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Commercial Bancgroup, Inc. (CBK) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Nov 4, 2026: fair value (intrinsic value) of Commercial Bancgroup, Inc. stock $21.09, price $33.52, that is 37.1% below the price, quality 63 out of 100. Rating: strongly overvalued. Calculated from audited financials with 6 of our 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.

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Financial Services US

CB Commercial Bancgroup, Inc. logo Broad data Nov 5, 2026

Commercial Bancgroup, Inc.

CBK · US
Solid, but very expensive

Our calculation puts a fair price 37% below what the stock costs today.

Quality 63/100
Highly profitable · 43.1% net margin (TTM)
Generates free cash flow
0.9% dividend yield · Well covered
Broad data
Moderate debt
Mixed vs. peers (6/14)
Wide moat 70/100 · thin data
Insiders bought $63,603 (6M) · sold $33,920
Fair value $21.09 · Strongly overvalued (−37.1%)
Weak Growth (revenue YoY −1.3 %/yr in USD)
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What runs behind every stock

26 valuation models 8 families, DCF to NCAV 37 quality factors margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt 6 AI factors moat, what no ratio measures 2,000+ data points verified, per stock, median

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

$35.31 $23.35 Fair Value $21.09 Oct 2025 Nov 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year. As of Nov 5, 2026.

How to read this chart

13‑month range $23.35 – $35.31 · fair‑value band $18.67 – $26.01 · the $33.52 price screens above the $21.09 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). As of Nov 5, 2026.

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Company profile

Commercial Bancgroup, Inc. operates as the bank holding company for Commercial Bank that provides a range of banking and financial services to individual and corporate customers in the United States.

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The company accepts various deposit products, including demand deposit accounts, interest-bearing products, savings accounts, and certificates of deposit products.

It also offers real estate, commercial, and consumer loans, such as installment loans, secured and unsecured personal lines of credit, and overdraft protection lines.

In addition, the company provides treasury management services, remote deposit capture, internet and commercial banking, automated teller machines, and other banking services. The company was formerly known as Harrogate Corporation and changed its name to Commercial Bancgroup, Inc. in April 1989.

Commercial Bancgroup, Inc. was incorporated in 1975 and is based in Harrogate, Tennessee.

Stock analysis

Commercial Bancgroup, Inc. (CBK) currently trades at $33.52, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $21.09, 37% below the price, so the stock looks overvalued today.

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Valuation

Bull case: the Multiples group reads highest at a median of $26.94 per share, and 1 of the 6 models we run sit above the $33.52 price.

Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at $12.89, and 5 of the 6 models stay below the price. Data coverage for this calculation is high.

Scenario range: $18.67 (bear) to $26.01 (bull), the price of $33.52 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 63/100 (solid quality), in the Financial Services sector.

Weak Growth: Revenue growth is weak, negative or inconsistent.

Commercial Bancgroup, Inc. Common Stock reported revenue of $132M in FY2025 versus $112M in FY2023, a compound +8.3%/yr. Reported net income was $37.2M in FY2025, compounding +10.1%/yr from FY2023.

Key figures

Market cap $460M Small · P/E ratio 11.4 · P/S ratio 4.87 · EPS (TTM) $2.95 · Dividend yield 0.9% · Net margin 43.1% · Return on equity 14.7% · Return on assets (EBIT) 1.9%.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 70 out of 100 (low confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 5% below its 52-week high and 44% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Financial Services peers we cover trades at −35% fair-value upside, at −37%, CBK screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Bear $18.67 Fair Value $21.09 Bull $26.01
Price $33.52 · Downside -37.1%
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above starts from their evidence-weighted blend, not from a single model. In cyclical trough or peak years, after dilution or a stock split it is adjusted afterwards, so it can sit above or below the models. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 10 months old). Earnings retained since then ($2.24 per share) are deliberately not added. Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds. Coverage ⓘCoverage = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Best data coverage
Residual Income $18.67 $21.09 $26.01 69
Gordon GGM $1.11 $1.55 $1.94 63
P/E Multiple $26.45 $35.27 $44.09 63
All 6 models by family
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM $1.11 $1.55 $1.94 63
DDM Multi-Stage $1.11 $1.49 $1.87 61
Multiples
P/E Multiple $26.45 $35.27 $44.09 63
P/B Multiple $20.20 $26.94 $33.67 55
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) $9.62 $12.89 $19.24 54
Economic Profit
Residual Income $18.67 $21.09 $26.01 69

