BlueLinx Holdings Inc (BXC) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Nov 6, 2026: fair value (intrinsic value) of BlueLinx Holdings Inc stock $72.85, price $60.62, upside +20.2%, quality 59 out of 100. Rating: undervalued. Calculated from audited financials with 22 of our 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceableSee the method →
Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year. As of Nov 6, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range $45.34 – $131.66 · fair‑value band $67.32 – $77.29 · the $60.62 price screens below the $72.85 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). 1 fiscal year is left out: there the valuation rested on only a fraction of the usual models. As of Nov 6, 2026.
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BlueLinx Holdings Inc., together with its subsidiaries, engages in the distribution of residential and commercial building products in the United States.
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The company distributes specialty products, including engineered wood, siding, millwork, outdoor living, specialty lumber and panels, and industrial products; and structural products, such as lumber, plywood, oriented strand boards, rebars and remesh, as well as other wood products that are used for structural support in construction projects.
It provides various value-added services and solutions to customers and suppliers. The company serves national home centers, pro dealers, cooperatives, specialty distributors, regional and local dealers, and industrial manufacturers.
It sells its products through warehouse sales, reload sales, and direct sales. BlueLinx Holdings Inc. was founded in 2004 and is headquartered in Marietta, Georgia.
Stock analysis
BlueLinx Holdings Inc (BXC) currently trades at $60.62, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $72.85, implying the stock looks roughly 17% undervalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the Growth DCF group reads highest at a median of $77.17 per share, and 10 of the 22 models we run sit above the $60.62 price.
Bear case: the Earnings-Based group reads lowest at $20.36, and 12 of the 22 models stay below the price. Data coverage for this calculation is low.
Scenario range: $67.32 (bear) to $77.29 (bull), the price of $60.62 sits below it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 59/100 (solid quality), in the Industrials sector.
Weak Growth: Revenue growth is weak: less than 2 % a year.
BlueLinx Holdings Inc reported revenue of $3.0B in FY2025 versus $4.3B in FY2021, a compound −8.8%/yr. Reported net income was $219K in FY2025, compounding −83.5%/yr from FY2021.
Key figures
Market cap $523M Small · P/S ratio 0.17 · EPS (TTM) $−0.5200 · Net margin −0.1% · Return on equity −0.7% · Return on assets (EBIT) 15.9% (5-year average) · Operating margin 1.3% · Revenue (TTM) $3.1B.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 24 out of 100 (medium confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 34% below its 52-week high and 34% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at −28% fair-value upside, at 20%, BXC screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear$67.32Fair Value $72.85Bull$77.29
Price $60.62 · Upside +20.2%
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above starts from their evidence-weighted blend, not from a single model. In cyclical trough or peak years, after dilution or a stock split it is adjusted afterwards, so it can sit above or below the models.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds.Coverage ⓘCoverage = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Best data coverage
FCF DCF$67.50$81.33$103.9682
Growth DCF$68.81$81.80$101.4480
Owner Earnings$61.75$74.16$94.4778
All 22 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF$67.50$81.33$103.9682
Owner Earnings$61.75$74.16$94.4778
5Y Revenue Exit$56.27$70.95$92.3674
5Y EBITDA Exit$78.37$108.97$149.7876
5Y P/E Exit$38.48$40.33$42.8972
10Y Revenue Exit$60.70$71.14$81.9268
10Y EBITDA Exit$72.78$91.23$110.8570
10Y P/E Exit$52.25$54.97$57.0065
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd$0.1900$0.2500$0.280067
EPV$37.40$40.47$42.9474
Multiples
P/E Multiple$0.4400$0.5800$0.730063
P/S Multiple$0.3600$0.4700$0.590058
P/B Multiple$94.60$126.14$157.6755
EV/EBIT$16.02$33.58$51.1362
EV/EBITDA$53.10$83.02$112.9366
EV/Revenue$0.9500$17.06$33.1646
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham)$4.41$6.68$8.3554
Growth DCF
Growth DCF$68.81$81.80$101.4480
Rev-Margin DCF$56.27$72.54$93.1974
Economic Profit
Residual Income$38.07$42.14$46.8871
ROIC Compounder$37.40$40.47$42.9472
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E$0.3100$0.4400$0.580067
The fair value above starts from this blend and is adjusted for a year distorted by one-off effects.
In the last 6 months, one officer or director sold shares worth $2.9M and none bought.
