Guoguang Electric Co Ltd Chengdu (688776) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Sep 23, 2026: fair value of Guoguang Electric Co Ltd Chengdu ¥11.84, price ¥52.00, upside -77.2%, quality 42 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
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Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range ¥36.11 – ¥177.34 · fair‑value band ¥7.81 – ¥14.80 · the ¥52.00 price screens above the ¥11.84 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.
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Guoguang Electric Co.,Ltd.Chengdu engages in the research and development, production, and sale of microwave devices in China and internationally.
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Guoguang Electric Co.,Ltd.Chengdu engages in the research and development, production, and sale of microwave devices in China and internationally. It offers microwave electric vacuum devices, such as traveling wave tubes, magnetrons, and traveling wave tubes; microwave energy application equipment; vacuum contactors; cathode components and magnetic materials; vacuum contactor arc extinguishing chambers; vacuum equipment and leak detection; vacuum components comprising direct drive vacuum and molecular pumps, accessories, and valves; aircraft galley equipment consisting of food carts, airborne kitchen equipment, and other strollers; microwave instruments, power source, and application equipment. The company also provides vacuum gauges, including resistance, piezoresistive, thermocouple, thermionic, cold cathode ionization, composite, filament thermocouple, short filament thermocouple, thermocathode ionization, and thermionic cathode ultra-high vacuum gauges, as well as vacuum transmitters and flange dimensions. In addition, it offers microwave waveguide components, encapsulated housing products, reactors, laser therapy devices, laser tube laser power supplies, and alloy materials. Guoguang Electric Co.,Ltd. Chengdu was formerly known as Guoguang Electron Tube General Factory. The company was founded in 1958 and is based in Chengdu, China. Guoguang Electric Co.,Ltd. Chengdu operates as a subsidiary of Xinyu Huanuojin Enterprise Management Co., Ltd.
Stock analysis
Guoguang Electric Co Ltd Chengdu (688776) currently trades at ¥52.00, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥11.84, implying the stock looks roughly 339.2% overvalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the Asset-Based group reads highest at a median of ¥10.80 per share, and 0 of the 3 models we run sit above the ¥52.00 price.
Bear case: the Dividend Discount group reads lowest at ¥1.55, and 3 of the 3 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is low.
Scenario range: ¥7.81 (bear) to ¥14.80 (bull), the price of ¥52.00 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 42/100 (below-average quality), in the Industrials sector.
Weak Growth: Revenue is shrinking: the last year, the last three and the last five years are all negative.
Guoguang Electric Co Ltd Chengdu reported revenue of 279M CNY in FY2025 versus 590M CNY in FY2021, a compound −17.1%/yr. Reported net income was −96.2M CNY in FY2025.
Key figures
Market cap 5.6B CNY (≈ $840M) · P/S ratio 24.5 · EPS (TTM) ¥−1.30 · Dividend yield 0.4% · Net margin −34.4% · Return on equity −7.9% · Return on assets (EBIT) 3.8% · Operating margin −81.6%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 32 out of 100 (medium confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 62% below its 52-week high and 18% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at −50% fair-value upside, at −77%, 688776 screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear ¥7.81Fair Value ¥11.84Bull ¥14.80
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.0/100
Revenue is shrinking: the last year, the last three and the last five years are all negative.
Revenue growth 1 year
−47.9%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−32.6%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−8.9%
Start year 2020 (pandemic)
Revenue growth 8 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+0.8%
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Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
25.4% (2020) → −40.1% (2025)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2025 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
Compare Guoguang Electric Co Ltd Chengdu with another stock
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Specialty Industrial Machinery · 826 stocks
Beats the industry median on 1/9 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score42 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside−77% · Bottom 25%
Profitability
Return on assets−5% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (TTM)−63% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (TTM)−82% · Bottom 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth−51% · Bottom 25%
Dividend yield (TTM)0.4% · Bottom 25%
Valuation Multiplesvs Specialty Industrial Machinery median · lower = cheaper
P/B0.48× · Cheapest 25%
P/S (TTM)3.77× · Pricier than median
Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)
This stockSector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)0· sector 0
FUTURE (revenue growth)0· sector 22
PAST (return on equity)0· sector 28
HEALTH (low debt)0· sector 95
DIVIDEND (yield)7· sector 25
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Guoguang Electric Co Ltd Chengdu Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/688776
Frequently asked questions
Is Guoguang Electric Co Ltd Chengdu (688776) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 24, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of ¥11.84 versus a price of ¥52.00, about −77% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of 688776?
Our model-based fair value for Guoguang Electric Co Ltd Chengdu is ¥11.84 (as of Sep 24, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: ¥52.00.
What is the quality score of 688776?
Guoguang Electric Co Ltd Chengdu has a Quality Score of 42/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Guoguang Electric Co Ltd Chengdu (688776)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of ¥11.84 (as of Sep 24, 2026) from 3 valuation models. Cautious scenario ¥7.81, optimistic scenario ¥14.80. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Guoguang Electric Co Ltd Chengdu stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at ¥11.84, about −77% upside versus a price of ¥52.00 (overvalued). Cautious scenario ¥7.81, optimistic scenario ¥14.80. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Guoguang Electric Co Ltd Chengdu (688776)?
