (EBIT) 8.0% (5-year average).

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 48 out of 100 (low confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 58% below its 52-week high and 11% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Energy peers we cover trades at −15% fair-value upside, at −33%, 603619 screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Bear ¥9.83 Fair Value ¥13.12 Bull ¥16.40

Price ¥19.64 · Downside -33.2%

Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above starts from their evidence-weighted blend, not from a single model. In cyclical trough or peak years, after dilution or a stock split it is adjusted afterwards, so it can sit above or below the models. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 10 months old). Earnings retained since then (¥0.3761 per share) are deliberately not added. Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds. Coverage ⓘCoverage = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.

Best data coverage

Residual Income ¥8.25 ¥9.23 ¥11.23 76

EPV ¥15.92 ¥18.14 ¥20.00 74

ROIC Compounder ¥17.91 ¥23.32 ¥30.07 72

All 16 models by family

Earnings-Based

Graham-Dodd ¥7.49 ¥38.38 ¥53.04 64

Lynch FV ¥10.46 ¥14.94 ¥19.43 61

PEG = 1.0 ¥10.46 ¥14.94 ¥19.43 57

EPV ¥15.92 ¥18.14 ¥20.00 74

Dividend Discount

Gordon GGM ¥6.58 ¥12.13 ¥17.02 67

DDM Multi-Stage ¥6.58 ¥10.95 ¥12.92 67

Multiples

P/E Multiple ¥11.57 ¥15.43 ¥19.29 63

P/S Multiple ¥7.64 ¥10.19 ¥12.74 58

P/B Multiple ¥12.45 ¥16.60 ¥20.75 55

EV/EBIT ¥15.44 ¥21.41 ¥27.38 66

EV/EBITDA ¥13.50 ¥18.82 ¥24.15 67

EV/Revenue ¥4.66 ¥7.72 ¥10.77 52

Asset-Based

NCAV (Graham) ¥4.61 ¥6.18 ¥9.22 54

Economic Profit

Residual Income ¥8.25 ¥9.23 ¥11.23 76

ROIC Compounder ¥17.91 ¥23.32 ¥30.07 72

Growth Earnings

Growth-Adj P/E ¥13.02 ¥18.60 ¥24.19 67

The fair value above starts from this blend and is adjusted for dilution from new shares.

Open the full fair value analysis →

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 29/100

It rates the business: profits, how they develop, real cash, balance sheet, investing and share count.

Profitability 37

How much profit the company makes from its sales and capital

Quality Growth 30

Are margins and returns getting better?

Cashflow 51

Do the profits arrive as real cash?

Financial strength 44

Debt, balance sheet and risk of trouble

Investment 0

Does it invest with discipline instead of growing at any price?

Low Volatility 47

How calm the share price moves, does not count

Price momentum 26

Price momentum of the last 3 to 12 months, does not count

Near the 52-week high 17

Distance to the 52-week high, does not count

New shares 15

Buys back shares or issues new ones?

Open the full quality analysis →

Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 46/100

The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.

Revenue growth 1 year

−5.1%

Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.

+7.1%

Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.

+19.9%

Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +9.2% a year

Revenue growth 13 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.

+14.7%

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What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate. Basis: EBIT basis.

≈ +53.8%

Earnings growth per share plus dividend.

Earnings per share, growth per year≈ +53.1%

Dividend (yield on the price)0.7%

Pace: 5 vs 10 years ⓘTwo data points, not a trend model: earnings growth per share over the last 5 fiscal years against the last 10. Labelled "steady" when both rates are within 3 percentage points of each other, otherwise picking up or flattening. Shown only when ten years of history exist.base effect: 58.5% / 7.8%

Profit margin 2020 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.−28% → 28%

⚠ Base effect: the rate starts in the earnings trough around 2020 (starting value 0.28 per share, median 1.04 in 2015 to 2018). It measures the recovery from the trough, not lasting growth.

603619 screens overvalued: fair value 33% below the price. Compare with Saudi Arabian Oil Company →

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Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.

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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Oil & Gas Integrated · 43 stocks

Beats the industry median on 0/13 measures

Overall it trails its industry peers.

