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China Natural Resources Inc (CHNR) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Nov 6, 2026: fair value (intrinsic value) of China Natural Resources Inc stock $5.71, price $3.97, upside +43.8%, quality 56 out of 100. Rating: undervalued. Calculated from audited financials with one of our 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.

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Basic Materials US · Based in China · ISIN VGG2110U1259

CN China Natural Resources Inc logo Thin data Nov 5, 2026

China Natural Resources Inc

CHNR · US
Undervalued, but in a downtrend

The stock costs 30% less than our calculation considers fair.

Fair value $5.71 · Undervalued
Ranks above peers (7/10)
Even on cautious assumptions the value is 7% above the price ($4.26).
Quality 56/100
Mixed Growth (revenue YoY +8.4 %/yr in USD)
Moderate debt
Negative free cash flow
Narrow moat 12/100 · thin data
Thin data
⟳ Cyclical
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What runs behind every stock

26 valuation models 8 families, DCF to NCAV 37 quality factors margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt 6 AI factors moat, what no ratio measures 2,000+ data points verified, per stock, median

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

$57.60 $3.23 Fair Value $5.71 Aug 2021 Nov 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year. As of Nov 5, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range $3.23 – $57.60 · fair‑value band $4.26 – $8.53 · the $3.97 price screens below the $5.71 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). As of Nov 5, 2026.

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Company profile

China Natural Resources, Inc., through its subsidiaries, engages in the exploration and mining of metal properties in the People's Republic of China. It explores for lead, silver, and other nonferrous metals.

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The company holds interest in the Moruogu Tong mine that covers an area of 7.81 square kilometers located in Wulatehouqi, Bayannaoer City, Inner Mongolia. The company is headquartered in Shenzhen, the People's Republic of China.

China Natural Resources, Inc. operates as a subsidiary of Feishang Industrial Group Co., Ltd.

Stock analysis

China Natural Resources Inc (CHNR) currently trades at $3.97, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $5.71, implying the stock looks roughly 30% undervalued today.

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Valuation

How firm this estimate is: it rests on 1 models at a data quality of 96/100, which puts the data coverage at low.

Scenario range: $4.26 (bear) to $8.53 (bull), the price of $3.97 sits below it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 56/100 (solid quality), in the Basic Materials sector.

Mixed Growth: Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.

China Natural Resources Inc reported revenue of 0 CNY in FY2025 versus 18.7M CNY in FY2021. Reported net income was −1.2M CNY in FY2025.

Key figures

Market cap $5.0M Micro · P/S ratio 0.31 · EPS (TTM) $−0.1400 · Return on equity −1.4% · Return on assets (EBIT) −3.5% (5-year average) · Revenue (TTM) $16.5M · Revenue growth (YoY) −24.0% · Free cash flow −5.6M CNY.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 12 out of 100 (low confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 26% below its 52-week high and 23% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Basic Materials peers we cover trades at −8% fair-value upside, at 44%, CHNR screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Bear $4.26 Fair Value $5.71 Bull $8.53
Price $3.97 · Upside +43.8%
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above starts from their evidence-weighted blend, not from a single model. In cyclical trough or peak years, after dilution or a stock split it is adjusted afterwards, so it can sit above or below the models. Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds. Coverage ⓘCoverage = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Best data coverage
NCAV (Graham) $4.26 $5.70 $8.51 54
All 1 models by family
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) $4.26 $5.70 $8.51 54

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Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 56/100

It rates the business: profits, how they develop, real cash, balance sheet, investing and share count.

Profitability 8
How much profit the company makes from its sales and capital
Quality Growth 54
Are margins and returns getting better?
Cashflow 100
Do the profits arrive as real cash?
Financial strength 26
Debt, balance sheet and risk of trouble
Investment 79
Does it invest with discipline instead of growing at any price?
Low Volatility 50
How calm the share price moves, does not count
Price momentum 33
Price momentum of the last 3 to 12 months, does not count
Near the 52-week high 28
Distance to the 52-week high, does not count
New shares 90
Buys back shares or issues new ones?

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Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 21/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
−15.0% (2017) → −124.3% (2022)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2025 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
not computed

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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Other Industrial Metals & Mining · 372 stocks

Beats the industry median on 6/9 measures
Overall it ranks above its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 56 · Top 25%
Fair Value upside +43.8% · Top 25%
Profitability
Return on assets −0.5% · Above median
Operating margin (12 months) 0.0% · Below median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth (quarter YoY) −24.0% · Bottom 25%
Balance sheet
Debt / equity 0.82× · Highest 25%

Valuation Multiplesvs Other Industrial Metals & Mining median · lower = cheaper

P/B 0.39× · Cheapest 25%
P/S (12 months) 2.02× · Cheaper than median
PEG 0.30× · Cheapest 25%

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)92 · sector 0
FUTURE (revenue growth)0 · sector 92
PAST (return on equity)0 · sector 0
HEALTH (low debt)59 · sector 95
DIVIDEND (yield)0 · sector 34

