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Amplify Energy Corp (AMPY) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Nov 6, 2026: fair value (intrinsic value) of Amplify Energy Corp stock $5.87, price $3.33, upside +76.3%, quality 45 out of 100. Rating: strongly undervalued. Calculated from audited financials with 10 of our 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.

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Energy US

AE Amplify Energy Corp logo Some data Nov 8, 2026

Amplify Energy Corp

AMPY · US
Cheap, value-trap risk

The stock costs 43% less than our calculation considers fair.

Fair value $5.87 · Strongly undervalued
Solidly profitable · 10.6% net margin (TTM)
Low debt
Even on cautious assumptions the value is 32% above the price ($4.41).
Quality 45/100
Mixed Growth (revenue YoY −10.6 %/yr in USD)
Mixed vs. peers (7/12)
Moderate moat 53/100 · thin data
Insiders bought $98,750 (6M)
Some data
Negative free cash flow
⟳ Cyclical
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What runs behind every stock

26 valuation models 8 families, DCF to NCAV 37 quality factors margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt 6 AI factors moat, what no ratio measures 2,000+ data points verified, per stock, median

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

$10.21 $2.30 Fair Value $5.87 Aug 2021 Nov 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year. As of Nov 8, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range $2.30 – $10.21 · fair‑value band $4.41 – $8.42 · the $3.33 price screens below the $5.87 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). 1 fiscal year is left out: there the valuation rested on only a fraction of the usual models. As of Nov 8, 2026.

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Company profile

Amplify Energy Corp., together with its subsidiaries, engages in the acquisition, development, exploitation, and production of oil and natural gas properties in the United States.

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The company's assets consist primarily of the Beta field located in federal waters offshore from the Port of Long Beach, California; and Bairoil properties which include wells and properties primarily located in the Lost Soldier and Wertz fields in Wyoming at Bairoil complex.

The company is headquartered in Houston, Texas.

Stock analysis

Amplify Energy Corp (AMPY) currently trades at $3.33, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $5.87, implying the stock looks roughly 43% undervalued today.

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Valuation

Bull case: the Growth Earnings group reads highest at a median of $13.80 per share, and 10 of the 10 models we run sit above the $3.33 price.

Bear case: the Earnings-Based group reads lowest at $6.86, and 0 of the 10 models stay below the price. Data coverage for this calculation is medium.

Scenario range: $4.41 (bear) to $8.42 (bull), the price of $3.33 sits below it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 45/100 (below-average quality), in the Energy sector.

Mixed Growth: Spin-off in 2023: revenue and profit before it include the divested business. Growth is measured afresh from 2023.

Amplify Energy Corp reported revenue of $263M in FY2025 versus $343M in FY2021, a compound −6.4%/yr. Reported net income was $44.0M in FY2025.

Key figures

Market cap $137M Micro · P/E ratio 6.5 · P/S ratio 0.65 · EPS (TTM) $0.5100 · Net margin 10.6% · Return on equity 5.3% · Return on assets (EBIT) 4.7% (5-year average) · Operating margin 41.6%.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 53 out of 100 (low confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 50% below its 52-week high and 5% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Energy peers we cover trades at 10% fair-value upside, at 76%, AMPY screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Bear $4.41 Fair Value $5.87 Bull $8.42
Price $3.33 · Upside +76.3%
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above starts from their evidence-weighted blend, not from a single model. In cyclical trough or peak years, after dilution or a stock split it is adjusted afterwards, so it can sit above or below the models. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 10 months old). Earnings retained since then ($0.4373 per share) are deliberately not added. Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds. Coverage ⓘCoverage = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Best data coverage
Residual Income $9.06 $9.67 $10.93 71
EV/EBITDA $4.35 $5.35 $6.34 67
Growth-Adj P/E $9.66 $13.80 $17.94 67
All 10 models by family
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd $7.21 $22.23 $29.54 65
Lynch FV $4.80 $6.86 $8.92 61
PEG = 1.0 $4.80 $6.86 $8.92 57
Multiples
P/E Multiple $11.14 $14.85 $18.56 63
P/S Multiple $5.72 $7.62 $9.53 58
P/B Multiple $4.83 $6.44 $8.05 55
EV/EBITDA $4.35 $5.35 $6.34 67
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) $5.53 $7.41 $11.07 54
Economic Profit
Residual Income $9.06 $9.67 $10.93 71
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E $9.66 $13.80 $17.94 67

The fair value above starts from this blend and is adjusted for a cyclical peak year.

Open the full fair value analysis →

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 45/100

It rates the business: profits, how they develop, real cash, balance sheet, investing and share count.

