AerSale Corp (ASLE) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Sep 24, 2026: fair value of AerSale Corp $2.29, price $5.49, upside -58.3%, quality 48 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
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Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 23, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range $4.55 – $23.83 · fair‑value band $0.9700 – $4.07 · the $5.49 price screens above the $2.29 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 23, 2026.
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AerSale Corporation provides aftermarket commercial aircraft, engines, and its parts to passenger and cargo airlines, leasing companies, original equipment manufacturers, government and defense contractors, and maintenance, repair, and overhaul service providers worldwide.
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AerSale Corporation provides aftermarket commercial aircraft, engines, and its parts to passenger and cargo airlines, leasing companies, original equipment manufacturers, government and defense contractors, and maintenance, repair, and overhaul service providers worldwide. It operates in two segments, Asset Management Solutions and Technical Operations (TechOps). The Asset Management Solutions segment engages in the sale and lease of aircraft, engines, and airframes, as well as disassembly of these assets for component parts. The TechOps segment provides internal and third-party aviation services, including internally developed engineered solutions, heavy aircraft maintenance and modification, and component MRO, as well as end-of-life disassembly services. This segment provides aircraft modifications, cargo and tanker conversions of aircraft, and aircraft storage; and MRO services for landing gear, thrust reversers, hydraulic systems, and other aircraft components. AerSale Corporation was founded in 2008 and is headquartered in Doral, Florida.
Stock analysis
AerSale Corp (ASLE) currently trades at $5.49, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $2.29, implying the stock looks roughly 139.8% overvalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the Asset-Based group reads highest at a median of $6.02 per share, and 3 of the 14 models we run sit above the $5.49 price.
Bear case: the Economic Profit group reads lowest at $0.4000, and 11 of the 14 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is medium.
Scenario range: $0.9700 (bear) to $4.07 (bull), the price of $5.49 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 48/100 (below-average quality), in the Industrials sector.
Weak Growth: Revenue growth is inconsistent: the periods point in different directions, so there is no trend to rely on.
AerSale Corp reported revenue of $335M in FY2025 versus $340M in FY2021, a compound −0.4%/yr. Reported net income was $8.6M in FY2025, compounding −30.2%/yr from FY2021.
Key figures
Market cap $307M · P/E ratio 26.1 · P/S ratio 0.67 · EPS (TTM) $0.2100 · Net margin 2.6% · Return on equity 2.5% · Return on assets (EBIT) 4.8% · Operating margin −4.7%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 50 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 35% below its 52-week high and 2% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at −13% fair-value upside, at −58%, ASLE screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear $0.9700Fair Value $2.29Bull $4.07
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 9 months old). Earnings retained since then ($0.1542 per share) are deliberately not added.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.40/100
Revenue growth is inconsistent: the periods point in different directions, so there is no trend to rely on.
Revenue growth 1 year
−2.8%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−6.4%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+9.9%
Start year 2020 (pandemic)
Revenue growth 8 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+8.5%
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What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate. Basis: adjusted.
−15.3%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year−15.3%
Dividend (yield on the price)0.0%
Profit margin 2020 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.5% → 5%
⚠ Revenue per share shrinking 1.2%/yr over ~6Y (margins eroding too) ⓘStructural-decline marker: revenue PER SHARE has fallen over the last decade (robust median trend, not a single year). Backtested across 2005 to 2017, such businesses trailed the market by about 2.5 percentage points per year. Display only: it does not change the fair value or the quality score.
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Airports & Air Services · 56 stocks
Beats the industry median on 4/12 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score48 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside−58% · Bottom 25%
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM)3% · Bottom 25%
Return on assets2% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (TTM)3% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (TTM)−5% · Bottom 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth7% · Above median
Balance sheet
Debt / equity0.26× · Below median
Valuation Multiplesvs Airports & Air Services median · lower = cheaper
P/E (TTM)26.1× · Priciest 25%
P/B0.72× · Cheapest 25%
P/S (TTM)0.90× · Cheaper than median
EV/EBITDA10.5× · Pricier than median
Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)
This stockSector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)0· sector 49
FUTURE (revenue growth)37· sector 31
PAST (return on equity)10· sector 49
HEALTH (low debt)87· sector 86
DIVIDEND (yield)0· sector 56
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "AerSale Corp Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/ASLE
Frequently asked questions
Is AerSale Corp (ASLE) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 23, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $2.29 versus a price of $5.49, about −58% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of ASLE?
