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Conair Corporation (CNGA) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Sep 25, 2026: fair value of Conair Corporation $0.22, price $0.35, upside -37.1%, quality 47 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.

  1. Fair value above price? No
  2. Good quality? No
  3. Add to watchlist

Industrials · US · ISIN US2058881002

CC Conair Corporation logo Thin data Sep 27, 2026

Conair Corporation

CNGA · US

Weakest SetupStrongly overvalued and low quality.

!Fair value $0.2200 · Strongly overvalued (−37.1%)
!Quality 47/100
!Weak Growth (revenue 5y −0.8 %/yr)
!Loss-making · -4.1% net margin (FY2025)
✓generates free cash flow
!Trails peers (2/10)
!Narrow moat 41/100
!Evidence only low, so the estimate is less certain

What runs behind every stock

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

$1.10 $0.0220 Fair Value $0.2200 Oct 2015 Sep 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 27, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range $0.0220 – $1.10 · fair‑value band $0.1900 – $0.2700 · the $0.3500 price screens above the $0.2200 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 27, 2026.

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Company profile

Conair Corporation engages in the installation and servicing of commercial air conditioning, heating, refrigeration, and ventilation systems. The company was founded in 1963 and is based in Garden City Park, New York.

Stock analysis

Conair Corporation (CNGA) currently trades at $0.3500, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $0.2200, implying the stock looks roughly 59.1% overvalued today.

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Valuation

Bull case: the Asset-Based group reads highest at a median of $0.2800 per share, and 0 of the 7 models we run sit above the $0.3500 price.

Bear case: the DCF Models group reads lowest at $0.2200, and 7 of the 7 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is low.

Scenario range: $0.1900 (bear) to $0.2700 (bull), the price of $0.3500 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 47/100 (below-average quality), in the Industrials sector.

Weak Growth: Revenue growth is weak: less than 2 % a year.

Conair Corporation reported revenue of $4.2M in FY2025 versus $5.7M in FY2021, a compound −7.1%/yr. Reported net income was −$171K in FY2025.

Key figures

Market cap $2.2M · P/E ratio 7.0 · EPS (TTM) $0.0500 · Net margin −4.1% · Return on assets (EBIT) −1.4% · Free cash flow $57.2K · Net cash $644K.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 38 out of 100 (low confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 22% below its 52-week high and 407% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at −49% fair-value upside, at −37%, CNGA screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Bear $0.1900 Fair Value $0.2200 Bull $0.2700
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 12 months old). Earnings retained since then ($0.0496 per share) are deliberately not added. Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds. Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Highest evidence
FCF DCF $0.1900 $0.2300 $0.2800 80
Growth DCF $0.2000 $0.2300 $0.2700 77
5Y Revenue Exit $0.1900 $0.2200 $0.2700 71
All 7 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF $0.1900 $0.2300 $0.2800 80
5Y Revenue Exit $0.1900 $0.2200 $0.2700 71
10Y Revenue Exit $0.1900 $0.2200 $0.2600 66
Multiples
EV/Revenue $0.1900 $0.2200 $0.2600 52
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) $0.2100 $0.2800 $0.4200 51
Growth DCF
Growth DCF $0.2000 $0.2300 $0.2700 77
Rev-Margin DCF $0.1900 $0.2200 $0.2700 71

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Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 47/100

Of which business quality 46 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 50

Profitability 24
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 9
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 44
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 68
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 92
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 0
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 62
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 87
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 50
Share count: buybacks or dilution?

Open the full quality analysis →

Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 13/100
Revenue growth is weak: less than 2 % a year.
Revenue growth 1 year
−30.4%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+0.3%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−0.8%
Start year 2020 (pandemic)
Revenue growth 25 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−2.6%
Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
−1.0% (2020) → −9.2% (2025)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2025 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
not computed

Growth Forecast

A lot of optimism in the price
The price assumes more growth than the company has delivered so far.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
+15.2%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect
n/a
No analyst forecast available.
After inflation (USA: IMF forecast 2.4% a year to 2030, 3.1% from 2016 to 2025) that is about +12.5% a year for the price.

CNGA screens 59% overvalued. Compare with GE Vernova Inc →

Compare Conair Corporation with another stock

Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.

