AerSale Corp (ASLE) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Nov 6, 2026: fair value (intrinsic value) of AerSale Corp stock $1.57, price $4.59, that is 65.8% below the price, quality 47 out of 100. Rating: strongly overvalued. Calculated from audited financials with 14 of our 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceableSee the method →
Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year. As of Nov 8, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range $4.55 – $23.83 · fair‑value band $0.5900 – $2.79 · the $4.59 price screens above the $1.57 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). As of Nov 8, 2026.
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AerSale Corporation provides aftermarket commercial aircraft, engines, and its parts to passenger and cargo airlines, leasing companies, original equipment manufacturers, government and defense contractors, and maintenance, repair, and overhaul service providers worldwide.
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It operates in two segments, Asset Management Solutions and Technical Operations (TechOps). The Asset Management Solutions segment engages in the sale and lease of aircraft, engines, and airframes, as well as disassembly of these assets for component parts.
The TechOps segment provides internal and third-party aviation services, including internally developed engineered solutions, heavy aircraft maintenance and modification, and component MRO, as well as end-of-life disassembly services.
This segment provides aircraft modifications, cargo and tanker conversions of aircraft, and aircraft storage; and MRO services for landing gear, thrust reversers, hydraulic systems, and other aircraft components. AerSale Corporation was founded in 2008 and is headquartered in Doral, Florida.
Stock analysis
AerSale Corp (ASLE) currently trades at $4.59, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $1.57, 66% below the price, so the stock looks overvalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the Multiples group reads highest at a median of $3.41 per share, and 3 of the 14 models we run sit above the $4.59 price.
Bear case: the Earnings-Based group reads lowest at $0.7500, and 11 of the 14 models stay below the price. Data coverage for this calculation is low.
Scenario range: $0.5900 (bear) to $2.79 (bull), the price of $4.59 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 47/100 (below-average quality), in the Industrials sector.
Weak Growth: Revenue growth is inconsistent: the periods point in different directions, so there is no trend to rely on.
AerSale Corp reported revenue of $335M in FY2025 versus $340M in FY2021, a compound −0.4%/yr. Reported net income was $8.6M in FY2025, compounding −30.2%/yr from FY2021.
Key figures
Market cap $217M Micro · P/S ratio 0.68 · EPS (TTM) $−0.4000 · Net margin −5.8% · Return on equity −4.5% · Return on assets (EBIT) 4.8% (5-year average) · Operating margin 1.9% · Revenue (TTM) $324M.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 16 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 41% below its 52-week high and at its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at −13% fair-value upside, at −66%, ASLE screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear$0.5900Fair Value $1.57Bull$2.79
Price $4.59 · Downside -65.8%
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above starts from their evidence-weighted blend, not from a single model. In cyclical trough or peak years, after dilution or a stock split it is adjusted afterwards, so it can sit above or below the models.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds.Coverage ⓘCoverage = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
In the last 6 months, 6 officers or directors sold shares worth $159,752 and none bought.
SaleBenjamin Thomas TschirhartOfficer3× since Jun 9, 2026: 2,845 shares, avg. $6.07$17,260Sep 1, 202610b5-1 plan
SaleFrederick Craig WrightOfficer4,182 shares at $6.34$26,514Jun 9, 202610b5-1 plan
SalePaul Andrew HechenbergerOfficer1,586 shares at $6.34$10,055Jun 9, 202610b5-1 plan
SaleMartin GarmendiaOfficer6,094 shares at $6.34$38,636Jun 9, 202610b5-1 plan
SaleGary Edmund JonesOfficer7,491 shares at $6.34$47,493Jun 9, 202610b5-1 plan
SaleEnrique PizziOfficer2× since Jan 8, 2026: 4,947 shares, avg. $6.72$33,262Jun 9, 202610b5-1 plan
BuyJudith Ann FedderDirector1,000 shares at $6.46$6,460Mar 11, 2026
BuyNicolas FinazzoOfficer, Director2× since Nov 19, 2025: 9,619 shares, avg. $5.99$57,618Nov 21, 2025
Plus 13 other filings such as grants, option exercises or tax withholding. They are not market purchases or sales.
Sales are often planned (taxes, diversification, 10b5-1 plans). Purchases with their own money are seen as the stronger sign. For information only: not part of the quality score or Fair Value.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.40/100
Revenue growth is inconsistent: the periods point in different directions, so there is no trend to rely on.
Revenue growth 1 year
−2.8%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−6.4%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+9.9%
Start year 2020 (pandemic)
Revenue growth 8 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+8.5%
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What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate. Basis: adjusted.
−15.3%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year−15.3%
Dividend (yield on the price)0.0%
Profit margin 2020 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.5% → 5%
⚠ Revenue per share shrinking 1.2%/yr over ~6Y (margins eroding too) ⓘStructural-decline marker: revenue PER SHARE has fallen over the last decade (robust median trend, not a single year). Backtested across 2005 to 2017, such businesses trailed the market by about 2.5 percentage points per year. Display only: it does not change the fair value or the quality score.
