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Qi An Xin Technology Group Inc (688561) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Nov 10, 2026: fair value (intrinsic value) of Qi An Xin Technology Group Inc stock ¥20.12, price ¥25.60, that is 21.4% below the price, quality 50 out of 100. Rating: overvalued. The value is an estimate: none of our valuation models currently carries, it draws on revenue and assets compared with similar companies. Updated daily.

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Technology CN · ISIN CNE1000041K3

QA Qi An Xin Technology Group Inc logo Thin data Nov 10, 2026

Qi An Xin Technology Group Inc

688561 · SHG
Expensive, in a downtrend

Our calculation puts a fair price 21% below what the stock costs today.

Generates free cash flow over the last twelve months
Quality 50/100
Revenue last quarter 29% below a year ago.
Fair value ¥20.12 · Overvalued
Weak Growth (revenue 5y +1.1 %/yr in CNY)
Loss-making · -22.4% net margin (TTM)
Trails peers (1/10)
Narrow moat 8/100 · thin data
Thin data
Estimate
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What runs behind every stock

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Price vs Fair Value

¥123.04 ¥20.50 Fair Value ¥20.12 Jun 2021 Nov 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year. As of Nov 10, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range ¥20.50 – ¥123.04 · fair‑value band ¥15.09 – ¥25.15 · the ¥25.60 price screens above the ¥20.12 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). As of Nov 10, 2026.

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Company profile

Qi An Xin Technology Group Inc., a cybersecurity company, provides cybersecurity products and services for government, enterprises, and other institutions in China and internationally.

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The company provides security operations and response, threat intelligence, network and perimeter security, endpoint and identity security, and forensics products.

In addition, the company operates a security operations center that provides threat detection, data acquisition, analysis, real-time coordination and response, achieving early perception, and awareness of potential threats.

Qi An Xin Technology Group Inc. was incorporated in 2014 and is headquartered in Beijing, China.

Stock analysis

Qi An Xin Technology Group Inc (688561) currently trades at ¥25.60, while our estimate is ¥20.12, 21% below the price, so the stock looks overvalued today.

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Valuation

None of our valuation models currently carries for this company, usually because of losses or heavy investment. The estimate draws on revenue and assets compared with similar companies and is less precise than a model-based fair value.

Scenario range: ¥15.09 (bear) to ¥25.15 (bull), the price of ¥25.60 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 50/100 (solid quality), in the Technology sector.

Weak Growth: Revenue growth is weak: less than 2 % a year.

Qi An Xin Technology Group Inc reported revenue of 4.4B CNY in FY2025 versus 5.8B CNY in FY2021, a compound −6.8%/yr. Reported net income was −1.3B CNY in FY2025.

Key figures

Market cap 17.5B CNY (≈ $2.6B) Mid · P/S ratio 4.00 · EPS (TTM) ¥−1.36 · Dividend yield 0.4% · Net margin −22.4% · Return on equity −12.3% · Return on assets (EBIT) −4.7% (5-year average) · Operating margin −56.3%.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 8 out of 100 (low confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 38% below its 52-week high and 15% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Technology peers we cover trades at −11% fair-value upside, at −21%, 688561 screens richer than that median.

Fair Value

Bear ¥15.09 Fair Value ¥20.12 Bull ¥25.15
Price ¥25.60 · Downside -21.4%
Estimate. None of our valuation models currently carries for this company, usually because of losses or heavy investment. The estimate draws on revenue and assets compared with similar companies and is less precise than a model-based fair value.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 50/100

It rates the business: profits, how they develop, real cash, balance sheet, investing and share count.

Profitability 15
How much profit the company makes from its sales and capital
Quality Growth 60
Are margins and returns getting better?
Cashflow 3
Do the profits arrive as real cash?
Financial strength 73
Debt, balance sheet and risk of trouble
Investment 93
Does it invest with discipline instead of growing at any price?
Low Volatility 65
How calm the share price moves, does not count
Price momentum 27
Price momentum of the last 3 to 12 months, does not count
Near the 52-week high 11
Distance to the 52-week high, does not count
New shares 90
Buys back shares or issues new ones?