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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Specialty Industrial Machinery · 802 stocks

Beats the industry median on 2/9 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 47 · Below median
Fair Value upside −37.1% · Below median
Profitability
Return on assets 0.0% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (TTM) −4.1% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (TTM) 0.0% · Bottom 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth 0.0% · Below median

Valuation Multiplesvs Specialty Industrial Machinery median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 7.0× · Cheapest 25%
P/B 0.84× · Cheapest 25%
P/FCF 38.3× · Priciest 25%

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Specialty Industrial Machinery stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
GE Vernova Inc GEV $957.63 $142.61 −85%
SIE SIE €278.30 €150.42 −46%
Eaton Corporation ETN $439.98 $173.12 −61%
Parker-Hannifin Corporation PH $978.33 $494.81 −49%
Emerson Electric Co EMR $158.23 $62.54 −60%
Illinois Tool Works Inc ITW $274.32 $153.33 −44%
Cummins Inc CMI $525.06 $359.11 −32%
AMETEK, Inc AME $250.74 $125.77 −50%
Rockwell Automation, Inc ROK $434.15 $139.31 −68%
Sandvik AB SAND kr 378.00 kr 193.59 −49%

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Conair Corporation Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/CNGA

Frequently asked questions

Is Conair Corporation (CNGA) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 27, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $0.2200 versus a price of $0.3500, about −37% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of CNGA?
Our model-based fair value for Conair Corporation is $0.2200 (as of Sep 27, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: $0.3500.
What is the quality score of CNGA?
Conair Corporation has a Quality Score of 47/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Conair Corporation (CNGA)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of $0.2200 (as of Sep 27, 2026) from 7 valuation models. Cautious scenario $0.1900, optimistic scenario $0.2700. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Conair Corporation stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at $0.2200, about −37% upside versus a price of $0.3500 (overvalued). Cautious scenario $0.1900, optimistic scenario $0.2700. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What growth is priced into Conair Corporation (CNGA)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, Conair Corporation would have to grow free cash flow by +15.2 % per year for five years (discount rate 9.7 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew -0.8 % per year. As of Sep 27, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of CNGA use?
Our models discount Conair Corporation at 9.7 %: a base by market capitalisation (nano), country premium for USA. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For Conair Corporation that is +15.2 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (9.7 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has Conair Corporation (CNGA) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at Conair Corporation grew -0.8 % a year. The price currently implies +15.2 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of Conair Corporation (CNGA) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +5.1 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into Conair Corporation (+15.2 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of Conair Corporation (CNGA)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 2.61 %: that much free cash flow Conair Corporation produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (9.7 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of Conair Corporation (CNGA)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Conair Corporation it is $0.2200 per share (as of Sep 27, 2026), against a price of $0.3500. It is the blended result of 7 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Conair Corporation stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 27, 2026, CNGA trades above its calculated fair value: price $0.3500, fair value $0.2200, a gap of about −37% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of CNGA?
No. The price is what the market pays today ($0.3500); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify ($0.2200). For Conair Corporation the two are $0.1300 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Conair Corporation worth?
The market values Conair Corporation at about $2.2M (market capitalisation, as of Sep 27, 2026). Per share that is $0.3500; our models calculate a fair value of $0.2200 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about CNGA?
Our models span a range for Conair Corporation: cautious scenario $0.1900, base $0.2200, optimistic $0.2700 per share (as of Sep 27, 2026, price $0.3500). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of CNGA?
Conair Corporation trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 7.0 (as of Sep 27, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of $0.2200 is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: P/B 0.8.
How far is CNGA from its 52-week high?
Conair Corporation trades at $0.3500, about 22% below its 52-week high of $0.4480 and 407% above the low of $0.0690 (as of Sep 25, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of $0.2200 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Conair Corporation?
From the same area (Industrials) we also value GE Vernova Inc, SIE, Eaton Corporation, Parker-Hannifin Corporation, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Conair Corporation stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 27, 2026: price $0.3500, calculated fair value $0.2200 (−37%), Quality Score 47/100, from 7 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of CNGA calculated?
We run Conair Corporation through 7 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of $0.2200, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 13.9 % above its aggregate fair value. Conair Corporation itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Conair Corporation (CNGA)?
The closing price on Sep 25, 2026 was $0.3500. Our model-based fair value is $0.2200, about −37% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Conair Corporation right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case ($0.2700). The favourable scenario is already priced in. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution. Solid but not exceptional quality (47/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.

Key figures of Conair Corporation

How large is the market capitalisation of Conair Corporation (CNGA)?
The market capitalisation of Conair Corporation is $2.2M. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What are the earnings per share of Conair Corporation (CNGA)?
Earnings per share at Conair Corporation are $0.0500 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 7.0). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the net margin of Conair Corporation (CNGA)?
The net margin of Conair Corporation is −4.1% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Conair Corporation (CNGA)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Conair Corporation is −1.4% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
How much net cash does Conair Corporation (CNGA) hold?
Conair Corporation holds more cash than debt, $644K net (fiscal year 2025). The company holds more cash than debt, a safety cushion.
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