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China Natural Resources Inc (CHNR) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Sep 24, 2026: fair value of China Natural Resources Inc $5.68, price $3.82, upside +48.7%, quality 56 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.

  1. Fair value above price? Yes
  2. Good quality? Yes
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Basic Materials · US · ISIN VGG2110U1093

CN China Natural Resources Inc logo Thin data Sep 23, 2026

China Natural Resources Inc

CHNR · US

UndervaluedThe stock appears undervalued with acceptable quality.

✓Fair value $5.68 · Undervalued (+49%)
!Quality 56/100
!Weak Growth (revenue 5y −13.3 %/yr)
!Moderate debt · negative free cash flow
✓Ranks above peers (7/10)
!Narrow moat 12/100
!Evidence only low, so the estimate is less certain
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What runs behind every stock

26 valuation models 8 families, DCF to NCAV 37 quality factors margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt 6 AI factors moat, what no ratio measures 2,000+ data points verified, per stock, median

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

$72.40 $3.23 Fair Value $5.68 Jun 2021 Sep 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 23, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range $3.23 – $72.40 · fair‑value band $4.24 – $8.48 · the $3.82 price screens below the $5.68 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). 1 fiscal year is left out: there the valuation rested on only a fraction of the usual models. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 23, 2026.

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Company profile

China Natural Resources, Inc., through its subsidiaries, engages in the exploration and mining of metal properties in the People's Republic of China. It explores for lead, silver, and other nonferrous metals.

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China Natural Resources, Inc., through its subsidiaries, engages in the exploration and mining of metal properties in the People's Republic of China. It explores for lead, silver, and other nonferrous metals. The company holds interest in the Moruogu Tong mine that covers an area of 7.81 square kilometers located in Wulatehouqi, Bayannaoer City, Inner Mongolia. The company is headquartered in Shenzhen, the People's Republic of China. China Natural Resources, Inc. operates as a subsidiary of Feishang Industrial Group Co., Ltd.

Stock analysis

China Natural Resources Inc (CHNR) currently trades at $3.82, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $5.68, implying the stock looks roughly 32.7% undervalued today.

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Valuation

How firm this estimate is: it rests on 1 models at a data quality of 95/100, which puts the evidence level at low.

Scenario range: $4.24 (bear) to $8.48 (bull), the price of $3.82 sits below it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 56/100 (solid quality), in the Basic Materials sector.

Weak Growth: Revenue growth is inconsistent: the periods point in different directions, so there is no trend to rely on.

China Natural Resources Inc reported revenue of 0 CNY in FY2025 versus 18.7M CNY in FY2021. Reported net income was −1.2M CNY in FY2025.

Key figures

Market cap $5.4M · P/S ratio 0.33 · EPS (TTM) $−0.1400 · Return on equity −1.4% · Return on assets (EBIT) −3.5% · Revenue (TTM) $16.5M · Revenue growth (YoY) −24.0% · Free cash flow −5.6M CNY.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 25 out of 100 (low confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 47% below its 52-week high and 18% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Basic Materials peers we cover trades at 10% fair-value upside, at 49%, CHNR screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Bear $4.24 Fair Value $5.68 Bull $8.48
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Highest evidence
NCAV (Graham) $34.38 $46.07 $68.76 54
All 1 models by family
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) $34.38 $46.07 $68.76 54

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Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 56/100

Of which business quality 57 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 28

Profitability 8
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 54
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 100
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 26
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 79
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 50
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 22
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 12
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 100
Share count: buybacks or dilution?

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Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 0/100
Revenue growth is inconsistent: the periods point in different directions, so there is no trend to rely on.
Revenue growth 1 year
+8.4%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−48.3%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−13.3%
Revenue growth 27 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−15.8%
Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
−15.0% (2017) → −124.3% (2022)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2025 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
not computed

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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Other Industrial Metals & Mining · 456 stocks

Beats the industry median on 6/9 measures
Overall it ranks above its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 57 · Top 25%
Fair Value upside +49% · Top 25%
Profitability
Return on assets −1% · Above median
Operating margin (TTM) 0% · Below median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth −24% · Bottom 25%
Balance sheet
Debt / equity 0.82× · Highest 25%

Valuation Multiplesvs Other Industrial Metals & Mining median · lower = cheaper

P/B 0.06× · Cheapest 25%
P/S (TTM) 0.33× · Cheapest 25%
PEG 0.30× · Cheapest 25%

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)98 · sector 0
FUTURE (revenue growth)0 · sector 36
PAST (return on equity)0 · sector 0
HEALTH (low debt)59 · sector 96
DIVIDEND (yield)0 · sector 30