Open the full fair value analysis →

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 63/100

It rates the business: profits, how they develop, real cash, balance sheet, investing and share count.

Profitability 38
How much profit the company makes from its sales and capital
Quality Growth 59
Are margins and returns getting better?
Cashflow 82
Do the profits arrive as real cash?
Financial strength 17
Debt, balance sheet and risk of trouble
Investment 100
Does it invest with discipline instead of growing at any price?
Low Volatility 86
How calm the share price moves, does not count
Price momentum 57
Price momentum of the last 3 to 12 months, does not count
Near the 52-week high 81
Distance to the 52-week high, does not count
New shares 65
Buys back shares or issues new ones?

Open the full quality analysis →

Insider trades

In the last 6 months, 2 officers or directors bought shares worth $63,603, most recently on Sep 16, 2026. Over the same period, one person sold shares worth $33,920. Buying cluster

  • SaleDennis Michael RobertsonDirector1,000 shares at $33.92$33,920Nov 2, 2026
  • BuyJohn Adam RobertsonExecutive Chairperson, Director2× since Jan 30, 2026: 336 shares, avg. $27.55$9,258Sep 16, 2026
  • BuyPhilip J. MethenyEVP, Chief Financial Officer5× since Nov 21, 2025: 9,217 shares, avg. $27.89$257,099Aug 26, 2026
  • BuyDennis Michael RobertsonDirector450 shares at $25.64$11,538Jan 28, 2026

Plus 7 other filings such as grants, option exercises or tax withholding. They are not market purchases or sales.

Sales are often planned (taxes, diversification, 10b5-1 plans). Purchases with their own money are seen as the stronger sign. For information only: not part of the quality score or Fair Value.

Source: SEC Form 4, as of Nov 5, 2026. All filings at the SEC ↗

Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 40/100
Revenue growth is weak, negative or inconsistent.
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: only 3 usable fiscal years, at least 4 required
not computed

Growth Forecast

Little optimism in the price
The price assumes less growth than the company has delivered so far.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
+1.9%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect
n/a
No analyst forecast available.
After inflation (USA: IMF forecast 2.4% a year to 2030, 3.1% from 2016 to 2025) that is about −0.5% a year for the price.

CBK screens overvalued: fair value 37% below the price. Compare with China Merchants Bank Co →

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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Banks - Regional · 1002 stocks

Beats the industry median on 6/14 measures
A mixed picture versus its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 63 · Top 25%
Fair Value upside −37.1% · Bottom 25%
Profitability
Return on equity (12 months) 14.7% · Top 25%
Return on assets 1.6% · Top 25%
Net margin (12 months) 43.1% · Top 25%
Operating margin (12 months) 56.8% · Top 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth (quarter YoY) 8.7% · Below median
Dividend yield (12 months) 0.9% · Bottom 25%
Balance sheet
Debt / equity 0.52× · Above median

Valuation Multiplesvs Banks - Regional median · lower = cheaper

P/E (12 months) 11.4× · Cheaper than median
P/B 1.61× · Priciest 25%
P/S (12 months) 4.87× · Priciest 25%
Price / free cash flow 13.1× · Pricier than median
EV/EBITDA 9.9× · Pricier than median

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)0 · sector 8
FUTURE (revenue growth)44 · sector 48
PAST (return on equity)59 · sector 43
HEALTH (low debt)74 · sector 85
DIVIDEND (yield)18 · sector 52