Guoguang Electric Co Ltd Chengdu reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 223M CNY (latest available figure, as of Sep 24, 2026).
Does Guoguang Electric Co Ltd Chengdu pay a dividend?
Guoguang Electric Co Ltd Chengdu currently shows a dividend yield of about 0.37% relative to its recent price (as of Sep 24, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of Guoguang Electric Co Ltd Chengdu (688776)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Guoguang Electric Co Ltd Chengdu it is ¥11.84 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026), against a price of ¥52.00. It is the blended result of 3 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Guoguang Electric Co Ltd Chengdu stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 24, 2026, 688776 trades above its calculated fair value: price ¥52.00, fair value ¥11.84, a gap of about −77% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of 688776?
No. The price is what the market pays today (¥52.00); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (¥11.84). For Guoguang Electric Co Ltd Chengdu the two are ¥40.16 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Guoguang Electric Co Ltd Chengdu worth?
The market values Guoguang Electric Co Ltd Chengdu at about 5.6B CNY (market capitalisation, as of Sep 24, 2026). Per share that is ¥52.00; our models calculate a fair value of ¥11.84 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about 688776?
Our models span a range for Guoguang Electric Co Ltd Chengdu: cautious scenario ¥7.81, base ¥11.84, optimistic ¥14.80 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026, price ¥52.00). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
How solid is the balance sheet of Guoguang Electric Co Ltd Chengdu (688776)?
Balance-sheet figures for Guoguang Electric Co Ltd Chengdu (as of Sep 24, 2026): return on equity −7.9%. They feed the Quality Score of 42/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is 688776 from its 52-week high?
Guoguang Electric Co Ltd Chengdu trades at ¥52.00, about 62% below its 52-week high of ¥138.35 and 18% above the low of ¥44.20 (as of Sep 23, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of ¥11.84 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Guoguang Electric Co Ltd Chengdu?
From the same area (Industrials) we also value GE Vernova Inc, SIE, Eaton Corporation, Parker-Hannifin Corporation, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Guoguang Electric Co Ltd Chengdu stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 24, 2026: price ¥52.00, calculated fair value ¥11.84 (−77%), Quality Score 42/100, from 3 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of 688776 calculated?
We run Guoguang Electric Co Ltd Chengdu through 3 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of ¥11.84, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.1 % above its aggregate fair value. Guoguang Electric Co Ltd Chengdu itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Guoguang Electric Co Ltd Chengdu (688776)?
The closing price on Sep 23, 2026 was ¥52.00. Our model-based fair value is ¥11.84, about −77% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Guoguang Electric Co Ltd Chengdu right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (¥14.80). The favourable scenario is already priced in. Weak quality (42/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution. A fairly wide model range (¥7.81 to ¥14.80) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Key figures of Guoguang Electric Co Ltd Chengdu
How large is the market capitalisation of Guoguang Electric Co Ltd Chengdu (688776)?
The market capitalisation of Guoguang Electric Co Ltd Chengdu is 5.6B CNY (≈ $840M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Guoguang Electric Co Ltd Chengdu (688776)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Guoguang Electric Co Ltd Chengdu is 24.5 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Guoguang Electric Co Ltd Chengdu (688776)?
Earnings per share at Guoguang Electric Co Ltd Chengdu are ¥−1.30. Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of Guoguang Electric Co Ltd Chengdu (688776)?
The dividend yield of Guoguang Electric Co Ltd Chengdu is 0.4%. Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Guoguang Electric Co Ltd Chengdu (688776)?
The net margin of Guoguang Electric Co Ltd Chengdu is −34.4% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Guoguang Electric Co Ltd Chengdu (688776)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Guoguang Electric Co Ltd Chengdu is −7.9% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Guoguang Electric Co Ltd Chengdu (688776)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Guoguang Electric Co Ltd Chengdu is 3.8% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Guoguang Electric Co Ltd Chengdu (688776)?
The operating margin of Guoguang Electric Co Ltd Chengdu is −81.6% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Guoguang Electric Co Ltd Chengdu (688776)?
Revenue at Guoguang Electric Co Ltd Chengdu is growing −51.3% versus a year earlier (3y avg −32.6%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Guoguang Electric Co Ltd Chengdu (688776)?
Earnings per share at Guoguang Electric Co Ltd Chengdu are growing −92.6% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much free cash flow does Guoguang Electric Co Ltd Chengdu (688776) generate?
The free cash flow of Guoguang Electric Co Ltd Chengdu is −124M CNY (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net cash does Guoguang Electric Co Ltd Chengdu (688776) hold?
Guoguang Electric Co Ltd Chengdu holds more cash than debt, 456M CNY net (fiscal year 2024). The company holds more cash than debt, a safety cushion.
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