Open the full quality analysis →

Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 13/100
Revenue growth is weak: less than 2 % a year.
Revenue growth 1 year
+1.0%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−11.0%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+1.1%
Start year 2020 (pandemic)
Revenue growth 8 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+23.3%
Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
−7.8% (2020) → −30.0% (2025)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2025 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
not computed

688561 screens overvalued: fair value 21% below the price. Compare with Microsoft Corporation →

Compare Qi An Xin Technology Group Inc with another stock

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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Software - Infrastructure · 410 stocks

Beats the industry median on 1/9 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 50 · Below median
Fair Value upside −21.4% · Below median
Profitability
Return on assets −9.2% · Below median
Net margin (12 months) −22.4% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (12 months) −56.3% · Bottom 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth (quarter YoY) −29.1% · Bottom 25%
Dividend yield (12 months) 0.4% · Bottom 25%

Valuation Multiplesvs Software - Infrastructure median · lower = cheaper

P/B 2.14× · Cheaper than median
P/S (12 months) 4.21× · Pricier than median

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)5 · sector 22
FUTURE (revenue growth)0 · sector 60
PAST (return on equity)0 · sector 15
HEALTH (low debt)0 · sector 98
DIVIDEND (yield)8 · sector 27

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Software - Infrastructure stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value Compare
Microsoft Corporation MSFT $533.16 $599.70 +12% vs 688561
Fortinet, Inc FTNT $123.57 $130.72 +6% vs 688561
Oracle Corporation ORCL $117.98 $111.97 −5% vs 688561
Block, Inc XYZ $85.58 $76.43 −11% vs 688561
NetApp, Inc NTAP $175.99 $156.80 −11% vs 688561
Synopsys, Inc SNPS $459.95 $288.23 −37% vs 688561
Zscaler, Inc ZS $194.92 $101.45 −48% vs 688561
Palantir Technologies Inc PLTR $168.82 $42.20 −75% vs 688561
CrowdStrike Holdings CRWD $225.76 $37.97 −83% vs 688561
Palo Alto Networks, Inc PANW $326.36 $39.54 −88% vs 688561

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Qi An Xin Technology Group Inc: fair value per Fair Value Calculator

Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Qi An Xin Technology Group Inc Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/688561

