Akenerji Elektrik Uretim AS (AKENR) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Oct 30, 2026: fair value (intrinsic value) of Akenerji Elektrik Uretim AS stock TRY 3.99, price TRY 6.16, that is 35.2% below the price, quality 26 out of 100. Rating: strongly overvalued. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
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Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year. As of Oct 28, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range 1.37 TRY – 27.66 TRY · fair‑value band 2.31 TRY – 6.64 TRY · the 6.16 TRY price screens above the 3.99 TRY fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). As of Oct 28, 2026.
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Akenerji Elektrik Üretim A.S., together with its subsidiaries, together with its subsidiaries, produces and trades in electricity in Turkey. The company operates hydroelectric, wind, and natural gas combined cycle power plants with a total installed capacity of 1,224 megawatts.
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It is also involved in the natural gas trading business. Akenerji Elektrik Üretim A.S. was incorporated in 1989 and is headquartered in Istanbul, Turkey.
Stock analysis
Akenerji Elektrik Uretim AS (AKENR) currently trades at 6.16 TRY, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 3.99 TRY, 35.2% below the price, so the stock looks overvalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the Asset-Based group reads highest at a median of 11.12 TRY per share, and 3 of the 8 models we run sit above the 6.16 TRY price.
Bear case: the Growth DCF group reads lowest at 3.87 TRY, and 5 of the 8 models stay below the price. Data coverage for this calculation is low.
Scenario range: 2.31 TRY (bear) to 6.64 TRY (bull), the price of 6.16 TRY sits inside it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 26/100 (below-average quality), in the Utilities sector.
Mixed Growth: Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Akenerji Elektrik Uretim AS reported revenue of 22.7B TRL in FY2025 versus 3.9B TRL in FY2021, a compound +55.2%/yr. Reported net income was −5.4B TRL in FY2025.
Key figures
Market cap 4.5B TRY (≈ $89.9M) Micro · P/S ratio 0.27 · EPS (TTM) −5.66 TRY · Net margin −23.1% · Return on equity −25.5% · Return on assets (EBIT) 2.5% · Operating margin −27.4% · Revenue (TTM) 17.3B TRY.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 13 out of 100 (medium confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 59% below its 52-week high and at its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Utilities peers we cover trades at −39% fair-value upside, at −35%, AKENR screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear2.31 TRYFair Value 3.99 TRYBull6.64 TRY
Price 6.16 TRY · Downside -35.2%
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above starts from their evidence-weighted blend, not from a single model. In cyclical trough or peak years, after dilution or a stock split it is adjusted afterwards, so it can sit above or below the models.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds.Coverage ⓘCoverage = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.56/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Revenue growth 1 year
−31.9%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+10.0%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+59.7%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +28.8% a year
Revenue growth 22 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−35.6%
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Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
−1.6% (2018) → −5.9% (2025)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2025 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
not computed
Growth Forecast
Little optimism in the price
The price assumes less growth than the company has delivered so far.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
+35.6%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect
n/a
No analyst forecast available.
After inflation (Turkey: IMF forecast 19.3% a year to 2030, 28.5% from 2016 to 2025) that is about +13.7% a year for the price.
Compare Akenerji Elektrik Uretim AS with another stock
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Utilities - Regulated Electric · 157 stocks
Beats the industry median on 5/12 measures
A mixed picture versus its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score26 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside−35.2% · Below median
Profitability
Return on assets−13.5% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (12 months)−23.1% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (12 months)−27.4% · Bottom 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth (quarter YoY)−60.7% · Bottom 25%
Balance sheet
Debt / equity0.84× · Below median
Valuation Multiplesvs Utilities - Regulated Electric median · lower = cheaper
P/B0.35× · Cheapest 25%
P/S (12 months)0.26× · Cheapest 25%
Price / free cash flow6.3× · Cheapest 25%
EV/EBITDA25.2× · Priciest 25%
PEG0.53× · Cheapest 25%
Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)
This stockSector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)0· sector 20
FUTURE (revenue growth)0· sector 20
PAST (return on equity)0· sector 39
HEALTH (low debt)58· sector 51
DIVIDEND (yield)0· sector 64
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Akenerji Elektrik Uretim AS Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/AKENR
Frequently asked questions
Is Akenerji Elektrik Uretim AS (AKENR) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Oct 28, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of 3.99 TRY versus a price of 6.16 TRY, about 35% lower (overvalued).
What is the fair value of AKENR?
Our model-based fair value for Akenerji Elektrik Uretim AS is 3.99 TRY (as of Oct 28, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: 6.16 TRY.
What is the quality score of AKENR?
Akenerji Elektrik Uretim AS has a Quality Score of 26/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Akenerji Elektrik Uretim AS (AKENR)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of 3.99 TRY (as of Oct 28, 2026) from 8 valuation models. Cautious scenario 2.31 TRY, optimistic scenario 6.64 TRY. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Akenerji Elektrik Uretim AS stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at 3.99 TRY, about 35% lower versus a price of 6.16 TRY (overvalued). Cautious scenario 2.31 TRY, optimistic scenario 6.64 TRY. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Akenerji Elektrik Uretim AS (AKENR)?
Akenerji Elektrik Uretim AS reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 17.3B TRY (latest available figure, as of Oct 28, 2026).
