ATN Holdings Inc (ATN) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Nov 6, 2026: fair value (intrinsic value) of ATN Holdings Inc stock PHP 0.20, price PHP 0.40, that is 49.4% below the price, quality 37 out of 100. Rating: strongly overvalued. Calculated from audited financials with 7 of our 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceableSee the method →
Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year. As of Nov 7, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range 0.3450 PHP – 1.07 PHP · fair‑value band 0.1800 PHP – 0.2300 PHP · the 0.3950 PHP price screens above the 0.2000 PHP fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). As of Nov 7, 2026.
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ATN Holdings Inc (ATN) currently trades at 0.3950 PHP, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 0.2000 PHP, 49% below the price, so the stock looks overvalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the Asset-Based group reads highest at a median of 0.2700 PHP per share, and 1 of the 7 models we run sit above the 0.3950 PHP price.
Bear case: the Economic Profit group reads lowest at 0.2100 PHP, and 6 of the 7 models stay below the price. Data coverage for this calculation is low.
Scenario range: 0.1800 PHP (bear) to 0.2300 PHP (bull), the price of 0.3950 PHP sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 37/100 (below-average quality), in the Real Estate sector.
Mixed Growth: Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
ATN Holdings Inc reported revenue of 40.3M PHP in FY2024 versus 18.6M PHP in FY2020, a compound +21.4%/yr. Reported net income was 2.5M PHP in FY2024.
Key figures
Market cap 2.7B PHP (≈ $42.6M) Micro · EPS (TTM) −0.0013 PHP · Net margin 6.2% · Return on assets (EBIT) 0.0% (5-year average).
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 25 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 20% below its 52-week high and 5% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Real Estate peers we cover trades at 29% fair-value upside, at −49%, ATN screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
The price assumes far more growth than our models allow for, so the models scatter widely (0.0100 PHP to 0.8000 PHP). Read the Fair Value as a cautious anchor, not a price target; the Growth Forecast section shows what the price assumes.
Bear0.1800 PHPFair Value 0.2000 PHPBull0.2300 PHP
Price 0.3950 PHP · Downside -49.4%
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above starts from their evidence-weighted blend, not from a single model. In cyclical trough or peak years, after dilution or a stock split it is adjusted afterwards, so it can sit above or below the models.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds.Coverage ⓘCoverage = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.27/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+5.1%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+6.9%
Revenue growth 7 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+22.3%
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What shareholders gained per year (last 3 years), in PHP ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 3 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate. Measured in PHP: this currency has depreciated against the euro and dollar over the long run, so part of the nominal rate is currency erosion that never reaches a EUR/USD investor.
−13.8%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year−13.8%
Dividend (yield on the price)0.0%
Profit margin 2019 to 2024 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.0% → 18%
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Real Estate Operations · 32 stocks
Beats the industry median on 3/7 measures
A mixed picture versus its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score37 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside−49.4% · Bottom 25%
Profitability
Return on assets0.1% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (12 months)6.2% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (12 months)0.0% · Top 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth (quarter YoY)0.0% · Top 25%
Balance sheet
Debt / equity0.00× · Lowest 25%
Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)
This stockSector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)0· sector 83
FUTURE (revenue growth)0· sector 0
PAST (return on equity)0· sector 0
HEALTH (low debt)100· sector 89
DIVIDEND (yield)0· sector 100
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Is ATN Holdings Inc (ATN) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Nov 7, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of 0.2000 PHP versus a price of 0.3950 PHP, about 49% lower (overvalued).
What is the fair value of ATN?
Our model-based fair value for ATN Holdings Inc is 0.2000 PHP (as of Nov 7, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: 0.3950 PHP.
What is the quality score of ATN?
ATN Holdings Inc has a Quality Score of 37/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for ATN Holdings Inc (ATN)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of 0.2000 PHP (as of Nov 7, 2026) from 7 valuation models. Cautious scenario 0.1800 PHP, optimistic scenario 0.2300 PHP. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the ATN Holdings Inc stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at 0.2000 PHP, about 49% lower versus a price of 0.3950 PHP (overvalued). Cautious scenario 0.1800 PHP, optimistic scenario 0.2300 PHP. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the intrinsic value of ATN Holdings Inc (ATN)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For ATN Holdings Inc it is 0.2000 PHP per share (as of Nov 7, 2026), against a price of 0.3950 PHP. It is the blended result of 7 valuation models in 3 families (Multiples, Asset-Based, Economic Profit).
Is ATN Holdings Inc stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Nov 7, 2026, ATN trades above its calculated fair value: price 0.3950 PHP, fair value 0.2000 PHP, a gap of about −49% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of ATN?
No. The price is what the market pays today (0.3950 PHP); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (0.2000 PHP). For ATN Holdings Inc the two are 0.1950 PHP per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is ATN Holdings Inc worth?
The market values ATN Holdings Inc at about 2.7B PHP (market capitalisation, as of Nov 7, 2026). Per share that is 0.3950 PHP; our models calculate a fair value of 0.2000 PHP per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about ATN?
Our models span a range for ATN Holdings Inc: cautious scenario 0.1800 PHP, base 0.2000 PHP, optimistic 0.2300 PHP per share (as of Nov 7, 2026, price 0.3950 PHP). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
How solid is the balance sheet of ATN Holdings Inc (ATN)?
Balance-sheet figures for ATN Holdings Inc (as of Nov 7, 2026): debt of 0.00 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 37/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is ATN from its 52-week high?
ATN Holdings Inc trades at 0.3950 PHP, about 20% below its 52-week high of 0.4950 PHP and 5% above the low of 0.3750 PHP (as of Nov 6, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of 0.2000 PHP is for.
Which stocks are comparable to ATN Holdings Inc?
From the same area (Real Estate) we also value SMPH, AC, ALI, MEG, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is ATN Holdings Inc stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Nov 7, 2026: price 0.3950 PHP, calculated fair value 0.2000 PHP (−49%), Quality Score 37/100, from 7 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of ATN calculated?
We run ATN Holdings Inc through 7 models from 3 families: Multiples, Asset-Based, Economic Profit. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the fair value of 0.2000 PHP builds on their evidence-weighted average, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 13.3% above its aggregate fair value. ATN Holdings Inc itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of ATN Holdings Inc (ATN)?
The closing price on Nov 6, 2026 was 0.3950 PHP. Our model-based fair value is 0.2000 PHP, about 49% lower (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with ATN Holdings Inc right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (0.2300 PHP). The favourable scenario is already priced in. Weak quality (37/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution. As a real-estate business, asset- and dividend-based methods carry more weight here than a standard DCF.
Key figures of ATN Holdings Inc
How large is the market capitalisation of ATN Holdings Inc (ATN)?
The market capitalisation of ATN Holdings Inc is 2.7B PHP (≈ $42.6M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What are the earnings per share of ATN Holdings Inc (ATN)?
Earnings per share at ATN Holdings Inc are −0.0013 PHP. Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the net margin of ATN Holdings Inc (ATN)?
The net margin of ATN Holdings Inc is 6.2% (fiscal year 2024). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the EBIT return on assets of ATN Holdings Inc (ATN)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of ATN Holdings Inc is 0.0% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
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