Our model-based fair value for AerSale Corp is $2.29 (as of Sep 23, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: $5.49.
What is the quality score of ASLE?
AerSale Corp has a Quality Score of 48/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for AerSale Corp (ASLE)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of $2.29 (as of Sep 23, 2026) from 14 valuation models. Cautious scenario $0.9700, optimistic scenario $4.07. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the AerSale Corp stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at $2.29, about −58% upside versus a price of $5.49 (overvalued). Cautious scenario $0.9700, optimistic scenario $4.07. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of AerSale Corp (ASLE)?
AerSale Corp reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $340M (latest available figure, as of Sep 23, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of AerSale Corp (ASLE)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For AerSale Corp it is $2.29 per share (as of Sep 23, 2026), against a price of $5.49. It is the blended result of 14 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is AerSale Corp stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 23, 2026, ASLE trades above its calculated fair value: price $5.49, fair value $2.29, a gap of about −58% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of ASLE?
No. The price is what the market pays today ($5.49); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify ($2.29). For AerSale Corp the two are $3.20 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is AerSale Corp worth?
The market values AerSale Corp at about $307M (market capitalisation, as of Sep 23, 2026). Per share that is $5.49; our models calculate a fair value of $2.29 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about ASLE?
Our models span a range for AerSale Corp: cautious scenario $0.9700, base $2.29, optimistic $4.07 per share (as of Sep 23, 2026, price $5.49). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of ASLE?
AerSale Corp trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 26.1 (as of Sep 23, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of $2.29 is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: P/B 0.7, P/S 0.9, EV/EBITDA 10.5.
How solid is the balance sheet of AerSale Corp (ASLE)?
Balance-sheet figures for AerSale Corp (as of Sep 23, 2026): return on equity 2.5%, debt of 0.26 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 48/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is ASLE from its 52-week high?
AerSale Corp trades at $5.49, about 35% below its 52-week high of $8.43 and 2% above the low of $5.37 (as of Sep 24, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of $2.29 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to AerSale Corp?
From the same area (Industrials) we also value Aena S.M.E., S.A, Airports of Thailand Public Company, Grupo Aeroportuario del Pacífico, S.A., GMR Airports Limited, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is AerSale Corp stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 23, 2026: price $5.49, calculated fair value $2.29 (−58%), Quality Score 48/100, from 14 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of ASLE calculated?
We run AerSale Corp through 14 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of $2.29, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.0 % above its aggregate fair value. AerSale Corp itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of AerSale Corp (ASLE)?
The closing price on Sep 24, 2026 was $5.49. Our model-based fair value is $2.29, about −58% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with AerSale Corp right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case ($4.07). The favourable scenario is already priced in. The model range is unusually wide ($0.9700 to $4.07). The outcome hinges heavily on assumptions, so read the point estimate with caution. Solid but not exceptional quality (48/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
Key figures of AerSale Corp
How large is the market capitalisation of AerSale Corp (ASLE)?
The market capitalisation of AerSale Corp is $307M. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of AerSale Corp (ASLE)?
The price-to-sales ratio of AerSale Corp is 0.67 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of AerSale Corp (ASLE)?
Earnings per share at AerSale Corp are $0.2100 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 26.1). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the net margin of AerSale Corp (ASLE)?
The net margin of AerSale Corp is 2.6% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of AerSale Corp (ASLE)?
The return on equity (ROE) of AerSale Corp is 2.5% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of AerSale Corp (ASLE)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of AerSale Corp is 4.8% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of AerSale Corp (ASLE)?
The operating margin of AerSale Corp is −4.7% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at AerSale Corp (ASLE)?
Revenue at AerSale Corp is growing +7.4% versus a year earlier (3y avg −6.4%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at AerSale Corp (ASLE)?
Earnings per share at AerSale Corp are growing +129% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much free cash flow does AerSale Corp (ASLE) generate?
The free cash flow of AerSale Corp is −$29.1M (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net debt does AerSale Corp (ASLE) carry?
The net debt of AerSale Corp is $140M (fiscal year 2025). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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Sep 23, 2026