Profitability 43
How much profit the company makes from its sales and capital
Quality Growth 54
Are margins and returns getting better?
Cashflow 27
Do the profits arrive as real cash?
Financial strength 56
Debt, balance sheet and risk of trouble
Investment 27
Does it invest with discipline instead of growing at any price?
Low Volatility 56
How calm the share price moves, does not count
Price momentum 20
Price momentum of the last 3 to 12 months, does not count
Near the 52-week high 4
Distance to the 52-week high, does not count
New shares 61
Buys back shares or issues new ones?

Open the full quality analysis →

Insider trades

In the last 6 months, one officer or director bought shares worth $98,750, on Jun 23, 2026.

  • BuyJames FrewOfficer25,000 shares at $3.95$98,750Jun 23, 2026
  • SaleClint D CoghillDirector1,000,000 shares at $6.45$6.5MMar 17, 2026

Plus 4 other filings such as grants, option exercises or tax withholding. They are not market purchases or sales.

Sales are often planned (taxes, diversification, 10b5-1 plans). Purchases with their own money are seen as the stronger sign. For information only: not part of the quality score or Fair Value.

Source: SEC Form 4, as of Nov 6, 2026. All filings at the SEC ↗

Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 55/100
Spin-off in 2023: revenue and profit before it include the divested business. Growth is measured afresh from 2023.
What shareholders gained per year (last 3 years) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 3 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate. Basis: adjusted.
−47.5%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year−47.5%
Dividend (yield on the price)0.0%
Profit margin 2020 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.−219% → −2%
⚠ Revenue per share shrinking 21.0%/yr over ~10Y (margin trend unclear) ⓘStructural-decline marker: revenue PER SHARE has fallen over the last decade (robust median trend, not a single year). Backtested across 2005 to 2017, such businesses trailed the market by about 2.5 percentage points per year. Display only: it does not change the fair value or the quality score.

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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Oil & Gas E&P · 239 stocks

Beats the industry median on 7/12 measures
A mixed picture versus its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 45 · Below median
Fair Value upside +76.3% · Top 25%
Profitability
Return on equity (12 months) 5.3% · Below median
Return on assets 7.3% · Top 25%
Net margin (12 months) 10.6% · Below median
Operating margin (12 months) 41.6% · Above median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth (quarter YoY) −22.9% · Bottom 25%
Balance sheet
Debt / equity 0.28× · Below median

Valuation Multiplesvs Oil & Gas E&P median · lower = cheaper

P/E (12 months) 6.5× · Cheapest 25%
P/B 0.30× · Cheapest 25%
P/S (12 months) 0.65× · Cheapest 25%
EV/EBITDA 6.8× · Pricier than median

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)100 · sector 23
FUTURE (revenue growth)0 · sector 100
PAST (return on equity)21 · sector 30
HEALTH (low debt)86 · sector 85
DIVIDEND (yield)0 · sector 72

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

Oil & gas

Similar stocks

10 more Oil & Gas E&P stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value Compare
Diamondback Energy, Inc FANG $178.96 $242.64 +36% vs AMPY
CNOOC Limited 0883 HK$23.48 HK$26.76 +14% vs AMPY
EOG Resources, Inc EOG $147.13 $166.94 +13% vs AMPY
Canadian Natural Resources Limited CNQ $48.55 $53.41 +10% vs AMPY
EQT Corporation EQT $49.40 $54.34 +10% vs AMPY
Devon Energy Corporation DVN $42.21 $39.47 −7% vs AMPY
Woodside Energy Group WDS $21.04 $19.39 −8% vs AMPY
ConocoPhillips explores for, COP $136.27 $92.89 −32% vs AMPY
Occidental Petroleum Corporation OXY $56.38 $33.18 −41% vs AMPY
Aker BP ASA AKRBP kr 316.80 kr 127.39 −60% vs AMPY

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Amplify Energy Corp: fair value per Fair Value Calculator

Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Amplify Energy Corp Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/AMPY

