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Conair Corporation (CNGA) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Nov 12, 2026: fair value (intrinsic value) of Conair Corporation stock $0.22, price $0.35, that is 37.1% below the price, quality 43 out of 100. Rating: strongly overvalued. Calculated from audited financials with 7 of our 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
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Thin data
Nov 13, 2026
Thin data
Nov 13, 2026
Conair Corporation
CNGA · USFar too expensive (fair value 37% below the price) and weak company, but rising price: meets 1 of 3 rules.
Rising price (uptrend)
Generates free cash flow
Quality 43/100
Fair value $0.2200 · Strongly overvalued
Weak Growth (revenue 5y −0.8 %/yr in USD)
Loss-making · -4.1% net margin (FY2025)
Trails peers (1/9)
Narrow moat 10/100 · thin data
Thin data
⚠ Thinly traded
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What runs behind every stock
26
valuation models
8 families, DCF to NCAV
37
quality factors
margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt
6
AI factors
moat, what no ratio measures
2,000+
data points
verified, per stock, median
69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →
Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year. As of Nov 13, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range $0.0220 – $1.10 · fair‑value band $0.1900 – $0.2700 · the $0.3500 price screens above the $0.2200 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). As of Nov 13, 2026.
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Company profile
Conair Corporation engages in the installation and servicing of commercial air conditioning, heating, refrigeration, and ventilation systems. The company was founded in 1963 and is based in Garden City Park, New York.
Stock analysis
Conair Corporation (CNGA) currently trades at $0.3500, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $0.2200, 37% below the price, so the stock looks overvalued today.
Show more
Valuation
Bull case: the Asset-Based group reads highest at a median of $0.2800 per share, and 0 of the 7 models we run sit above the $0.3500 price.
Bear case: the DCF Models group reads lowest at $0.2200, and 7 of the 7 models stay below the price. Data coverage for this calculation is low.
Scenario range: $0.1900 (bear) to $0.2700 (bull), the price of $0.3500 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 43/100 (below-average quality), in the Industrials sector.
Weak Growth: Revenue growth is weak: less than 2 % a year.
Conair Corporation reported revenue of $4.2M in FY2025 versus $5.7M in FY2021, a compound −7.1%/yr. Reported net income was −$171K in FY2025.
Key figures
Market cap $2.2M Micro · EPS (TTM) $0.0500 · Net margin −4.1% · Return on assets (EBIT) −1.4% (5-year average) · Free cash flow $57.2K · Net cash $644K.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 10 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 5% below its 52-week high and 21% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at −48% fair-value upside, at −37%, CNGA screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear $0.1900
Fair Value $0.2200
Bull $0.2700
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above starts from their evidence-weighted blend, not from a single model. In cyclical trough or peak years, after dilution or a stock split it is adjusted afterwards, so it can sit above or below the models. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 12 months old). Earnings retained since then ($0.0500 per share) are deliberately not added.
Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds.
Coverage ⓘCoverage = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Best data coverage
FCF DCF
$0.1900
$0.2200
$0.2700
80
Growth DCF
$0.2000
$0.2300
$0.2700
77
5Y Revenue Exit
$0.1900
$0.2200
$0.2700
71
All 7 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF
$0.1900
$0.2200
$0.2700
80
5Y Revenue Exit
$0.1900
$0.2200
$0.2700
71
10Y Revenue Exit
$0.1900
$0.2200
$0.2600
66
Multiples
EV/Revenue
$0.1900
$0.2200
$0.2600
52
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham)
$0.2100
$0.2800
$0.4200
51
Growth DCF
Growth DCF
$0.2000
$0.2300
$0.2700
77
Rev-Margin DCF
$0.1900
$0.2200
$0.2700
71
Quality Score breakdown
Overall quality
43/100
It rates the business: profits, how they develop, real cash, balance sheet, investing and share count.
Profitability
24
How much profit the company makes from its sales and capital
Quality Growth
9
Are margins and returns getting better?
Cashflow
44
Do the profits arrive as real cash?
Financial strength
68
Debt, balance sheet and risk of trouble
Investment
92
Does it invest with discipline instead of growing at any price?
Low Volatility
72
How calm the share price moves, does not count
Price momentum
48
Price momentum of the last 3 to 12 months, does not count
Near the 52-week high
64
Distance to the 52-week high, does not count
New shares
50
Buys back shares or issues new ones?
Revenue & earnings trend
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.
13/100
Revenue growth is weak: less than 2 % a year.
Revenue growth 1 year
−30.4%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+0.3%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−0.8%
Start year 2020 (pandemic)
Revenue growth 25 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−2.6%
’00
’16
’17
’18
’19
’20
’21
’22
’23
’24
’25
Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
−1.0% (2020) → −9.2% (2025)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2025 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
not computed
Growth Forecast
A lot of optimism in the price
The price assumes more growth than the company has delivered so far.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
+15.2%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect
n/a
No analyst forecast available.
After inflation (USA: IMF forecast 2.4% a year to 2030, 3.1% from 2016 to 2025) that is about +12.5% a year for the price.
CNGA screens overvalued: fair value 37% below the price. Compare with SIE →
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Specialty Industrial Machinery · 840 stocks
Beats the industry median on 1/8 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation Multiplesvs Specialty Industrial Machinery median · lower = cheaper
Context: sector, industry, market
- Is the Industrials sector expensive or cheap?