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Banks - Regional stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value Compare
Postal Savings Bank of China Co 601658 ¥5.52 ¥7.59 +38% vs CBK
China Merchants Bank Co 600036 ¥42.54 ¥52.73 +24% vs CBK
BNP Paribas SA BNP €91.94 €106.01 +15% vs CBK
Intesa Sanpaolo S.p.A ISP €6.27 €4.59 −27% vs CBK
UniCredit S.p.A UCG €77.18 €50.44 −35% vs CBK
Oversea-Chinese Banking Corporation O39 27.93 SGD 18.20 SGD −35% vs CBK
Mizuho Financial Group MFG $9.80 $5.90 −40% vs CBK
DBS Group D05 71.20 SGD 40.39 SGD −43% vs CBK
HDFC Bank Limited HDFCBANK ₹760.00 ₹406.39 −47% vs CBK
ICICI Bank Limited ICICIBANK ₹1,500 ₹615.63 −59% vs CBK

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Commercial Bancgroup, Inc. Common Stock: fair value per Fair Value Calculator

Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Commercial Bancgroup, Inc. Common Stock Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/CBK

Frequently asked questions

Is Commercial Bancgroup, Inc. (CBK) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Nov 5, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $21.09 versus a price of $33.52, about 37% lower (overvalued).
What is the fair value of CBK?
Our model-based fair value for Commercial Bancgroup, Inc. Common Stock is $21.09 (as of Nov 5, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: $33.52.
What is the quality score of CBK?
Commercial Bancgroup, Inc. Common Stock has a Quality Score of 63/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Commercial Bancgroup, Inc. (CBK)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of $21.09 (as of Nov 5, 2026) from 6 valuation models. Cautious scenario $18.67, optimistic scenario $26.01. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Commercial Bancgroup, Inc. Common Stock stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at $21.09, about 37% lower versus a price of $33.52 (overvalued). Cautious scenario $18.67, optimistic scenario $26.01. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Commercial Bancgroup, Inc. (CBK)?
Commercial Bancgroup, Inc. Common Stock reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $94.5M (latest available figure, as of Nov 5, 2026).
Does Commercial Bancgroup, Inc. Common Stock pay a dividend?
Commercial Bancgroup, Inc. Common Stock currently shows a dividend yield of 0.92% relative to its recent price (as of Nov 5, 2026).
What growth is priced into Commercial Bancgroup, Inc. (CBK)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, Commercial Bancgroup, Inc. Common Stock would have to grow free cash flow by +1.9 % per year for five years (discount rate 11.2 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 2 years revenue grew +8.3 % per year. As of Nov 5, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of CBK use?
Our models discount Commercial Bancgroup, Inc. Common Stock at 11.2 %: a base by market capitalisation (small), country premium for USA. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For Commercial Bancgroup, Inc. Common Stock that is +1.9 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (11.2 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has Commercial Bancgroup, Inc. (CBK) delivered so far?
Over the past 2 years revenue at Commercial Bancgroup, Inc. Common Stock grew +8.3 % a year. The price currently implies +1.9 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of Commercial Bancgroup, Inc. (CBK) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +9.4 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into Commercial Bancgroup, Inc. Common Stock (+1.9 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of Commercial Bancgroup, Inc. (CBK)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 7.66 %: that much free cash flow Commercial Bancgroup, Inc. Common Stock produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (11.2 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of Commercial Bancgroup, Inc. (CBK)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Commercial Bancgroup, Inc. Common Stock it is $21.09 per share (as of Nov 5, 2026), against a price of $33.52. It is the blended result of 6 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Commercial Bancgroup, Inc. Common Stock stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Nov 5, 2026, CBK trades above its calculated fair value: price $33.52, fair value $21.09, a gap of about −37% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of CBK?
No. The price is what the market pays today ($33.52); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify ($21.09). For Commercial Bancgroup, Inc. Common Stock the two are $12.43 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Commercial Bancgroup, Inc. Common Stock worth?
The market values Commercial Bancgroup, Inc. Common Stock at about $460M (market capitalisation, as of Nov 5, 2026). Per share that is $33.52; our models calculate a fair value of $21.09 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about CBK?
Our models span a range for Commercial Bancgroup, Inc. Common Stock: cautious scenario $18.67, base $21.09, optimistic $26.01 per share (as of Nov 5, 2026, price $33.52). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of CBK?
Commercial Bancgroup, Inc. Common Stock trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 11.4 (as of Nov 5, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of $21.09 is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: P/B 1.6, P/S 4.9, EV/EBITDA 9.9.
How solid is the balance sheet of Commercial Bancgroup, Inc. (CBK)?
Balance-sheet figures for Commercial Bancgroup, Inc. Common Stock (as of Nov 5, 2026): return on equity 14.7%, debt of 0.52 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 63/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is CBK from its 52-week high?
Commercial Bancgroup, Inc. Common Stock trades at $33.52, about 5% below its 52-week high of $35.31 and 44% above the low of $23.35 (as of Nov 4, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of $21.09 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Commercial Bancgroup, Inc. Common Stock?
From the same area (Financial Services) we also value China Merchants Bank Co, DBS Group, UniCredit S.p.A, Mizuho Financial Group, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Commercial Bancgroup, Inc. Common Stock stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Nov 5, 2026: price $33.52, calculated fair value $21.09 (−37%), Quality Score 63/100, from 6 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of CBK calculated?
We run Commercial Bancgroup, Inc. Common Stock through 6 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of $21.09, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 15.6% above its aggregate fair value. Commercial Bancgroup, Inc. Common Stock itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Commercial Bancgroup, Inc. (CBK)?
The closing price on Nov 4, 2026 was $33.52. Our model-based fair value is $21.09, about 37% lower (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Commercial Bancgroup, Inc. Common Stock right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case ($26.01). The favourable scenario is already priced in. Solid but not exceptional quality (63/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder. For a financial, book-value and earnings-based methods matter more than a cash-flow DCF, which fits banks and insurers poorly.

