Chief Telecom Inc (6561) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Nov 6, 2026: fair value (intrinsic value) of Chief Telecom Inc stock TWD 173, price TWD 338, that is 48.8% below the price, quality 77 out of 100. Rating: strongly overvalued. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceableSee the method →
Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year. As of Nov 7, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range 240.41 TWD – 538.00 TWD · fair‑value band 114.62 TWD – 224.19 TWD · the 337.50 TWD price screens above the 172.73 TWD fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). As of Nov 7, 2026.
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Chief Telecom Inc. provides data network, internet data center, voice communication, and cloud application services in Taiwan and internationally.
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It offers internet data center (IDC) services, including space/cage and suite, inter-connection, cabinets, customized power, and managed services; IDC value-added services, such as managed customer premises equipment (CPE), secure sockets layer virtual private network (SSL VPN) remote access, data backup, and security services, as well as equipment rental services; and online IDC tour services comprising cables, power, network operation centers, security systems, air conditioning systems, fire alarm system, lobby, and IDC facilities, as well as cold/hot aisle arrangement systems.
The company also provides enterprise networking solutions comprising multi-protocol label switching virtual private network, ADSL-VPN, tunnel VPN, SSL VPN application, and data managed CPE; offers leased line and international private leased circuit/international ethernet private line (IEPL); and Internet access solutions services.
In addition, it offers integrated service router (ISR) wholesale voice and voice over IP services; and retail voice services for businesses communications consisting of exchange equipment, circuit connection, and cost analysis data.
Further, the company provides cloud services, such as cloud computing platform, APP cloud, data storage, security, and value-added services; and operates chief cloud exchange, Taipei internet exchange, and submarine and voice exchange centers.
Additionally, it offers carrier, digital content, e-commerce, hybrid cloud, data storage integration, enterprise voice, chain store, and communication solutions, as well as ICT integration solutions for traveling industry.
The company was incorporated in 1991 and is headquartered in Taipei City, Taiwan. Chief Telecom Inc. operates as a subsidiary of Chunghwa Telecom Co., Ltd.
Stock analysis
Chief Telecom Inc (6561) currently trades at 337.50 TWD, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 172.73 TWD, 49% below the price, so the stock looks overvalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the Growth Earnings group reads highest at a median of 322.62 TWD per share, and 2 of the 26 models we run sit above the 337.50 TWD price.
Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at 31.16 TWD, and 24 of the 26 models stay below the price. Data coverage for this calculation is high.
Scenario range: 114.62 TWD (bear) to 224.19 TWD (bull), the price of 337.50 TWD sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 77/100 (high quality), in the Communication Services sector.
Expensive Growth: The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Chief Telecom Inc reported revenue of 3.9B TWD in FY2025 versus 2.8B TWD in FY2021, a compound +8.9%/yr. Reported net income was 1.2B TWD in FY2025, compounding +15.6%/yr from FY2021.
Key figures
Market cap 26.0B TWD (≈ $794M) Small · P/E ratio 21.3 · P/S ratio 6.46 · EPS (TTM) 15.83 TWD · Dividend yield 2.3% · Net margin 30.6% · Return on equity 33.2% · Return on assets (EBIT) 18.0% (5-year average).
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 90 out of 100 (medium confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 13% below its 52-week high and 10% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Communication Services peers we cover trades at 51% fair-value upside, at −49%, 6561 screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear114.62 TWDFair Value 172.73 TWDBull224.19 TWD
Price 337.50 TWD · Downside -48.8%
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above starts from their evidence-weighted blend, not from a single model. In cyclical trough or peak years, after dilution or a stock split it is adjusted afterwards, so it can sit above or below the models. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 10 months old). Earnings retained since then (7.04 TWD per share) are deliberately not added.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds.Coverage ⓘCoverage = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.62/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Revenue growth 1 year
+4.0%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+8.6%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+9.0%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +8.5% a year
Revenue growth 12 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+8.5%
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What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years), in TWD ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate. Measured in TWD: this currency has depreciated against the euro and dollar over the long run, so part of the nominal rate is currency erosion that never reaches a EUR/USD investor.