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Other Industrial Metals & Mining stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Vale S.A XVALO €12.26 €8.03 −35%
Saudi Arabian Mining Company 1211 62.70 SAR 68.97 SAR +10%
CMOC Group 603993 ¥17.66 ¥20.07 +14%
China Tungsten And Hightech Materials Co 000657 ¥60.26 ¥31.23 −48%
Hindustan Zinc Limited HINDZINC ₹595.45 ₹655.00 +10%
Korea Zinc Company 010130 1,116,000 KRW 646,063 KRW −42%
Western Mining Co 601168 ¥36.77 ¥40.45 +10%
Boliden AB BOL kr 539.40 kr 464.47 −14%
Xiamen Tungsten Co 600549 ¥49.34 ¥24.75 −50%
PLS Group PLS A$4.18 A$6.65 +59%

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China Natural Resources Inc · Fair Value
$5.68 +33%Fair Value
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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "China Natural Resources Inc Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/CHNR

Frequently asked questions

Is China Natural Resources Inc (CHNR) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 23, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $5.68 versus a price of $3.82, about +49% upside (undervalued).
What is the fair value of CHNR?
Our model-based fair value for China Natural Resources Inc is $5.68 (as of Sep 23, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: $3.82.
What is the quality score of CHNR?
China Natural Resources Inc has a Quality Score of 56/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for China Natural Resources Inc (CHNR)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of $5.68 (as of Sep 23, 2026) from 1 valuation models. Cautious scenario $4.24, optimistic scenario $8.48. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the China Natural Resources Inc stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at $5.68, about +49% upside versus a price of $3.82 (undervalued). Cautious scenario $4.24, optimistic scenario $8.48. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of China Natural Resources Inc (CHNR)?
China Natural Resources Inc reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $16.5M (latest available figure, as of Sep 23, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of China Natural Resources Inc (CHNR)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For China Natural Resources Inc it is $5.68 per share (as of Sep 23, 2026), against a price of $3.82. It is the blended result of 1 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is China Natural Resources Inc stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 23, 2026, CHNR trades below its calculated fair value: price $3.82, fair value $5.68, a gap of about +49% (undervalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of CHNR?
No. The price is what the market pays today ($3.82); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify ($5.68). For China Natural Resources Inc the two are $1.86 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is China Natural Resources Inc worth?
The market values China Natural Resources Inc at about $5.4M (market capitalisation, as of Sep 23, 2026). Per share that is $3.82; our models calculate a fair value of $5.68 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about CHNR?
Our models span a range for China Natural Resources Inc: cautious scenario $4.24, base $5.68, optimistic $8.48 per share (as of Sep 23, 2026, price $3.82). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the PEG ratio of CHNR?
The PEG ratio of China Natural Resources Inc is 0.30 (P/E divided by earnings growth, as of Sep 23, 2026). That is below 1, so growth is priced more cheaply than the earnings multiple alone suggests.
How solid is the balance sheet of China Natural Resources Inc (CHNR)?
Balance-sheet figures for China Natural Resources Inc (as of Sep 23, 2026): return on equity −1.4%, debt of 0.82 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 56/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is CHNR from its 52-week high?
China Natural Resources Inc trades at $3.82, about 47% below its 52-week high of $7.17 and 18% above the low of $3.23 (as of Sep 24, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of $5.68 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to China Natural Resources Inc?
From the same area (Basic Materials) we also value Vale S.A, Saudi Arabian Mining Company, CMOC Group, China Tungsten And Hightech Materials Co, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is China Natural Resources Inc stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 23, 2026: price $3.82, calculated fair value $5.68 (+49%), Quality Score 56/100, from 1 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of CHNR calculated?
We run China Natural Resources Inc through 1 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of $5.68, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.0 % above its aggregate fair value. China Natural Resources Inc currently trades 49 % below its own fair value, and the market average says nothing about that. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of China Natural Resources Inc (CHNR)?
The closing price on Sep 24, 2026 was $3.82. Our model-based fair value is $5.68, about +49% upside (undervalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with China Natural Resources Inc right now?
The price is below even our cautious bear case ($4.24). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution. Solid quality (56/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality. A fairly wide model range ($4.24 to $8.48) leaves room in how you read the outcome.

Key figures of China Natural Resources Inc

How large is the market capitalisation of China Natural Resources Inc (CHNR)?
The market capitalisation of China Natural Resources Inc is $5.4M. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of China Natural Resources Inc (CHNR)?
The price-to-sales ratio of China Natural Resources Inc is 0.33 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of China Natural Resources Inc (CHNR)?
Earnings per share at China Natural Resources Inc are $−0.1400. Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the return on equity of China Natural Resources Inc (CHNR)?
The return on equity (ROE) of China Natural Resources Inc is −1.4% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of China Natural Resources Inc (CHNR)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of China Natural Resources Inc is −3.5% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
How fast is revenue growing at China Natural Resources Inc (CHNR)?
Revenue at China Natural Resources Inc is growing −24.0% versus a year earlier. How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How much free cash flow does China Natural Resources Inc (CHNR) generate?
The free cash flow of China Natural Resources Inc is −5.6M CNY (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net cash does China Natural Resources Inc (CHNR) hold?
China Natural Resources Inc holds more cash than debt, 475K CNY net (fiscal year 2025). The company holds more cash than debt, a safety cushion.
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