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Berkeley Energia Ltd (BKY) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Nov 9, 2026: fair value (intrinsic value) of Berkeley Energia Ltd stock A$0.14, price A$0.81, that is 82.7% below the price, quality 50 out of 100. Rating: strongly overvalued. Calculated from audited financials with one of our 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.

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Energy AU · ISIN AU000000BKY0

BE Berkeley Energia Ltd logo Thin data Nov 8, 2026

Berkeley Energia Ltd

BKY · AU
Solid, but very expensive

Our calculation puts a fair price 83% below what the stock costs today.

Quality 50/100
Expensive Growth (revenue 5y +147.0 %/yr in AUD)
Revenue last quarter 30% below a year ago.
Fair value A$0.1400 · Strongly overvalued
Negative free cash flow
Trails peers (1/7)
Narrow moat 10/100 · thin data
Thin data
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What runs behind every stock

26 valuation models 8 families, DCF to NCAV 37 quality factors margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt 6 AI factors moat, what no ratio measures 2,000+ data points verified, per stock, median

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Price vs Fair Value

A$0.9100 A$0.1400 Fair Value A$0.1400 Aug 2021 Nov 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year. As of Nov 8, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range A$0.1400 – A$0.9100 · fair‑value band A$0.0900 – A$0.1700 · the A$0.8100 price screens above the A$0.1400 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). As of Nov 8, 2026.

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Company profile

Berkeley Energia Limited engages in the exploration and development of mineral properties in Spain. The company explores for uranium, lithium, rubidium, tin, tantalum, niobium, tungsten, cobalt, antimony, and other battery and critical metals.

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It primarily holds interest in the Salamanca Uranium project located in Western Spain.

The company also has interests in the Conchas Project, which covers an area of 31 square kilometers located in the western part of the Salamanca province; and the Oliva and La Majada projects which consist of three tenements located in Spain.

The company was formerly known as Berkeley Energy Limited and changed its name to Berkeley Energia Limited in November 2015. Berkeley Energia Limited was incorporated in 1991 and is based in Perth, Australia.

Stock analysis

Berkeley Energia Ltd (BKY) currently trades at A$0.8100, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is A$0.1400, 83% below the price, so the stock looks overvalued today.

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Valuation

How firm this estimate is: it rests on 1 models at a data quality of 96/100, which puts the data coverage at low.

Scenario range: A$0.0900 (bear) to A$0.1700 (bull), the price of A$0.8100 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 50/100 (solid quality), in the Energy sector.

Expensive Growth: The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.

Berkeley Energia Ltd reported revenue of A$2.1M in FY2026 versus A$32.0K in FY2022, a compound +185.1%/yr. Reported net income was −A$8.7M in FY2026.

Key figures

Market cap A$361M (≈ $249M) Micro · EPS (TTM) A$−0.0200 · Return on equity −11.4% · Return on assets (EBIT) −6.0% (5-year average) · Operating margin −123% · Revenue (TTM) A$2.1M · Revenue growth (YoY) −30.1% · Free cash flow −A$7.8M.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 10 out of 100 (low confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 11% below its 52-week high and 113% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Energy peers we cover trades at −48% fair-value upside, at −83%, BKY screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Bear A$0.0900 Fair Value A$0.1400 Bull A$0.1700
Price A$0.8100 · Downside -82.7%
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above starts from their evidence-weighted blend, not from a single model. In cyclical trough or peak years, after dilution or a stock split it is adjusted afterwards, so it can sit above or below the models. Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds. Coverage ⓘCoverage = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Best data coverage
NCAV (Graham) A$0.0900 A$0.1400 A$0.1700 52
All 1 models by family
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) A$0.0900 A$0.1400 A$0.1700 52

Open the full fair value analysis →

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 50/100

It rates the business: profits, how they develop, real cash, balance sheet, investing and share count.

Profitability 0
How much profit the company makes from its sales and capital
Quality Growth 9
Are margins and returns getting better?
Cashflow 32
Do the profits arrive as real cash?
Financial strength 100
Debt, balance sheet and risk of trouble
Investment 100
Does it invest with discipline instead of growing at any price?
Low Volatility 22
How calm the share price moves, does not count
Price momentum 85
Price momentum of the last 3 to 12 months, does not count
Near the 52-week high 86
Distance to the 52-week high, does not count
New shares 81
Buys back shares or issues new ones?

Open the full quality analysis →

Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 38/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Revenue growth 1 year
−30.1%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+26.1%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+147.0%
Start year 2021 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +23.8% a year
Revenue growth 22 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+20.3%
Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
−29,652.2% (2021) → −387.0% (2026)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2026 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
not computed

BKY screens overvalued: fair value 83% below the price. Compare with Cameco Corporation →

Compare Berkeley Energia Ltd with another stock

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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Uranium · 24 stocks

Beats the industry median on 1/6 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 50 · Top 25%
Fair Value upside −82.7% · Bottom 25%
Profitability
Return on assets −11.8% · Below median
Operating margin (12 months) −122.5% · Bottom 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth (quarter YoY) −30.1% · Below median