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Other Industrial Metals & Mining stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value Compare
Vedanta Limited VEDL ₹261.75 ₹334.17 +28% vs CHNR
Saudi Arabian Mining Company 1211 58.25 SAR 64.96 SAR +12% vs CHNR
Hindustan Zinc Limited HINDZINC ₹568.10 ₹624.91 +10% vs CHNR
Western Mining Co 601168 ¥27.56 ¥30.32 +10% vs CHNR
Boliden AB BOL kr 503.40 kr 464.45 −8% vs CHNR
BHP Group BHP A$59.20 A$47.85 −19% vs CHNR
Zhejiang Huayou Cobalt Co 603799 ¥33.04 ¥25.57 −23% vs CHNR
Korea Zinc Company 010130 960,000 KRW 649,125 KRW −32% vs CHNR
CMOC Group 603993 ¥13.29 ¥6.82 −49% vs CHNR
China Tungsten And Hightech Materials Co 000657 ¥38.65 ¥4.44 −89% vs CHNR

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China Natural Resources Inc: fair value per Fair Value Calculator

Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "China Natural Resources Inc Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/CHNR

Frequently asked questions

Is China Natural Resources Inc (CHNR) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Nov 5, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $5.71 versus a price of $3.97, about +44% upside (undervalued).
What is the fair value of CHNR?
Our model-based fair value for China Natural Resources Inc is $5.71 (as of Nov 5, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: $3.97.
What is the quality score of CHNR?
China Natural Resources Inc has a Quality Score of 56/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for China Natural Resources Inc (CHNR)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of $5.71 (as of Nov 5, 2026) from 1 valuation models. Cautious scenario $4.26, optimistic scenario $8.53. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the China Natural Resources Inc stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at $5.71, about +44% upside versus a price of $3.97 (undervalued). Cautious scenario $4.26, optimistic scenario $8.53. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of China Natural Resources Inc (CHNR)?
China Natural Resources Inc reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $16.5M (latest available figure, as of Nov 5, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of China Natural Resources Inc (CHNR)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For China Natural Resources Inc it is $5.71 per share (as of Nov 5, 2026), against a price of $3.97. It is the blended result of 1 valuation models in 1 family (Asset-Based).
Is China Natural Resources Inc stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Nov 5, 2026, CHNR trades below its calculated fair value: price $3.97, fair value $5.71, a gap of about +44% (undervalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of CHNR?
No. The price is what the market pays today ($3.97); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify ($5.71). For China Natural Resources Inc the two are $1.74 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is China Natural Resources Inc worth?
The market values China Natural Resources Inc at about $5.0M (market capitalisation, as of Nov 5, 2026). Per share that is $3.97; our models calculate a fair value of $5.71 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about CHNR?
Our models span a range for China Natural Resources Inc: cautious scenario $4.26, base $5.71, optimistic $8.53 per share (as of Nov 5, 2026, price $3.97). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the PEG ratio of CHNR?
The PEG ratio of China Natural Resources Inc is 0.30 (P/E divided by earnings growth, as of Nov 5, 2026). That is below 1, so growth is priced more cheaply than the earnings multiple alone suggests.
How solid is the balance sheet of China Natural Resources Inc (CHNR)?
Balance-sheet figures for China Natural Resources Inc (as of Nov 5, 2026): return on equity −1.4%, debt of 0.82 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 56/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is CHNR from its 52-week high?
China Natural Resources Inc trades at $3.97, about 26% below its 52-week high of $5.38 and 23% above the low of $3.23 (as of Nov 6, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of $5.71 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to China Natural Resources Inc?
From the same area (Basic Materials) we also value BHP Group, Saudi Arabian Mining Company, CMOC Group, Hindustan Zinc Limited, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is China Natural Resources Inc stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Nov 5, 2026: price $3.97, calculated fair value $5.71 (+44%), Quality Score 56/100, from 1 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of CHNR calculated?
We run China Natural Resources Inc through 1 models from 1 family: Asset-Based. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the fair value of $5.71 builds on their evidence-weighted average, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 13.3% above its aggregate fair value. China Natural Resources Inc currently trades 30% below its own fair value, and the market average says nothing about that. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of China Natural Resources Inc (CHNR)?
The closing price on Nov 6, 2026 was $3.97. Our model-based fair value is $5.71, about +44% upside (undervalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with China Natural Resources Inc right now?
The price is below even our cautious bear case ($4.26). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution. Solid quality (56/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality. A fairly wide model range ($4.26 to $8.53) leaves room in how you read the outcome.

Key figures of China Natural Resources Inc

How large is the market capitalisation of China Natural Resources Inc (CHNR)?
The market capitalisation of China Natural Resources Inc is $5.0M. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of China Natural Resources Inc (CHNR)?
The price-to-sales ratio of China Natural Resources Inc is 0.31 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of China Natural Resources Inc (CHNR)?
Earnings per share at China Natural Resources Inc are $−0.1400. Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the return on equity of China Natural Resources Inc (CHNR)?
The return on equity (ROE) of China Natural Resources Inc is −1.4% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of China Natural Resources Inc (CHNR)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of China Natural Resources Inc is −3.5% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
How fast is revenue growing at China Natural Resources Inc (CHNR)?
Revenue at China Natural Resources Inc is growing −24.0% versus a year earlier. How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How much free cash flow does China Natural Resources Inc (CHNR) generate?
The free cash flow of China Natural Resources Inc is −5.6M CNY (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net cash does China Natural Resources Inc (CHNR) hold?
China Natural Resources Inc holds more cash than debt, 475K CNY net (fiscal year 2025). The company holds more cash than debt, a safety cushion.
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