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Agroliga Group (AGL) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Nov 4, 2026: fair value (intrinsic value) of Agroliga Group stock PLN 51.90, price PLN 28.70, upside +80.8%, quality 48 out of 100. Rating: strongly undervalued. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.

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Consumer Defensive PL · Based in Cyprus · ISIN CY0101452114

AG Some data Nov 4, 2026

Agroliga Group

AGL · WAR
Meets all rules: undervalued, quality rule, uptrend

The stock costs 45% less than our calculation considers fair.

Fair value 51.90 PLN · Strongly undervalued (45%)
Low debt
Ranks above peers (11/12)
Revenue last quarter +71% vs. a year ago.
Quality 48/100
Mixed Growth
Thin margins · 3.5% net margin (TTM)
Some data
Negative free cash flow
Narrow moat 29/100 · thin data
⟳ Cyclical⚠ Small free float
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What runs behind every stock

26 valuation models 8 families, DCF to NCAV 37 quality factors margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt 6 AI factors moat, what no ratio measures 2,000+ data points verified, per stock, median

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

70.40 PLN 13.00 PLN Fair Value 51.90 PLN Feb 2021 Nov 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year. As of Nov 4, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range 13.00 PLN – 70.40 PLN · fair‑value band 36.33 PLN – 67.48 PLN · the 28.70 PLN price screens below the 51.90 PLN fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). As of Nov 4, 2026.

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Company profile

Agroliga Group Plc, together with its subsidiaries, engages in the production and sale of vegetable oils, cereals, meat products, and dairy breeding herds in Ukraine. Its products include sunflower, sunflower oil, wheat and barley grain, corn, rapeseed, buckwheat, and dairy products.

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The company also provides elevator and grain center services. It cultivates approximately 10 thousand hectares of agricultural land. The company was founded in 1992 and is based in Nicosia, Cyprus.

Stock analysis

Agroliga Group (AGL) currently trades at 28.70 PLN, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 51.90 PLN, implying the stock looks roughly 45% undervalued today.

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Valuation

Bull case: the Multiples group reads highest at a median of 55.23 PLN per share, and 9 of the 12 models we run sit above the 28.70 PLN price.

Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at 13.29 PLN, and 3 of the 12 models stay below the price. Data coverage for this calculation is medium.

Scenario range: 36.33 PLN (bear) to 67.48 PLN (bull), the price of 28.70 PLN sits below it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 48/100 (below-average quality), in the Consumer Defensive sector.

Mixed Growth: Spin-off in 2025: revenue and profit before it include the divested business. Growth is measured afresh from 2025.

Agroliga Group reported revenue of €42.2M in FY2025 versus €47.5M in FY2022, a compound −3.8%/yr. Reported net income was €1.1M in FY2025.

Key figures

Market cap 44.1M PLN (≈ $11.3M) Micro · P/E ratio 5.5 · P/S ratio 0.15 · EPS (TTM) 5.21 PLN · Net margin 2.7% · Return on equity 8.9% · Return on assets (EBIT) 4.0% · Operating margin 6.5%.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 29 out of 100 (low confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 20% below its 52-week high and 66% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Consumer Defensive peers we cover trades at 7% fair-value upside, at 81%, AGL screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Bear 36.33 PLN Fair Value 51.90 PLN Bull 67.48 PLN
Price 28.70 PLN · Upside +80.8%
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above starts from their evidence-weighted blend, not from a single model. In cyclical trough or peak years, after dilution or a stock split it is adjusted afterwards, so it can sit above or below the models. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 10 months old). Earnings retained since then (4.41 PLN per share) are deliberately not added. Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds. Coverage ⓘCoverage = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Best data coverage
EPV 28.48 PLN 33.40 PLN 37.68 PLN 70
Residual Income 52.58 PLN 53.68 PLN 56.37 PLN 68
ROIC Compounder 28.48 PLN 33.40 PLN 37.68 PLN 68
All 12 models by family
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd 22.09 PLN 27.00 PLN 30.38 PLN 65
EPV 28.48 PLN 33.40 PLN 37.68 PLN 70
Multiples
P/E Multiple 51.17 PLN 68.23 PLN 85.29 PLN 63
P/S Multiple 41.43 PLN 55.23 PLN 69.04 PLN 57
P/B Multiple 283.10 PLN 377.47 PLN 471.83 PLN 55
EV/EBIT 27.11 PLN 44.76 PLN 62.42 PLN 63
EV/EBITDA 68.23 PLN 99.60 PLN 130.96 PLN 66
EV/Revenue 11.94 PLN 28.15 PLN 44.35 PLN 50
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) 8.77 PLN 13.29 PLN 16.61 PLN 54
Economic Profit
Residual Income 52.58 PLN 53.68 PLN 56.37 PLN 68
ROIC Compounder 28.48 PLN 33.40 PLN 37.68 PLN 68
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E 36.14 PLN 51.62 PLN 67.11 PLN 65