Valuation

Quality Score 29 · Bottom 25%

Fair Value upside −33.2% · Below median

Profitability

Return on equity (12 months) 7.2% · Bottom 25%

Return on assets 4.1% · Below median

Net margin (12 months) 8.5% · Below median

Operating margin (12 months) 18.2% · Below median

Growth and dividend

Revenue growth (quarter YoY) −10.0% · Bottom 25%

Dividend yield (12 months) 0.7% · Bottom 25%

Balance sheet

Debt / equity 0.43× · Above median

Valuation Multiplesvs Oil & Gas Integrated median · lower = cheaper

P/E (12 months) 33.9× · Priciest 25%

P/B 2.10× · Pricier than median

P/S (12 months) 2.49× · Priciest 25%

EV/EBITDA 6.8× · Pricier than median

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

This stock

Sector peers

VALUE (fair-value potential)0 · sector 14

FUTURE (revenue growth)0 · sector 100

PAST (return on equity)29 · sector 53

HEALTH (low debt)78 · sector 87

DIVIDEND (yield)14 · sector 73

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

Oil & gas

Similar stocks

10 more Oil & Gas Integrated stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.

Stock	Price	Fair Value	vs Fair Value	Compare
PetroChina Company 601857	¥12.70	¥13.96	+10%	vs 603619
China Petroleum & Chemical Corporation 600028	¥5.80	¥5.60	−4%	vs 603619
TotalEnergies SE TTE	€79.73	€74.49	−7%	vs 603619
Equinor ASA EQNR	kr 394.90	kr 336.81	−15%	vs 603619
Petróleo Brasileiro S.A PBR	$18.53	$15.70	−15%	vs 603619
Suncor Energy Inc SU	$68.74	$51.32	−25%	vs 603619
Saudi Arabian Oil Company 2222	26.16 SAR	19.04 SAR	−27%	vs 603619
Eni S.p.A ENI	€25.05	€15.54	−38%	vs 603619
Exxon Mobil Corporation XOM	$165.87	$90.40	−46%	vs 603619
Chevron Corporation CVX	$212.61	$92.05	−57%	vs 603619

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Frequently asked questions

Is Zhongman Petro & Natural Gas (603619) overvalued or undervalued?

As of Nov 5, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of ¥13.12 versus a price of ¥19.64, about 33% lower (overvalued).

What is the fair value of 603619?

Our model-based fair value for Zhongman Petro & Natural Gas is ¥13.12 (as of Nov 5, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: ¥19.64.

What is the quality score of 603619?

Zhongman Petro & Natural Gas has a Quality Score of 29/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.

What is the price target for Zhongman Petro & Natural Gas (603619)?

Our model-based price target is the fair value of ¥13.12 (as of Nov 5, 2026) from 16 valuation models. Cautious scenario ¥9.83, optimistic scenario ¥16.40. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.

What is the Zhongman Petro & Natural Gas stock forecast for 2026?

Our models put fair value at ¥13.12, about 33% lower versus a price of ¥19.64 (overvalued). Cautious scenario ¥9.83, optimistic scenario ¥16.40. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.

What is the revenue of Zhongman Petro & Natural Gas (603619)?

Zhongman Petro & Natural Gas reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 3.7B CNY (latest available figure, as of Nov 5, 2026).

Does Zhongman Petro & Natural Gas pay a dividend?

Zhongman Petro & Natural Gas currently shows a dividend yield of 0.71% relative to its recent price (as of Nov 5, 2026).

How much is the dividend of Zhongman Petro & Natural Gas (603619) and when is the ex-dividend date?

Zhongman Petro & Natural Gas pays a dividend of ¥0.14 per share a year, a dividend yield of 0.7%. The last ex-dividend date was Jun 3, 2026. The payout ratio is 24.1% of earnings. Our assessment: Token dividend. At a yield of 0.7% the dividend is symbolic. On paper it is not fully covered by earnings or free cash flow, but at this size that hardly matters: even scrapping it entirely would cost less than 0.7% a year, and coverage ratios on amounts this small swing with ordinary working-capital movements. Judge this company on its business, not on its dividend.

What is the intrinsic value of Zhongman Petro & Natural Gas (603619)?

Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Zhongman Petro & Natural Gas it is ¥13.12 per share (as of Nov 5, 2026), against a price of ¥19.64. It is the blended result of 16 valuation models in 6 families (Earnings-Based, Dividend Discount, Multiples, Asset-Based, Economic Profit, Growth Earnings).

Is Zhongman Petro & Natural Gas stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?

As of Nov 5, 2026, 603619 trades above its calculated fair value: price ¥19.64, fair value ¥13.12, a gap of about −33% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.

Is fair value the same as the market price of 603619?

No. The price is what the market pays today (¥19.64); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (¥13.12). For Zhongman Petro & Natural Gas the two are ¥6.52 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.

How much is Zhongman Petro & Natural Gas worth?

The market values Zhongman Petro & Natural Gas at about 9.1B CNY (market capitalisation, as of Nov 5, 2026). Per share that is ¥19.64; our models calculate a fair value of ¥13.12 per share.

What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about 603619?

Our models span a range for Zhongman Petro & Natural Gas: cautious scenario ¥9.83, base ¥13.12, optimistic ¥16.40 per share (as of Nov 5, 2026, price ¥19.64). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.

