Chief Telecom Inc (6561) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Sep 23, 2026: fair value of Chief Telecom Inc TWD 286, price TWD 310, upside -7.7%, quality 76 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
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Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 23, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range 240.41 TWD – 538.00 TWD · fair‑value band 174.35 TWD – 419.40 TWD · the 310.00 TWD price screens above the 286.16 TWD fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 23, 2026.
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Chief Telecom Inc. provides data network, internet data center, voice communication, and cloud application services in Taiwan and internationally.
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Chief Telecom Inc. provides data network, internet data center, voice communication, and cloud application services in Taiwan and internationally. It offers internet data center (IDC) services, including space/cage and suite, inter-connection, cabinets, customized power, and managed services; IDC value-added services, such as managed customer premises equipment (CPE), secure sockets layer virtual private network (SSL VPN) remote access, data backup, and security services, as well as equipment rental services; and online IDC tour services comprising cables, power, network operation centers, security systems, air conditioning systems, fire alarm system, lobby, and IDC facilities, as well as cold/hot aisle arrangement systems. The company also provides enterprise networking solutions comprising multi-protocol label switching virtual private network, ADSL-VPN, tunnel VPN, SSL VPN application, and data managed CPE; offers leased line and international private leased circuit/international ethernet private line (IEPL); and Internet access solutions services. In addition, it offers integrated service router (ISR) wholesale voice and voice over IP services; and retail voice services for businesses communications consisting of exchange equipment, circuit connection, and cost analysis data. Further, the company provides cloud services, such as cloud computing platform, APP cloud, data storage, security, and value-added services; and operates chief cloud exchange, Taipei internet exchange, and submarine and voice exchange centers. Additionally, it offers carrier, digital content, e-commerce, hybrid cloud, data storage integration, enterprise voice, chain store, and communication solutions, as well as ICT integration solutions for traveling industry. The company was incorporated in 1991 and is headquartered in Taipei City, Taiwan. Chief Telecom Inc. operates as a subsidiary of Chunghwa Telecom Co., Ltd.
Stock analysis
Chief Telecom Inc (6561) currently trades at 310.00 TWD, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 286.16 TWD, implying the stock looks roughly 8.3% fairly valued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the Growth Earnings group reads highest at a median of 322.62 TWD per share, and 7 of the 24 models we run sit above the 310.00 TWD price.
Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at 31.61 TWD, and 17 of the 24 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is high.
Scenario range: 174.35 TWD (bear) to 419.40 TWD (bull), the price of 310.00 TWD sits inside it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 76/100 (high quality), in the Communication Services sector.
Expensive Growth: The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Chief Telecom Inc reported revenue of 3.9B TWD in FY2025 versus 2.8B TWD in FY2021, a compound +8.9%/yr. Reported net income was 1.2B TWD in FY2025, compounding +15.6%/yr from FY2021.
Key figures
Market cap 23.9B TWD (≈ $751M) · P/E ratio 19.8 · P/S ratio 6.16 · EPS (TTM) 15.67 TWD · Dividend yield 4.5% · Net margin 31.1% · Return on equity 40.0% · Return on assets (EBIT) 18.0%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 57 out of 100 (medium confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 26% below its 52-week high and 1% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Communication Services peers we cover trades at 47% fair-value upside, at −8%, 6561 screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear 174.35 TWDFair Value 286.16 TWDBull 419.40 TWD
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 9 months old). Earnings retained since then (1.23 TWD per share) are deliberately not added.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.62/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Revenue growth 1 year
+4.0%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+8.6%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+9.0%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +8.5% a year
Revenue growth 12 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+8.5%
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What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years), in TWD ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate. Measured in TWD: this currency has depreciated against the euro and dollar over the long run, so part of the nominal rate is currency erosion that never reaches a EUR/USD investor.
+19.8%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year+15.3%
Dividend (yield on the price)4.5%
Pace: 5 vs 10 years ⓘTwo data points, not a trend model: earnings growth per share over the last 5 fiscal years against the last 10. Labelled "steady" when both rates are within 3 percentage points of each other, otherwise picking up or flattening. Shown only when ten years of history exist.15% vs 14%, steady
Profit margin 2020 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.31% → 40%
Start year 2020 (pandemic)
Growth Forecast
A lot of optimism in the price
The price assumes more growth than the company has delivered so far.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
+12.1%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect
n/a
No analyst forecast available.
After inflation (Taiwan: IMF forecast 1.6% a year to 2030, 1.5% from 2016 to 2025) that is about +10.4% a year for the price.
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Telecom Services · 250 stocks
Beats the industry median on 8/13 measures
Overall it ranks above its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score76 · Top 25%
Fair Value upside−8% · Below median
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM)40% · Top 25%
Return on assets14% · Top 25%
Net margin (TTM)31% · Top 25%
Operating margin (TTM)37% · Top 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth3% · Above median
Dividend yield (TTM)4.5% · Above median
Valuation Multiplesvs Telecom Services median · lower = cheaper
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Is Chief Telecom Inc (6561) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 23, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of 286.16 TWD versus a price of 310.00 TWD, about −8% upside (fairly valued).
What is the fair value of 6561?
Our model-based fair value for Chief Telecom Inc is 286.16 TWD (as of Sep 23, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: 310.00 TWD.
What is the quality score of 6561?