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Airports & Air Services · 48 stocks
Beats the industry median on 4/10 measures
A mixed picture versus its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score47 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside−65.8% · Bottom 25%
Profitability
Return on assets1.3% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (12 months)−5.8% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (12 months)1.9% · Bottom 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth (quarter YoY)28.6% · Top 25%
Balance sheet
Debt / equity0.26× · Below median
Valuation Multiplesvs Airports & Air Services median · lower = cheaper
P/B0.51× · Cheapest 25%
P/S (12 months)0.67× · Cheapest 25%
EV/EBITDA13.6× · Priciest 25%
Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)
This stockSector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)0· sector 47
FUTURE (revenue growth)100· sector 28
PAST (return on equity)0· sector 45
HEALTH (low debt)87· sector 85
DIVIDEND (yield)0· sector 69
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "AerSale Corp Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/ASLE
Frequently asked questions
Is AerSale Corp (ASLE) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Nov 8, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $1.57 versus a price of $4.59, about 66% lower (overvalued).
What is the fair value of ASLE?
Our model-based fair value for AerSale Corp is $1.57 (as of Nov 8, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: $4.59.
What is the quality score of ASLE?
AerSale Corp has a Quality Score of 47/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for AerSale Corp (ASLE)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of $1.57 (as of Nov 8, 2026) from 14 valuation models. Cautious scenario $0.5900, optimistic scenario $2.79. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the AerSale Corp stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at $1.57, about 66% lower versus a price of $4.59 (overvalued). Cautious scenario $0.5900, optimistic scenario $2.79. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of AerSale Corp (ASLE)?
AerSale Corp reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $324M (latest available figure, as of Nov 8, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of AerSale Corp (ASLE)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For AerSale Corp it is $1.57 per share (as of Nov 8, 2026), against a price of $4.59. It is the blended result of 14 valuation models in 6 families (DCF Models, Earnings-Based, Multiples, Asset-Based, Economic Profit, Growth Earnings).
Is AerSale Corp stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Nov 8, 2026, ASLE trades above its calculated fair value: price $4.59, fair value $1.57, a gap of about −66% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of ASLE?
No. The price is what the market pays today ($4.59); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify ($1.57). For AerSale Corp the two are $3.02 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is AerSale Corp worth?
The market values AerSale Corp at about $217M (market capitalisation, as of Nov 8, 2026). Per share that is $4.59; our models calculate a fair value of $1.57 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about ASLE?
Our models span a range for AerSale Corp: cautious scenario $0.5900, base $1.57, optimistic $2.79 per share (as of Nov 8, 2026, price $4.59). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
How solid is the balance sheet of AerSale Corp (ASLE)?
Balance-sheet figures for AerSale Corp (as of Nov 8, 2026): return on equity −4.5%, debt of 0.26 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 47/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is ASLE from its 52-week high?
AerSale Corp trades at $4.59, about 41% below its 52-week high of $7.80 and at the low of $4.57 (as of Nov 6, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of $1.57 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to AerSale Corp?
From the same area (Industrials) we also value Aena S.M.E., S.A, Airports of Thailand Public Company, GMR Airports Limited, Shanghai International Airport Co, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is AerSale Corp stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Nov 8, 2026: price $4.59, calculated fair value $1.57 (−66%), Quality Score 47/100, from 14 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of ASLE calculated?
We run AerSale Corp through 14 models from 6 families: DCF Models, Earnings-Based, Multiples, Asset-Based, Economic Profit, Growth Earnings. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the fair value of $1.57 builds on their evidence-weighted average, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 13.3% above its aggregate fair value. AerSale Corp itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of AerSale Corp (ASLE)?
The closing price on Nov 6, 2026 was $4.59. Our model-based fair value is $1.57, about 66% lower (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with AerSale Corp right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case ($2.79). The favourable scenario is already priced in. Weak quality (47/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts. The model range is unusually wide ($0.5900 to $2.79). The outcome hinges heavily on assumptions, so read the point estimate with caution. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution.
Key figures of AerSale Corp
How large is the market capitalisation of AerSale Corp (ASLE)?
The market capitalisation of AerSale Corp is $217M. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of AerSale Corp (ASLE)?
The price-to-sales ratio of AerSale Corp is 0.68 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of AerSale Corp (ASLE)?
Earnings per share at AerSale Corp are $−0.4000. Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the net margin of AerSale Corp (ASLE)?
The net margin of AerSale Corp is −5.8% (last twelve months). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of AerSale Corp (ASLE)?
The return on equity (ROE) of AerSale Corp is −4.5% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of AerSale Corp (ASLE)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of AerSale Corp is 4.8% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of AerSale Corp (ASLE)?
The operating margin of AerSale Corp is 1.9% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at AerSale Corp (ASLE)?
Revenue at AerSale Corp is growing +28.6% versus a year earlier (3y avg −6.4%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at AerSale Corp (ASLE)?
Earnings per share at AerSale Corp are growing +129% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much free cash flow does AerSale Corp (ASLE) generate?
The free cash flow of AerSale Corp is −$29.1M (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net debt does AerSale Corp (ASLE) carry?
The net debt of AerSale Corp is $140M (fiscal year 2025). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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Thin data
Nov 8, 2026