Frequently asked questions

Is Amplify Energy Corp (AMPY) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Nov 8, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $5.87 versus a price of $3.33, about +76% upside (undervalued).
What is the fair value of AMPY?
Our model-based fair value for Amplify Energy Corp is $5.87 (as of Nov 8, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: $3.33.
What is the quality score of AMPY?
Amplify Energy Corp has a Quality Score of 45/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Amplify Energy Corp (AMPY)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of $5.87 (as of Nov 8, 2026) from 10 valuation models. Cautious scenario $4.41, optimistic scenario $8.42. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Amplify Energy Corp stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at $5.87, about +76% upside versus a price of $3.33 (undervalued). Cautious scenario $4.41, optimistic scenario $8.42. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Amplify Energy Corp (AMPY)?
Amplify Energy Corp reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $213M (latest available figure, as of Nov 8, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of Amplify Energy Corp (AMPY)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Amplify Energy Corp it is $5.87 per share (as of Nov 8, 2026), against a price of $3.33. It is the blended result of 10 valuation models in 5 families (Earnings-Based, Multiples, Asset-Based, Economic Profit, Growth Earnings).
Is Amplify Energy Corp stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Nov 8, 2026, AMPY trades below its calculated fair value: price $3.33, fair value $5.87, a gap of about +76% (undervalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of AMPY?
No. The price is what the market pays today ($3.33); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify ($5.87). For Amplify Energy Corp the two are $2.54 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Amplify Energy Corp worth?
The market values Amplify Energy Corp at about $137M (market capitalisation, as of Nov 8, 2026). Per share that is $3.33; our models calculate a fair value of $5.87 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about AMPY?
Our models span a range for Amplify Energy Corp: cautious scenario $4.41, base $5.87, optimistic $8.42 per share (as of Nov 8, 2026, price $3.33). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of AMPY?
Amplify Energy Corp trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 6.5 (as of Nov 8, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of $5.87 is built from several models across several years. Excluding one-off items of fiscal year 2025 it is 3.4 (reported for FY2025: 3.1). Median P/E at fiscal year-end, 6 fiscal years (2016 to 2025), reported earnings, 4 of the years ex one-offs: 4.5. Other multiples: P/B 0.3, P/S 0.6, EV/EBITDA 6.8.
How solid is the balance sheet of Amplify Energy Corp (AMPY)?
Balance-sheet figures for Amplify Energy Corp (as of Nov 8, 2026): return on equity 5.3%, debt of 0.28 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 45/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is AMPY from its 52-week high?
Amplify Energy Corp trades at $3.33, about 50% below its 52-week high of $6.63 and 5% above the low of $3.18 (as of Nov 6, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of $5.87 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Amplify Energy Corp?
From the same area (Energy) we also value ConocoPhillips explores for,, CNOOC Limited, Canadian Natural Resources Limited, EOG Resources, Inc, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Amplify Energy Corp stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Nov 8, 2026: price $3.33, calculated fair value $5.87 (+76%), Quality Score 45/100, from 10 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of AMPY calculated?
We run Amplify Energy Corp through 10 models from 5 families: Earnings-Based, Multiples, Asset-Based, Economic Profit, Growth Earnings. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the fair value of $5.87 builds on their evidence-weighted average, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 13.3% above its aggregate fair value. Amplify Energy Corp currently trades 43% below its own fair value, and the market average says nothing about that. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Amplify Energy Corp (AMPY)?
The closing price on Nov 6, 2026 was $3.33. Our model-based fair value is $5.87, about +76% upside (undervalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Amplify Energy Corp right now?
The large discount to fair value meets weak quality (45/100). That raises the risk this is a value trap rather than a bargain. The price is below even our cautious bear case ($4.41). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario. A fairly wide model range ($4.41 to $8.42) leaves room in how you read the outcome.

Key figures of Amplify Energy Corp

How large is the market capitalisation of Amplify Energy Corp (AMPY)?
The market capitalisation of Amplify Energy Corp is $137M. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Amplify Energy Corp (AMPY)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Amplify Energy Corp is 0.65 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Amplify Energy Corp (AMPY)?
Earnings per share at Amplify Energy Corp are $0.5100 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 6.5). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the net margin of Amplify Energy Corp (AMPY)?
The net margin of Amplify Energy Corp is 10.6% (last twelve months). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Amplify Energy Corp (AMPY)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Amplify Energy Corp is 5.3% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Amplify Energy Corp (AMPY)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Amplify Energy Corp is 4.7% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Amplify Energy Corp (AMPY)?
The operating margin of Amplify Energy Corp is 41.6% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Amplify Energy Corp (AMPY)?
Revenue at Amplify Energy Corp is growing −22.9% versus a year earlier. How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Amplify Energy Corp (AMPY)?
Earnings per share at Amplify Energy Corp are growing +167% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much free cash flow does Amplify Energy Corp (AMPY) generate?
The free cash flow of Amplify Energy Corp is −$35.1M (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net cash does Amplify Energy Corp (AMPY) hold?
Amplify Energy Corp holds more cash than debt, $56.9M net (fiscal year 2025). The company holds more cash than debt, a safety cushion.
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