Frequently asked questions

Is Qi An Xin Technology Group Inc (688561) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Nov 10, 2026, our estimate of fair value is ¥20.12 versus a price of ¥25.60, about 21% lower (overvalued).
What is the fair value of 688561?
Our estimate for Qi An Xin Technology Group Inc is ¥20.12 (as of Nov 10, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: ¥25.60.
What is the quality score of 688561?
Qi An Xin Technology Group Inc has a Quality Score of 50/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Qi An Xin Technology Group Inc (688561)?
Our calculated price target is the estimate of ¥20.12 (as of Nov 10, 2026). Cautious scenario ¥15.09, optimistic scenario ¥25.15. It is an estimate from revenue and assets compared with similar companies, because none of our valuation models currently carries, not an analyst target.
What is the Qi An Xin Technology Group Inc stock forecast for 2026?
Our estimate puts fair value at ¥20.12, about 21% lower versus a price of ¥25.60 (overvalued). Cautious scenario ¥15.09, optimistic scenario ¥25.15. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Qi An Xin Technology Group Inc (688561)?
Qi An Xin Technology Group Inc reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 4.1B CNY (latest available figure, as of Nov 10, 2026).
Does Qi An Xin Technology Group Inc pay a dividend?
Qi An Xin Technology Group Inc currently shows a dividend yield of 0.40% relative to its recent price (as of Nov 10, 2026).
How much is the dividend of Qi An Xin Technology Group Inc (688561)?
Qi An Xin Technology Group Inc has a dividend yield of 0.4%.
What is the intrinsic value of Qi An Xin Technology Group Inc (688561)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Qi An Xin Technology Group Inc it is ¥20.12 per share (as of Nov 10, 2026), against a price of ¥25.60.
Is Qi An Xin Technology Group Inc stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Nov 10, 2026, 688561 trades above its calculated fair value: price ¥25.60, fair value ¥20.12, a gap of about −21% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of 688561?
No. The price is what the market pays today (¥25.60); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (¥20.12). For Qi An Xin Technology Group Inc the two are ¥5.48 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Qi An Xin Technology Group Inc worth?
The market values Qi An Xin Technology Group Inc at about 17.5B CNY (market capitalisation, as of Nov 10, 2026). Per share that is ¥25.60; our models calculate a fair value of ¥20.12 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about 688561?
Our models span a range for Qi An Xin Technology Group Inc: cautious scenario ¥15.09, base ¥20.12, optimistic ¥25.15 per share (as of Nov 10, 2026, price ¥25.60). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
How solid is the balance sheet of Qi An Xin Technology Group Inc (688561)?
Balance-sheet figures for Qi An Xin Technology Group Inc (as of Nov 10, 2026): return on equity −12.3%. They feed the Quality Score of 50/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is 688561 from its 52-week high?
Qi An Xin Technology Group Inc trades at ¥25.60, about 38% below its 52-week high of ¥41.10 and 15% above the low of ¥22.31 (as of Nov 10, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of ¥20.12 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Qi An Xin Technology Group Inc?
From the same area (Technology) we also value Microsoft Corporation, Oracle Corporation, Palantir Technologies Inc, Palo Alto Networks, Inc, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Qi An Xin Technology Group Inc stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Nov 10, 2026: price ¥25.60, calculated fair value ¥20.12 (−21%), Quality Score 50/100. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 15.1% above its aggregate fair value. Qi An Xin Technology Group Inc itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Qi An Xin Technology Group Inc (688561)?
The closing price on Nov 10, 2026 was ¥25.60. Our estimate is ¥20.12, about 21% lower (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Qi An Xin Technology Group Inc right now?
Solid but not exceptional quality (50/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder. Evidence is limited here (fewer models, shorter history), so the fair value is a rougher estimate than usual.

Key figures of Qi An Xin Technology Group Inc

How large is the market capitalisation of Qi An Xin Technology Group Inc (688561)?
The market capitalisation of Qi An Xin Technology Group Inc is 17.5B CNY (≈ $2.6B). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Qi An Xin Technology Group Inc (688561)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Qi An Xin Technology Group Inc is 4.00 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Qi An Xin Technology Group Inc (688561)?
Earnings per share at Qi An Xin Technology Group Inc are ¥−1.36. Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of Qi An Xin Technology Group Inc (688561)?
The dividend yield of Qi An Xin Technology Group Inc is 0.4%. Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Qi An Xin Technology Group Inc (688561)?
The net margin of Qi An Xin Technology Group Inc is −22.4% (last twelve months). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Qi An Xin Technology Group Inc (688561)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Qi An Xin Technology Group Inc is −12.3% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Qi An Xin Technology Group Inc (688561)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Qi An Xin Technology Group Inc is −4.7% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Qi An Xin Technology Group Inc (688561)?
The operating margin of Qi An Xin Technology Group Inc is −56.3% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Qi An Xin Technology Group Inc (688561)?
Revenue at Qi An Xin Technology Group Inc is growing −29.1% versus a year earlier (3y avg −11.0%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Qi An Xin Technology Group Inc (688561)?
Earnings per share at Qi An Xin Technology Group Inc are growing +9.8% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much free cash flow does Qi An Xin Technology Group Inc (688561) generate?
The free cash flow of Qi An Xin Technology Group Inc is −304M CNY (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net debt does Qi An Xin Technology Group Inc (688561) carry?
The net debt of Qi An Xin Technology Group Inc is 683M CNY (fiscal year 2025). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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