AerSale Corporation (ASLE) Fair Value & Analysis

Industrials · US · Market cap $307M

Below-average quality, and screening another 81% overvalued on our models.

What matters now

• The price sits above even our optimistic bull case ($1.40). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
• Solid but not exceptional quality (48/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.

Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 14, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range $4.55 – $23.83 · fair‑value band $1.12 – $1.40 · the $5.90 price screens above the $1.12 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 14, 2026.

Full chart & analysis →

Which stocks are undervalued right now? Check free Discover now →

Analysis

AerSale Corporation (ASLE) currently trades at $5.90, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $1.12, implying the stock looks roughly 81.0% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 48/100 (below-average quality), in the Industrials sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: medium).

Over the trailing twelve months, AerSale Corporation generated revenue of $340M at a net margin of 3.1%. Revenue grew 7.4% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 2.5%. Net debt stands at $140M. Fundamentals as of Jul 14, 2026

Our scenario range runs from $1.12 (bear case) to $1.40 (bull case); at $5.90, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 35% below its 52-week high and 6% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at -29% fair-value upside, at -81%, ASLE screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Widest divergence: Asset-Based ($6.02) versus Economic Profit ($0.4000). Highest evidence: ROIC Compounder (72).

Key figures & financial health

Quality Score breakdown

About the company

AerSale Corporation provides aftermarket commercial aircraft, engines, and its parts to passenger and cargo airlines, leasing companies, original equipment manufacturers, government and defense contractors, and maintenance, repair, and overhaul service providers worldwide.

Full company description

AerSale Corporation provides aftermarket commercial aircraft, engines, and its parts to passenger and cargo airlines, leasing companies, original equipment manufacturers, government and defense contractors, and maintenance, repair, and overhaul service providers worldwide. It operates in two segments, Asset Management Solutions and Technical Operations (TechOps). The Asset Management Solutions segment engages in the sale and lease of aircraft, engines, and airframes, as well as disassembly of these assets for component parts. The TechOps segment provides internal and third-party aviation services, including internally developed engineered solutions, heavy aircraft maintenance and modification, and component MRO, as well as end-of-life disassembly services. This segment provides aircraft modifications, cargo and tanker conversions of aircraft, and aircraft storage; and MRO services for landing gear, thrust reversers, hydraulic systems, and other aircraft components. AerSale Corporation was founded in 2008 and is headquartered in Doral, Florida.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

AerSale Corporation reported revenue of $335M in FY2025 versus $340M in FY2021, a compound −0.4%/yr. Reported net income was $8.6M in FY2025, compounding −30.2%/yr from FY2021.

ASLE screens 81% overvalued. Compare with Aena S.M.E., S.A →

Peer Group

Airports & Air Services · 55 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Valuation Multiples vs Airports & Air Services median · lower = cheaper

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Airports & Air Services stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 14, 2026).

Explore undervalued stocks

More undervalued Industrials stocks →

Frequently asked questions

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.