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Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 48/100

It rates the business: profits, how they develop, real cash, balance sheet, investing and share count.

Profitability 30
How much profit the company makes from its sales and capital
Quality Growth 50
Are margins and returns getting better?
Cashflow 0
Do the profits arrive as real cash?
Financial strength 51
Debt, balance sheet and risk of trouble
Investment 91
Does it invest with discipline instead of growing at any price?
Low Volatility 60
How calm the share price moves, does not count
Price momentum 76
Price momentum of the last 3 to 12 months, does not count
Near the 52-week high 68
Distance to the 52-week high, does not count
New shares 82
Buys back shares or issues new ones?

Open the full quality analysis →

Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 55/100
Spin-off in 2025: revenue and profit before it include the divested business. Growth is measured afresh from 2025.
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: no profitable base year
not computed

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Compare Agroliga Group with another stock

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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Farm Products · 286 stocks

Beats the industry median on 11/12 measures
Overall it ranks above its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 48 · Below median
Fair Value upside +80.8% · Top 25%
Profitability
Return on equity (12 months) 8.9% · Above median
Return on assets 3.3% · Above median
Net margin (12 months) 5.6% · Above median
Operating margin (12 months) 6.5% · Above median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth (quarter YoY) 71.3% · Top 25%
Balance sheet
Debt / equity 0.06× · Below median

Valuation Multiplesvs Farm Products median · lower = cheaper

P/E (12 months) 5.5× · Cheapest 25%
P/B 0.42× · Cheapest 25%
P/S (12 months) 0.30× · Cheapest 25%
EV/EBITDA 3.3× · Cheapest 25%

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)100 · sector 30
FUTURE (revenue growth)100 · sector 16
PAST (return on equity)36 · sector 17
HEALTH (low debt)97 · sector 94
DIVIDEND (yield)0 · sector 41

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Farm Products stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value Compare
Charoen Pokphand Foods Public Company CPF 20.20 THB 43.40 THB +115% vs AGL
Muyuan Foods Group 002714 ¥43.13 ¥53.02 +23% vs AGL
Mowi ASA MOWI kr 218.00 kr 266.51 +22% vs AGL
Tyson Foods, Inc TSN $60.03 $73.24 +22% vs AGL
United Plantations Berhad 2089 30.00 MYR 32.14 MYR +7% vs AGL
Archer-Daniels-Midland Company ADM $70.84 $60.78 −14% vs AGL
Wens Foodstuff Group 300498 ¥16.53 ¥12.08 −27% vs AGL
Fujian Wanchen Food Group 300972 ¥134.20 ¥88.62 −34% vs AGL
Bunge Global SA BG $97.01 $56.81 −41% vs AGL
SalMar ASA SALM kr 597.50 kr 260.08 −56% vs AGL

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Agroliga Group: fair value per Fair Value Calculator

Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Agroliga Group Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/AGL.WAR

