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Clean Energy Fuels Corp (CLNE) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Nov 6, 2026: fair value (intrinsic value) of Clean Energy Fuels Corp stock $2.04, price $1.91, upside +6.8%, quality 42 out of 100. Rating: fairly valued. Calculated from audited financials with 7 of our 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.

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Energy US

CE Clean Energy Fuels Corp logo Thin data Nov 7, 2026

Clean Energy Fuels Corp

CLNE · US
Fairly valued, weak quality

The stock costs about what our calculation considers fair.

Low debt
Generates free cash flow
Upbeat coverage
Fair value $2.04 · Fairly valued
Quality 42/100
Mixed Growth (revenue 5y +7.9 %/yr in USD)
Insiders bought $109,030 (6M) · sold $338,250
Loss-making · -17.0% net margin (TTM)
Trails peers (2/13)
Narrow moat 12/100
Thin data
⟳ Cyclical
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What runs behind every stock

26 valuation models 8 families, DCF to NCAV 37 quality factors margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt 6 AI factors moat, what no ratio measures 2,000+ data points verified, per stock, median

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

$9.54 $1.32 Fair Value $2.04 Aug 2021 Nov 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year. As of Nov 7, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range $1.32 – $9.54 · fair‑value band $1.55 – $2.61 · the $1.91 price screens below the $2.04 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). 1 fiscal year is left out: there the valuation rested on only a fraction of the usual models. As of Nov 7, 2026.

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Company profile

Clean Energy Fuels Corp. offers natural gas as alternative fuels for vehicle fleets and related fueling solutions in the United States and Canada.

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It supplies renewable natural gas (RNG), compressed natural gas (CNG), and liquefied natural gas (LNG) for medium and heavy-duty vehicles; and provides operation and maintenance services for public and private vehicle fleet customer stations.

The company also designs, builds, operates, and maintains vehicle fueling stations; and sells and services compressors and other equipment that are used in RNG production and fueling stations.

In addition, it transports and sells CNG, RNG, and LNG through virtual natural gas pipelines and interconnects; sells U.S. federal, state, and local government credits, such as RNG as a vehicle fuel, including Renewable Identification Numbers and Low Carbon Fuel Standards credits; and obtains federal, state, and local credits, grants, and incentives.

Further, the company focuses on developing, owning, and operating dairy and other livestock waste RNG projects. It serves heavy-duty trucking, airports, refuse, public transit, industrial, and institutional energy users, as well as government fleets.

The company was incorporated in 2001 and is headquartered in Newport Beach, California.

Stock analysis

Clean Energy Fuels Corp (CLNE) currently trades at $1.91, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $2.04, so the stock looks roughly fairly valued today (gap 6.4%).

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Valuation

Bull case: the Growth DCF group reads highest at a median of $2.21 per share, and 3 of the 7 models we run sit above the $1.91 price.

Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at $1.67, and 4 of the 7 models stay below the price. Data coverage for this calculation is low.

Scenario range: $1.55 (bear) to $2.61 (bull), the price of $1.91 sits inside it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 42/100 (below-average quality), in the Energy sector.

Mixed Growth: Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.

Clean Energy Fuels Corp reported revenue of $426M in FY2025 versus $256M in FY2021, a compound +13.6%/yr. Reported net income was −$222M in FY2025.

