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Guoguang Electric Co Ltd Chengdu (688776) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Nov 6, 2026: fair value (intrinsic value) of Guoguang Electric Co Ltd Chengdu stock ¥11.84, price ¥43.64, that is 72.9% below the price, quality 43 out of 100. Rating: strongly overvalued. Calculated from audited financials with one of our 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.

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Industrials CN · ISIN CNE1000050L2

GE Guoguang Electric Co Ltd Chengdu logo Thin data Nov 5, 2026

Guoguang Electric Co Ltd Chengdu

688776 · SHG
Very expensive, weak quality

Our calculation puts a fair price 73% below what the stock costs today.

Quality 43/100
Revenue last quarter 31% below a year ago.
Fair value ¥11.84 · Strongly overvalued (−72.9%)
Weak Growth (revenue 5y −8.9 %/yr in CNY)
Loss-making · -86.9% net margin (TTM)
Negative free cash flow
Trails peers (0/10)
Narrow moat 12/100
Thin data
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What runs behind every stock

26 valuation models 8 families, DCF to NCAV 37 quality factors margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt 6 AI factors moat, what no ratio measures 2,000+ data points verified, per stock, median

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

¥177.34 ¥36.11 Fair Value ¥11.84 Aug 2021 Nov 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year. As of Nov 5, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range ¥36.11 – ¥177.34 · fair‑value band ¥7.81 – ¥14.80 · the ¥43.64 price screens above the ¥11.84 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). As of Nov 5, 2026.

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Company profile

Guoguang Electric Co.,Ltd. Chengdu engages in the research and development, production, and sale of microwave devices in China and internationally.

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It offers microwave electric vacuum devices, such as traveling wave tubes, magnetrons, and traveling wave tubes; microwave energy application equipment; vacuum contactors; cathode components and magnetic materials; vacuum contactor arc extinguishing chambers; vacuum equipment and leak detection; vacuum components comprising direct drive vacuum and molecular pumps, accessories, and valves; aircraft galley equipment consisting of food carts, airborne kitchen equipment, and other strollers; microwave instruments, power source, and application equipment.

The company also provides vacuum gauges, including resistance, piezoresistive, thermocouple, thermionic, cold cathode ionization, composite, filament thermocouple, short filament thermocouple, thermocathode ionization, and thermionic cathode ultra-high vacuum gauges, as well as vacuum transmitters and flange dimensions.

In addition, it offers microwave waveguide components, encapsulated housing products, reactors, laser therapy devices, laser tube laser power supplies, and alloy materials. Guoguang Electric Co.,Ltd. Chengdu was formerly known as Guoguang Electron Tube General Factory.

The company was founded in 1958 and is based in Chengdu, China. Guoguang Electric Co.,Ltd. Chengdu operates as a subsidiary of Xinyu Huanuojin Enterprise Management Co., Ltd.

Stock analysis

Guoguang Electric Co Ltd Chengdu (688776) currently trades at ¥43.64, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥11.84, 73% below the price, so the stock looks overvalued today.

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Valuation

How firm this estimate is: it rests on 1 models at a data quality of 95/100, which puts the data coverage at low.

Scenario range: ¥7.81 (bear) to ¥14.80 (bull), the price of ¥43.64 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 43/100 (below-average quality), in the Industrials sector.

Weak Growth: Revenue is shrinking: the last year, the last three and the last five years are all negative.

Guoguang Electric Co Ltd Chengdu reported revenue of 279M CNY in FY2025 versus 590M CNY in FY2021, a compound −17.1%/yr. Reported net income was −96.2M CNY in FY2025.

Key figures

Market cap 4.7B CNY (≈ $708M) Small · P/S ratio 24.9 · EPS (TTM) ¥−1.47 · Dividend yield 0.4% · Net margin −86.9% · Return on equity −9.1% · Return on assets (EBIT) 3.8% (5-year average) · Operating margin −57.7%.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 12 out of 100 (medium confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 68% below its 52-week high and 13% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at −46% fair-value upside, at −73%, 688776 screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Bear ¥7.81 Fair Value ¥11.84 Bull ¥14.80
Price ¥43.64 · Downside -72.9%
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above starts from their evidence-weighted blend, not from a single model. In cyclical trough or peak years, after dilution or a stock split it is adjusted afterwards, so it can sit above or below the models. Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds. Coverage ⓘCoverage = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Best data coverage
NCAV (Graham) ¥7.81 ¥11.84 ¥14.80 52
All 1 models by family
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) ¥7.81 ¥11.84 ¥14.80 52

Open the full fair value analysis →

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 43/100

It rates the business: profits, how they develop, real cash, balance sheet, investing and share count.