Key figures of Commercial Bancgroup, Inc. Common Stock

How large is the market capitalisation of Commercial Bancgroup, Inc. (CBK)?
The market capitalisation of Commercial Bancgroup, Inc. Common Stock is $460M. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Commercial Bancgroup, Inc. (CBK)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Commercial Bancgroup, Inc. Common Stock is 4.87 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Commercial Bancgroup, Inc. (CBK)?
Earnings per share at Commercial Bancgroup, Inc. Common Stock are $2.95 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 11.4). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of Commercial Bancgroup, Inc. (CBK)?
The dividend yield of Commercial Bancgroup, Inc. Common Stock is 0.9% (payout 10.5%). Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Commercial Bancgroup, Inc. (CBK)?
The net margin of Commercial Bancgroup, Inc. Common Stock is 43.1% (last twelve months). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Commercial Bancgroup, Inc. (CBK)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Commercial Bancgroup, Inc. Common Stock is 14.7% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Commercial Bancgroup, Inc. (CBK)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Commercial Bancgroup, Inc. Common Stock is 1.9% (avg 3y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Commercial Bancgroup, Inc. (CBK)?
The operating margin of Commercial Bancgroup, Inc. Common Stock is 56.8% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Commercial Bancgroup, Inc. (CBK)?
Revenue at Commercial Bancgroup, Inc. Common Stock is growing +8.7% versus a year earlier. How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Commercial Bancgroup, Inc. (CBK)?
Earnings per share at Commercial Bancgroup, Inc. Common Stock are growing +2.6% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net debt does Commercial Bancgroup, Inc. (CBK) carry?
The net debt of Commercial Bancgroup, Inc. Common Stock is $167M (fiscal year 2025, ≈ 4.7 yrs of FCF). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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