SaleKim S FennebresqueDirector34,138 shares at $84.15$2.9MAug 6, 2026
Plus 14 other filings such as grants, option exercises or tax withholding. They are not market purchases or sales.
Sales are often planned (taxes, diversification, 10b5-1 plans). Purchases with their own money are seen as the stronger sign. For information only: not part of the quality score or Fair Value.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.40/100
Revenue growth is weak: less than 2 % a year.
Revenue growth 1 year
+0.0%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−12.8%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−0.9%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +4.4% a year
Revenue growth 25 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−1.4%
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What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate.
−73.0%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year−73.0%
Dividend (yield on the price)0.0%
Pace: 5 vs 10 years ⓘTwo data points, not a trend model: earnings growth per share over the last 5 fiscal years against the last 10. Labelled "steady" when both rates are within 3 percentage points of each other, otherwise picking up or flattening. Shown only when ten years of history exist.−73.0% vs −34.0%, slowing
Profit margin 2020 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.5% → 1%
Pace: the 5-year rate starts in 2020 (pandemic)
Growth Forecast
Price in line with expectations
The price assumes more growth than the company has delivered so far and about what analysts expect.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
+6.3%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect ⓘAnalysts publish sales forecasts for the next two fiscal years. For the years after that, growth slows evenly to 2 % a year by year ten (2 % is the long-run rate our models use). Projected years are marked as such.
+4.4%
Yearly sales growth analysts expect, extended to five years.
After inflation (USA: IMF forecast 2.4% a year to 2030, 3.1% from 2016 to 2025) that is about +3.9% a year for the price and +1.9% for the forecasts.
News mood ⓘNews mood, the average tone of recent news (79 articles), rated against how stocks are usually covered. 🚀 Hype = unusually upbeat · 🙂 Positive = above average · 😐 Neutral = typical · 🙁 Negative = below average · 😨 Very negative = unusually downbeat. It reflects the tone of coverage, not our valuation.Hype
Recent news coverage is unusually upbeat, far more positive than stocks are typically covered.
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Industrial Distribution · 107 stocks
Beats the industry median on 6/12 measures
A mixed picture versus its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score59 · Above median
Fair Value upside+20.2% · Above median
Profitability
Return on assets0.0% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (12 months)−0.1% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (12 months)1.3% · Bottom 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth (quarter YoY)8.5% · Above median
Balance sheet
Debt / equity0.48× · Highest 25%
Valuation Multiplesvs Industrial Distribution median · lower = cheaper
P/B0.85× · Cheaper than median
P/S (12 months)0.17× · Cheapest 25%
Price / free cash flow (fiscal year)15.9× · Pricier than median
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Is BlueLinx Holdings Inc (BXC) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Nov 6, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $72.85 versus a price of $60.62, about +20% upside (undervalued).
What is the fair value of BXC?
Our model-based fair value for BlueLinx Holdings Inc is $72.85 (as of Nov 6, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: $60.62.
What is the quality score of BXC?
BlueLinx Holdings Inc has a Quality Score of 59/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for BlueLinx Holdings Inc (BXC)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of $72.85 (as of Nov 6, 2026) from 22 valuation models. Cautious scenario $67.32, optimistic scenario $77.29. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the BlueLinx Holdings Inc stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at $72.85, about +20% upside versus a price of $60.62 (undervalued). Cautious scenario $67.32, optimistic scenario $77.29. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of BlueLinx Holdings Inc (BXC)?
BlueLinx Holdings Inc reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $3.1B (latest available figure, as of Nov 6, 2026).
What growth is priced into BlueLinx Holdings Inc (BXC)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, BlueLinx Holdings Inc would have to grow free cash flow by +6.3 % per year for five years (discount rate 12.8 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew -0.9 % per year. As of Nov 6, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of BXC use?
Our models discount BlueLinx Holdings Inc at 12.8 %: a base by market capitalisation (small), damped by beta 1.55, country premium for USA. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For BlueLinx Holdings Inc that is +6.3 % per year for five years, then slowing evenly to 2 % by year ten, using the same discount rate (12.8 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has BlueLinx Holdings Inc (BXC) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at BlueLinx Holdings Inc grew -0.9 % a year. The price currently implies free-cash-flow growth of +6.3 % per year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of BlueLinx Holdings Inc (BXC) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +7.8 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into BlueLinx Holdings Inc (+6.3 % per year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of BlueLinx Holdings Inc (BXC)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 6.90 %: that much free cash flow BlueLinx Holdings Inc produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (12.8 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of BlueLinx Holdings Inc (BXC)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For BlueLinx Holdings Inc it is $72.85 per share (as of Nov 6, 2026), against a price of $60.62. It is the blended result of 22 valuation models in 7 families (DCF Models, Earnings-Based, Multiples, Asset-Based, Growth DCF, Economic Profit, Growth Earnings).