Profitability 5
How much profit the company makes from its sales and capital
Quality Growth 20
Are margins and returns getting better?
Cashflow 0
Do the profits arrive as real cash?
Financial strength 100
Debt, balance sheet and risk of trouble
Investment 64
Does it invest with discipline instead of growing at any price?
Low Volatility 52
How calm the share price moves, does not count
Price momentum 12
Price momentum of the last 3 to 12 months, does not count
Near the 52-week high 3
Distance to the 52-week high, does not count
New shares 88
Buys back shares or issues new ones?

Open the full quality analysis →

Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 0/100
Revenue is shrinking: the last year, the last three and the last five years are all negative.
Revenue growth 1 year
−47.9%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−32.6%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−8.9%
Start year 2020 (pandemic)
Revenue growth 8 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+0.8%
Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
25.4% (2020) → −40.1% (2025)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2025 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
not computed

688776 screens overvalued: fair value 73% below the price. Compare with SIE →

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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Specialty Industrial Machinery · 814 stocks

Beats the industry median on 0/9 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 43 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside −72.9% · Bottom 25%
Profitability
Return on assets −4.1% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (12 months) −86.9% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (12 months) −57.7% · Bottom 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth (quarter YoY) −31.3% · Bottom 25%
Dividend yield (12 months) 0.4% · Bottom 25%

Valuation Multiplesvs Specialty Industrial Machinery median · lower = cheaper

P/B 2.70× · Pricier than median
P/S (12 months) 25.76× · Priciest 25%

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)0 · sector 0
FUTURE (revenue growth)0 · sector 31
PAST (return on equity)0 · sector 27
HEALTH (low debt)0 · sector 96
DIVIDEND (yield)9 · sector 29

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Specialty Industrial Machinery stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value Compare
Cummins Inc CMI $450.07 $359.36 −20% vs 688776
SIE SIE €263.65 €149.56 −43% vs 688776
AMETEK, Inc AME $228.67 $125.74 −45% vs 688776
Illinois Tool Works Inc ITW $280.95 $154.30 −45% vs 688776
Sandvik AB SAND kr 357.40 kr 194.33 −46% vs 688776
Parker-Hannifin Corporation PH $917.79 $492.92 −46% vs 688776
Emerson Electric Co EMR $162.35 $79.99 −51% vs 688776
Eaton Corporation ETN $341.72 $156.90 −54% vs 688776
Rockwell Automation, Inc ROK $375.86 $139.31 −63% vs 688776
GE Vernova Inc GEV $774.11 $143.50 −81% vs 688776

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Guoguang Electric Co Ltd Chengdu: fair value per Fair Value Calculator

Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Guoguang Electric Co Ltd Chengdu Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/688776

