Bak Ambalaj Sanayi ve Ticaret A.S. (BAKAB) Fair Value & Analysis
Consumer Cyclical · TR · Market cap 3.4B TRY
Fair value as of: Aug 5, 2026
From 5 valuation models · updated today
Share price −15.2% over the past month.
Below-average quality, and screening another 29% overvalued on our models.
What matters now
- The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (43.83 TRY). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
- Weak quality (39/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts.
- A fairly wide model range (21.90 TRY to 43.83 TRY) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
- Evidence is limited here (fewer models, shorter history), so the fair value is a rougher estimate than usual.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 5, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range 7.88 TRY – 57.50 TRY · fair‑value band 21.90 TRY – 43.83 TRY · the 46.54 TRY price screens above the 32.86 TRY fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 5, 2026.
Analysis
Bak Ambalaj Sanayi ve Ticaret A.S. (BAKAB) currently trades at 46.54 TRY, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 32.86 TRY, implying the stock looks roughly 29.4% overvalued today. We read business quality at 39/100 (below-average quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: low).
Over the trailing twelve months, Bak Ambalaj Sanayi ve Ticaret A.S. generated revenue of 6.0B TRY at a net margin of -0.3%. Revenue grew 14.6% year over year. It earns a return on equity of -0.6%. Net debt stands at 793M TRY. Fundamentals as of Aug 5, 2026
Our scenario range runs from 21.90 TRY (bear case) to 43.83 TRY (bull case); at 46.54 TRY, the current price sits above that range. The share trades about 21% below its 52-week high and 33% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at -11% fair-value upside, at -29%, BAKAB screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 5 models by family
Widest divergence: Multiples (55.68 TRY) versus Dividend Discount (6.28 TRY). Highest evidence: Gordon GGM (70).
Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 5, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 34 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 58
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Bak Ambalaj Sanayi ve Ticaret A.S. produces and sells printed, unprinted, and laminated flexible packaging for various sectors in Turkey and internationally.
Full company description
Bak Ambalaj Sanayi ve Ticaret A.S. produces and sells printed, unprinted, and laminated flexible packaging for various sectors in Turkey and internationally. The company offers packaging products for snack food; cookies and cakes; chocolate and confectionaries; breads and fresh food; instant food and drinks; dried food and pastas; coffee and tea; chemicals and hygiene; and other products. It exports its products primarily to Western Europe. Bak Ambalaj Sanayi ve Ticaret A.S. was founded in 1973 and is headquartered in Izmir, Turkey. Bak Ambalaj Sanayi ve Ticaret A.S. is a subsidiary of Bakioglu Holding AS.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Bak Ambalaj Sanayi ve Ticaret A.S. reported revenue of 5.8B TRY in FY2025 versus 896M TRY in FY2021, a compound +59.3%/yr. Reported net income was −175M TRY in FY2025.
BAKAB screens 29% overvalued. Compare with Stora Enso Oyj →
Peer Group
Packaging & Containers · 282 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Packaging & Containers median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Packaging & Containers stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 5, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stora Enso Oyj STER | kr 101.90 | kr 126.39 | +24% |
| ShenZhen YUTO Packaging Technology Co 002831 | ¥25.56 | ¥20.88 | -18% |
| SCG Packaging Public Company SCGP | 29.00 THB | 16.12 THB | -44% |
| AblePrint Technology Co 7734 | 2,850 TWD | 661.69 TWD | -77% |
| PT Fajar Surya Wisesa Tbk, FASW | 5,312 IDR | 1,194 IDR | -78% |
| Time Technoplast Limited TIMETECHNO | ₹181.04 | ₹161.42 | -11% |
| EPL Limited 500135 | ₹222.25 | ₹111.65 | -50% |
| Ton Yi Industrial Corp 9907 | 15.15 TWD | 23.17 TWD | +53% |
| Dongwon Systems Corporation 014820 | 19,330 KRW | 31,473 KRW | +63% |
| PT Panca Budi Idaman Tbk, PBID | 486.00 IDR | 885.39 IDR | +82% |
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Frequently asked questions
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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