Chief Telecom Inc has a Quality Score of 76/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Chief Telecom Inc (6561)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of 286.16 TWD (as of Sep 23, 2026) from 24 valuation models. Cautious scenario 174.35 TWD, optimistic scenario 419.40 TWD. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Chief Telecom Inc stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at 286.16 TWD, about −8% upside versus a price of 310.00 TWD (fairly valued). Cautious scenario 174.35 TWD, optimistic scenario 419.40 TWD. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Chief Telecom Inc (6561)?
Chief Telecom Inc reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 4.0B TWD (latest available figure, as of Sep 23, 2026).
Does Chief Telecom Inc pay a dividend?
Chief Telecom Inc currently shows a dividend yield of about 4.52% relative to its recent price (as of Sep 23, 2026).
What growth is priced into Chief Telecom Inc (6561)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, Chief Telecom Inc would have to grow free cash flow by +12.1 % per year for five years (discount rate 8.6 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew +9.0 % per year. As of Sep 23, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of 6561 use?
Our models discount Chief Telecom Inc at 8.6 %: a base by market capitalisation (large), damped by beta 0.03, country premium for Taiwan. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For Chief Telecom Inc that is +12.1 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (8.6 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has Chief Telecom Inc (6561) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at Chief Telecom Inc grew +9.0 % a year. The price currently implies +12.1 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of Chief Telecom Inc (6561) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +1.6 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into Chief Telecom Inc (+12.1 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of Chief Telecom Inc (6561)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 3.34 %: that much free cash flow Chief Telecom Inc produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (8.6 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of Chief Telecom Inc (6561)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Chief Telecom Inc it is 286.16 TWD per share (as of Sep 23, 2026), against a price of 310.00 TWD. It is the blended result of 24 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Chief Telecom Inc stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 23, 2026, 6561 trades above its calculated fair value: price 310.00 TWD, fair value 286.16 TWD, a gap of about −8% (fairly valued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of 6561?
No. The price is what the market pays today (310.00 TWD); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (286.16 TWD). For Chief Telecom Inc the two are 23.84 TWD per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Chief Telecom Inc worth?
The market values Chief Telecom Inc at about 23.9B TWD (market capitalisation, as of Sep 23, 2026). Per share that is 310.00 TWD; our models calculate a fair value of 286.16 TWD per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about 6561?
Our models span a range for Chief Telecom Inc: cautious scenario 174.35 TWD, base 286.16 TWD, optimistic 419.40 TWD per share (as of Sep 23, 2026, price 310.00 TWD). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of 6561?
Chief Telecom Inc trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 19.8 (as of Sep 23, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of 286.16 TWD is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: P/B 6.6, P/S 6.0, EV/EBITDA 12.7.
How solid is the balance sheet of Chief Telecom Inc (6561)?
Balance-sheet figures for Chief Telecom Inc (as of Sep 23, 2026): return on equity 40.0%. They feed the Quality Score of 76/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is 6561 from its 52-week high?
Chief Telecom Inc trades at 310.00 TWD, about 26% below its 52-week high of 421.00 TWD and 1% above the low of 308.00 TWD (as of Sep 23, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of 286.16 TWD is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Chief Telecom Inc?
From the same area (Communication Services) we also value China Mobile Limited, T-Mobile US, Inc, Verizon Communications Inc, AT&T Inc, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Chief Telecom Inc stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 23, 2026: price 310.00 TWD, calculated fair value 286.16 TWD (−8%), Quality Score 76/100, from 24 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of 6561 calculated?
We run Chief Telecom Inc through 24 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of 286.16 TWD, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.1 % above its aggregate fair value. Chief Telecom Inc itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Chief Telecom Inc (6561)?
The closing price on Sep 23, 2026 was 310.00 TWD. Our model-based fair value is 286.16 TWD, about −8% upside (fairly valued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Chief Telecom Inc right now?
The price sits close to our fair value, market and models broadly agree here, little valuation tension. A fairly wide model range (174.35 TWD to 419.40 TWD) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Where does the earnings growth of Chief Telecom Inc (6561) come from?
Earnings per share at Chief Telecom Inc grew +14.8 % a year from 2013 to 2023. Broken into its drivers: revenue per share +5.3 %, EBIT margin +11.0 %, tax rate −0.5 %, residual (interest, one-offs) −1.3 %. The four rates multiply to the earnings growth rate, they do not add up. Start and end are three-year averages so a single exceptional year does not distort the result.
Key figures of Chief Telecom Inc
How large is the market capitalisation of Chief Telecom Inc (6561)?
The market capitalisation of Chief Telecom Inc is 23.9B TWD (≈ $751M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Chief Telecom Inc (6561)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Chief Telecom Inc is 6.16 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Chief Telecom Inc (6561)?
Earnings per share at Chief Telecom Inc are 15.67 TWD (price ÷ EPS = P/E 19.8). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of Chief Telecom Inc (6561)?
The dividend yield of Chief Telecom Inc is 4.5% (payout 89.3%). Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Chief Telecom Inc (6561)?
The net margin of Chief Telecom Inc is 31.1% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Chief Telecom Inc (6561)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Chief Telecom Inc is 40.0% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Chief Telecom Inc (6561)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Chief Telecom Inc is 18.0% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Chief Telecom Inc (6561)?
The operating margin of Chief Telecom Inc is 37.2% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Chief Telecom Inc (6561)?
Revenue at Chief Telecom Inc is growing +3.1% versus a year earlier (3y avg +8.6%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Chief Telecom Inc (6561)?
Earnings per share at Chief Telecom Inc are growing +3.1% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net debt does Chief Telecom Inc (6561) carry?
The net debt of Chief Telecom Inc is 408M TWD (fiscal year 2023, ≈ 0.5 yrs of FCF). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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