Key figures

Market cap $421M Small · P/S ratio 0.94 · EPS (TTM) $−0.4300 · Net margin −17.0% · Return on equity −12.6% · Return on assets (EBIT) −6.5% (5-year average) · Operating margin 0.9% · Revenue (TTM) $448M.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 12 out of 100 (medium confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 31% below its 52-week high and 41% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Energy peers we cover trades at −46% fair-value upside, at 7%, CLNE screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Bear $1.55 Fair Value $2.04 Bull $2.61
Price $1.91 · Upside +6.8%
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above starts from their evidence-weighted blend, not from a single model. In cyclical trough or peak years, after dilution or a stock split it is adjusted afterwards, so it can sit above or below the models. Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds. Coverage ⓘCoverage = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Best data coverage
FCF DCF $1.95 $2.64 $3.45 82
Growth DCF $1.96 $2.57 $3.24 80
5Y Revenue Exit $1.27 $1.80 $2.43 73
All 7 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF $1.95 $2.64 $3.45 82
5Y Revenue Exit $1.27 $1.80 $2.43 73
10Y Revenue Exit $1.55 $2.04 $2.61 68
Multiples
EV/Revenue $1.33 $1.78 $2.23 54
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) $1.25 $1.67 $2.49 54
Growth DCF
Growth DCF $1.96 $2.57 $3.24 80
Rev-Margin DCF $1.27 $1.85 $2.50 73

Open the full fair value analysis →

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 42/100

It rates the business: profits, how they develop, real cash, balance sheet, investing and share count.

Profitability 5
How much profit the company makes from its sales and capital
Quality Growth 22
Are margins and returns getting better?
Cashflow 36
Do the profits arrive as real cash?
Financial strength 52
Debt, balance sheet and risk of trouble
Investment 78
Does it invest with discipline instead of growing at any price?
Low Volatility 4
How calm the share price moves, does not count
Price momentum 31
Price momentum of the last 3 to 12 months, does not count
Near the 52-week high 27
Distance to the 52-week high, does not count
New shares 85
Buys back shares or issues new ones?

Open the full quality analysis →

Insider trades

In the last 6 months, 2 officers or directors bought shares worth $109,030, most recently on Aug 10, 2026. Over the same period, one person sold shares worth $338,250. Buying cluster

  • BuyBarclay CorbusPRESIDENT AND CEO, Director2× since Jun 23, 2026: 39,000 shares, avg. $1.67$65,280Aug 10, 2026
  • BuyStephen ScullyDirector25,000 shares at $1.75$43,750Jun 25, 2026
  • SaleAndrew J LittlefairDirector165,000 shares at $2.05$338,250May 18, 2026

Plus 7 other filings such as grants, option exercises or tax withholding. They are not market purchases or sales.

Sales are often planned (taxes, diversification, 10b5-1 plans). Purchases with their own money are seen as the stronger sign. For information only: not part of the quality score or Fair Value.

Source: SEC Form 4, as of Nov 6, 2026. All filings at the SEC ↗

Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 48/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Revenue growth 1 year
+2.6%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+0.5%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+7.9%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +1.0% a year
Revenue growth 22 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+11.3%
Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
−3.4% (2020) → −22.0% (2025)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2025 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
not computed

Growth Forecast

A lot of optimism in the price
The price assumes more growth than the company has delivered so far and more than analysts expect.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
+17.5%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect ⓘAnalysts publish sales forecasts for the next two fiscal years. For the years after that, growth slows evenly to 2 % a year by year ten (2 % is the long-run rate our models use). Projected years are marked as such.
+1.2%
Yearly sales growth analysts expect, extended to five years.
After inflation (USA: IMF forecast 2.4% a year to 2030, 3.1% from 2016 to 2025) that is about +14.8% a year for the price and −1.2% for the forecasts.
Forecast 2026 (sales)+1.2%
Forecast 2027 (sales)+1.0%
Projected 2028 (sales)+1.1%
Projected 2029 (sales)+1.2%
Projected 2030 (sales)+1.4%

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Recent news

News mood ⓘNews mood, the average tone of recent news (99 articles), rated against how stocks are usually covered. 🚀 Hype = unusually upbeat · 🙂 Positive = above average · 😐 Neutral = typical · 🙁 Negative = below average · 😨 Very negative = unusually downbeat. It reflects the tone of coverage, not our valuation. Hype
Recent news coverage is unusually upbeat, far more positive than stocks are typically covered.