What growth is priced into Akenerji Elektrik Uretim AS (AKENR)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, Akenerji Elektrik Uretim AS would have to grow free cash flow by +35.6 % per year for five years (discount rate 15.9 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew +59.7 % per year. As of Oct 28, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of AKENR use?
Our models discount Akenerji Elektrik Uretim AS at 15.9 %: a base by market capitalisation (micro), damped by beta 0.71, country premium for Turkey. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For Akenerji Elektrik Uretim AS that is +35.6 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (15.9 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has Akenerji Elektrik Uretim AS (AKENR) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at Akenerji Elektrik Uretim AS grew +59.7 % a year. The price currently implies +35.6 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of Akenerji Elektrik Uretim AS (AKENR) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +4.0 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into Akenerji Elektrik Uretim AS (+35.6 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of Akenerji Elektrik Uretim AS (AKENR)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 15.92 %: that much free cash flow Akenerji Elektrik Uretim AS produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (15.9 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of Akenerji Elektrik Uretim AS (AKENR)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Akenerji Elektrik Uretim AS it is 3.99 TRY per share (as of Oct 28, 2026), against a price of 6.16 TRY. It is the blended result of 8 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Akenerji Elektrik Uretim AS stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Oct 28, 2026, AKENR trades above its calculated fair value: price 6.16 TRY, fair value 3.99 TRY, a gap of about −35% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of AKENR?
No. The price is what the market pays today (6.16 TRY); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (3.99 TRY). For Akenerji Elektrik Uretim AS the two are 2.17 TRY per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Akenerji Elektrik Uretim AS worth?
The market values Akenerji Elektrik Uretim AS at about 4.5B TRY (market capitalisation, as of Oct 28, 2026). Per share that is 6.16 TRY; our models calculate a fair value of 3.99 TRY per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about AKENR?
Our models span a range for Akenerji Elektrik Uretim AS: cautious scenario 2.31 TRY, base 3.99 TRY, optimistic 6.64 TRY per share (as of Oct 28, 2026, price 6.16 TRY). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the PEG ratio of AKENR?
The PEG ratio of Akenerji Elektrik Uretim AS is 0.53 (P/E divided by earnings growth, as of Oct 28, 2026). That is below 1, so growth is priced more cheaply than the earnings multiple alone suggests.
How solid is the balance sheet of Akenerji Elektrik Uretim AS (AKENR)?
Balance-sheet figures for Akenerji Elektrik Uretim AS (as of Oct 28, 2026): return on equity −25.5%, debt of 0.84 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 26/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is AKENR from its 52-week high?
Akenerji Elektrik Uretim AS trades at 6.16 TRY, about 59% below its 52-week high of 15.17 TRY and at the low of 6.16 TRY (as of Oct 30, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of 3.99 TRY is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Akenerji Elektrik Uretim AS?
From the same area (Utilities) we also value NextEra Energy, Inc, The Southern Company, Duke Energy Corporation, American Electric Power Company, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Akenerji Elektrik Uretim AS stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Oct 28, 2026: price 6.16 TRY, calculated fair value 3.99 TRY (−35%), Quality Score 26/100, from 8 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of AKENR calculated?
We run Akenerji Elektrik Uretim AS through 8 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of 3.99 TRY, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.9 % above its aggregate fair value. Akenerji Elektrik Uretim AS itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Akenerji Elektrik Uretim AS (AKENR)?
The closing price on Oct 30, 2026 was 6.16 TRY. Our model-based fair value is 3.99 TRY, about 35% lower (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Akenerji Elektrik Uretim AS right now?
Weak quality (26/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts. The model range is unusually wide (2.31 TRY to 6.64 TRY). The outcome hinges heavily on assumptions, so read the point estimate with caution. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution.
Key figures of Akenerji Elektrik Uretim AS
How large is the market capitalisation of Akenerji Elektrik Uretim AS (AKENR)?
The market capitalisation of Akenerji Elektrik Uretim AS is 4.5B TRY (≈ $89.9M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Akenerji Elektrik Uretim AS (AKENR)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Akenerji Elektrik Uretim AS is 0.27 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Akenerji Elektrik Uretim AS (AKENR)?
Earnings per share at Akenerji Elektrik Uretim AS are −5.66 TRY. Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the net margin of Akenerji Elektrik Uretim AS (AKENR)?
The net margin of Akenerji Elektrik Uretim AS is −23.1% (last twelve months). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Akenerji Elektrik Uretim AS (AKENR)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Akenerji Elektrik Uretim AS is −25.5% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Akenerji Elektrik Uretim AS (AKENR)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Akenerji Elektrik Uretim AS is 2.5% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Akenerji Elektrik Uretim AS (AKENR)?
The operating margin of Akenerji Elektrik Uretim AS is −27.4% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Akenerji Elektrik Uretim AS (AKENR)?
Revenue at Akenerji Elektrik Uretim AS is growing −60.7% versus a year earlier (3y avg +10.0%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Akenerji Elektrik Uretim AS (AKENR)?
Earnings per share at Akenerji Elektrik Uretim AS are growing +175% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net debt does Akenerji Elektrik Uretim AS (AKENR) carry?
The net debt of Akenerji Elektrik Uretim AS is 21.1B TRY (fiscal year 2025, ≈ 29.5 yrs of FCF). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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Oct 28, 2026