Is BlueLinx Holdings Inc stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Nov 6, 2026, BXC trades below its calculated fair value: price $60.62, fair value $72.85, a gap of about +20% (undervalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of BXC?
No. The price is what the market pays today ($60.62); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify ($72.85). For BlueLinx Holdings Inc the two are $12.23 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is BlueLinx Holdings Inc worth?
The market values BlueLinx Holdings Inc at about $523M (market capitalisation, as of Nov 6, 2026). Per share that is $60.62; our models calculate a fair value of $72.85 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about BXC?
Our models span a range for BlueLinx Holdings Inc: cautious scenario $67.32, base $72.85, optimistic $77.29 per share (as of Nov 6, 2026, price $60.62). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the PEG ratio of BXC?
The PEG ratio of BlueLinx Holdings Inc is 2.19 (P/E divided by earnings growth, as of Nov 6, 2026). That is above 1, so the growth is already paid for in the price.
How solid is the balance sheet of BlueLinx Holdings Inc (BXC)?
Balance-sheet figures for BlueLinx Holdings Inc (as of Nov 6, 2026): return on equity −0.7%, debt of 0.48 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 59/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is BXC from its 52-week high?
BlueLinx Holdings Inc trades at $60.62, about 34% below its 52-week high of $91.41 and 34% above the low of $45.34 (as of Nov 6, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of $72.85 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to BlueLinx Holdings Inc?
From the same area (Industrials) we also value W.W. Grainger, Inc, Fastenal Company, Ferguson Enterprises Inc, WESCO International, Inc, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is BlueLinx Holdings Inc stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Nov 6, 2026: price $60.62, calculated fair value $72.85 (+20%), Quality Score 59/100, from 22 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of BXC calculated?
We run BlueLinx Holdings Inc through 22 models from 7 families: DCF Models, Earnings-Based, Multiples, Asset-Based, Growth DCF, Economic Profit, Growth Earnings. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the fair value of $72.85 builds on their evidence-weighted average, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 13.3% above its aggregate fair value. BlueLinx Holdings Inc currently trades 17% below its own fair value, and the market average says nothing about that. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of BlueLinx Holdings Inc (BXC)?
The closing price on Nov 6, 2026 was $60.62. Our model-based fair value is $72.85, about +20% upside (undervalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with BlueLinx Holdings Inc right now?
The price is below even our cautious bear case ($67.32). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario. Solid quality (59/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality. The models converge in a tight band ($67.32 to $77.29), unusually little disagreement for a valuation. Evidence is limited here (fewer models, shorter history), so the fair value is a rougher estimate than usual.
Key figures of BlueLinx Holdings Inc
How large is the market capitalisation of BlueLinx Holdings Inc (BXC)?
The market capitalisation of BlueLinx Holdings Inc is $523M. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of BlueLinx Holdings Inc (BXC)?
The price-to-sales ratio of BlueLinx Holdings Inc is 0.17 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of BlueLinx Holdings Inc (BXC)?
Earnings per share at BlueLinx Holdings Inc are $−0.5200. Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the net margin of BlueLinx Holdings Inc (BXC)?
The net margin of BlueLinx Holdings Inc is −0.1% (last twelve months). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of BlueLinx Holdings Inc (BXC)?
The return on equity (ROE) of BlueLinx Holdings Inc is −0.7% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of BlueLinx Holdings Inc (BXC)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of BlueLinx Holdings Inc is 15.9% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of BlueLinx Holdings Inc (BXC)?
The operating margin of BlueLinx Holdings Inc is 1.3% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at BlueLinx Holdings Inc (BXC)?
Revenue at BlueLinx Holdings Inc is growing +8.5% versus a year earlier (3y avg −12.8%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at BlueLinx Holdings Inc (BXC)?
Earnings per share at BlueLinx Holdings Inc are growing +50.0% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net debt does BlueLinx Holdings Inc (BXC) carry?
The net debt of BlueLinx Holdings Inc is $288M (fiscal year 2025, ≈ 8.8 yrs of FCF). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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Thin data
Nov 6, 2026