+17.6%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year+15.3%
Dividend (yield on the price)2.3%
Pace: 5 vs 10 years ⓘTwo data points, not a trend model: earnings growth per share over the last 5 fiscal years against the last 10. Labelled "steady" when both rates are within 3 percentage points of each other, otherwise picking up or flattening. Shown only when ten years of history exist.15.3% vs 14.3%, steady
Profit margin 2020 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.31% → 40%
Pace: the 5-year rate starts in 2020 (pandemic)
Growth Forecast
A lot of optimism in the price
The price assumes more growth than the company has delivered so far.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
+22.5%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect
n/a
No analyst forecast available.
After inflation (Taiwan: IMF forecast 1.6% a year to 2030, 1.5% from 2016 to 2025) that is about +20.6% a year for the price.
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Telecom Services · 235 stocks
Beats the industry median on 6/13 measures
A mixed picture versus its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score77 · Top 25%
Fair Value upside−48.8% · Bottom 25%
Profitability
Return on equity (12 months)33.2% · Top 25%
Return on assets16.6% · Top 25%
Net margin (12 months)30.6% · Top 25%
Operating margin (12 months)39.3% · Top 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth (quarter YoY)14.9% · Top 25%
Dividend yield (12 months)2.3% · Below median
Valuation Multiplesvs Telecom Services median · lower = cheaper
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Is Chief Telecom Inc (6561) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Nov 7, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of 172.73 TWD versus a price of 337.50 TWD, about 49% lower (overvalued).
What is the fair value of 6561?
Our model-based fair value for Chief Telecom Inc is 172.73 TWD (as of Nov 7, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: 337.50 TWD.
What is the quality score of 6561?
Chief Telecom Inc has a Quality Score of 77/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Chief Telecom Inc (6561)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of 172.73 TWD (as of Nov 7, 2026) from 26 valuation models. Cautious scenario 114.62 TWD, optimistic scenario 224.19 TWD. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Chief Telecom Inc stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at 172.73 TWD, about 49% lower versus a price of 337.50 TWD (overvalued). Cautious scenario 114.62 TWD, optimistic scenario 224.19 TWD. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Chief Telecom Inc (6561)?
Chief Telecom Inc reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 4.0B TWD (latest available figure, as of Nov 7, 2026).
Does Chief Telecom Inc pay a dividend?
Chief Telecom Inc currently shows a dividend yield of 2.25% relative to its recent price (as of Nov 7, 2026).
How much is the dividend of Chief Telecom Inc (6561) and when is the ex-dividend date?
Chief Telecom Inc pays a dividend of 7.60 TWD per share a year, a dividend yield of 2.3%. The next ex-dividend date is Jan 6, 2027. A dividend has been paid every year since at least 2017. The payout ratio is 48.0% of earnings. Free cash flow covers the dividend 1.36 times. Our assessment: Well covered. A low payout and the dividend is fully funded by free cash flow, a comfortable, sustainable dividend.
What growth is priced into Chief Telecom Inc (6561)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, Chief Telecom Inc would have to grow free cash flow by +22.5 % per year for five years (discount rate 11.8 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew +9.0 % per year. As of Nov 7, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of 6561 use?
Our models discount Chief Telecom Inc at 11.8 %: a base by market capitalisation (small), country premium for Taiwan. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For Chief Telecom Inc that is +22.5 % per year for five years, then slowing evenly to 2 % by year ten, using the same discount rate (11.8 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has Chief Telecom Inc (6561) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at Chief Telecom Inc grew +9.0 % a year. The price currently implies free-cash-flow growth of +22.5 % per year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of Chief Telecom Inc (6561) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +3.8 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into Chief Telecom Inc (+22.5 % per year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of Chief Telecom Inc (6561)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 3.06 %: that much free cash flow Chief Telecom Inc produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (11.8 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of Chief Telecom Inc (6561)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Chief Telecom Inc it is 172.73 TWD per share (as of Nov 7, 2026), against a price of 337.50 TWD. It is the blended result of 26 valuation models in 8 families (DCF Models, Earnings-Based, Dividend Discount, Multiples, Asset-Based, Growth DCF, Economic Profit, Growth Earnings).
Is Chief Telecom Inc stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Nov 7, 2026, 6561 trades above its calculated fair value: price 337.50 TWD, fair value 172.73 TWD, a gap of about −49% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of 6561?
