Zscaler, Inc (ZS) Fair Value & Analysis
Technology · US · Market cap $24.2B
Fair value as of: Jul 18, 2026
From 9 valuation models · updated 20 days ago
Fair value updated Jul 18, 2026, revised from $33.38 to $44.99 (+34.8%) since Jun 24, 2026. Share price +8.8% over the past month.
Below-average quality, and screening another 72% overvalued on our models.
What matters now
- The price sits above even our optimistic bull case ($57.39). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
- Weak quality (37/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 18, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range $87.00 – $368.78 · fair‑value band $32.59 – $57.39 · the $162.60 price screens above the $44.99 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 18, 2026.
Analysis
Zscaler, Inc (ZS) currently trades at $162.60, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $44.99, implying the stock looks roughly 72.3% overvalued today. We read business quality at 37/100 (below-average quality), in the Technology sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: medium).
Over the trailing twelve months, Zscaler, Inc generated revenue of $3.2B at a net margin of -2.4%. Revenue grew 25.4% year over year. It earns a return on equity of -3.7%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of $592M. Fundamentals as of Jul 18, 2026
Our scenario range runs from $32.59 (bear case) to $57.39 (bull case); at $162.60, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 52% below its 52-week high and 42% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Technology peers we cover trades at -53% fair-value upside, at -72%, ZS screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 9 models by family
Widest divergence: DCF Models ($109.31) versus Asset-Based ($7.45). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).
Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 18, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 53 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 24
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Zscaler, Inc. operates as a cloud security company worldwide. The company offers cyberthreat protection products, including Zscaler Internet Access, which provides threat protection, cloud sandbox, and cloud browser isolation; Zscaler Private Access solution that includes cyberthreat and data protection, application discovery, secure application access, …
Full company description
Zscaler, Inc. operates as a cloud security company worldwide. The company offers cyberthreat protection products, including Zscaler Internet Access, which provides threat protection, cloud sandbox, and cloud browser isolation; Zscaler Private Access solution that includes cyberthreat and data protection, application discovery, secure application access, application segmentation, application protection, reduced attack surface, and browser isolation; Zero Trust Firewall; Cloud Sandbox; and Zero Trust Browser. It also provides data security products, such as web and email DLP, endpoint DLP, BYOD security, multi-mode CASB, unified SaaS security, DSPM, AI-SPM, public gen AI security, and Microsoft Copilot data protection; Zero Trust Cloud solution. In addition, the company offers Zero Trust Branch comprising Zero Trust SD-WAN; IoT/OT segmentation; privileged remote access; Zscaler Cellular; and Zscaler Digital Experience that measures end-to-end user experience across business applications, as well as provides an easy-to-understand digital experience score for each user, application, and location within an enterprise. Further, it provides security operations products, including data fabric for security; asset exposure management; Risk360; unified vulnerability management; deception; managed detection and response; and managed threat hunting. Additionally, the company offers Zero Trust Gateway, a fully managed Zscaler service. It serves the automotive, airlines and transportation, conglomerates, consumer goods and retail, energy, financial services, healthcare, insurance, manufacturing, media and communications, public sector and education, technology, and telecommunications services industries. The company was formerly known as SafeChannel, Inc., and changed its name to Zscaler, Inc. in August 2008. Zscaler, Inc. was incorporated in 2007 and is headquartered in San Jose, California.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Zscaler, Inc reported revenue of $2.7B in FY2025 versus $673M in FY2021, a compound +41.2%/yr. Reported net income was −$41.5M in FY2025.
ZS screens 72% overvalued. Compare with Microsoft Corporation →
Recent news
External third-party headlines (Yahoo Finance, Reuters and others), not an editorial selection.
- Zscaler Recognized as a Leader in Both the 2026 Gartner® Magic Quadrant™ for SASE Platforms and 2026 Magic Quadrant™ for Security Service Ed
- Zscaler (ZS) Could Be 20% Undervalued Following Its Special Call
- Zscaler's Large Deal Activity Surges: What's Driving This Momentum?
- Qualys, Rubrik, and Zscaler Join CSAI Foundation as Vanguard Members
Peer Group
Software - Infrastructure · 367 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Software - Infrastructure median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
Insider activity: 40/100
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Software - Infrastructure stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 18, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Microsoft Corporation MSFT | $384.00 | $274.17 | -29% |
| Oracle Corporation ORAC | C$9.08 | C$2.94 | -68% |
| Palantir Technologies Inc 1PLTR | €112.86 | €12.03 | -89% |
| Fortinet, Inc FTNT | $160.78 | $44.96 | -72% |
| Synopsys, Inc 1SNPS | €381.50 | €118.28 | -69% |
| Block, Inc XYZ | A$114.53 | A$70.69 | -38% |
| CoreWeave, Inc CRWV | $79.94 | $44.89 | -44% |
| Range Intelligent Computing Technology Group 300442 | ¥71.60 | ¥34.00 | -53% |
| Oracle Financial Services Software Limited OFSS | ₹11,651 | ₹5,821 | -50% |
| One97 Communications Limited PAYTM | ₹1,342 | ₹181.50 | -86% |
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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