- P/E, EV/EBITDA and margins by industry (reference tables)
- P/B ratio by industry
- Net margin by industry
- Stock screener with 62 metrics
- Undervalued stocks: Industrials
- Undervalued stocks: US Stocks
- Valuation of the USA market
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
None of the checked exposures detected
Similar stocks
10 more Specialty Industrial Machinery stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value | Compare |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cummins Inc CMI | $452.18 | $359.36 | −21% | vs CNGA |
| SIE SIE | €279.40 | €192.83 | −31% | vs CNGA |
| Illinois Tool Works Inc ITW | $287.52 | $154.30 | −46% | vs CNGA |
| Sandvik AB SAND | kr 362.10 | kr 194.33 | −46% | vs CNGA |
| AMETEK, Inc AME | $242.11 | $125.74 | −48% | vs CNGA |
| Parker-Hannifin Corporation PH | $955.68 | $492.92 | −48% | vs CNGA |
| Emerson Electric Co EMR | $166.38 | $79.99 | −52% | vs CNGA |
| Rockwell Automation, Inc ROK | $402.46 | $186.75 | −54% | vs CNGA |
| Eaton Corporation ETN | $352.97 | $156.90 | −56% | vs CNGA |
| GE Vernova Inc GEV | $803.13 | $211.78 | −74% | vs CNGA |
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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Conair Corporation Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/CNGA
Frequently asked questions
Is Conair Corporation (CNGA) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Nov 13, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $0.2200 versus a price of $0.3500, about 37% lower (overvalued).
What is the fair value of CNGA?
Our model-based fair value for Conair Corporation is $0.2200 (as of Nov 13, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: $0.3500.
What is the quality score of CNGA?
Conair Corporation has a Quality Score of 43/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Conair Corporation (CNGA)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of $0.2200 (as of Nov 13, 2026) from 7 valuation models. Cautious scenario $0.1900, optimistic scenario $0.2700. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Conair Corporation stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at $0.2200, about 37% lower versus a price of $0.3500 (overvalued). Cautious scenario $0.1900, optimistic scenario $0.2700. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What growth is priced into Conair Corporation (CNGA)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, Conair Corporation would have to grow free cash flow by +15.2 % per year for five years (discount rate 9.7 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew -0.8 % per year. As of Nov 13, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of CNGA use?
Our models discount Conair Corporation at 9.7 %: a base by market capitalisation (nano), country premium for USA. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For Conair Corporation that is +15.2 % per year for five years, then slowing evenly to 2 % by year ten, using the same discount rate (9.7 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has Conair Corporation (CNGA) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at Conair Corporation grew -0.8 % a year. The price currently implies free-cash-flow growth of +15.2 % per year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of Conair Corporation (CNGA) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +7.9 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into Conair Corporation (+15.2 % per year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of Conair Corporation (CNGA)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 2.61 %: that much free cash flow Conair Corporation produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (9.7 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of Conair Corporation (CNGA)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Conair Corporation it is $0.2200 per share (as of Nov 13, 2026), against a price of $0.3500. It is the blended result of 7 valuation models in 4 families (DCF Models, Multiples, Asset-Based, Growth DCF).
Is Conair Corporation stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Nov 13, 2026, CNGA trades above its calculated fair value: price $0.3500, fair value $0.2200, a gap of about −37% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of CNGA?
No. The price is what the market pays today ($0.3500); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify ($0.2200). For Conair Corporation the two are $0.1300 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Conair Corporation worth?
The market values Conair Corporation at about $2.2M (market capitalisation, as of Nov 13, 2026). Per share that is $0.3500; our models calculate a fair value of $0.2200 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about CNGA?
Our models span a range for Conair Corporation: cautious scenario $0.1900, base $0.2200, optimistic $0.2700 per share (as of Nov 13, 2026, price $0.3500). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
How far is CNGA from its 52-week high?
Conair Corporation trades at $0.3500, about 5% below its 52-week high of $0.3700 and 21% above the low of $0.2900 (as of Nov 12, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of $0.2200 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Conair Corporation?
From the same area (Industrials) we also value SIE, GE Vernova Inc, Eaton Corporation, Parker-Hannifin Corporation, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Conair Corporation stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Nov 13, 2026: price $0.3500, calculated fair value $0.2200 (−37%), Quality Score 43/100, from 7 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of CNGA calculated?
We run Conair Corporation through 7 models from 4 families: DCF Models, Multiples, Asset-Based, Growth DCF. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the fair value of $0.2200 builds on their evidence-weighted average, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 13.9% above its aggregate fair value. Conair Corporation itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Conair Corporation (CNGA)?
The closing price on Nov 12, 2026 was $0.3500. Our model-based fair value is $0.2200, about 37% lower (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Conair Corporation right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case ($0.2700). The favourable scenario is already priced in. Weak quality (43/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution.
Key figures of Conair Corporation
How large is the market capitalisation of Conair Corporation (CNGA)?
The market capitalisation of Conair Corporation is $2.2M. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What are the earnings per share of Conair Corporation (CNGA)?
Earnings per share at Conair Corporation are $0.0500. Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the net margin of Conair Corporation (CNGA)?
The net margin of Conair Corporation is −4.1% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Conair Corporation (CNGA)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Conair Corporation is −1.4% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
How much net cash does Conair Corporation (CNGA) hold?
Conair Corporation holds more cash than debt, $644K net (fiscal year 2025). The company holds more cash than debt, a safety cushion.
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