No. The price is what the market pays today (337.50 TWD); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (172.73 TWD). For Chief Telecom Inc the two are 164.77 TWD per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Chief Telecom Inc worth?
The market values Chief Telecom Inc at about 26.0B TWD (market capitalisation, as of Nov 7, 2026). Per share that is 337.50 TWD; our models calculate a fair value of 172.73 TWD per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about 6561?
Our models span a range for Chief Telecom Inc: cautious scenario 114.62 TWD, base 172.73 TWD, optimistic 224.19 TWD per share (as of Nov 7, 2026, price 337.50 TWD). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of 6561?
Chief Telecom Inc trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 21.3 (as of Nov 7, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of 172.73 TWD is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: P/B 7.2, P/S 6.5, EV/EBITDA 13.3.
How solid is the balance sheet of Chief Telecom Inc (6561)?
Balance-sheet figures for Chief Telecom Inc (as of Nov 7, 2026): return on equity 33.2%. They feed the Quality Score of 77/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is 6561 from its 52-week high?
Chief Telecom Inc trades at 337.50 TWD, about 13% below its 52-week high of 385.90 TWD and 10% above the low of 307.00 TWD (as of Nov 6, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of 172.73 TWD is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Chief Telecom Inc?
From the same area (Communication Services) we also value China Mobile Limited, Verizon Communications Inc, T-Mobile US, Inc, AT&T Inc, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Chief Telecom Inc stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Nov 7, 2026: price 337.50 TWD, calculated fair value 172.73 TWD (−49%), Quality Score 77/100, from 26 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of 6561 calculated?
We run Chief Telecom Inc through 26 models from 8 families: DCF Models, Earnings-Based, Dividend Discount, Multiples, Asset-Based, Growth DCF, Economic Profit, Growth Earnings. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the fair value of 172.73 TWD builds on their evidence-weighted average, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 13.0% above its aggregate fair value. Chief Telecom Inc itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Chief Telecom Inc (6561)?
The closing price on Nov 6, 2026 was 337.50 TWD. Our model-based fair value is 172.73 TWD, about 49% lower (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Chief Telecom Inc right now?
A high-quality business (quality 77/100), yet the market already pays well above fair value. Quality at a full price, with little margin of safety. The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (224.19 TWD). The favourable scenario is already priced in. A fairly wide model range (114.62 TWD to 224.19 TWD) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Where does the earnings growth of Chief Telecom Inc (6561) come from?
Earnings per share at Chief Telecom Inc grew +14.8 % a year from 2013 to 2023. Broken into its drivers: revenue per share +5.3 %, EBIT margin +11.0 %, tax rate −0.5 %, residual (interest, one-offs) −1.3 %. The four rates multiply to the earnings growth rate, they do not add up. Start and end are three-year averages so a single exceptional year does not distort the result.
Key figures of Chief Telecom Inc
How large is the market capitalisation of Chief Telecom Inc (6561)?
The market capitalisation of Chief Telecom Inc is 26.0B TWD (≈ $794M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Chief Telecom Inc (6561)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Chief Telecom Inc is 6.46 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Chief Telecom Inc (6561)?
Earnings per share at Chief Telecom Inc are 15.83 TWD (price ÷ EPS = P/E 21.3). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of Chief Telecom Inc (6561)?
The dividend yield of Chief Telecom Inc is 2.3% (payout 48.0%). Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Chief Telecom Inc (6561)?
The net margin of Chief Telecom Inc is 30.6% (last twelve months). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Chief Telecom Inc (6561)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Chief Telecom Inc is 33.2% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Chief Telecom Inc (6561)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Chief Telecom Inc is 18.0% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Chief Telecom Inc (6561)?
The operating margin of Chief Telecom Inc is 39.3% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Chief Telecom Inc (6561)?
Revenue at Chief Telecom Inc is growing +14.9% versus a year earlier (3y avg +8.6%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Chief Telecom Inc (6561)?
Earnings per share at Chief Telecom Inc are growing +23.9% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net debt does Chief Telecom Inc (6561) carry?
The net debt of Chief Telecom Inc is 408M TWD (fiscal year 2023, ≈ 0.5 yrs of FCF). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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Broad data
Nov 7, 2026