Bak Ambalaj Sanayi ve Ticaret AS (BAKAB) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Nov 3, 2026: fair value (intrinsic value) of Bak Ambalaj Sanayi ve Ticaret AS stock TRY 32.86, price TRY 23.00, upside +42.9%, quality 33 out of 100. Rating: undervalued. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
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Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year. As of Nov 3, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range 7.88 TRY – 57.50 TRY · fair‑value band 21.90 TRY – 43.83 TRY · the 23.00 TRY price screens below the 32.86 TRY fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). As of Nov 3, 2026.
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Bak Ambalaj Sanayi ve Ticaret A.S. produces and sells printed, unprinted, and laminated flexible packaging for various sectors in Turkey and internationally.
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The company offers packaging products for snack food; cookies and cakes; chocolate and confectionaries; breads and fresh food; instant food and drinks; dried food and pastas; coffee and tea; chemicals and hygiene; and other products. It exports its products primarily to Western Europe.
Bak Ambalaj Sanayi ve Ticaret A.S. was founded in 1973 and is headquartered in Izmir, Turkey. Bak Ambalaj Sanayi ve Ticaret A.S. is a subsidiary of Bakioglu Holding AS.
Stock analysis
Bak Ambalaj Sanayi ve Ticaret AS (BAKAB) currently trades at 23.00 TRY, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 32.86 TRY, implying the stock looks roughly 30.0% undervalued today.
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Valuation
How firm this estimate is: it rests on 2 models at a data quality of 95/100, which puts the data coverage at low.
Scenario range: 21.90 TRY (bear) to 43.83 TRY (bull), the price of 23.00 TRY sits inside it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 33/100 (below-average quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector.
Expensive Growth: The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Bak Ambalaj Sanayi ve Ticaret AS reported revenue of 5.8B TRY in FY2025 versus 896M TRY in FY2021, a compound +59.3%/yr. Reported net income was −175M TRY in FY2025.
Key figures
Market cap 1.7B TRY (≈ $33.1M) Micro · P/E ratio 113.6 · P/S ratio 0.31 · EPS (TTM) −0.1200 TRY · Net margin 0.4% · Return on equity 0.8% · Return on assets (EBIT) 3.2% · Operating margin −3.4%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 24 out of 100 (medium confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 59% below its 52-week high and 4% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at −19% fair-value upside, at 43%, BAKAB screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear21.90 TRYFair Value 32.86 TRYBull43.83 TRY
Price 23.00 TRY · Upside +42.9%
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above starts from their evidence-weighted blend, not from a single model. In cyclical trough or peak years, after dilution or a stock split it is adjusted afterwards, so it can sit above or below the models.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds.Coverage ⓘCoverage = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.58/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Revenue growth 1 year
+0.6%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+43.4%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+57.5%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +35.2% a year
Revenue growth 20 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+24.4%
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Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
10.1% (2020) → −0.1% (2025)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2025 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
Compare Bak Ambalaj Sanayi ve Ticaret AS with another stock
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Packaging & Containers · 263 stocks
Beats the industry median on 5/12 measures
A mixed picture versus its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score33 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside+49.0% · Top 25%
Profitability
Return on equity (12 months)0.8% · Bottom 25%
Return on assets−3.1% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (12 months)0.4% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (12 months)−3.4% · Bottom 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth (quarter YoY)−3.3% · Bottom 25%
Balance sheet
Debt / equity0.12× · Below median
Valuation Multiplesvs Packaging & Containers median · lower = cheaper
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Bak Ambalaj Sanayi ve Ticaret AS Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/BAKAB
Frequently asked questions
Is Bak Ambalaj Sanayi ve Ticaret AS (BAKAB) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Nov 3, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of 32.86 TRY versus a price of 23.00 TRY, about +43% upside (undervalued).
What is the fair value of BAKAB?
Our model-based fair value for Bak Ambalaj Sanayi ve Ticaret AS is 32.86 TRY (as of Nov 3, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: 23.00 TRY.
What is the quality score of BAKAB?
Bak Ambalaj Sanayi ve Ticaret AS has a Quality Score of 33/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Bak Ambalaj Sanayi ve Ticaret AS (BAKAB)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of 32.86 TRY (as of Nov 3, 2026) from 2 valuation models. Cautious scenario 21.90 TRY, optimistic scenario 43.83 TRY. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Bak Ambalaj Sanayi ve Ticaret AS stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at 32.86 TRY, about +43% upside versus a price of 23.00 TRY (undervalued). Cautious scenario 21.90 TRY, optimistic scenario 43.83 TRY. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Bak Ambalaj Sanayi ve Ticaret AS (BAKAB)?
Bak Ambalaj Sanayi ve Ticaret AS reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 5.9B TRY (latest available figure, as of Nov 3, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of Bak Ambalaj Sanayi ve Ticaret AS (BAKAB)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Bak Ambalaj Sanayi ve Ticaret AS it is 32.86 TRY per share (as of Nov 3, 2026), against a price of 23.00 TRY. It is the blended result of 2 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Bak Ambalaj Sanayi ve Ticaret AS stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Nov 3, 2026, BAKAB trades below its calculated fair value: price 23.00 TRY, fair value 32.86 TRY, a gap of about +43% (undervalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of BAKAB?