Frequently asked questions

Is Agroliga Group (AGL) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Nov 4, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of 51.90 PLN versus a price of 28.70 PLN, about +81% upside (undervalued).
What is the fair value of AGL?
Our model-based fair value for Agroliga Group is 51.90 PLN (as of Nov 4, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: 28.70 PLN.
What is the quality score of AGL?
Agroliga Group has a Quality Score of 48/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Agroliga Group (AGL)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of 51.90 PLN (as of Nov 4, 2026) from 12 valuation models. Cautious scenario 36.33 PLN, optimistic scenario 67.48 PLN. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Agroliga Group stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at 51.90 PLN, about +81% upside versus a price of 28.70 PLN (undervalued). Cautious scenario 36.33 PLN, optimistic scenario 67.48 PLN. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Agroliga Group (AGL)?
Agroliga Group reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about €53.3M (latest available figure, as of Nov 4, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of Agroliga Group (AGL)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Agroliga Group it is 51.90 PLN per share (as of Nov 4, 2026), against a price of 28.70 PLN. It is the blended result of 12 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Agroliga Group stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Nov 4, 2026, AGL trades below its calculated fair value: price 28.70 PLN, fair value 51.90 PLN, a gap of about +81% (undervalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of AGL?
No. The price is what the market pays today (28.70 PLN); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (51.90 PLN). For Agroliga Group the two are 23.20 PLN per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Agroliga Group worth?
The market values Agroliga Group at about 44.1M PLN (market capitalisation, as of Nov 4, 2026). Per share that is 28.70 PLN; our models calculate a fair value of 51.90 PLN per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about AGL?
Our models span a range for Agroliga Group: cautious scenario 36.33 PLN, base 51.90 PLN, optimistic 67.48 PLN per share (as of Nov 4, 2026, price 28.70 PLN). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of AGL?
Agroliga Group trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 5.5 (as of Nov 4, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of 51.90 PLN is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: P/B 0.4, P/S 0.3, EV/EBITDA 3.3.
How solid is the balance sheet of Agroliga Group (AGL)?
Balance-sheet figures for Agroliga Group (as of Nov 4, 2026): return on equity 8.9%, debt of 0.06 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 48/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is AGL from its 52-week high?
Agroliga Group trades at 28.70 PLN, about 20% below its 52-week high of 35.80 PLN and 66% above the low of 17.30 PLN (as of Nov 4, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of 51.90 PLN is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Agroliga Group?
From the same area (Consumer Defensive) we also value Muyuan Foods Group, Archer-Daniels-Midland Company, Tyson Foods, Inc, Bunge Global SA, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Agroliga Group stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Nov 4, 2026: price 28.70 PLN, calculated fair value 51.90 PLN (+81%), Quality Score 48/100, from 12 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of AGL calculated?
We run Agroliga Group through 12 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of 51.90 PLN, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 15.0% above its aggregate fair value. Agroliga Group currently trades 45% below its own fair value, and the market average says nothing about that. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Agroliga Group (AGL)?
The closing price on Nov 4, 2026 was 28.70 PLN. Our model-based fair value is 51.90 PLN, about +81% upside (undervalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Agroliga Group right now?
The large discount to fair value meets weak quality (48/100). That raises the risk this is a value trap rather than a bargain. The price is below even our cautious bear case (36.33 PLN). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario. A fairly wide model range (36.33 PLN to 67.48 PLN) leaves room in how you read the outcome.

Key figures of Agroliga Group

How large is the market capitalisation of Agroliga Group (AGL)?
The market capitalisation of Agroliga Group is 44.1M PLN (≈ $11.3M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Agroliga Group (AGL)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Agroliga Group is 0.15 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Agroliga Group (AGL)?
Earnings per share at Agroliga Group are 5.21 PLN (price ÷ EPS = P/E 5.5). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the net margin of Agroliga Group (AGL)?
The net margin of Agroliga Group is 2.7% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Agroliga Group (AGL)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Agroliga Group is 8.9% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Agroliga Group (AGL)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Agroliga Group is 4.0% (avg 4y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Agroliga Group (AGL)?
The operating margin of Agroliga Group is 6.5% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Agroliga Group (AGL)?
Revenue at Agroliga Group is growing +71.3% versus a year earlier (3y avg −3.8%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Agroliga Group (AGL)?
Earnings per share at Agroliga Group are growing −0.9% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much free cash flow does Agroliga Group (AGL) generate?
The free cash flow of Agroliga Group is −€9.9M (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net debt does Agroliga Group (AGL) carry?
The net debt of Agroliga Group is €14.5M (fiscal year 2025). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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