Valuation Multiplesvs Uranium median · lower = cheaper

P/B 5.11× · Priciest 25%

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

Oil & gas

Similar stocks

10 more Uranium stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value Compare
enCore Energy Corp EU $0.6300 $0.7900 +25% vs BKY
Boss Energy Limited BOE A$1.55 A$0.9600 −38% vs BKY
Centrus Energy Corp LEU $104.60 $55.95 −47% vs BKY
Uranium Royalty Corp UROY $3.04 $1.62 −47% vs BKY
CGN Mining Company 1164 HK$2.09 HK$1.08 −48% vs BKY
Atha Energy Corp SASK C$0.8800 C$0.3485 −60% vs BKY
Deep Yellow Limited DYL A$0.8350 A$0.1900 −77% vs BKY
Ur-Energy Inc URG $0.7431 $0.1300 −83% vs BKY
Cameco Corporation CCJ $71.30 $10.06 −86% vs BKY
Atomic Eagle Limited AEU A$0.4000 A$0.0425 −89% vs BKY

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Berkeley Energia Ltd: fair value per Fair Value Calculator

Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Berkeley Energia Ltd Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/BKY

Frequently asked questions

Is Berkeley Energia Ltd (BKY) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Nov 8, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of A$0.1400 versus a price of A$0.8100, about 83% lower (overvalued).
What is the fair value of BKY?
Our model-based fair value for Berkeley Energia Ltd is A$0.1400 (as of Nov 8, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: A$0.8100.
What is the quality score of BKY?
Berkeley Energia Ltd has a Quality Score of 50/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Berkeley Energia Ltd (BKY)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of A$0.1400 (as of Nov 8, 2026) from 1 valuation models. Cautious scenario A$0.0900, optimistic scenario A$0.1700. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Berkeley Energia Ltd stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at A$0.1400, about 83% lower versus a price of A$0.8100 (overvalued). Cautious scenario A$0.0900, optimistic scenario A$0.1700. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Berkeley Energia Ltd (BKY)?
Berkeley Energia Ltd reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about A$2.1M (latest available figure, as of Nov 8, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of Berkeley Energia Ltd (BKY)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Berkeley Energia Ltd it is A$0.1400 per share (as of Nov 8, 2026), against a price of A$0.8100. It is the blended result of 1 valuation models in 1 family (Asset-Based).
Is Berkeley Energia Ltd stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Nov 8, 2026, BKY trades above its calculated fair value: price A$0.8100, fair value A$0.1400, a gap of about −83% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of BKY?
No. The price is what the market pays today (A$0.8100); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (A$0.1400). For Berkeley Energia Ltd the two are A$0.6700 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Berkeley Energia Ltd worth?
The market values Berkeley Energia Ltd at about A$361M (market capitalisation, as of Nov 8, 2026). Per share that is A$0.8100; our models calculate a fair value of A$0.1400 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about BKY?
Our models span a range for Berkeley Energia Ltd: cautious scenario A$0.0900, base A$0.1400, optimistic A$0.1700 per share (as of Nov 8, 2026, price A$0.8100). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
How solid is the balance sheet of Berkeley Energia Ltd (BKY)?
Balance-sheet figures for Berkeley Energia Ltd (as of Nov 8, 2026): return on equity −11.4%. They feed the Quality Score of 50/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is BKY from its 52-week high?
Berkeley Energia Ltd trades at A$0.8100, about 11% below its 52-week high of A$0.9100 and 113% above the low of A$0.3800 (as of Nov 9, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of A$0.1400 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Berkeley Energia Ltd?
From the same area (Energy) we also value Cameco Corporation, CGN Mining Company, Centrus Energy Corp, Uranium Royalty Corp, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Berkeley Energia Ltd stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Nov 8, 2026: price A$0.8100, calculated fair value A$0.1400 (−83%), Quality Score 50/100, from 1 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of BKY calculated?
We run Berkeley Energia Ltd through 1 models from 1 family: Asset-Based. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the fair value of A$0.1400 builds on their evidence-weighted average, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 13.3% above its aggregate fair value. Berkeley Energia Ltd itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Berkeley Energia Ltd (BKY)?
The closing price on Nov 9, 2026 was A$0.8100. Our model-based fair value is A$0.1400, about 83% lower (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Berkeley Energia Ltd right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (A$0.1700). The favourable scenario is already priced in. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution. Solid but not exceptional quality (50/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder. A fairly wide model range (A$0.0900 to A$0.1700) leaves room in how you read the outcome.

Key figures of Berkeley Energia Ltd

How large is the market capitalisation of Berkeley Energia Ltd (BKY)?
The market capitalisation of Berkeley Energia Ltd is A$361M (≈ $249M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What are the earnings per share of Berkeley Energia Ltd (BKY)?
Earnings per share at Berkeley Energia Ltd are A$−0.0200. Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the return on equity of Berkeley Energia Ltd (BKY)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Berkeley Energia Ltd is −11.4% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Berkeley Energia Ltd (BKY)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Berkeley Energia Ltd is −6.0% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Berkeley Energia Ltd (BKY)?
The operating margin of Berkeley Energia Ltd is −123% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Berkeley Energia Ltd (BKY)?
Revenue at Berkeley Energia Ltd is growing −30.1% versus a year earlier (3y avg +26.1%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How much free cash flow does Berkeley Energia Ltd (BKY) generate?
The free cash flow of Berkeley Energia Ltd is −A$7.8M (fiscal year 2026). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net cash does Berkeley Energia Ltd (BKY) hold?
Berkeley Energia Ltd holds more cash than debt, A$62.4M net (fiscal year 2026). The company holds more cash than debt, a safety cushion.
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