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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Oil & Gas Refining & Marketing · 115 stocks

Beats the industry median on 2/12 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 42 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside +6.8% · Above median
Profitability
Return on assets −21.0% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (12 months) −17.0% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (12 months) 0.9% · Bottom 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth (quarter YoY) 5.7% · Below median
Balance sheet
Debt / equity 0.41× · Above median

Valuation Multiplesvs Oil & Gas Refining & Marketing median · lower = cheaper

P/B 0.75× · Cheapest 25%
P/S (12 months) 0.94× · Priciest 25%
Price / free cash flow (fiscal year) 16.4× · Pricier than median
EV/EBITDA 20.2× · Priciest 25%
PEG 4.72× · Priciest 25%

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)42 · sector 30
FUTURE (revenue growth)29 · sector 100
PAST (return on equity)0 · sector 48
HEALTH (low debt)80 · sector 85
DIVIDEND (yield)0 · sector 65

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

Oil & gas

Similar stocks

10 more Oil & Gas Refining & Marketing stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value Compare
Indian Oil Corporation IOC ₹146.25 ₹245.43 +68% vs CLNE
Bharat Petroleum Corporation BPCL ₹319.90 ₹434.58 +36% vs CLNE
SK Innovation Co 096770 109,400 KRW 134,361 KRW +23% vs CLNE
Reliance Industries Limited RELIANCE ₹1,320 ₹865.31 −34% vs CLNE
HF Sinclair Corporation DINO $97.18 $52.92 −46% vs CLNE
Neste Oyj NESTE €27.45 €11.70 −57% vs CLNE
Formosa Petrochemical Corporation 6505 88.40 TWD 35.53 TWD −60% vs CLNE
Valero Energy Corporation VLO $346.45 $131.30 −62% vs CLNE
Phillips 66 PSX $245.72 $86.38 −65% vs CLNE
Marathon Petroleum Corporation MPC $372.74 $113.66 −70% vs CLNE

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Clean Energy Fuels Corp: fair value per Fair Value Calculator

Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Clean Energy Fuels Corp Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/CLNE