Frequently asked questions

Is Guoguang Electric Co Ltd Chengdu (688776) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Nov 5, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of ¥11.84 versus a price of ¥43.64, about 73% lower (overvalued).
What is the fair value of 688776?
Our model-based fair value for Guoguang Electric Co Ltd Chengdu is ¥11.84 (as of Nov 5, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: ¥43.64.
What is the quality score of 688776?
Guoguang Electric Co Ltd Chengdu has a Quality Score of 43/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Guoguang Electric Co Ltd Chengdu (688776)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of ¥11.84 (as of Nov 5, 2026) from 1 valuation models. Cautious scenario ¥7.81, optimistic scenario ¥14.80. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Guoguang Electric Co Ltd Chengdu stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at ¥11.84, about 73% lower versus a price of ¥43.64 (overvalued). Cautious scenario ¥7.81, optimistic scenario ¥14.80. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Guoguang Electric Co Ltd Chengdu (688776)?
Guoguang Electric Co Ltd Chengdu reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 183M CNY (latest available figure, as of Nov 5, 2026).
Does Guoguang Electric Co Ltd Chengdu pay a dividend?
Guoguang Electric Co Ltd Chengdu currently shows a dividend yield of 0.44% relative to its recent price (as of Nov 5, 2026).
How much is the dividend of Guoguang Electric Co Ltd Chengdu (688776)?
Guoguang Electric Co Ltd Chengdu has a dividend yield of 0.4%.
What is the intrinsic value of Guoguang Electric Co Ltd Chengdu (688776)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Guoguang Electric Co Ltd Chengdu it is ¥11.84 per share (as of Nov 5, 2026), against a price of ¥43.64. It is the blended result of 1 valuation models in 1 family (Asset-Based).
Is Guoguang Electric Co Ltd Chengdu stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Nov 5, 2026, 688776 trades above its calculated fair value: price ¥43.64, fair value ¥11.84, a gap of about −73% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of 688776?
No. The price is what the market pays today (¥43.64); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (¥11.84). For Guoguang Electric Co Ltd Chengdu the two are ¥31.80 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Guoguang Electric Co Ltd Chengdu worth?
The market values Guoguang Electric Co Ltd Chengdu at about 4.7B CNY (market capitalisation, as of Nov 5, 2026). Per share that is ¥43.64; our models calculate a fair value of ¥11.84 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about 688776?
Our models span a range for Guoguang Electric Co Ltd Chengdu: cautious scenario ¥7.81, base ¥11.84, optimistic ¥14.80 per share (as of Nov 5, 2026, price ¥43.64). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
How solid is the balance sheet of Guoguang Electric Co Ltd Chengdu (688776)?
Balance-sheet figures for Guoguang Electric Co Ltd Chengdu (as of Nov 5, 2026): return on equity −9.1%. They feed the Quality Score of 43/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is 688776 from its 52-week high?
Guoguang Electric Co Ltd Chengdu trades at ¥43.64, about 68% below its 52-week high of ¥138.35 and 13% above the low of ¥38.66 (as of Nov 6, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of ¥11.84 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Guoguang Electric Co Ltd Chengdu?
From the same area (Industrials) we also value SIE, GE Vernova Inc, Eaton Corporation, Parker-Hannifin Corporation, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Guoguang Electric Co Ltd Chengdu stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Nov 5, 2026: price ¥43.64, calculated fair value ¥11.84 (−73%), Quality Score 43/100, from 1 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of 688776 calculated?
We run Guoguang Electric Co Ltd Chengdu through 1 models from 1 family: Asset-Based. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the fair value of ¥11.84 builds on their evidence-weighted average, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 13.0% above its aggregate fair value. Guoguang Electric Co Ltd Chengdu itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Guoguang Electric Co Ltd Chengdu (688776)?
The closing price on Nov 6, 2026 was ¥43.64. Our model-based fair value is ¥11.84, about 73% lower (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Guoguang Electric Co Ltd Chengdu right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (¥14.80). The favourable scenario is already priced in. Weak quality (43/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution. A fairly wide model range (¥7.81 to ¥14.80) leaves room in how you read the outcome.

Key figures of Guoguang Electric Co Ltd Chengdu

How large is the market capitalisation of Guoguang Electric Co Ltd Chengdu (688776)?
The market capitalisation of Guoguang Electric Co Ltd Chengdu is 4.7B CNY (≈ $708M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Guoguang Electric Co Ltd Chengdu (688776)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Guoguang Electric Co Ltd Chengdu is 24.9 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Guoguang Electric Co Ltd Chengdu (688776)?
Earnings per share at Guoguang Electric Co Ltd Chengdu are ¥−1.47. Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of Guoguang Electric Co Ltd Chengdu (688776)?
The dividend yield of Guoguang Electric Co Ltd Chengdu is 0.4%. Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Guoguang Electric Co Ltd Chengdu (688776)?
The net margin of Guoguang Electric Co Ltd Chengdu is −86.9% (last twelve months). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Guoguang Electric Co Ltd Chengdu (688776)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Guoguang Electric Co Ltd Chengdu is −9.1% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Guoguang Electric Co Ltd Chengdu (688776)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Guoguang Electric Co Ltd Chengdu is 3.8% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Guoguang Electric Co Ltd Chengdu (688776)?
The operating margin of Guoguang Electric Co Ltd Chengdu is −57.7% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Guoguang Electric Co Ltd Chengdu (688776)?
Revenue at Guoguang Electric Co Ltd Chengdu is growing −31.3% versus a year earlier (3y avg −32.6%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Guoguang Electric Co Ltd Chengdu (688776)?
Earnings per share at Guoguang Electric Co Ltd Chengdu are growing −92.6% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much free cash flow does Guoguang Electric Co Ltd Chengdu (688776) generate?
The free cash flow of Guoguang Electric Co Ltd Chengdu is −124M CNY (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net cash does Guoguang Electric Co Ltd Chengdu (688776) hold?
Guoguang Electric Co Ltd Chengdu holds more cash than debt, 456M CNY net (fiscal year 2024). The company holds more cash than debt, a safety cushion.
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