What is the P/E ratio of 603619?

Zhongman Petro & Natural Gas trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 33.9 (as of Nov 5, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of ¥13.12 is built from several models across several years. Median P/E at fiscal year-end, 8 fiscal years (2017 to 2025), reported earnings: 26.9. Other multiples: P/B 2.1, P/S 2.5, EV/EBITDA 6.8.

How solid is the balance sheet of Zhongman Petro & Natural Gas (603619)?

Balance-sheet figures for Zhongman Petro & Natural Gas (as of Nov 5, 2026): return on equity 7.2%, debt of 0.43 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 29/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.

How far is 603619 from its 52-week high?

Zhongman Petro & Natural Gas trades at ¥19.64, about 58% below its 52-week high of ¥47.05 and 11% above the low of ¥17.74 (as of Nov 6, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of ¥13.12 is for.

Which stocks are comparable to Zhongman Petro & Natural Gas?

From the same area (Energy) we also value Saudi Arabian Oil Company, Exxon Mobil Corporation, Chevron Corporation, PetroChina Company, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.

Is Zhongman Petro & Natural Gas stock attractive at the current price?

The data as of Nov 5, 2026: price ¥19.64, calculated fair value ¥13.12 (−33%), Quality Score 29/100, from 16 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.

How is the fair value of 603619 calculated?

We run Zhongman Petro & Natural Gas through 16 models from 6 families: Earnings-Based, Dividend Discount, Multiples, Asset-Based, Economic Profit, Growth Earnings. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the fair value of ¥13.12 builds on their evidence-weighted average, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.

Is it still worth investing in stocks now?

The global stock market currently sits 13.0% above its aggregate fair value. Zhongman Petro & Natural Gas itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.

What is the share price of Zhongman Petro & Natural Gas (603619)?

The closing price on Nov 6, 2026 was ¥19.64. Our model-based fair value is ¥13.12, about 33% lower (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.

What should I pay attention to with Zhongman Petro & Natural Gas right now?

The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (¥16.40). The favourable scenario is already priced in. Weak quality (29/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts.

Where does the earnings growth of Zhongman Petro & Natural Gas (603619) come from?

Earnings per share at Zhongman Petro & Natural Gas grew +22.0 % a year from 2013 to 2024. Broken into its drivers: revenue per share +11.5 %, EBIT margin +6.4 %, tax rate +2.9 %, residual (interest, one-offs) +0.0 %. The four rates multiply to the earnings growth rate, they do not add up. Start and end are three-year averages so a single exceptional year does not distort the result.

Key figures of Zhongman Petro & Natural Gas

How large is the market capitalisation of Zhongman Petro & Natural Gas (603619)?

The market capitalisation of Zhongman Petro & Natural Gas is 9.1B CNY (≈ $1.4B). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.

What is the P/S ratio of Zhongman Petro & Natural Gas (603619)?

The price-to-sales ratio of Zhongman Petro & Natural Gas is 2.49 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.

What are the earnings per share of Zhongman Petro & Natural Gas (603619)?

Earnings per share at Zhongman Petro & Natural Gas are ¥0.5800 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 33.9). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.

What is the dividend yield of Zhongman Petro & Natural Gas (603619)?

The dividend yield of Zhongman Petro & Natural Gas is 0.7% (payout 24.1%). Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.

What is the net margin of Zhongman Petro & Natural Gas (603619)?

The net margin of Zhongman Petro & Natural Gas is 8.5% (last twelve months). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.

What is the return on equity of Zhongman Petro & Natural Gas (603619)?

The return on equity (ROE) of Zhongman Petro & Natural Gas is 7.2% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.

What is the EBIT return on assets of Zhongman Petro & Natural Gas (603619)?

On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Zhongman Petro & Natural Gas is 8.0% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.

What is the operating margin of Zhongman Petro & Natural Gas (603619)?

The operating margin of Zhongman Petro & Natural Gas is 18.2% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.

How fast is revenue growing at Zhongman Petro & Natural Gas (603619)?

Revenue at Zhongman Petro & Natural Gas is growing −10.0% versus a year earlier (3y avg +7.1%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.

How fast are earnings growing at Zhongman Petro & Natural Gas (603619)?

Earnings per share at Zhongman Petro & Natural Gas are growing −35.6% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.

How much free cash flow does Zhongman Petro & Natural Gas (603619) generate?

The free cash flow of Zhongman Petro & Natural Gas is −168M CNY (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.

How much net debt does Zhongman Petro & Natural Gas (603619) carry?

The net debt of Zhongman Petro & Natural Gas is 1.1B CNY (fiscal year 2025). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.

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