Frequently asked questions

Is Clean Energy Fuels Corp (CLNE) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Nov 7, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $2.04 versus a price of $1.91, about +7% upside (fairly valued).
What is the fair value of CLNE?
Our model-based fair value for Clean Energy Fuels Corp is $2.04 (as of Nov 7, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: $1.91.
What is the quality score of CLNE?
Clean Energy Fuels Corp has a Quality Score of 42/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Clean Energy Fuels Corp (CLNE)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of $2.04 (as of Nov 7, 2026) from 7 valuation models. Cautious scenario $1.55, optimistic scenario $2.61. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Clean Energy Fuels Corp stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at $2.04, about +7% upside versus a price of $1.91 (fairly valued). Cautious scenario $1.55, optimistic scenario $2.61. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Clean Energy Fuels Corp (CLNE)?
Clean Energy Fuels Corp reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $448M (latest available figure, as of Nov 7, 2026).
What growth is priced into Clean Energy Fuels Corp (CLNE)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, Clean Energy Fuels Corp would have to grow free cash flow by +17.5 % per year for five years (discount rate 13.6 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew +7.9 % per year. As of Nov 7, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of CLNE use?
Our models discount Clean Energy Fuels Corp at 13.6 %: a base by market capitalisation (small), damped by beta 1.85, country premium for USA. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For Clean Energy Fuels Corp that is +17.5 % per year for five years, then slowing evenly to 2 % by year ten, using the same discount rate (13.6 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has Clean Energy Fuels Corp (CLNE) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at Clean Energy Fuels Corp grew +7.9 % a year. The price currently implies free-cash-flow growth of +17.5 % per year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of Clean Energy Fuels Corp (CLNE) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +14.3 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into Clean Energy Fuels Corp (+17.5 % per year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of Clean Energy Fuels Corp (CLNE)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 6.10 %: that much free cash flow Clean Energy Fuels Corp produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (13.6 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of Clean Energy Fuels Corp (CLNE)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Clean Energy Fuels Corp it is $2.04 per share (as of Nov 7, 2026), against a price of $1.91. It is the blended result of 7 valuation models in 4 families (DCF Models, Multiples, Asset-Based, Growth DCF).
Is Clean Energy Fuels Corp stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Nov 7, 2026, CLNE trades below its calculated fair value: price $1.91, fair value $2.04, a gap of about +7% (fairly valued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of CLNE?
No. The price is what the market pays today ($1.91); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify ($2.04). For Clean Energy Fuels Corp the two are $0.1300 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Clean Energy Fuels Corp worth?
The market values Clean Energy Fuels Corp at about $421M (market capitalisation, as of Nov 7, 2026). Per share that is $1.91; our models calculate a fair value of $2.04 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about CLNE?
Our models span a range for Clean Energy Fuels Corp: cautious scenario $1.55, base $2.04, optimistic $2.61 per share (as of Nov 7, 2026, price $1.91). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the PEG ratio of CLNE?
The PEG ratio of Clean Energy Fuels Corp is 4.72 (P/E divided by earnings growth, as of Nov 7, 2026). That is above 1, so the growth is already paid for in the price.
How solid is the balance sheet of Clean Energy Fuels Corp (CLNE)?
Balance-sheet figures for Clean Energy Fuels Corp (as of Nov 7, 2026): return on equity −12.6%, debt of 0.41 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 42/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is CLNE from its 52-week high?
Clean Energy Fuels Corp trades at $1.91, about 31% below its 52-week high of $2.75 and 41% above the low of $1.35 (as of Nov 6, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of $2.04 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Clean Energy Fuels Corp?
From the same area (Energy) we also value Reliance Industries Limited, Valero Energy Corporation, Phillips 66, Marathon Petroleum Corporation, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Clean Energy Fuels Corp stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Nov 7, 2026: price $1.91, calculated fair value $2.04 (+7%), Quality Score 42/100, from 7 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of CLNE calculated?
We run Clean Energy Fuels Corp through 7 models from 4 families: DCF Models, Multiples, Asset-Based, Growth DCF. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the fair value of $2.04 builds on their evidence-weighted average, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 13.3% above its aggregate fair value. Clean Energy Fuels Corp currently trades 6% below its own fair value, and the market average says nothing about that. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Clean Energy Fuels Corp (CLNE)?
The closing price on Nov 6, 2026 was $1.91. Our model-based fair value is $2.04, about +7% upside (fairly valued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Clean Energy Fuels Corp right now?
The price sits close to our fair value, market and models broadly agree here, little valuation tension. Evidence is limited here (fewer models, shorter history), so the fair value is a rougher estimate than usual.

Key figures of Clean Energy Fuels Corp

How large is the market capitalisation of Clean Energy Fuels Corp (CLNE)?
The market capitalisation of Clean Energy Fuels Corp is $421M. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Clean Energy Fuels Corp (CLNE)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Clean Energy Fuels Corp is 0.94 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Clean Energy Fuels Corp (CLNE)?
Earnings per share at Clean Energy Fuels Corp are $−0.4300. Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the net margin of Clean Energy Fuels Corp (CLNE)?
The net margin of Clean Energy Fuels Corp is −17.0% (last twelve months). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Clean Energy Fuels Corp (CLNE)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Clean Energy Fuels Corp is −12.6% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Clean Energy Fuels Corp (CLNE)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Clean Energy Fuels Corp is −6.5% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Clean Energy Fuels Corp (CLNE)?
The operating margin of Clean Energy Fuels Corp is 0.9% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Clean Energy Fuels Corp (CLNE)?
Revenue at Clean Energy Fuels Corp is growing +5.7% versus a year earlier (3y avg +0.5%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Clean Energy Fuels Corp (CLNE)?
Earnings per share at Clean Energy Fuels Corp are growing +512% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net cash does Clean Energy Fuels Corp (CLNE) hold?
Clean Energy Fuels Corp holds more cash than debt, $58.9M net (fiscal year 2025). The company holds more cash than debt, a safety cushion.
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