No. The price is what the market pays today (23.00 TRY); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (32.86 TRY). For Bak Ambalaj Sanayi ve Ticaret AS the two are 9.86 TRY per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Bak Ambalaj Sanayi ve Ticaret AS worth?
The market values Bak Ambalaj Sanayi ve Ticaret AS at about 1.7B TRY (market capitalisation, as of Nov 3, 2026). Per share that is 23.00 TRY; our models calculate a fair value of 32.86 TRY per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about BAKAB?
Our models span a range for Bak Ambalaj Sanayi ve Ticaret AS: cautious scenario 21.90 TRY, base 32.86 TRY, optimistic 43.83 TRY per share (as of Nov 3, 2026, price 23.00 TRY). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of BAKAB?
Bak Ambalaj Sanayi ve Ticaret AS trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 113.6 (as of Nov 3, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of 32.86 TRY is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: P/B 0.6, P/S 0.3, EV/EBITDA 6.0.
How solid is the balance sheet of Bak Ambalaj Sanayi ve Ticaret AS (BAKAB)?
Balance-sheet figures for Bak Ambalaj Sanayi ve Ticaret AS (as of Nov 3, 2026): return on equity 0.8%, debt of 0.12 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 33/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is BAKAB from its 52-week high?
Bak Ambalaj Sanayi ve Ticaret AS trades at 23.00 TRY, about 59% below its 52-week high of 56.00 TRY and 4% above the low of 22.06 TRY (as of Nov 3, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of 32.86 TRY is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Bak Ambalaj Sanayi ve Ticaret AS?
From the same area (Consumer Cyclical) we also value Smurfit Westrock Plc,, Packaging Corporation, Amcor plc, Ball Corporation, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Bak Ambalaj Sanayi ve Ticaret AS stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Nov 3, 2026: price 23.00 TRY, calculated fair value 32.86 TRY (+43%), Quality Score 33/100, from 2 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of BAKAB calculated?
We run Bak Ambalaj Sanayi ve Ticaret AS through 2 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of 32.86 TRY, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 15.2 % above its aggregate fair value. Bak Ambalaj Sanayi ve Ticaret AS currently trades 30 % below its own fair value, and the market average says nothing about that. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Bak Ambalaj Sanayi ve Ticaret AS (BAKAB)?
The closing price on Nov 3, 2026 was 23.00 TRY. Our model-based fair value is 32.86 TRY, about +43% upside (undervalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Bak Ambalaj Sanayi ve Ticaret AS right now?
The large discount to fair value meets weak quality (33/100). That raises the risk this is a value trap rather than a bargain. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution. A fairly wide model range (21.90 TRY to 43.83 TRY) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Key figures of Bak Ambalaj Sanayi ve Ticaret AS
How large is the market capitalisation of Bak Ambalaj Sanayi ve Ticaret AS (BAKAB)?
The market capitalisation of Bak Ambalaj Sanayi ve Ticaret AS is 1.7B TRY (≈ $33.1M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Bak Ambalaj Sanayi ve Ticaret AS (BAKAB)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Bak Ambalaj Sanayi ve Ticaret AS is 0.31 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Bak Ambalaj Sanayi ve Ticaret AS (BAKAB)?
Earnings per share at Bak Ambalaj Sanayi ve Ticaret AS are −0.1200 TRY (price ÷ EPS = P/E 113.6). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the net margin of Bak Ambalaj Sanayi ve Ticaret AS (BAKAB)?
The net margin of Bak Ambalaj Sanayi ve Ticaret AS is 0.4% (last twelve months). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Bak Ambalaj Sanayi ve Ticaret AS (BAKAB)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Bak Ambalaj Sanayi ve Ticaret AS is 0.8% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Bak Ambalaj Sanayi ve Ticaret AS (BAKAB)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Bak Ambalaj Sanayi ve Ticaret AS is 3.2% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Bak Ambalaj Sanayi ve Ticaret AS (BAKAB)?
The operating margin of Bak Ambalaj Sanayi ve Ticaret AS is −3.4% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Bak Ambalaj Sanayi ve Ticaret AS (BAKAB)?
Revenue at Bak Ambalaj Sanayi ve Ticaret AS is growing −3.3% versus a year earlier (3y avg +43.4%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Bak Ambalaj Sanayi ve Ticaret AS (BAKAB)?
Earnings per share at Bak Ambalaj Sanayi ve Ticaret AS are growing +9.4% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much free cash flow does Bak Ambalaj Sanayi ve Ticaret AS (BAKAB) generate?
The free cash flow of Bak Ambalaj Sanayi ve Ticaret AS is −117M TRY (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net debt does Bak Ambalaj Sanayi ve Ticaret AS (BAKAB) carry?
The net debt of Bak Ambalaj Sanayi ve Ticaret AS is 793M TRY (fiscal year 2025). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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Nov 3, 2026